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Kentucky 18 at Tennessee 28

TENN
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · (00:30) Kneel down by Tennessee at CATS20 for loss of 1 yard.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialDefense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:28: Dylan Sampson run for 7 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +13.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:33: Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 6 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +10.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:31: Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 32 yds for a TD (Ja'Mori Maclin pass to for Two-Point Conversion) — UK win probability +18.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:31: Timeout Tennessee, clock 13:31 — TENN win probability +9.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:55: Dylan Sampson run for 6 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +17.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:56UK 4th & 2 at TENN 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:55TENN 4th & 20 at UK 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:20TENN 4th & 8 at UK 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:46UK 4th & 14 at UK 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:14TENN 4th & 14 at UK 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:39UK 4th & 22 at UK 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:56TENN 4th & 5 at UK 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    70.9%−1.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:30UK 4th & 2 at TENN 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:25TENN 4th & 7 at UK 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−8.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:23UK 4th & 10 at UK 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:23UK 4th & 10 at UK 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:27TENN 4th & 7 at TENN 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:51TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:09UK 4th & 14 at UK 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−3.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:46UK 4th & 7 at UK 32, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:19UK 4th & 20 at UK 37, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 5:28UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:45TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:28TENN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:33TENN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:31UK Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    24.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:55TENN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:5111% → 12%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+50
88.7%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 50 yds to the TENN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
88.5%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 9 yds to the TENN 18Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+5
88.3%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Barion rush right for 0 yards to the TENN18 (Telander,Jeremiah), out of bounds PENALTY TENN Offside (West,Tyre) 5 yards from TENN18 to TENN13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
88.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Jamarion Wilcox for 3 yds to the TENN 10Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
88.0%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+5
88.0%
Brock Vandagriff run for 5 yds to the TENN 5Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 2
OPP 5
0
87.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:5588% → 87%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
87.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the TENN 10Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+9
87.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the TENN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
87.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 17 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST down Kentucky Penalty, (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+31
87.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 31 yds to the UK 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
87.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 8 yds to the UK 25Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+10
87.7%
Dylan Sampson run for 10 yds to the UK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
87.6%
Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the UK 15Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-4
87.7%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Tre'vonn Rybka for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 19Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 14
OPP 19
-10
87.1%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Iamaleava,Nico pass complete short right to Kitselman,Miles caught at CATS11, for 8 yards to the CATS11 (Childress,Zion) PENALTY TENN Holding (Campbell Jr.,John) 10 yards from CATS19 to CATS29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 24
OPP 29
+4
87.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 4 yds to the UK 25Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 20
OPP 25
+43
86.6%
Max Gilbert 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1313% → 17%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
86.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Hardley Gilmore IV for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
50
+2
86.1%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the TENN 48Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
85.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+17
85.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 17 yds to the TENN 31 for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
85.0%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds to the TENN 27Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+27
82.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Josh Kattus for 27 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 1:5583% → 83%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Holden Staes for 3 yds to the TENN 28Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
82.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
82.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 12 yds to the TENN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+1
82.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the TENN 36Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+15
82.4%
PENALTY CATS Personal Foul (Silver,Keeshawn) 15 yards from TENN36 to CATS49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
83.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the UK 48Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
82.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+1
82.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 1 yd to the UK 47Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
82.7%
Jackson Ross punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4018% → 20%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
82.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 16 yds to the UK 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
80.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the UK 23Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
80.5%
Brock Vandagriff run for 2 yds to the UK 25Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
80.1%
Brock Vandagriff pass intercepted Andre Turrentine return for no gain to the UK 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:2682% → 82%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
82.0%
Dylan Sampson run for 17 yds to the UK 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
82.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 6 yds to the UK 22 Dylan Sampson fumbled, recovered by UK Jamon Dumas-JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:5921% → 22%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
79.3%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Wilcox,Jamarion rush right for 8 yards gain to the CATS30 (Turrentine,Andre; Brooks,Will) PENALTY CATS Illegal Block in Back (Kattus,Josh) 10 yards from CATS22 to CATS12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 20
OWN 12
0
78.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 12
+6
78.5%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 6 yds to the UK 18Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 14
OWN 18
0
77.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
77.8%
Aidan Laros punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jermod McCoy at the TENN 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 2:2181% → 76%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
81.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 8 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+6
81.5%
DeSean Bishop run for 6 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+23
81.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 23 yds to the UK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
80.9%
PENALTY TENN False Start (Davis,Dayne) 5 yards from CATS18 to CATS23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+5
80.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 5 yds to the UK 18Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
80.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-4
78.3%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Jamon Dumas-Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 22Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
76.3%
Max Gilbert 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 2:2727% → 24%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-7
73.5%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by Omari Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 15Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 17
OWN 15
-7
73.1%
(11:34) Shotgun Vandagriff,Brock rush middle for 15 yards gain to the CATS30 (Carter,Boo) PENALTY CATS Holding (Cox,Marques) 7 yards from CATS15 to CATS08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 24
OWN 8
-4
73.4%
PENALTY CATS False Start (Gilmore IV,Hardley) 4 yards from CATS08 to CATS04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 28
OWN 4
+1
75.7%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the UK 5Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 27
OWN 5
+5
75.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 5 yds to the UK 10Similar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 22
OWN 10
0
76.3%
Aidan Laros punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
16 plays · 64 yds · 4:4378% → 82%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
77.5%
Peyton Lewis run for 5 yds to the TENN 41Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
78.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+5
77.3%
Peyton Lewis run for 5 yds to the TENN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
77.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 8 yds to the UK 46Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
78.0%
Peyton Lewis run for 3 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
78.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
78.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 6 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+1
78.0%
Peyton Lewis run for 1 yd to the UK 38Similar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+8
77.0%
Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
78.0%
Peyton Lewis run for 4 yds to the UK 26Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+18
77.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 18 yds to the UK 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
77.4%
Peyton Lewis run for 4 yds to the UK 4Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
77.0%
Peyton Lewis run for 3 yds to the UK 1Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.0%
Peyton Lewis run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:0723% → 49%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.4%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
75.7%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Khamari Anderson for 9 yds to the TENN 49Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
69.4%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 4 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
69.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Jamarion Wilcox for 7 yds to the TENN 38Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
68.6%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the TENN 36Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+14
54.7%
Brock Vandagriff run for 4 yds to the TENN 32 for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TENN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
53.4%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the TENN 20Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
52.6%
PENALTY TENN Offside (Pearce Jr.,James) 5 yards from TENN20 to TENN15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
52.4%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+1
53.3%
Brock Vandagriff run for 1 yd to the TENN 14Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+32
51.2%
Alex Raynor 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:2253% → 57%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
53.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 19 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
55.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 9 yds to the UK 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+4
56.5%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:1572% → 70%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
72.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 14 yds to the TENN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
72.8%
Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the TENN 38Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+22
72.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 22 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
74.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
74.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 7 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+14
73.7%
Dylan Sampson run for 14 yds to the UK 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
74.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the UK 16Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
73.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
72.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Mike Matthews for no gain to the UK 16Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
70.3%
Max Gilbert 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1033% → 35%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
67.4%
Brock Vandagriff run for 9 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
65.1%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 6 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
65.2%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by Joshua Josephs for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 28 Brock Vandagriff fumbled, recovered by UK Jeremiah Telander , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:2771% → 84%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
71.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Holden Staes for 4 yds to the UK 24Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
71.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 7 yds to the UK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
70.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 7 yds to the UK 10Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+3
70.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the UK 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
83.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 7 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:0521% → 20%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
78.9%
PENALTY CATS False Start (Ray,Dylan) 5 yards from CATS20 to CATS15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
78.7%
PENALTY CATS False Start (Ray,Dylan) 5 yards from CATS25 to CATS20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+16
78.8%
Brock Vandagriff run for 16 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
77.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-9
77.1%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by James Pearce Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the UK 25Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.9%
Aidan Laros punt for 61 yds , Jermod McCoy returns for 2 yds to the TENN 16Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
79.9%
Aidan Laros punt for 61 yds , Jermod McCoy returns for no gain to the TENN 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5078% → 77%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
78.2%
Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the TENN 7Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+3
77.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 3 yds to the TENN 10Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
77.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
76.6%
Jackson Ross punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ja'Mori Maclin at the UK 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 4:1826% → 30%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
74.4%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 6 yds to the TENN 49Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
72.4%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 5 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
71.9%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 8 yds to the TENN 36Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
71.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd to the TENN 35Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
71.0%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 3 yds to the TENN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
69.5%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the TENN 30Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+3
68.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the TENN 27Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
69.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Will Brooks return for no gain to the UK 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:1981% → 91%
Q3 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
81.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the UK 6Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
91.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 6 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:5412% → 34%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.4%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the UK 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
88.5%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 5 yds to the UK 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
88.1%
PENALTY CATS False Start (Farmer,Jalen) 5 yards from CATS31 to CATS26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+26
89.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Dane Key for 26 yds to the TENN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
85.7%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 15 yds to the TENN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
84.8%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 1 yd to the TENN 32Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+32
66.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 32 yds for a TD (Ja'Mori Maclin pass to for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
65.8%
PENALTY CATS Delay Of Game 5 yards from TENN03 to TENN08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3575% → 73%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.4%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
75.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 7 yds to the TENN 32Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
74.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
73.2%
Jackson Ross punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UK 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:3627% → 25%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
73.5%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the UK 36Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+13
73.0%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 13 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
69.7%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 2 yds to the TENN 49Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
68.9%
run for 6 yds to the UK 45 fumbled, recovered by UK Gavin WimsattSimilar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 14
OWN 45
0
73.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 14
OWN 45
+1
75.3%
Aidan Laros punt for 47 yds , Jermod McCoy returns for 1 yd to the TENN 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 4:5575% → 98%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
75.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the TENN 18Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+4
74.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 4 yds to the TENN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+20
74.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Holden Staes for 20 yds to the TENN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
77.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 9 yds to the UK 49Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
82.3%
Nico Iamaleava run for 5 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
82.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 16 yds to the UK 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
82.7%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the UK 29Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+4
81.3%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the UK 25Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+9
79.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 9 yds to the UK 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
81.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the UK 14Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+1
81.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the UK 13Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+7
80.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 7 yds to the UK 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.0%
Dylan Sampson run for 6 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 24DOWNS
14 plays · 27 yds · 2:207% → 4%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
93.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 13 yds to the UK 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
93.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the UK 32Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
92.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
93.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
94.0%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for 0 yards to the UK 32Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+15
94.0%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Wimsatt,Gavin sacked for loss of 9 yards to the CATS23 (Norman-Lott,Omarr) PENALTY TENN Face Mask (Norman-Lott,Omarr) 15 yards from CATS32 to CATS47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
92.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
92.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-5
93.4%
PENALTY CATS False Start (Ray,Dylan) 5 yards from CATS47 to CATS42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 15
OWN 42
-10
94.2%
(03:29) Shotgun Wimsatt,Gavin pass complete short left to Gilmore IV,Hardley caught at CATS45, for 11 yards to the TENN47 (McCoy,Jermod; Carter,Arion) PENALTY CATS Holding (Wood,Malachi) 10 yards from CATS42 to CATS32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 25
OWN 32
+5
95.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 5 yds to the UK 37Similar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 20
OWN 37
+6
95.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 6 yds to the UK 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:1299% → 99%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
98.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 8 yds to the UK 35Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+4
98.7%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the UK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
98.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 7 yds to the UK 24Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+1
98.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the UK 23Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+4
98.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the UK 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
98.9%
(00:30) Kneel down by Tennessee at CATS20 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:31
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 32 yds for a TD (Ja'Mori Maclin pass to for Two-Point Conversion)
-18.1
TD · Q4 4:55
Dylan Sampson run for 6 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
+17.5
TD · Q3 8:28
Dylan Sampson run for 7 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
+13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com