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VAN

Vanderbilt 20 at Kentucky 13

UK
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:50 · Aidan Laros punt for 41 yds, downed at the VAN 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior+29.1Home team on offense+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:13: Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 18 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +12.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 8:47: Brock Taylor 50 yd FG GOOD — VAN win probability +7.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:02: Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UK win probability +17.4 pts (now 36%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:02: Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30 — VAN win probability +13.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59: Kneel down by PAVIA, Diego at UK42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:59. — VAN win probability +7.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 5VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:50UK 4th & 17 at VAN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    79.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 2:33VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:41UK 4th & 10 at UK 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−1.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  4. Q3 7:51VAN 4th & 4 at UK 31, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%−1.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 5:19UK 4th & 1 at VAN 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    35.6%−4.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 1:50UK 4th & 5 at VAN 5, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    33.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−12.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 8:47VAN 4th & 16 at UK 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−2.8
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:38VAN 4th & 24 at VAN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−4.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:06UK 4th & 21 at UK 41, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:50VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:42UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:13VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:02UK Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    24.1%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    24.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 5:1082% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.5%
Brock Vandagriff run for no gain to the UK 25Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.4%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 9 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
81.2%
Brock Vandagriff run for 3 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
81.1%
(13:26) WIMSATT, Gavin pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the VANDY16, clock 13:19. PENALTY VANDY Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Kolbey enforced 15 yards to the VANDY48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
81.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the VAN 48Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
81.0%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 9 yds to the VAN 39Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
80.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
80.8%
(11:26) BROWN, Barion rush to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the VANDY25 (HIGHT, Martel), clock 11:19. PENALTY UK Holding on MINCEY, Gerald enforced 10 yards from the VANDY37 to the VANDY47 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+8
80.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 8 yds to the VAN 39Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 12
OPP 39
-15
80.5%
Kentucky Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dane Key) to the VAN 44Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 17
OPP 44
0
80.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
80.0%
Aidan Laros punt for 41 yds, downed at the VAN 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2TD
9 plays · 97 yds · 4:5220% → 25%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
80.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 6Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+9
80.0%
Moni Jones run for 9 yds to the VAN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
79.6%
(08:41) PAVIA, Diego pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SHERRILL, Junior thrown to the VANDY37; QB hurried by DUMAS-JOHNSON, Jamon, clock 08:33. PENALTY UK Roughing the Passer on DUMAS-JOHNSON, Jamon enforced 15 yards from the VANDY15 to the VANDY30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
79.5%
Diego Pavia run for no gain to the VAN 30Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
79.4%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VAN 35Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+14
79.1%
Diego Pavia run for 14 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+31
78.3%
Diego Pavia run for 31 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
77.7%
Diego Pavia run for no gain to the UK 20Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
74.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to AJ Newberry for 20 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 6:0276% → 78%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
75.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+9
75.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 9 yds to the UK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
75.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 8 yds to the UK 44Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+15
75.4%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Personal Foul (Glenn Seabrooks III) to the VAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
75.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 7 yds to the VAN 31Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
75.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 6 yds to the VAN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
75.0%
(01:33) BROWN, Barion rush to the right for no gain to the VANDY25 (WRIGHT, De'Rickey;KOLLIE, Prince), clock 01:27. PENALTY Before the snap, UK Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the VANDY25 to the VANDY30. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+8
74.4%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 8 yds to the VAN 22Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+8
74.5%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 8 yds to the VAN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
74.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the VAN 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+5
74.1%
Brock Vandagriff run for 5 yds to the VAN 6Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+5
73.2%
Brock Vandagriff run for 5 yds to the VAN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:5924% → 27%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
75.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 12 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
75.2%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 5 yds to the VAN 42Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
74.1%
Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the VAN 45Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+10
73.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Cole Spence for 10 yds to the UK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
73.2%
Diego Pavia pass intercepted D'Eryk Jackson return for 1 yd to the UK 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5FUMBLE
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:3876% → 77%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
76.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 6 yds to the UK 42Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-5
76.8%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Barion Brown) to the UK 37Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+10
75.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
76.7%
(09:16) QB Keeper WIMSATT, Gavin rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UK49 (LONGWELL, Bryan;THOMAS, De'Marion), clock 09:10. PENALTY UK Holding on COX, Marques enforced 10 yards from the UK47 to the UK37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
75.4%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+9
75.3%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 9 yds to the UK 46Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+20
75.1%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 20 yds to the VAN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
76.8%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the VAN 32Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-2
76.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for a loss of 2 yards Dane Key fumbled, recovered by VAN Nicholas Rinaldi N. Rinaldi return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 4:1329% → 30%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
71.0%
AJ Newberry run for 2 yds to the VAN 36Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
70.5%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the VAN 42Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
69.2%
Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
68.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 4 yds to the VAN 49Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-12
68.0%
Diego Pavia sacked by Jamon Dumas-Johnson for a loss of 12 yards to the VAN 37Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 18
OWN 37
+7
70.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 7 yds to the VAN 44Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+44
70.5%
Jesse Mirco punt for 44 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:4372% → 70%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+15
71.6%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 15 yds to the UK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
71.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
71.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
70.5%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
69.9%
Aidan Laros punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Martel Hight at the VAN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:2233% → 49%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
67.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
50
+4
65.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 4 yds to the UK 46Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
65.3%
Kentucky Penalty, Offsides (Deone Walker) to the UK 41Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+21
64.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 21 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
63.6%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
63.9%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the UK 18Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+18
51.2%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 18 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
57.9%
(00:11) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at UK33 (team loss of 2), clock 00:02.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 7:0944% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.6%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
54.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 34Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
53.3%
Eli Stowers run for 3 yds to the VAN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
52.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 15 yds to the UK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
49.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Cole Spence for 8 yds to the UK 40Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-3
48.9%
AJ Newberry run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 43Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+6
48.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to AJ Newberry for 6 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
47.5%
Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Hansen) to the UK 42Similar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+10
47.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 10 yds to the UK 32Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
45.5%
Diego Pavia run for no gain to the UK 32Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+1
46.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the UK 31Similar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+49
44.3%
Brock Taylor 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 51 yds · 5:5245% → 35%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
44.6%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 16 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
46.0%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the VAN 41Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
45.4%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 2 yds to the VAN 39Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+3
42.4%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the VAN 36Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
40.2%
Brock Vandagriff run for 2 yds to the VAN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
43.2%
Barion Brown run for 10 yds to the VAN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
42.4%
Jamarion Wilcox run for 4 yds to the VAN 20Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+7
41.7%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Personal Foul (CJ Taylor) to the VAN 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
41.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the VAN 1Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
40.6%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VAN 6Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
40.3%
Brock Vandagriff run for 1 yd to the VAN 5Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
37.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
-9
34.8%
Wilson Berry pass intercepted De'Rickey Wright return for 9 yds to the VAN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 8:0366% → 90%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
34.2%
AJ Newberry run for 5 yds to the VAN 15Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+1
33.5%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 16Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+5
33.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 5 yds to the VAN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
32.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 26Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+9
31.4%
Eli Stowers run for 9 yds to the VAN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
30.0%
Diego Pavia run for 28 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
24.1%
AJ Newberry run for 5 yds to the UK 32Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+6
22.7%
AJ Newberry run for 6 yds to the UK 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
20.2%
AJ Newberry run for no gain to the UK 26Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-1
19.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 27Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 11
OPP 27
-5
18.0%
Diego Pavia sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 32Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 16
OPP 32
+50
10.3%
Brock Taylor 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4515% → 36%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
14.6%
Brock Vandagriff run for 14 yds to the UK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
15.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
14.4%
(08:14) VANDAGRIFF, Brock sacked for a loss of 12 yards at the UK27 (OUATTARA, Yilanan), clock 08:09. PENALTY VANDY Horse Collar Tackle on OUATTARA, Yilanan enforced 15 yards from the UK39 to the VANDY46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
16.1%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the VAN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
15.7%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 14 yds to the VAN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
18.3%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
35.7%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 4:2478% → 87%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
19.0%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 29Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
17.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 16 yds to the VAN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
14.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 46Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
13.5%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-15
14.6%
Diego Pavia sacked by D'Eryk Jackson for a loss of 15 yards to the VAN 31Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 24
OWN 31
+16
13.2%
Jesse Mirco punt for 45 yds , Barion Brown returns for 16 yds to the UK 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:2020% → 13%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
19.9%
Brock Vandagriff run for 9 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+23
18.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 23 yds to the VAN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
20.9%
(02:00) VANDAGRIFF, Brock pass to the right complete for 0 yards to SUMO-KARNGBAYE, Demie caught at the VANDY48 and advanced to the VANDY48 (COWAN, Bryce), out of bounds, clock 01:55. PENALTY UK Holding on MINCEY, Gerald enforced 10 yards from the VANDY48 to the UK42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 20
OWN 42
-2
16.8%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by Nicholas Rinaldi for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 40Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 22
OWN 40
0
15.6%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 22
OWN 40
-10
14.6%
(01:35) VANDAGRIFF, Brock pass short to the left complete for 12 yards to BROWN, Barion caught at the UK41 and advanced to the VANDY48 (FONTENETTE, Randon), clock 01:23. PENALTY UK Holding on COX, Marques enforced 10 yards from the UK40 to the UK30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 32
OWN 30
+11
13.7%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds to the UK 41Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 21
OWN 41
0
12.8%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:3895% → 95%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
5.1%
Kneel down by PAVIA, Diego at UK42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:59.Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-1
4.9%
(00:55) Kneel down by PAVIA, Diego at UK43 (team loss of 1), clock 00:49.Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
4.9%
(00:21) Kneel down by TEAM at UK43 (team loss of 0), clock 00:15.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:02
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+17.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:02
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VAN 30
-13.4
TD · Q2 0:13
Diego Pavia pass complete to Richie Hoskins for 18 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)
-12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com