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UGA

Georgia 10 at Ole Miss 28

MISS
2024 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+0.9MISS 98.2%Caden Davis 24 Yd Field GoalAWAY 10 - HOME 25 · Q4 3:22
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Q4 3:22 · Caden Davis 24 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Home team on offense+29.4Score differential+13.2Garbage-time factor+14.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8Pregame prior−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:53: Ulysses Bentley IV 9 Yd Run (Caden Davis Kick) — MISS win probability +3.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:12: Caden Davis 43 Yd Field Goal — MISS win probability +3.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:55: Caden Davis 53 Yd Field Goal — MISS win probability +2.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:44: Peyton Woodring 23 Yd Field Goal — UGA win probability +6.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:10: Antwane Wells Jr. 10 Yd pass from Jaxson Dart (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MISS win probability +11.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:32UGA 4th & 2 at MISS 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    52.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14MISS 4th & 1 at UGA 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    44.8%−0.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    45.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:05UGA 4th & 15 at UGA 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:01MISS 4th & 4 at UGA 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:20UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:12MISS 4th & 15 at UGA 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−3.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:14UGA 4th & 6 at MISS 45, down 6
    Close callPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    41.6%−1.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:55MISS 4th & 7 at UGA 36, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:04UGA 4th & 14 at UGA 48, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:02MISS 4th & 9 at MISS 14, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:44UGA 4th & 5 at MISS 5, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−10.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:49MISS 4th & 10 at MISS 48, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:22UGA 4th & 10 at MISS 27, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−3.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:22MISS 4th & 7 at UGA 7, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−3.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:11MISS 4th & 5 at UGA 14, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:16UGA 4th & 20 at UGA 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:32UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:53MISS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:10MISS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0744% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.2%
Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd to the MISS 26Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-6
44.4%
Jaxson Dart sacked by Chaz Chambliss and Christen Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the MISS 20Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-13
44.5%
Jaxson Dart pass intercepted Dan Jackson return for 13 yds to the MISS 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1956% → 57%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
44.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 6 yds to the MISS 15Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+3
44.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the MISS 12Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+5
44.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the MISS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
44.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the MISS 4Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
44.6%
Cash Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the MISS 8Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
44.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 6 yds to the MISS 2Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.5%
Nate Frazier 2 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3944% → 47%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
43.8%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 11 yds to the MISS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
43.9%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 11 yds to the MISS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the MISS 47Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-1
44.1%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the MISS 46Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+10
43.5%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 10 yds to the UGA 44Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+12
43.8%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Cayden Lee for 12 yds to the UGA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
44.5%
Austin Simmons pass incomplete to Dae'Quan WrightSimilar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
44.5%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+20
44.1%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Cayden Lee for 20 yds to the UGA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
47.4%
Ulysses Bentley IV 9 Yd Run (Caden Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:4454% → 53%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
46.2%
Etienne, Trevor rush for 11 yards to the UGA25, PENALTY UGA illegal formation 5 yards to the UGA9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+2
46.4%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 11Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 13
OWN 11
-2
46.5%
Cash Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 9Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 15
OWN 9
0
47.1%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 15
OWN 9
0
47.5%
Brett Thorson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5FG
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:0348% → 49%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
50
+12
47.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 12 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+26
48.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 26 yds to the UGA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
48.4%
Rashad Amos run for 2 yds to the UGA 10Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
48.6%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+4
48.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds to the UGA 6Similar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
48.9%
Caden Davis 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3851% → 50%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
48.5%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
49.5%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to London HumphreysSimilar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+2
50.3%
Brett Thorson punt for 48 yds , Micah Davis returns for 2 yds to the MISS 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:0850% → 55%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
49.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 7 yds to the MISS 30Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+31
50.3%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 31 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
51.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 7 yds to the UGA 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+2
52.0%
Jaxson Dart run for 2 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+9
51.9%
JJ Pegues run for 9 yds to the UGA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-7
52.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for a loss of 7 yards to the UGA 28Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 17
OPP 28
0
52.2%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan WatkinsSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 17
OPP 28
+2
51.3%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the UGA 26Similar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+43
54.7%
Caden Davis 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 4:5745% → 42%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
55.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 14 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
54.4%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the UGA 42Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
54.1%
Nate Frazier run for 6 yds to the UGA 48Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+1
54.2%
Nate Frazier run for 1 yd to the UGA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
54.2%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-8
54.8%
Carson Beck sacked by Jared Ivey for a loss of 8 yards to the UGA 41Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 18
OWN 41
+10
56.6%
Beck, Carson pass incomplete to Smith, Arian, PENALTY MISS holding (Saunders Jr., John) 10 yards to the MISS49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.Similar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
54.1%
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the MISS 44Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
54.8%
Nate Frazier run for 1 yd to the MISS 43Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 4
OPP 43
-2
56.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for a loss of 2 yards to the MISS 45Similar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
58.3%
Brett Thorson punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MISS 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:1860% → 64%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
59.5%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
59.4%
Domonique Thomas run for no gain to the MISS 1Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+16
59.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 16 yds to the MISS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+33
60.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 33 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
50
+5
62.9%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+6
63.4%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 6 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
63.6%
Jaxson Dart run for 3 yds to the UGA 36Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
63.9%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Dae'Quan WrightSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
63.3%
Jaxson Dart run for no gain to the UGA 36Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+53
63.8%
Caden Davis 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:5036% → 34%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
64.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 15 yds to the UGA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
63.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 12 yds to the MISS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
61.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the MISS 44Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
61.9%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Ben YurosekSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-8
62.4%
Carson Beck sacked by Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 8 yards to the UGA 48Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 14
OWN 48
0
65.8%
Brett Thorson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the MISS 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5865% → 65%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
64.7%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the MISS 9Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+5
64.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the MISS 14Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
63.6%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the MISS 14Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
64.8%
Fraser Masin punt for 65 yds, downed at the UGA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
68.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:1534% → 40%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
65.8%
Beck, Carson pass complete to Humphreys, London for 16 yards to the UGA41, PENALTY UGA ineligible downfield on pass (Yurosek, Ben) 5 yards to the UGA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
66.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 14 yds to the UGA 34Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
64.8%
Cash Jones run for 4 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
65.5%
Georgia Penalty, False Start (Monroe Freeling) to the UGA 33Similar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+16
66.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 16 yds to the UGA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
66.3%
Dillon Bell run for 12 yds to the MISS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+29
66.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 29 yds to the MISS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
65.0%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Ben YurosekSimilar
Q3 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
65.1%
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the MISS 6Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
66.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 1 yd to the MISS 5Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
60.5%
Peyton Woodring 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3366% → 82%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
65.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 9 yds to the MISS 34Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
67.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the MISS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
66.2%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 23 yds to the UGA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
69.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the UGA 40Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+26
69.5%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 26 yds to the UGA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
70.1%
Domonique Thomas run for 1 yd to the UGA 13Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+3
70.4%
Jordan Watkins run for 3 yds to the UGA 10Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
81.7%
Antwane Wells Jr. 10 Yd pass from Jaxson Dart (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FUMBLE
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:4320% → 22%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.5%
Nate Frazier run for 8 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
78.6%
Nate Frazier run for 8 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
79.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ben Yurosek for 7 yds to the UGA 48Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
79.2%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+20
79.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 20 yds to the MISS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
78.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 3 yds to the MISS 29Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
78.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Nate Frazier for no gain Nate Frazier fumbled, forced by Zxavian Harris, recovered by MISS Walter NolenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:3784% → 85%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
84.3%
Jordan Watkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the MISS 27Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+21
84.7%
Jaxson Dart run for 21 yds to the MISS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
86.4%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Cayden LeeSimilar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
86.2%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan WatkinsSimilar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
85.4%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Ulysses Bentley IVSimilar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
84.8%
Fraser Masin punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Malaki Starks at the UGA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17INT
17 plays · 64 yds · 9:2716% → 9%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
83.8%
Arian Smith run for no gain to the UGA 9Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+9
84.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 9 yds to the UGA 18Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+3
84.9%
Carson Beck run for 3 yds to the UGA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
84.6%
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the UGA 26 Nate Frazier fumbled, forced by Trey Amos, recovered by UGA Jared WilsonSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
84.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 4 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
85.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the UGA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
85.9%
Carson Beck run for 8 yds to the UGA 41Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-1
85.6%
Cash Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 40Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+15
86.2%
Beck, Carson pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UGA32 (Umanmielen, Princely), fumble forced by Umanmielen, Princely, fumble by Beck, Carson recovered by UGA Jones, Cash at UGA32, PENALTY MISS face mask 15 yards to the MISS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.Similar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
88.9%
Carson Beck sacked by Suntarine Perkins for a loss of 7 yards to the UGA 48Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+5
90.3%
Ole Miss Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the MISS 47Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+9
89.1%
Carson Beck run for 9 yds to the MISS 38Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+11
89.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 11 yds to the MISS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
88.5%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Trevor EtienneSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
88.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for no gain to the MISS 27Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
90.5%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 10
OPP 27
-10
91.2%
Carson Beck pass intercepted John Saunders Jr. return for 10 yds to the MISS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 3:5993% → 98%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the MISS 27Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
93.7%
Jordan Watkins run for 19 yds to the MISS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
94.7%
Jaxson Dart pass incomplete to Jordan WatkinsSimilar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+28
94.6%
Jaxson Dart run for 28 yds to the UGA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
95.1%
Domonique Thomas run for 8 yds to the UGA 18Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+9
95.3%
Domonique Thomas run for 9 yds to the UGA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
95.9%
Domonique Thomas run for 2 yds to the UGA 7Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
96.9%
Domonique Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 8Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
97.5%
Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd to the UGA 7Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
98.2%
Caden Davis 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:131% → 1%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.0%
Carson Beck sacked by Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 6 yards to the UGA 19 Carson Beck fumbled, forced by Princely Umanmielen, recovered by MISS Suntarine Perkins , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5799% → 100%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
98.5%
Domonique Thomas run for 3 yds to the UGA 16Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
98.6%
Domonique Thomas run for no gain to the UGA 16Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+2
98.7%
Domonique Thomas run for 2 yds to the UGA 14Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+32
99.7%
Caden Davis 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 6 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-11
99.3%
Carson Beck sacked by Jared Ivey for a loss of 11 yards to the UGA 20 Carson Beck fumbled, forced by Jared Ivey, recovered by UGA Xavier Truss , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-5
99.4%
Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (Carson Beck) to the UGA 15Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+17
99.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 17 yds to the UGA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:10
Antwane Wells Jr. 10 Yd pass from Jaxson Dart (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+11.3
FG · Q3 9:44
Peyton Woodring 23 Yd Field Goal
-6.3
TD · Q1 6:53
Ulysses Bentley IV 9 Yd Run (Caden Davis Kick)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com