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ME

Maine 14 at Oklahoma 59

OU
2024 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadME aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreME score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:56 · Aidan Cadogan punt for 45 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 9 yds to the OU 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Pregame prior+41.2Home team on offense+3.8Score differential+0.7Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Garbage-time factor−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:59: Carter Peevy pass complete to Cooper Heisey for 3 yds for a TD (Joey Bryson KICK) — ME win probability +0.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ME has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:44: Taylor Tatum run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:46: Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:16: Jackson Arnold pass complete to J.J. Hester for 90 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:34: Jovantae Barnes run for 8 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK) — OU win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ME made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:42OU 4th & 10 at OU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:58ME 4th & 2 at ME 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:39OU 4th & 3 at ME 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:56ME 4th & 15 at ME 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:35ME 4th & 12 at ME 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:39ME 4th & 3 at ME 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:51ME 4th & 12 at ME 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:36ME 4th & 9 at ME 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:33OU 4th & 4 at ME 45, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:56ME 4th & 15 at ME 20, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:37OU 4th & 6 at ME 6, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:58ME 4th & 7 at OU 42, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:13ME 4th & 8 at OU 18, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ME made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:59ME Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:07OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:44OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:46OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:16OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:34OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:40OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:20OU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:38ME Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:17OU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1198% → 98%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.3%
Jackson Arnold run for 7 yds to the OU 32Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
98.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 5 yds to the OU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the OU 37Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
98.2%
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the OU 37Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
98.1%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
98.1%
Luke Elzinga punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ME 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 2TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:342% → 3%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
98.1%
Jaharie Martin run for 1 yd to the ME 33Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
98.0%
Carter Peevy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+8
98.0%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 8 yds to the ME 41Similar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+5
97.9%
PENALTY OU Delay Of Game (Lewis,Kip) 5 yards from MAINE41 to MAINE46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.8%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Nick Laughlin for 3 yds to the ME 49Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
97.7%
Jaharie Martin run for no gain to the ME 49Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+8
97.6%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Cooper Heisey for 8 yds to the OU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.5%
Carter Peevy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+40
97.5%
Carter Peevy run for 40 yds to the OU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.1%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Cooper Heisey for 3 yds for a TD (Joey Bryson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3797% → 97%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+74
97.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 74 yds to the ME 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.2%
Jackson Arnold run for loss of 1 yd to the ME 2Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.4%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:493% → 3%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
97.2%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Molayo Irefin for 10 yds to the ME 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.1%
Brian Santana-Fis run for 2 yds to the ME 40Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
97.0%
Carter Peevy run for loss of 1 yd to the ME 39Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+7
96.9%
Carter Peevy run for 7 yds to the ME 46Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
96.7%
Aidan Cadogan punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 5:0797% → 97%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
96.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 4 yds to the OU 20Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+3
96.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to J.J. Hester for 3 yds to the OU 23Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+19
96.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for 19 yds to the OU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
96.7%
Taylor Tatum run for 6 yds to the OU 48Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
96.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to J.J. Hester for 5 yds to the ME 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
96.6%
Taylor Tatum run for 4 yds to the ME 43Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
96.6%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+3
96.5%
Taylor Tatum run for 3 yds to the ME 40Similar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+6
96.3%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 6 yds to the ME 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
96.4%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 6 yds to the ME 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+2
96.2%
Taylor Tatum run for 2 yds to the ME 26Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+17
96.1%
Taylor Tatum run for 17 yds to the ME 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
96.1%
Taylor Tatum run for 2 yds to the ME 7Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
96.0%
Taylor Tatum run for 6 yds to the ME 1Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
Taylor Tatum run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:274% → 4%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
96.5%
Jaharie Martin run for 2 yds to the ME 15Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+14
96.4%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Mason Gilbert for 14 yds to the ME 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
96.2%
Jaharie Martin run for 1 yd to the ME 30Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-6
96.1%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Cooper Heisey for a loss of 6 yards to the ME 24 Maine Penalty, Offensive Holding (Izaiah Henderson) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 15
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Carter Peavy pass incomplete. Maine Penalty, Offensive Holding (Izaiah Henderson) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 15
OWN 24
+9
96.3%
Aidan Cadogan punt for 45 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 9 yds to the OU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:1396% → 96%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.2%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.1%
Sam Franklin run for 5 yds to the OU 45Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+12
96.1%
Jackson Arnold run for 12 yds to the ME 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.2%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+24
96.1%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 24 yds to the ME 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
96.2%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun Arnold,Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the MAINE19 (Thomas,Christian) PENALTY OU Holding (Ozaeta,Heath) 10 yards from MAINE19 to MAINE29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+11
96.1%
Jackson Arnold run for 11 yds to the ME 18Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+2
96.0%
Sam Franklin run for 2 yds to the ME 16 Sam Franklin fumbled, recovered by ME Jayden CurrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:584% → 4%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
95.7%
Carter Peevy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
95.7%
Carter Peevy run for loss of 2 yds to the ME 14Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 12
OWN 14
0
95.8%
Carter Peevy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
95.9%
Aidan Cadogan punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ME 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:4096% → 97%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+29
95.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for 29 yds to the ME 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
95.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for 7 yds to the ME 1Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:523% → 4%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.7%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Joe Gillette for 5 yds to the ME 30Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
96.6%
Carter Peevy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
96.6%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Montigo Moss for 12 yds to the ME 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
96.5%
Carter Peevy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
96.5%
Tavion Banks run for 3 yds to the ME 45Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+4
96.4%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Tavion Banks for 4 yds to the ME 49Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
96.4%
Aidan Cadogan punt for 41 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for no gain to the OU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:1797% → 99%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
96.5%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+90
98.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to J.J. Hester for 90 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:182% → 2%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.4%
Trevin Ewing run for 7 yds to the ME 32Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
98.3%
(02:36) PENALTY MAINE False Start (Kocan,Andrew) 5 yards from MAINE32 to MAINE27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.4%
Carter Peevy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
98.4%
Carter Peevy sacked by Danny Stutsman for a loss of 4 yards to the ME 23Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+8
98.4%
Aidan Cadogan punt for 35 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 1:1199% → 100%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
50
0
98.8%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
50
+7
98.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 7 yds to the ME 43Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+15
98.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 15 yds to the ME 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
98.8%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jacob Jordan for 6 yds to the ME 22Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+7
98.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 7 yds to the ME 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
98.8%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 7 yds to the ME 8Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
99.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for 8 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.6%
C. Peevy takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:381% → 0%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Jaharie Martin run for 5 yds to the ME 30Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.6%
Jaharie Martin run for 8 yds to the ME 38 Jaharie Martin fumbled, recovered by ME Robert Spears-JenningsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for 9 yds to the ME 29Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+7
99.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 7 yds to the ME 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Ivan Carreon for 3 yds to the ME 19Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+19
99.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 19 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Carter Peevy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Carter Peevy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.7%
Brian Santana-Fis run for 1 yd to the ME 25Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Aidan Cadogan punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:08100% → 100%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-15
99.7%
Barnes,Jovantae rush middle for 8 yards gain to the OU41 (Wallace,Rayshad) PENALTY OU Personal Foul (Pierre-Louis,Eddy) 15 yards from OU41 to OU26.Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 17
OWN 26
+4
99.7%
Jackson Arnold run for 4 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+19
99.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 19 yds to the OU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the ME 48Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
99.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the ME 47Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+2
99.8%
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the ME 45Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+14
99.8%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to J.J. Hester for 14 yds to the ME 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the ME 30Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+6
99.8%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Sam Franklin for 6 yds to the ME 24Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+6
99.8%
Sam Franklin run for 6 yds to the ME 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
99.8%
Jackson Arnold run for 9 yds to the ME 9Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Kaden Helms for 9 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Tavion Banks run for 2 yds to the ME 27Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Nick Laughlin for 3 yds to the ME 30Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-10
99.9%
Carter Peevy sacked by David Stone for a loss of 10 yards to the ME 20Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+46
99.9%
Aidan Cadogan punt for 41 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 46 yds to the OU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 6:11100% → 100%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for 4 yds to the OU 40Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Zion Kearney for 5 yds to the OU 45Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Taylor Tatum run for 9 yds to the ME 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
99.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 10 yds to the ME 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Taylor Tatum run for loss of 2 yds to the ME 38Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+20
99.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 20 yds to the ME 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for no gain to the ME 18Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 8 yds to the ME 10Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 2 yds to the ME 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
99.9%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Hawkins Jr.,Michael rush right for 4 yards gain to the MAINE04 (Cooper,Kenneth) PENALTY OU Holding (Helms,Kaden) 10 yards from MAINE08 to MAINE18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 3 yds to the ME 15Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+9
99.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Sam Franklin for 9 yds to the ME 6Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.9%
Zach Schmit 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:520% → 0%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Carter Peevy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jaharie Martin run for no gain to the ME 25Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Joe Gillette for 12 yds to the ME 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
100.0%
Trevin Ewing run for 11 yds to the ME 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+47
100.0%
Carter Peevy pass complete to Joe Gillette for 47 yds to the OU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Nick Laughlin run for 5 yds for a TD (Joey Bryson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Xavier Robinson run for 2 yds to the OU 27Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Xavier Robinson run for 9 yds to the OU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Xavier Robinson run for 4 yds to the OU 40Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+46
99.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Xavier Robinson for 46 yds to the ME 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
100.0%
Xavier Robinson run for 5 yds to the ME 9Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+5
100.0%
Xavier Robinson run for 5 yds to the ME 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Xavier Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Evans KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEDrive 23END OF GAME
24 plays · 67 yds · 6:120% → 0%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Tavion Banks run for no gain to the ME 25Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Anthony Harris pass complete to Michael Monios for 10 yds to the ME 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
100.0%
Brian Santana-Fis run for 6 yds to the ME 41Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
Brian Santana-Fis run for 2 yds to the ME 43Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+12
100.0%
Brian Santana-Fis run for 12 yds to the OU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
100.0%
Anthony Harris sacked by Davon Sears for a loss of 7 yards to the ME 48Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 17
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Anthony Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 17
OWN 48
+10
100.0%
Anthony Harris run for 10 yds to the OU 42Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 7
OPP 42
+7
100.0%
Anthony Harris pass complete to Michael Monios for 7 yds to the OU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Symon Sathler run for no gain to the OU 35Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
100.0%
(01:18) Shotgun Harris,Anthony pass intercepted by Powers III,Reggie at OU03, End Of Play PENALTY OU Roughing The Passer (Okoye,Danny) 15 yards from OU35 to OU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-6
100.0%
Anthony Harris pass complete to Nick Laughlin for a loss of 6 yards to the OU 26Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 16
OPP 26
+8
100.0%
Anthony Harris run for 8 yds to the OU 18Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Anthony Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+10
100.0%
Anthony Harris pass complete to Trevin Ewing for 10 yds to the OU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Anthony Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Anthony Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Anthony Harris pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:16
Jackson Arnold pass complete to J.J. Hester for 90 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)
+2.2
TD · Q2 6:46
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 0:34
Jovantae Barnes run for 8 yds for a TD (Zach Schmit KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com