Try the model
MIZ

Missouri 10 at Texas A&M 41

TA&M
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Kyle Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:50 · Luke Bauer punt for 52 yds , Terry Bussey returns for 5 yds to the TA&M 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense+1.4Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Pregame prior+3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:17: Amari Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +2.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:27: Amari Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +10.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:34: Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +7.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:34: Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 8 — TA&M win probability +0.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:47: Le'Veon Moss run for 75 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +8.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:55MIZ 4th & 2 at TA&M 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:50MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:01TA&M 4th & 6 at MIZ 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:48MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:05MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:10MIZ 4th & 16 at TA&M 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:04TA&M 4th & 6 at MIZ 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:14MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 20, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:30TA&M 4th & 14 at MIZ 21, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:08TA&M 4th & 20 at TA&M 15, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:33MIZ 4th & 19 at TA&M 43, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:19MIZ 4th & 11 at TA&M 38, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:07TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 47, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:30MIZ 4th & 1 at TA&M 2, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:08MIZ 4th & 6 at TA&M 6, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:17TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:27TA&M Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:34TA&M Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:47TA&M Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:06MIZ Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:00TA&M Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:3546% → 46%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
54.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 27 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
54.0%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
53.9%
Luther Burden III run for 1 yd to the TA&M 43Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+3
54.0%
Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
54.2%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:1355% → 58%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
54.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-3
54.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jabre Barber for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 42Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+13
54.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jabre Barber for 13 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
55.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 15 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
55.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the MIZ 26Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
55.5%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+25
55.5%
Amari Daniels run for 25 yds to the MIZ 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.8%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0543% → 42%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.9%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MIZ 29Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
56.8%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
57.4%
Brady Cook sacked by Daymion Sanford for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 26Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+5
57.9%
Luke Bauer punt for 52 yds , Terry Bussey returns for 5 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:2458% → 60%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
58.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 4 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+9
58.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 9 yds to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+29
59.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 29 yds to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
59.7%
Conner Weigman run for 2 yds to the MIZ 29Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
60.0%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the MIZ 27Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
59.9%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Amari DanielsSimilar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
60.1%
Randy Bond 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:0940% → 39%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.1%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
60.3%
Cook, Brady pass complete to Burden III, Luther for 75 yards to the TA&M0, PENALTY MIZ ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the MIZ20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
60.4%
Missouri Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 15Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
60.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mekhi MillerSimilar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+17
61.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 17 yds to the MIZ 32Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
61.0%
Luke Bauer punt for 33 yds, downed at the TA&M 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:5661% → 74%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
61.0%
Conner Weigman run for 9 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+15
62.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 15 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
62.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jabre Barber for 11 yds to the MIZ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
62.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 17 yds to the MIZ 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
63.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 2 yds to the MIZ 11Similar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-5
63.6%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 16Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+10
63.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 10 yds to the MIZ 6Similar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+5
63.5%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the MIZ 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.0%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1529% → 27%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
71.0%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 21Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
71.5%
Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the MIZ 26Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
71.7%
Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the MIZ 31Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
73.3%
Luke Bauer punt for 57 yds, downed at the TA&M 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 5:0176% → 88%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
76.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 15Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+11
76.9%
Conner Weigman run for 11 yds to the TA&M 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
77.2%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Terry BusseySimilar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-10
77.2%
Moss, Le'Veon rush for 5 yards to the TA&M31, PENALTY TA&M holding (Fatheree II, Reuben) 10 yards to the TA&M16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 20
OWN 16
+7
77.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to EJ Smith for 7 yds to the TA&M 23Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+40
77.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 40 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
79.6%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
79.8%
EJ Smith run for 3 yds to the MIZ 34Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+15
80.1%
Conner Weigman run for 15 yds to the MIZ 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
80.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Terry Bussey for 11 yds to the MIZ 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
80.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 7 yds to the MIZ 1Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
88.0%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:5014% → 11%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 6 yds to the MIZ 31Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-6
85.4%
Brady Cook sacked by Rodas Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the MIZ 25Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.6%
Cook, Brady rush for 12 yards to the MIZ37, PENALTY MIZ illegal procedure 5 yards to the MIZ20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+15
87.0%
Cook, Brady pass incomplete to Cooper, Mookie, PENALTY TA&M pass interference (Lee III, Will) 15 yards to the MIZ35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIZ.Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
86.3%
Marcus Carroll run for 9 yds to the MIZ 44Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
86.2%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
86.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 13 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
87.3%
Brady Cook sacked by Taurean York for a loss of 6 yards to the TA&M 45Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 16
OPP 45
0
88.1%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie CooperSimilar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 16
OPP 45
0
88.6%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mekhi MillerSimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
88.7%
Luke Bauer punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:5691% → 92%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 24Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
90.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 26Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+21
91.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 21 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
91.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 1 yd to the TA&M 48Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-1
92.0%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 47Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+4
91.8%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the MIZ 49Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
91.8%
Tyler White punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MIZ 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
93.5%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 75 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:542% → 2%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
98.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 7 yds to the MIZ 22Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+2
98.1%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the MIZ 24Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 24
-4
98.4%
Brady Cook sacked for a loss of 4 yards at the MIZ 20 (Scourton, Nic) Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Luke Bauer punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 6:3098% → 99%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
98.0%
Weigman, Conner pass complete to Watson, Tre for 8 yards to the TA&M47, PENALTY TA&M holding 10 yards to the TA&M29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+32
98.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Terry Bussey for 32 yds to the MIZ 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.4%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the MIZ 39Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
98.6%
EJ Smith run for 4 yds to the MIZ 35Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+18
98.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 18 yds to the MIZ 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the MIZ 13Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-5
99.1%
Texas A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 18Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 11
OPP 18
-4
99.1%
Conner Weigman sacked by Zion Young for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 22Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 15
OPP 22
-5
99.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 27Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 20
OPP 27
+6
99.3%
EJ Smith run for 6 yds to the MIZ 21Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+38
99.3%
Randy Bond 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.3%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
99.4%
Nate Noel run for 15 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 3 yds to the MIZ 41Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden IIISimilar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+59
99.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 59 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 2:5299% → 100%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Jabre Barber run for 1 yd to the TA&M 26Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.4%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 21Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-3
99.4%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 18Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-9
99.5%
Daniels, Amari rush for 19 yards to the TA&M37, PENALTY TA&M holding (Bisontis, Chase) 9 yards to the TA&M9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 26
OWN 9
+6
99.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the TA&M 15Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+48
99.6%
Tyler White punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 47 Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MIZ 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 20 yds · 4:270% → 0%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MIZ 38Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Brett NorfleetSimilar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+13
99.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 13 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 2 yds to the TA&M 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
99.8%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+10
99.8%
Brady Cook run for 10 yds to the TA&M 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
99.8%
Brady Cook sacked by Albert Regis and Nic Scourton for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 37Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 13
OPP 37
-5
99.8%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 42Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 18
OPP 42
-5
99.8%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 47Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 23
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Jamal Roberts for 4 yds to the TA&M 43Similar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+33
99.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Terry Bussey for 33 yds to the MIZ 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.8%
Terry Bussey run for 6 yds to the MIZ 18Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+18
99.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 18 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the TA&M 35Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-3
99.8%
Brady Cook sacked by DJ Hicks for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 38Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie CooperSimilar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Theo Wease Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.9%
EJ Smith run for 10 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
EJ Smith run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 8
50
+1
99.9%
EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the MIZ 49Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-4
99.9%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 47Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Tyler White punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21FG
18 plays · 74 yds · 5:510% → 0%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Nate NoelSimilar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the MIZ 21Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+13
99.9%
Brady Cook run for 13 yds to the MIZ 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 37Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+15
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 15 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie CooperSimilar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the TA&M 48Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+23
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 23 yds to the TA&M 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 4 yds to the TA&M 21 for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the TA&M 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
99.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 8 yds to the TA&M 3Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the TA&M 2Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Marcus Carroll run for no gain to the TA&M 2Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the TA&M 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 6Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
100.0%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden IIISimilar
Q4 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
100.0%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie CooperSimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
99.9%
Blake Craig 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
AJ DiNota run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:27
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q3 14:47
Le'Veon Moss run for 75 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+8
TD · Q2 6:34
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com