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TA&M

Texas A&M 20 at South Carolina 44

SC
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+3.2SC 57.4%Alex Herrera 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 17 · Q2 8:45
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:45 · Alex Herrera 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Home team on offense+6.9Pregame prior−9.0Garbage-time factor+3.1Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:29: Amari Daniels run for 56 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +10.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 1:08: Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +13.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:02: Alex Herrera 44 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +10.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:19: Raheim Sanders 52 Yd Run (Alex Herrera Kick) — SC win probability +15.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:24: LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 57 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +4.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TA&M made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:45SC 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:11TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:15TA&M 4th & 2 at SC 34, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%−0.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:04SC 4th & 7 at SC 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:50TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:12TA&M 4th & 18 at SC 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:45SC 4th & 7 at TA&M 7, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:28SC 4th & 2 at TA&M 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.7%−1.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:00TA&M 4th & 1 at SC 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    46.4%−2.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−7.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:34TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:40TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.7%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:50SC 4th & 4 at TA&M 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−8.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:38TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:37SC 4th & 6 at SC 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:44SC 4th & 11 at TA&M 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%−1.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:47TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:44SC 4th & 12 at TA&M 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    86.8%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:12TA&M 4th & 21 at SC 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−1.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:46SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:24SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:29TA&M Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:08TA&M Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:19SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:24SC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:22SC Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0737% → 40%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Nyck HarborSimilar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
36.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 20 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
36.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the TA&M 46Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
37.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
37.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
37.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
37.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+6
37.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
37.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the TA&M 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
38.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the TA&M 23Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+23
40.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 23 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2761% → 59%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
39.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 9 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
39.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 33Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
40.2%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
40.8%
Marcel Reed run for no gain to the TA&M 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:3642% → 45%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
41.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 14 yds to the TA&M 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
41.8%
Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (Nic Scourton) to the TA&M 15Similar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+15
45.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:5956% → 56%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
44.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 20 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
44.1%
Marcel Reed run for 8 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+5
44.4%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
45.1%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the SC 42Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
45.5%
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-5
45.5%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Dametrious Crownover) to the SC 45Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+11
46.6%
Marcel Reed run for 11 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+52
43.6%
Randy Bond 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4946% → 47%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
45.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 12 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
46.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the SC 45Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
47.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
47.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Gage Larvadain for no gain to the SC 45Similar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
46.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Terry Bussey at the TA&M 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0853% → 51%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
46.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-5
47.3%
Terry Bussey run for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 7 Terry Bussey fumbled, recovered by TA&M Terry BusseySimilar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 15
OWN 7
+6
48.3%
Marcel Reed run for 6 yds to the TA&M 13Similar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
48.8%
Tyler White punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:3349% → 49%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
49.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-2
49.3%
Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 47Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+60
48.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 17 yds Raheim Sanders fumbled, forced by Will Lee III, recovered by TA&M BJ Mayes Texas A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (43 Yards) to the TA&M 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:3351% → 49%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
48.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 12 yds to the TA&M 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
48.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 15 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
48.2%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 49Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+22
48.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 22 yds to the SC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-8
47.5%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 37 Marcel Reed fumbled, recovered by TA&M Marcel ReedSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 18
OPP 37
0
49.3%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 18
OPP 37
0
50.7%
Marcel Reed run for no gain to the SC 37Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 18
OPP 37
+55
51.1%
Randy Bond 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:1550% → 57%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the SC 30Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+28
50.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 28 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
52.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the TA&M 36Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-4
52.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 40Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+9
52.4%
LaNorris Sellers run for 9 yds to the TA&M 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+23
53.8%
LaNorris Sellers run for 15 yds to the TA&M 16 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Will Lee III) to the TA&M 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
54.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the TA&M 8Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
54.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
54.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the TA&M 7Similar
Q2 8:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
57.4%
Alex Herrera 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:5344% → 54%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
55.9%
EJ Smith run for 2 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
56.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 7 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+56
46.0%
Amari Daniels run for 56 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:4749% → 51%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
48.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 27 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
51.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 7 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
51.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+1
51.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 1 yd to the TA&M 40Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
50.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:1053% → 65%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
46.7%
EJ Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+11
49.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 11 yds to the TA&M 48Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+14
46.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 14 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+20
46.3%
Marcel Reed run for 20 yds to the SC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
45.1%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
45.3%
Marcel Reed run for 9 yds to the SC 9Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
49.2%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
49.2%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the SC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
46.6%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the SC 2Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
35.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 0:5940% → 52%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
40.3%
Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 24Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
40.1%
Texas A&M Penalty, Roughing Passer (Shemar Turner) to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
41.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 10 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
43.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the TA&M 47Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+9
44.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 9 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
41.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the TA&M 36Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+10
41.6%
Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (BJ Mayes) to the TA&M 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+44
51.7%
Alex Herrera 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
42.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:1056% → 54%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
44.2%
Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
43.5%
Marcel Reed run for no gain to the TA&M 28Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+7
44.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 7 yds to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
43.9%
Noah Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 33Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+8
45.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 8 yds to the TA&M 41Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
43.0%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
45.8%
Tyler White punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 2:0549% → 68%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
48.5%
Raheim Sanders run for 11 yds to the SC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
49.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 11 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
50.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
52.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+52
68.1%
Raheim Sanders 52 Yd Run (Alex Herrera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2036% → 35%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
63.6%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TA&M 26Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
63.5%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+5
65.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 5 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
65.2%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TA&M 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4773% → 74%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
72.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
72.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the TA&M 25Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
71.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
73.6%
Alex Herrera 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0227% → 26%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 6 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
72.0%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
73.1%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TA&M 34Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
74.2%
Tyler White punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Gerald Kilgore at the SC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:1276% → 78%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
76.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the SC 32Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
76.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the SC 32Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+10
75.7%
Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (Will Lee III) to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
78.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
79.0%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 2
50
+1
79.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the TA&M 49Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-5
78.0%
South Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SC 46Similar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
77.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jabre Barber at the TA&M 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21INT
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:2222% → 24%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+28
77.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 13 yds to the TA&M 26 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jace Blackshear) to the TA&M 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
76.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 16 yds to the SC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.0%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the SC 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
77.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Amari Daniels for 8 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+7
77.0%
Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the SC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
75.9%
Marcel Reed pass intercepted O'Donnell Fortune return for 2 yds to the SC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:1681% → 82%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
80.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+40
81.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 40 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
83.5%
Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 45Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
83.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
82.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 11
OPP 45
+40
82.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 45 yds for a touchback South Carolina Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5318% → 16%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.3%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.6%
Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
82.7%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
84.4%
Tyler White punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Juju McDowell at the SC 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24FUMBLE
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:5584% → 87%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
83.6%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the SC 21Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
83.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 5 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+36
84.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 36 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
86.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 40Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 12
OPP 40
0
88.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
87.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 12
OPP 40
+2
86.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 31 yds , Jabre Barber returns for 2 yds to the TA&M 11 Jabre Barber fumbled, recovered by TA&M Jabre BarberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:2612% → 8%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
87.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 10 yds to the TA&M 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
88.0%
Marcel Reed run for 11 yds to the TA&M 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
86.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 14 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.0%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+16
87.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 16 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
87.8%
Marcel Reed sacked by Dylan Stewart for a loss of 5 yards to the SC 43Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+1
89.3%
EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the SC 42Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 14
OPP 42
-7
90.6%
Marcel Reed sacked by T.J. Sanders for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 49Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 21
OPP 49
0
91.6%
Tyler White punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 1:4091% → 99%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+20
91.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 20 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
91.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+1
93.5%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
94.1%
Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 43Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+57
98.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 57 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27FUMBLE
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
98.1%
Marcel Reed sacked by Tonka Hemingway for a loss of 12 yards to the TA&M 13 Marcel Reed fumbled, forced by Tonka Hemingway, recovered by SC Kyle Kennard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 28TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:5299% → 100%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
98.6%
LaNorris Sellers run for 6 yds to the TA&M 7Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
EJ Smith run for 6 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.6%
EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.6%
EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the TA&M 37Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
99.6%
EJ Smith run for 3 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
99.7%
EJ Smith run for no gain to the TA&M 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:19
Raheim Sanders 52 Yd Run (Alex Herrera Kick)
+15.5
TD · Q2 1:08
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
-13.2
TD · Q2 7:29
Amari Daniels run for 56 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com