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MIZ

Missouri 45 at Massachusetts 3

MASS
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:46 · Kewan Lacy run for 2 yds to the MIZ 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior−17.8Home team on offense−53.2Score differential−32.8Garbage-time factor−14.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:15: Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:02: Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:00: Jacob Lurie 28 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +1.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Blake Craig 42 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:09: Marcus Carroll run for 35 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 8 of 10MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:25MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:39MASS 4th & 8 at MIZ 38, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:00MASS 4th & 5 at MIZ 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:59MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 40, up 18
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:44MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:37MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:42MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:27MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:29MIZ 4th & 13 at MIZ 44, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:05MASS 4th & 18 at MASS 15, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:46MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 26, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:20MIZ 4th & 7 at MASS 47, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:16MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:54MIZ 4th & 23 at MIZ 25, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:03MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:15MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:02MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:09MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:30MIZ Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:24MIZ Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:4497% → 97%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
3.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+61
3.4%
Luther Burden III run for 61 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:194% → 4%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
3.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
3.5%
CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+1
3.6%
CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 39Similar
Q1 12:25
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
3.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 7:1096% → 96%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
3.7%
(12:24) PENALTY Mizzou False Start (Muckey,Logan) 5 yards from Mizzou20 to Mizzou15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+7
3.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 7 yds to the MIZ 22Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
3.8%
Brady Cook run for 15 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
3.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MIZ 38Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+14
4.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 14 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
4.0%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the MASS 48Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
4.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 8 yds to the MASS 40Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
4.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
4.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 10 yds to the MASS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
4.4%
Brady Cook run for 11 yds to the MASS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
4.5%
Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MASS 13Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+5
4.5%
(06:41) Shotgun Cook,Brady pass incomplete short left to Cooper,Mookie thrown to UMass00 PENALTY UMass Offside (Hudson,Jaylen) 5 yards from UMass13 to UMass08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+1
4.6%
Jamal Roberts run for 1 yd to the MASS 7Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+4
4.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MASS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:304% → 5%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
4.4%
CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+19
4.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 19 yds to the MASS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
4.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
4.8%
CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 49Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+11
4.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 11 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
4.8%
Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
5.0%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MIZ 32Similar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-5
5.0%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Campbell,Brandon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Mizzou31 (McClellan,Chris) PENALTY UMass False Start (Harding,T.Y.) 5 yards from Mizzou32 to Mizzou37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-1
5.0%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Chris McClellan for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 38Similar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
5.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:5895% → 96%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
4.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 15 yds to the MIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
4.8%
Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
4.8%
Kewan Lacy run for 3 yds to the MIZ 42Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+28
4.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 28 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST down Massachusetts Penalty, (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
4.8%
Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd to the MASS 29Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+10
4.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 10 yds to the MASS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
4.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the MASS 10Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+6
4.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 6 yds to the MASS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
3.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:536% → 6%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
6.1%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun pass incomplete short right thrown to UMass35 PENALTY Mizzou Holding (Norwood,Dreyden) 10 yards from UMass25 to UMass35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
6.0%
Taisun Phommachanh run for no gain to the MASS 35Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
3.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 14 yds to the MASS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
3.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 18 yds to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-6
4.0%
Massachusetts Penalty, (Yards) to the MIZ 39Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+6
4.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 6 yds to the MIZ 33Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+18
4.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 18 yds to the MIZ 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
3.9%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the MIZ 11Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
3.6%
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the MIZ 10Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
3.8%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
5.5%
Jacob Lurie 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4895% → 95%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
5.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the MIZ 14Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+4
5.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 4 yds to the MIZ 18Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+16
5.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 16 yds to the MIZ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
5.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
5.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+6
5.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 6 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
Q2 2:59
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
4.8%
Luke Bauer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8INT
11 plays · 76 yds · 2:407% → 8%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
6.8%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 15 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
6.9%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
6.8%
CJ Hester run for 8 yds to the MASS 38Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
5.3%
Taisun Phommachanh run for 1 yd to the MASS 39Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+39
5.4%
Te'Rai Powell run for 39 yds to the MIZ 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
7.9%
CJ Hester run for 13 yds to the MIZ 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
8.4%
CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the MIZ 7Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
7.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 9Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
8.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted Corey Flagg Jr. return for no gain to the MASS 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FG
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0197% → 98%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
3.0%
Brady Cook sacked by Shambre Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the MASS 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 20
OPP 25
+42
2.2%
Blake Craig 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:124% → 4%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
4.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 10 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
4.2%
CJ Hester run for no gain to the MASS 35Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-15
4.1%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Phommachanh,Taisun rush right for 4 yards gain to the UMass39 (Jacobs,Khalil) PENALTY UMass Personal Foul (Mottinger,Ethan) 15 yards from UMass35 to UMass20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 25
OWN 20
+12
4.1%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 12 yds to the MASS 32Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
4.0%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 13
OWN 32
0
4.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:1997% → 99%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
2.7%
Luther Burden III run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 3
50
+3
2.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
2.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the MASS 38Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
2.4%
Marcus Carroll run for 3 yds to the MASS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
2.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
1.0%
Marcus Carroll run for 35 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.7%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 11 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
0.7%
Cookie Desiderio run for 1 yd to the MASS 37Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
0.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-5
0.6%
PENALTY UMass False Start (Terlaak,Wyatt) 5 yards from UMass37 to UMass32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
0.6%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
0.6%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13TD
1 play · 63 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
0.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for 63 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.5%
Taisun Phommachanh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.5%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Williams Nwaneri for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 23Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
0.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 29 yds , Daniel Blood returns for no gain to the MIZ 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:41100% → 99%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
0.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Kewan Lacy for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 44Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
0.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
0.6%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
0.8%
Luke Bauer punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 3:170% → 0%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
0.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MASS 11Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+12
0.4%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Brandon Campbell for 12 yds to the MASS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
0.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MASS 25Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-12
0.4%
Taisun Phommachanh sacked by Marcus Clarke for a loss of 12 yards to the MASS 13 Taisun Phommachanh fumbled, recovered by MIZ Brandon Campbell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 20
OWN 13
+2
0.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the MASS 15Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 18
OWN 15
0
0.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 4 yds to the MASS 44Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+36
0.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 36 yds to the MASS 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 8 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to CJ Hester for 3 yds to the MASS 28Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
0.2%
Cookie Desiderio run for 2 yds to the MASS 30Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
0.1%
CJ Hester run for 3 yds to the MASS 33Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+6
0.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 56 yds , Daniel Blood returns for 6 yds to the MIZ 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 6:17100% → 100%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
0.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 6 yds to the MIZ 23Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+2
0.3%
Kewan Lacy run for 2 yds to the MIZ 21Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+5
0.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Joshua Manning for 5 yds to the MIZ 26Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+2
0.3%
Kewan Lacy run for 2 yds to the MIZ 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
0.3%
Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the MIZ 32Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
0.2%
Kewan Lacy run for 4 yds to the MIZ 36Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
0.2%
Jamal Roberts run for 3 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
0.2%
Tavorus Jones run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
50
+3
0.2%
Tavorus Jones run for 3 yds to the MASS 47Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
0.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Tyler Stephens for no gain to the MASS 47Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
0.2%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
0.2%
Luke Bauer punt for 26 yds, fair catch by T.Y. Harding at the MASS 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
0.1%
Ahmad Haston run for 5 yds to the MASS 26Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
0.1%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the MASS 29Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+4
0.1%
Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the MASS 25Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+1
0.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 yds , Daniel Blood returns for 1 yd to the MIZ 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
0.1%
PENALTY Mizzou False Start (Chandler,Talan) 5 yards from Mizzou38 to Mizzou33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+2
0.2%
Drew Pyne run for 2 yds to the MIZ 31Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+6
0.2%
Drew Pyne run for 6 yds to the MIZ 25Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 23
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 23
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Luke Bauer punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
0.1%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 8 yds to the MASS 41Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
0.0%
Cookie Desiderio run for no gain to the MASS 41Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+15
0.1%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Brandon Campbell for no gain to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST down Missouri Penalty, (15 Yards) to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
0.1%
Ahmad Haston run for 2 yds to the MIZ 42Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
0.1%
Ahmad Haston pass complete to Cookie Desiderio for 2 yds Cookie Desiderio fumbled, recovered by MIZ Shamar McNeilSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 27 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
0.1%
Tavorus Jones run for 2 yds to the MIZ 47Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+14
0.1%
Tavorus Jones run for 14 yds to the MASS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
0.1%
Tavorus Jones run for 3 yds to the MASS 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+8
0.1%
Tavorus Jones run for 8 yds to the MASS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 6:00
Jacob Lurie 28 yd FG GOOD
+1.6
TD · Q3 10:09
Marcus Carroll run for 35 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)
-1.3
TD · Q2 11:02
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com