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UGA

Georgia 30 at Texas 15

TEX
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:23 · Quinn Ewers sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 44 Quinn Ewers fumbled, forced by Mykel Williams, recovered by UGA Damon Wilson II , return for 0 yards
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Home team on offense−26.0Score differential−13.9Garbage-time factor−11.2Pregame prior+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:06: Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +5.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:30: Trevor Etienne run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +14.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:57: Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Ewers pass to Isaiah Bond for Two-Point Conversion) — TEX win probability +10.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:12: Jaydon Blue 17 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick) — TEX win probability +12.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:04: Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +9.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 10UGA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 14:00UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:39TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:19TEX 4th & 9 at UGA 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    62.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:29TEX 4th & 17 at TEX 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−3.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:46UGA 4th & 8 at TEX 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:34TEX 4th & 14 at TEX 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:43UGA 4th & 8 at TEX 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:55TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 48, down 20
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:43UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 29, up 20
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00UGA 4th & 6 at TEX 26, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−6.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:06TEX 4th & 1 at UGA 46, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−9.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−5.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:08UGA 4th & 12 at UGA 35, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−3.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:22TEX 4th & 7 at UGA 31, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:04UGA 4th & 1 at TEX 1, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−4.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−13.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:23TEX 4th & 6 at UGA 42, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−1.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:27UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 46, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:26TEX 4th & 12 at UGA 29, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−2.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:13UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 40, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.7%−0.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:10TEX 4th & 6 at UGA 11, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:06UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:30UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:57TEX Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    25.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:12TEX Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:04UGA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:0039% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.6%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
60.6%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q1 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q1 14:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
60.7%
Brett Thorson punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:2161% → 60%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
60.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 9 yds to the TEX 22Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+3
60.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 3 yds to the TEX 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Juan Davis for 5 yds to the TEX 30Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
60.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 8 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
60.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 37Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+2
60.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the TEX 39Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
60.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:39
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
60.4%
Ian Ratliff punt for 44 yds, downed at the UGA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4840% → 40%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
60.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 6 yds to the UGA 23Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 4
OWN 23
0
60.4%
Carson Beck pass intercepted Andrew Mukuba return for no gain to the UGA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:3261% → 60%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
61.2%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion WisnerSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
61.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 1 yd to the UGA 41Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+5
61.0%
Georgia Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins) to the UGA 36Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-5
61.1%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Matthew Golden) to the UGA 41Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
60.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
60.3%
Ian Ratliff punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5INT
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:4540% → 41%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
60.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 7 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+18
59.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 18 yds to the UGA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
59.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 21 yds to the TEX 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
59.0%
Nate Frazier run for 1 yd to the TEX 33Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
58.9%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to London HumphreysSimilar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+13
59.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 13 yds to the TEX 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
58.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Anthony Evans III for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 21Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+3
58.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 3 yds to the TEX 18Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
58.9%
Carson Beck pass intercepted Jahdae Barron return for no gain to the TEX 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5260% → 60%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
59.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TEX 8Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+15
59.7%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Wingo, Ryan, PENALTY UGA pass interference (Everette, Daylen) 15 yards to the TEX23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
60.2%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 27Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+1
60.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the TEX 28Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 5
OWN 28
-15
59.9%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Daylen Everette for a loss of 15 yards to the TEX 13 Quinn Ewers fumbled, forced by Daylen Everette, recovered by UGA Daylen Everette , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:3643% → 49%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
57.3%
Dillon Bell run for 5 yds to the TEX 8Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+6
57.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 6 yds to the TEX 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
57.0%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Lawson LuckieSimilar
Q1 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
51.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:3153% → 51%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
53.1%
Quinn Ewers run for 3 yds to the TEX 11Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
53.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 7
OWN 11
-9
52.4%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Jalon Walker for a loss of 9 yards to the TEX 2Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 16
OWN 2
-1
51.4%
Texas Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-1 Yards) to the TEX 1Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 17
OWN 1
+19
51.3%
Ian Ratliff punt for 46 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 19 yds to the TEX 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:4350% → 51%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
50.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Lawson Luckie for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 31Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+6
50.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 6 yds to the TEX 25Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+8
50.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 8 yds to the TEX 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
49.3%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
49.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 2 yds to the TEX 15Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
49.1%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
49.0%
Peyton Woodring 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4748% → 47%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.4%
Ryan Niblett run for 5 yds to the TEX 30Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
48.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion WisnerSimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
47.4%
Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Daylen Everette return for no gain to the TEX 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 1:2953% → 67%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
47.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 2 yds to the TEX 32Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+17
46.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 17 yds to the TEX 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
33.0%
Trevor Etienne run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5638% → 37%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
38.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 24Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
38.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for no gain to the TEX 24Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-3
37.7%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Jalon Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 21Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+2
36.5%
Ian Ratliff punt for 36 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 2 yds to the UGA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:5168% → 75%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
32.0%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
32.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Anthony Evans III for 9 yds to the TEX 46Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+14
31.2%
Trevor Etienne run for 14 yds to the TEX 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
30.2%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
30.2%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the TEX 30Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
29.9%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
24.6%
Peyton Woodring 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:4828% → 27%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.1%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to Quintrevion WisnerSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
27.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the TEX 30Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
27.2%
Arch Manning run for no gain to the TEX 30 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Mykel Williams) to the TEX 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
28.8%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
28.5%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Cameron Williams) to the TEX 40Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+8
27.3%
Arch Manning pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 8 yds to the TEX 48Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
27.8%
Arch Manning pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.Similar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
27.0%
Ian Ratliff punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1279% → 81%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
21.5%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the UGA 20Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
21.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
20.2%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the UGA 29Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-2
19.5%
Brett Thorson punt for 49 yds , Silas Bolden returns for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:1830% → 31%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
30.2%
Arch Manning run for 21 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
31.6%
Arch Manning pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 3 yds to the TEX 44Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+8
30.1%
Arch Manning pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 8 yds to the UGA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-11
32.0%
Arch Manning sacked by Jalon Walker for a loss of 11 yards to the TEX 41Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 21
OWN 41
-11
30.5%
Arch Manning sacked by Damon Wilson II for a loss of 11 yards to the TEX 30 Arch Manning fumbled, forced by Damon Wilson II, recovered by UGA Jalon Walker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17END OF HALF
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:2584% → 85%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
15.7%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 4 yds to the TEX 26Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
15.9%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Trevor EtienneSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
16.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for no gain to the TEX 26Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
14.7%
Peyton Woodring 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:0225% → 31%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
24.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TEX 48Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+3
24.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+3
22.1%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the UGA 46Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+7
21.2%
Ryan Wingo run for 7 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
21.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 24 yds to the UGA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
22.5%
Wisner, Quintrevion rush for loss of 1 yard to the UGA16, PENALTY UGA face mask (Wilson II, Damon) 8 yards to the UGA7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q3 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
22.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for no gain to the UGA 7Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
20.1%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 0
OPP 7
+5
20.1%
Ewers, Quinn pass incomplete to Golden, Matthew, PENALTY UGA pass interference (Bolden, KJ) 5 yards to the UGA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEX.Similar
Q3 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
30.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Ewers pass to Isaiah Bond for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:4976% → 79%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
24.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
22.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the UGA 32Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
22.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 5 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
20.9%
Carson Beck sacked by Anthony Hill Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 35Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
21.0%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
21.3%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
21.5%
Brett Thorson punt for 55 yds , Silas Bolden returns for no gain to the TEX 35 Texas Penalty, Offensive Holding (Warren Roberson) to the TEX 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:4624% → 22%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+34
23.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 34 yds to the TEX 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
25.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Juan Davis for 4 yds to the TEX 43Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+10
25.3%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 10 yds to the UGA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
25.4%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+9
25.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 9 yds to the UGA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
25.2%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jaydon BlueSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
25.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 5 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-2
24.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 31Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 7
OPP 31
0
21.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:2283% → 84%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
17.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the UGA 25Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+6
16.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 6 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-36
16.5%
Carson Beck pass intercepted for a 1ST down Jahdae Barron return for 36 yds to the UGA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:4823% → 35%
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-8
22.7%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the UGA 17Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
35.3%
Jaydon Blue 17 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 5:0371% → 90%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
28.9%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the UGA 11Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
28.4%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+21
29.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 21 yds to the UGA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+43
26.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 43 yds to the TEX 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
22.9%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the TEX 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+9
22.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 9 yds to the TEX 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
22.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 1 yd to the TEX 13 for a 1ST down Texas Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (Barryn Sorrell) to the TEX 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
21.3%
Carson Beck run for 5 yds to the TEX 1Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
19.7%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the TEX 1Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
19.2%
Carson Beck run for no gain to the TEX 1Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24FUMBLE
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:3614% → 11%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+34
13.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 19 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Personal Foul (Dan Jackson) to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
15.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 3 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
15.7%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+6
15.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 6 yds to the UGA 37Similar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-5
13.5%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Helm) to the UGA 42Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 6
OPP 42
-2
11.1%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Mykel Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 44 Quinn Ewers fumbled, forced by Mykel Williams, recovered by UGA Damon Wilson II , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5693% → 93%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
7.0%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Oscar DelpSimilar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
7.1%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to London HumphreysSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+2
7.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 2 yds to the UGA 46Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
7.5%
Brett Thorson punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:019% → 7%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
8.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the TEX 24Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
8.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 4 yds to the TEX 28Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
7.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 3 yds to the TEX 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
7.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Quintrevion WisnerSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+23
7.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 23 yds to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
8.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+19
8.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 4 yds to the UGA 42 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Personal Foul (Joenel Aguero) to the UGA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
9.1%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Cameron Williams) to the UGA 32Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 15
OPP 32
0
8.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+3
7.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 3 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
7.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jaydon BlueSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+10
6.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 10 yds to the UGA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 27DOWNS
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:1395% → 98%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
4.9%
Nate Frazier run for 5 yds to the UGA 24Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
4.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the UGA 26Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+5
3.9%
Carson Beck run for 5 yds to the UGA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
3.2%
Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the UGA 34Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-2
2.9%
Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 32Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+8
2.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 8 yds to the UGA 40Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
2.0%
Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the UGA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:033% → 3%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
3.1%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew GoldenSimilar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
3.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 7 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+18
3.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 18 yds to the UGA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
3.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to DeAndre Moore Jr.Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
3.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 4 yds to the UGA 11Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
2.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ryan WingoSimilar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 6
OPP 11
0
2.6%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3598% → 99%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 10Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 11
OWN 10
-1
1.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:30
Trevor Etienne run for 15 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
-14
TD · Q3 2:12
Jaydon Blue 17 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)
+12.6
TD · Q3 10:57
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Ewers pass to Isaiah Bond for Two-Point Conversion)
+10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com