Try the model
SC

South Carolina 35 at Oklahoma 9

OU
2024 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:06 · J.Arnold rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by R.Porter at OKL 35.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingRule era
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 13:57: R.Sanders rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Kanak at OKL 22. — SC win probability +4.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:10: A.Herrera 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-H.Rogers, Holder-K.Kroeger. — SC win probability +2.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:20: Z.Schmit 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-B.Anderson, Holder-J.Plaster. — SC win probability +1.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:00: L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by J.Simon for 33 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — SC win probability +4.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:39: J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by B.Thompson for 54 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — OU win probability +4.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 7:36OU 4th & 15 at OU 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:31SC 4th & 23 at SC 47, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:09OU 4th & 18 at OU 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:17SC 4th & 9 at SC 33, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:05OU 4th & 4 at OU 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:10SC 4th & 6 at OU 21, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:24SC 4th & 10 at SC 43, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:20OU 4th & 18 at SC 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−2.0
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:23OU 4th & 17 at OU 33, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:04SC 4th & 9 at OU 20, up 29
    Close callWent for it · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:11SC 4th & 26 at SC 49, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:19SC 4th & 15 at SC 43, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:38OU 4th & 6 at OU 21, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:52SC 4th & 4 at SC 41, up 23
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:52SC 4th & 4 at OU 15, up 23
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:23OU 4th & 16 at SC 47, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:41OU 4th & 10 at SC 29, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:06OU 4th & 6 at OU 32, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:39SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:00SC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
50.9%
M.Hawkins pass INTERCEPTED at OKL 39. Intercepted by N.Emmanwori at OKL 39. Tackled by at OKL 41.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:0749% → 50%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+25
50.9%
L.Sellers rushed for 25 yards. Tackled by D.Stutsman at OKL 16.Similar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
50.9%
R.Sanders rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by K.Lewis at OKL 9.Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+2
50.9%
L.Sellers rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by E.Downs at OKL 7.Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+4
51.0%
R.Sanders rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by B.Bowman, R.Spears-Jennings at OKL 3.Similar
Q1 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
50.1%
R.Sanders rushed for 3 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:0050% → 50%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
50.4%
M.Hawkins pass complete. Catch made by J.Hester for 11 yards. Tackled by J.Collier, N.Emmanwori at OKL 46.Similar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
50.5%
M.Hawkins pass complete. Catch made by J.Roberts for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Knight, J.Kilgore at SC 49.Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-15
49.8%
M.Hawkins steps back to pass. Sacked at OKL 36 for -15 yards (D.Knight). M.Hawkins FUMBLES, forced by D.Knight. Fumble RECOVERED by SC-T.Hemingway at OKL 36. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:3550% → 48%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
49.5%
J.Barnes rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by B.Martin-Scott at OKL 32.Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
49.4%
J.Barnes rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Stewart at OKL 37.Similar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
49.2%
J.Barnes rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by B.Martin-Scott, A.Huntley at OKL 36.Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+2
49.1%
M.Hawkins pass complete. Catch made by B.Sharp for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Martin-Scott at OKL 38.Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
47.6%
M.Hawkins pass INTERCEPTED at SC 35. Intercepted by N.Emmanwori at SC 35. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:4847% → 43%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
46.8%
J.Barnes rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Sanders, J.Geer at OKL 15.Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+11
45.5%
J.Barnes rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by D.Smith, J.Kilgore at OKL 26.Similar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
44.1%
J.Barnes rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Geer at OKL 26.Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
43.6%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Hester.Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-5
43.5%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Sacked at OKL 21 for -5 yards (B.Martin-Scott).Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 15
OWN 21
+59
43.1%
L.Elzinga punts 59 yards to SC 20, Center-B.Anderson. Fair catch by J.McDowell.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:5859% → 62%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
41.5%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Sacked at SC 18 for -2 yards (J.Jackson).Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+7
40.9%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by G.Larvadain for 7 yards. Tackled by E.Bowen at SC 25.Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+15
40.2%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by V.Jacobs for 15 yards. Tackled by R.Spears-Jennings at SC 40.Similar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
39.1%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for M.Bennett.Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
39.0%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by M.Bennett for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Ford at SC 42.Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 28
OWN 42
+5
38.6%
L.Sellers rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Stutsman, C.Woullard at SC 47.Similar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 23
OWN 47
+53
38.2%
K.Kroeger punts 53 yards to OKL End Zone, Center-H.Rogers. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:0940% → 37%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
40.0%
J.Barnes rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Williams at OKL 21.Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
39.4%
J.Barnes rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Knight at OKL 27.Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
39.2%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for B.Thompson. PENALTY on SC-J.Collier, Defensive Pass Interference, 2 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
39.1%
J.Arnold rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by G.Edmond, D.Williams at OKL 30.Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
38.5%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Hester.Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-9
38.1%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Sacked at OKL 21 for -9 yards (B.Thomas). J.Arnold FUMBLES, forced by B.Thomas. Fumble RECOVERED by OKL-F.Nwaiwu at OKL 21.Similar
Q1 2:09
4TH & 18
OWN 21
+45
37.0%
L.Elzinga punts 45 yards to SC 34, Center-B.Anderson. J.McDowell returned punt from the SC 34. Tackled by O.Heinecke, J.Kanak at SC 32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4366% → 66%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
34.1%
O.Adaway rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Lewis, D.Williams at SC 33.Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
33.5%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for N.Harbor.Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
33.9%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for O.Adaway.Similar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 9
OWN 33
+55
34.0%
K.Kroeger punts 55 yards to OKL 12, Center-H.Rogers. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:0436% → 34%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
36.1%
T.Tatum rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by P.Williams at OKL 15.Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+6
35.8%
T.Tatum rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Williams, N.Barrett at OKL 21.Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+3
35.5%
T.Tatum rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Knight, P.Williams at OKL 24.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
35.1%
J.Barnes rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Smith, D.Knight at OKL 28.Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+2
34.5%
J.Barnes rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Kennard, A.Huntley at OKL 30.Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
34.3%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for B.Sharp.Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 4
OWN 30
-5
34.0%
L.Elzinga pass complete. Catch made by B.Sharp for -5 yards. Tackled by D.Knight at OKL 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4771% → 74%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
29.1%
R.Sanders rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Kanak at OKL 22.Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-8
28.2%
R.Sanders rushed for -8 yards. Tackled by T.Ford, A.Adebawore at OKL 30.Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 15
OPP 30
+9
28.8%
L.Sellers rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by P.Bowen at OKL 21.Similar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 6
OPP 21
0
26.2%
A.Herrera 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-H.Rogers, Holder-K.Kroeger.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5977% → 77%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
23.0%
R.Sanders rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Lewis at SC 44.Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-1
22.2%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by J.Simon for -1 yards. Tackled by S.Omosigho at SC 43.Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
22.4%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Simon.Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+57
22.9%
K.Kroeger punts 57 yards to OKL End Zone, Center-H.Rogers. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:5826% → 24%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
26.2%
J.Barnes rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Kilgore at OKL 24. PENALTY on OKL-J.Sexton, Personal Foul / Offense, 12 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 16
OWN 12
0
25.6%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Hester.Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 16
OWN 12
+10
25.4%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Jordan for 10 yards. Tackled by D.Knight at OKL 22.Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+9
25.8%
J.Arnold rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by D.Smith at OKL 31.Similar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+27
26.0%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Jordan for 27 yards. Tackled by J.Collier at SC 42.Similar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
27.2%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Jordan for 5 yards. Tackled by N.Emmanwori at SC 37.Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+18
27.0%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by T.Tatum for 18 yards. Tackled by D.Williams at SC 19.Similar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
27.2%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Carreon.Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
26.8%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-8
26.2%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Sacked at SC 27 for -8 yards (T.Hemingway).Similar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 18
OPP 27
0
24.3%
Z.Schmit 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-B.Anderson, Holder-J.Plaster.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1780% → 90%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
19.8%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by V.Jacobs for 20 yards. Tackled by P.Bowen, L.Carter at SC 45.Similar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
18.4%
O.Adaway rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Stutsman at SC 49.Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+1
18.1%
O.Adaway rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Jackson, D.Stutsman at SC 50.Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 5
OPP 0
0
17.6%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for G.Larvadain.Similar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 5
OPP 0
0
18.7%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for G.Larvadain. PENALTY on OKL-R.Thomas, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
17.4%
R.Sanders rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Stutsman, D.Williams at OKL 43.Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+7
17.2%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by R.Sanders for 7 yards. Tackled by K.Walker at OKL 36.Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
16.9%
R.Sanders rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by G.Halton at OKL 33.Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
10.1%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by J.Simon for 33 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:3111% → 10%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
10.7%
J.Arnold rushed for 15 yards. J.Arnold FUMBLES, forced by D.Knight. Fumble RECOVERED by OKL-J.Arnold at OKL 40. Tackled by SC at OKL 40.Similar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
11.2%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for B.Thompson.Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
10.7%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for B.Sharp.Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-7
10.6%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Sacked at OKL 33 for -7 yards (T.Sanders).Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 17
OWN 33
+37
10.3%
L.Elzinga punts 37 yards to SC 30, Center-B.Anderson. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 1:1090% → 93%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
9.6%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by J.Simon for 10 yards. Tackled by K.Lewis, D.Stutsman at SC 40.Similar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
9.3%
L.Sellers rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by B.Bowman at SC 47.Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
7.6%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for V.Jacobs.Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
7.8%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by V.Jacobs for 5 yards. Tackled by E.Bowen at OKL 48.Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+27
7.9%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by O.Adaway for 27 yards. Tackled by K.Lewis at OKL 21.Similar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
7.6%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by J.Simon for 1 yards. Tackled by S.Omosigho, D.Stutsman at OKL 20.Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-8
7.3%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Sacked at OKL 28 for -8 yards (R.Thomas; R.Spears-Jennings).Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 9
OPP 20
0
7.5%
K.Kroeger steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:4993% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
7.1%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by N.Harbor for 14 yards. Tackled by K.Walker at SC 39.Similar
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
6.7%
R.Sanders rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Spears-Jennings, D.Williams at SC 40.Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+25
6.5%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by M.Smith for 25 yards. Pushed out of bounds by R.Spears-Jennings at OKL 35.Similar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
5.9%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by V.Jacobs for 0 yards. Tackled by E.Bowen at OKL 35.Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
5.7%
L.Sellers rushed for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by OKL at OKL 28.Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 13
OPP 38
0
5.2%
PENALTY on SC-N.Harbor, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 18
OPP 43
-8
5.0%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Sacked at SC 49 for -8 yards (G.Halton).Similar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 26
OWN 49
+41
5.3%
K.Kroeger punts 41 yards to OKL 10, Center-H.Rogers. Fair catch by P.Bowen.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 3:255% → 8%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
4.6%
J.Barnes rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by N.Emmanwori at OKL 15.Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+1
4.5%
J.Arnold rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Hemingway at OKL 16.Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+23
4.5%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Hester for 23 yards. Tackled by J.Collier at OKL 39.Similar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
4.5%
J.Barnes rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Knight at OKL 45.Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
4.2%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by B.Thompson for 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Collier at OKL 50.Similar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 0
-5
5.3%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Sacked at OKL 45 for -5 yards (J.Geer).Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+1
3.9%
J.Arnold rushed for 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Smith at OKL 46.Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+54
8.2%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by B.Thompson for 54 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 4:0794% → 96%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
6.2%
R.Sanders rushed for -2 yards. Tackled by D.Williams, E.Bowen at SC 21.Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+4
6.2%
L.Sellers rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Stutsman at SC 25.Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+11
5.5%
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by M.Bennett for 11 yards. Tackled by R.Spears-Jennings at SC 36.Similar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
5.2%
R.Sanders rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by P.Bowen at SC 41.Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
4.9%
R.Sanders rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by D.Stutsman, B.Bowman at SC 48.Similar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
4.7%
R.Sanders rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Jackson at SC 49.Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+4
4.4%
L.Sellers rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by K.McKinzie at OKL 47.Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
4.0%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for M.Smith.Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+5
4.4%
PENALTY on SC-SC, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
4.4%
PENALTY on SC-B.Mack, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 15
OWN 43
+41
4.4%
K.Kroeger punts 41 yards to OKL 16, Center-H.Rogers. P.Bowen returned punt from the OKL 16. Tackled by M.Goodwine at OKL 17.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:315% → 5%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
5.4%
T.Tatum rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by N.Emmanwori, B.Martin-Scott at OKL 21.Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
5.2%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Hester.Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
5.2%
J.Arnold rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Martin-Scott at OKL 21. PENALTY on OKL-OKL, Personal Foul / Offense, 15 yards, declined.Similar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+47
5.2%
L.Elzinga punts 47 yards to SC 32, Center-B.Anderson. Fair catch by J.Kilgore.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:194% → 4%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
4.3%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Barnes.Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
4.3%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Hester for 9 yards. Tackled by D.Spaulding at OKL 35.Similar
Q3 0:06
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
4.4%
J.Barnes rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Geer, D.Williams at OKL 37.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5897% → 98%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
2.8%
J.McDowell rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Stutsman at SC 37.Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-9
2.5%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Sacked at SC 28 for -9 yards (E.Downs).Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+13
2.5%
J.McDowell rushed for 13 yards. Tackled by B.Bowman, D.McCullough at SC 41.Similar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+55
2.2%
K.Kroeger punts 55 yards to OKL 4, Center-H.Rogers. D.Jordan returned punt from the OKL 4. Tackled by G.Kilgore, C.Bryant at OKL 10.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:343% → 2%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
2.5%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Barnes for 3 yards. Tackled by F.Johnson, B.Martin-Scott at OKL 13.Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-9
2.3%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Sacked at OKL 4 for -9 yards (G.Edmond).Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 16
OWN 4
+17
2.2%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Barnes for 17 yards. J.Barnes FUMBLES, forced by R.Porter. Fumble RECOVERED by SC-B.Martin-Scott at OKL 21. Tackled by OKL at OKL 21.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3398% → 100%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
1.7%
R.Sanders rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Jackson, D.Stutsman at OKL 19.Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
1.6%
L.Sellers steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for SC.Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+4
1.7%
R.Sanders rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by K.McKinzie at OKL 15.Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 4
OPP 15
0
0.5%
A.Herrera 33 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-H.Rogers, Holder-K.Kroeger.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24DOWNS
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:070% → 0%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
0.3%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Jordan for 18 yards. Tackled by V.Swain at OKL 43.Similar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
0.3%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Jordan for 8 yards. Tackled by B.Martin-Scott at SC 49.Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
0.3%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Hester for 1 yards. J.Hester FUMBLES, forced by B.Martin-Scott. Fumble RECOVERED by OKL-J.Hester at SC 44. Tackled by SC at SC 48.Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+7
0.3%
J.Barnes rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by F.Johnson, N.Emmanwori at SC 41.Similar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
0.3%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Sacked at SC 49 for -8 yards (D.Stewart).Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+2
0.3%
J.Barnes rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Martin-Scott at SC 47.Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 16
OPP 47
0
0.2%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for Z.Kearney.Similar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 16
OPP 47
+18
0.2%
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by J.Jordan for 18 yards. Tackled by N.Emmanwori at SC 29.Similar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.3%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Jordan.Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
0.3%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for B.Sharp.Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
0.3%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Hester.Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 10
OPP 29
0
0.2%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for Z.Kearney.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
0.2%
K.Hicks rushed for 4 yards. K.Hicks FUMBLES, forced by D.Bucey. Fumble RECOVERED by OKL-L.Howland at OKL 32. Tackled by SC at OKL 32.Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
0.1%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for I.Carreon.Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
0.1%
J.Arnold steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Jordan.Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+3
0.1%
J.Arnold rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by R.Porter at OKL 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 13:57
R.Sanders rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Kanak at OKL 22.
-4.9
TD · Q2 2:00
L.Sellers pass complete. Catch made by J.Simon for 33 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
-4.7
TD · Q3 7:39
J.Arnold pass complete. Catch made by B.Thompson for 54 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com