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AUB

Auburn 13 at Georgia 31

UGA
2024 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreAUB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:03 · Payton Thorne pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior+0.9Home team on offense+29.1Score differential+11.9Garbage-time factor+7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:17: Dominic Lovett 11 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Peyton Woodring Kick) — UGA win probability +6.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:45: Jarquez Hunter 38 Yd Run (Towns McGough Kick) — AUB win probability +9.5 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 3:50: Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +7.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:34: Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +5.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:38: Towns McGough 26 yd FG GOOD — AUB win probability +1.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6AUB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:22AUB 4th & 7 at AUB 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:56AUB 4th & 7 at UGA 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:30UGA 4th & 16 at UGA 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:35AUB 4th & 4 at AUB 45, down 4
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:52UGA 4th & 18 at AUB 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:02AUB 4th & 5 at AUB 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:30UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:55UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.5%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:54AUB 4th & 1 at AUB 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:15AUB 4th & 8 at UGA 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:38AUB 4th & 8 at UGA 8, down 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:30UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 34, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.1%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:50UGA 4th & 16 at AUB 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:03AUB 4th & 10 at UGA 30, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:24UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:17UGA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:45AUB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:50UGA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:34UGA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:0310% → 10%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
90.4%
Payton Thorne sacked by Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins for a loss of 5 yards to the AUB 18Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+3
90.2%
Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the AUB 21Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+13
90.0%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Damari Alston for 13 yds to the AUB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
89.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the AUB 34Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
89.7%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+3
89.6%
Payton Thorne run for 3 yds to the AUB 37Similar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
89.6%
Oscar Chapman punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UGA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3890% → 90%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.5%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the UGA 26Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
89.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 4 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
89.3%
Auburn Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the UGA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
89.1%
Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the UGA 40Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
89.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Branson Robinson for 3 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+33
89.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 33 yds to the AUB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
89.0%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
88.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Colbie Young for 7 yds to the AUB 17Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+4
88.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 4 yds to the AUB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
88.6%
Branson Robinson run for 2 yds to the AUB 11Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+9
88.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 9 yds to the AUB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.7%
Trevor Etienne 2 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:5611% → 13%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
89.2%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Robert Lewis for 3 yds to the AUB 32Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
89.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the AUB 36Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+23
88.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 23 yds to the UGA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
88.4%
Payton Thorne sacked by Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins for a loss of 7 yards to the UGA 48Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 17
OPP 48
+17
88.6%
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 17 yds to the UGA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
88.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 19 yds to the UGA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
87.9%
Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Cam ColemanSimilar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
87.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the UGA 8Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-1
87.9%
Payton Thorne run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 9Similar
Q1 0:56
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
87.2%
Towns McGough 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:5887% → 86%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
87.0%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+7
87.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 7 yds to the UGA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
86.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Colbie Young for 17 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
87.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 6 yds to the AUB 43Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
87.2%
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the AUB 43Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 4
OPP 43
-12
86.9%
Carson Beck sacked by Keldric Faulk for a loss of 12 yards to the UGA 45Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
85.7%
Brett Thorson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the AUB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:2814% → 15%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
86.4%
Damari Alston run for 11 yds to the AUB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
86.3%
Payton Thorne run for 1 yd to the AUB 24Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+4
86.0%
Damari Alston run for 4 yds to the AUB 28Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+11
86.1%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 11 yds to the AUB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
84.9%
Damari Alston run for 6 yds to the AUB 45Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
84.5%
Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the AUB 46Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-5
84.4%
Auburn Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 41Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+4
84.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 4 yds to the AUB 45Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
85.1%
Oscar Chapman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Anthony Evans III at the UGA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 5:3685% → 83%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.1%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
85.0%
Trevor Etienne run for 10 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
85.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 6 yds to the UGA 36Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+18
85.5%
Dillon Bell run for 18 yds to the AUB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
85.7%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the AUB 43Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+6
85.5%
Branson Robinson run for 6 yds to the AUB 37Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
85.2%
Branson Robinson run for 2 yds to the AUB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
85.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 8 yds to the AUB 27Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+1
85.8%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the AUB 26Similar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-8
85.0%
Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the AUB 24 Georgia Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AUB 34Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-4
84.6%
Carson Beck sacked by Keldric Faulk for a loss of 4 yards to the AUB 38Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 13
OPP 38
-5
82.9%
Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AUB 43Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 18
OPP 43
0
82.8%
Brett Thorson punt for 40 yds, downed at the AUB 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3116% → 15%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
84.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the AUB 8Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 5
OWN 8
-4
84.1%
Auburn Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the AUB 4Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
84.1%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+4
84.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the AUB 8Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 5
OWN 8
+5
84.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 46 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 5 yds to the AUB 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:3585% → 91%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
84.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 8 yds to the AUB 41Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
84.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 1 yd to the AUB 40Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+23
84.4%
Trevor Etienne run for 23 yds to the AUB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
85.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 6 yds to the AUB 11Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+11
91.2%
Dominic Lovett 11 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Peyton Woodring Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:1110% → 12%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.9%
Georgia Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AUB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
89.3%
Payton Thorne run for 15 yds to the UGA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
88.8%
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 9 yds to the UGA 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+54
88.5%
Towns McGough 54 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dan Jackson McGough, Towns field goal attempt from 54 blocked, recovered by AUB Bell, Dillon at UGA30 spot at UGA30, clock 00:00 (blocked by Jackson, Dan).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5390% → 89%
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
89.6%
Nate Frazier run for 4 yds to the UGA 23Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+1
89.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 1 yd to the UGA 24Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
89.2%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
88.6%
Brett Thorson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the AUB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 3:2511% → 22%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
88.7%
Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the AUB 33Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+8
88.7%
Payton Thorne run for 8 yds to the AUB 41Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+6
88.1%
Payton Thorne run for 6 yds to the AUB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
87.8%
Payton Thorne run for 11 yds to the UGA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
87.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the UGA 38Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+38
78.0%
Jarquez Hunter 38 Yd Run (Towns McGough Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4482% → 91%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
82.0%
Nate Frazier run for 11 yds to the UGA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
82.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 7 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
83.1%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
82.4%
Nate Frazier run for no gain to the UGA 45Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+1
81.4%
Carson Beck run for 1 yd to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
82.7%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
81.9%
Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 6
50
+27
82.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Colbie Young for 27 yds to the AUB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
83.6%
Trevor Etienne run for 21 yds to the AUB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the AUB 1Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.6%
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the AUB 1Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.7%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:2610% → 11%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+16
90.4%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 16 yds to the AUB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
90.1%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+14
90.3%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 14 yds to the AUB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
89.4%
Payton Thorne sacked by Chaz Chambliss for a loss of 7 yards to the AUB 28Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+9
90.2%
Jarquez Hunter run for 9 yds to the AUB 37Similar
Q3 0:12
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
89.7%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 7 yds to the AUB 44Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-4
89.3%
Payton Thorne run for a loss of 4 yards to the AUB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:5192% → 98%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
92.0%
Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 41Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+13
92.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 13 yds to the AUB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
92.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Cash Jones for 17 yds to the AUB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
92.2%
Auburn Penalty, Roughing Passer (6 Yards) to the AUB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
92.2%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the AUB 3Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 3 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 4:213% → 4%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
97.2%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Jeremiah Cobb for 16 yds to the AUB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
97.1%
Georgia Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the UGA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
97.0%
Payton Thorne run for 1 yd to the UGA 43Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
97.0%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+1
97.1%
Payton Thorne run for 1 yd to the UGA 42Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 8
OPP 42
+13
97.2%
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 13 yds to the UGA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
96.7%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+9
96.9%
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 9 yds to the UGA 20Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+10
96.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the UGA 20 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (10 Yards) to the UGA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.7%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the UGA 10Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
96.7%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the UGA 8Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.0%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
95.7%
Towns McGough 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FG
16 plays · 46 yds · 5:4497% → 99%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.8%
Branson Robinson run for 1 yd to the UGA 26Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
97.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 8 yds to the UGA 34Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
97.3%
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the UGA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.5%
Branson Robinson run for no gain to the UGA 35Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
97.8%
Carson Beck pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+25
98.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to London Humphreys for 25 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
98.4%
Nate Frazier run for 17 yds to the AUB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
98.5%
Frazier, Nate rush for 11 yards to the AUB12, PENALTY UGA personal foul 15 yards to the UGA47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 40
OWN 47
+2
98.4%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 38
OWN 49
+15
98.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to London Humphreys for 15 yds to the AUB 36Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 23
OPP 36
+7
98.6%
Trevor Etienne run for 7 yds to the AUB 29Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 16
OPP 29
+47
99.1%
Peyton Woodring 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:411% → 2%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.6%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 4 yds to the AUB 29Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+21
98.6%
Payton Thorne pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
50
+20
98.5%
Payton Thorne pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 20 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.0%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.0%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
98.2%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 10
OPP 30
0
98.3%
Payton Thorne pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:3599% → 99%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
-1
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:45
Jarquez Hunter 38 Yd Run (Towns McGough Kick)
-9.5
TD · Q3 3:50
Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q2 0:17
Dominic Lovett 11 Yd pass from Carson Beck (Peyton Woodring Kick)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com