Try the model
SC

South Carolina 25 at Alabama 27

ALA
2024 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:31 · Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the ALA 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+42.4Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:20: Raheim Sanders 1 Yd Run (Alex Herrera Kick) — SC win probability +16.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:42: Jalen Milroe 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ALA win probability +20.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:54: Germie Bernard 34 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick) — ALA win probability +16.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:43: Nyck Harbor 31 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — SC win probability +20.0 pts (now 26%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:43: Timeout Alabama, clock 00:43 — ALA win probability +8.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:31ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:18SC 4th & 5 at SC 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:45ALA 4th & 18 at ALA 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:07SC 4th & 11 at ALA 35, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:45ALA 4th & 13 at ALA 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:10SC 4th & 9 at SC 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:37SC 4th & 9 at ALA 36, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%
    42% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:13ALA 4th & 17 at SC 42, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−3.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    55.1%−1.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:27SC 4th & 3 at SC 17, up 5
    Close callPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:08SC 4th & 15 at ALA 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−5.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:00ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:38ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:37SC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:20SC Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:42ALA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    72.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:54ALA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:43SC Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    21.0%−2.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    23.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5493% → 93%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.1%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Justice Haynes for 3 yds to the ALA 28Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
92.9%
Justice Haynes run for 4 yds to the ALA 32Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
92.8%
Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the ALA 34Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
92.7%
Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the ALA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
92.6%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 30 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+30
92.5%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Cole Adams for 30 yds to the SC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
92.5%
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the SC 1Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.4%
Jam Miller run for no gain to the SC 1Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Jalen Milroe 1 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:388% → 8%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Michael Smith, broken up by Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
92.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 14 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the SC 43Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
92.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the SC 47Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-3
92.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 44Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+1
92.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 44 yds , Cole Adams returns for 1 yd to the ALA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 4:2792% → 91%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
92.1%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 12Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+2
92.0%
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the ALA 14Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
91.8%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ryan WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 9
OWN 14
+15
91.7%
Burnip, James punt 66 yards to the SC20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY SC roughing the kicker (Brown II, Maurice) 15 yards to the ALA29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALA.Similar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
91.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 12 yds to the ALA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
92.0%
Milroe, Jalen pass complete to Dippre, CJ for 19 yards to the SC40, PENALTY ALA ineligible downfield on pass (Bernard, Germie) 5 yards to the ALA36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+1
91.8%
Justice Haynes run for 1 yd to the ALA 37Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+5
91.7%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 5 yds to the ALA 42Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-9
91.6%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 9 yards to the ALA 33Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 18
OWN 33
+2
91.1%
James Burnip punt for 59 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 2 yds to the SC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4FUMBLE
12 plays · 63 yds · 6:329% → 10%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
91.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 11 yds to the SC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
91.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 2 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+10
91.0%
Gage Larvadain run for 10 yds to the SC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
90.7%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+15
90.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Michael Smith for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
50
-4
90.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 46Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 14
OWN 46
-7
90.4%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Que Robinson and Jordan Renaud for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 39Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 21
OWN 39
+27
90.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 12 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST down Alabama Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jihaad Campbell) to the ALA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
89.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the ALA 31Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
89.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the ALA 27Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-8
89.4%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Tim Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the ALA 35Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+8
90.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 8 yds Joshua Simon fumbled, forced by DeVonta Smith, recovered by ALA Malachi MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1590% → 89%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
90.1%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 8 yds to the ALA 35Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+7
90.3%
Justice Haynes run for 7 yds to the ALA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
90.4%
Justice Haynes run for 5 yds to the ALA 47Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
90.4%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Ryan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 5
OWN 47
-8
90.1%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Demetrius Knight Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the ALA 39Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 13
OWN 39
+3
89.1%
James Burnip punt for 52 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 3 yds to the SC 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:3511% → 10%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
89.5%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Cason Henry) to the SC 7Similar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+9
89.6%
Robby Ashford run for 9 yds to the SC 16Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 6
OWN 16
-7
89.4%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the SC 18 South Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gage Larvadain) to the SC 9Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+4
89.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 4 yds to the SC 13Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 9
OWN 13
0
89.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Gage LarvadainSimilar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
90.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:2690% → 93%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
89.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 13 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
90.3%
Jam Miller run for 8 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+6
90.3%
Jam Miller run for 6 yds to the SC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+27
90.2%
Jalen Milroe run for 27 yds to the SC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
90.2%
Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the SC 7Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+5
90.1%
Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the SC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.8%
Justice Haynes 2 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:538% → 13%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 6 yds to the SC 31Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
91.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
91.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 3 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
91.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 9 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
91.5%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the ALA 46Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+9
91.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 9 yds to the ALA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
91.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the ALA 35Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
90.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Raheim SandersSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-1
91.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 36Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+36
87.1%
Mazeo Bennett Jr. 36 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (Alex Herrera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9SF
2 plays · -13 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-13
86.5%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 13 yards for a SAFETY Alabama Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jalen Milroe) to the ALA 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:3216% → 17%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
83.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+8
83.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 8 yds to the ALA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
82.6%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Jihaad Campbell for a loss of 3 yards to the ALA 47 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, forced by Jihaad Campbell, recovered by ALA Keanu Koht , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11INT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:4488% → 81%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
87.6%
Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALA 44Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 13
OWN 44
-6
87.0%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Tonka Hemingway for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 38Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 19
OWN 38
-31
80.6%
Jalen Milroe pass intercepted Jalon Kilgore return for 31 yds to the ALA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12FG
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+37
78.5%
Alex Herrera 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
18 plays · 85 yds · 8:3517% → 43%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
83.1%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Mazeo Bennett Jr.) to the SC 10Similar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+6
83.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the SC 16Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+3
83.0%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the SC 19Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+9
83.3%
LaNorris Sellers run for 9 yds to the SC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
81.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
80.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
80.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
80.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 14 yds to the ALA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
78.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the ALA 44Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-8
78.2%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Jah-Marien Latham for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 48Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+22
80.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 22 yds to the ALA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
76.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 6 yds to the ALA 24Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
75.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the ALA 22Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+14
76.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Oscar Adaway III for 14 yds to the ALA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
74.7%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the ALA 6Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
74.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 5 yds to the ALA 1Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.5%
Raheim Sanders 1 Yd Run (Alex Herrera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:5163% → 57%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
62.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Cole Adams for 27 yds to the ALA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
65.9%
Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the SC 49Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
66.0%
Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the SC 48Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+13
64.3%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 13 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
66.0%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 42Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 17
OPP 42
0
61.4%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Germie BernardSimilar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 17
OPP 42
0
59.8%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Germie BernardSimilar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
57.1%
James Burnip punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4044% → 45%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
55.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the SC 13Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+2
55.6%
LaNorris Sellers run for 2 yds to the SC 15Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+2
54.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 2 yds to the SC 17Similar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
55.0%
Kai Kroeger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16INT
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:0260% → 57%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
60.0%
Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the ALA 48Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+13
59.6%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Justice Haynes for 13 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
58.9%
Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the SC 30Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+1
60.6%
Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the SC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
59.9%
Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 1
OPP 20
0
59.2%
Jalen Milroe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+7
56.6%
Jam Miller run for 7 yds to the SC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
58.3%
Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 14Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
57.4%
Jalen Milroe pass intercepted, touchback. O'Donnell Fortune return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0656% → 57%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
44.4%
Sellers, LaNorris pass incomplete to Bennett Jr., Mazeo, PENALTY ALA pass interference (Moore, Malachi) 15 yards to the SC35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SC.Similar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
43.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 31 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, recovered by ALA LT OvertonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:2357% → 77%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
57.3%
South Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (Nick Barrett) to the SC 26Similar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 5
OPP 26
+3
57.2%
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+16
56.5%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 16 yds to the SC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
77.4%
Jalen Milroe 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19MISSED FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:2430% → 32%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
70.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 23 yds to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
65.1%
Raheim Sanders run for 8 yds to the ALA 44Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+1
63.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the ALA 43Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
63.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
62.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 12 yds to the ALA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
60.2%
Adaway III, Oscar rush for 4 yards to the ALA24, PENALTY SC holding (Bell, Kamaar) 10 yards to the ALA38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+2
63.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 2 yds to the ALA 36Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 18
OPP 36
0
61.9%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 18
OPP 36
+3
64.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 3 yds to the ALA 33Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 15
OPP 33
+51
68.0%
Alex Herrera 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:0672% → 97%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
71.6%
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 33Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+10
71.1%
Jalen Milroe run for 10 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
73.8%
Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the ALA 47Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+9
74.2%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Ryan Williams for 9 yds to the SC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
75.3%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 4 yds to the SC 40Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
77.4%
Justice Haynes run for 3 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+3
77.6%
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
79.8%
Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the SC 33Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-1
80.6%
Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 34Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+34
97.1%
Germie Bernard 34 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:045% → 26%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
94.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Gage LarvadainSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
95.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 8 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
94.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 17 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
93.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Gage Larvadain, broken up by Domani JacksonSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
94.0%
Sellers, LaNorris pass sacked for loss of 4 yards to the 50 yardline (Robinson, Que), PENALTY ALA face mask (Robinson, Que) 15 yards to the ALA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SC.Similar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
74.0%
Nyck Harbor 31 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3320% → 18%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
80.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jatavius Shivers for 2 yds to the ALA 47Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
80.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-38
82.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass intercepted Domani Jackson return for 38 yds to the ALA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:42
Jalen Milroe 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+20.9
TD · Q4 0:43
Nyck Harbor 31 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-20
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com