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ARK

Arkansas 17 at Texas A&M 21

TA&M
2024 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadARK aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreARK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:01 · Devin Bale punt for 44 yds, downed at the TA&M 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Pregame prior+12.6Home team on offense−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:58: Marcel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +8.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 13:24: Kyle Ramsey 45 yd FG GOOD — ARK win probability +9.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:00: Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +25.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:22: Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 10 yds to the TA&M 11 for a 1ST down — TA&M win probability +8.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:23: Le'Veon Moss run for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 49 — TA&M win probability +14.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ARK made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:30TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:46ARK 4th & 15 at ARK 46, tied
    Close callWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:38TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52ARK 4th & 13 at ARK 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:48TA&M 4th & 7 at ARK 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    56.7%−1.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:33ARK 4th & 10 at ARK 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:36TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:01ARK 4th & 15 at ARK 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−2.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:05TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:21TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:06ARK 4th & 6 at TA&M 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:58TA&M 4th & 14 at ARK 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−2.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    60.0%−2.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:35ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:36TA&M 4th & 24 at TA&M 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−5.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:24ARK 4th & 7 at TA&M 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−12.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:35ARK 4th & 8 at TA&M 43, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−2.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%−3.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:44TA&M 4th & 20 at ARK 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−4.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:54ARK 4th & 1 at ARK 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%−8.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ARK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:49ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:28TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:50ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:58TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:00TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0629% → 30%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
70.9%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 23Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
70.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 2 yds to the ARK 25Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+75
70.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 75 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5570% → 70%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
69.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 5 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
69.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
69.6%
Tyler White punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4031% → 31%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
69.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ARK 38Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
69.2%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaiah SategnaSimilar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
69.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
69.2%
Devin Bale punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:4269% → 71%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
69.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
69.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 8 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
70.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 58 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2530% → 36%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.1%
Rodney Hill run for 7 yds to the ARK 32Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
69.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 8 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
69.6%
Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 35Similar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+16
69.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 16 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
69.0%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Luke HaszSimilar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
69.1%
Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the TA&M 46Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-8
68.7%
Taylen Green sacked by Jaydon Hill for a loss of 8 yards to the ARK 46 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by ARKSimilar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 15
OWN 46
+25
69.7%
Devin Bale run for 25 yds to the TA&M 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
68.0%
Isaiah Sategna run for 15 yds to the TA&M 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
67.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 6 yds to the TA&M 8Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
64.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0166% → 64%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.5%
Marcel Reed run for 5 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
65.4%
Terry Bussey run for 1 yd to the TA&M 31Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
64.6%
Marcel Reed run for 3 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
63.8%
Tyler White punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:4136% → 37%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
64.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 6Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+27
63.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 27 yds to the ARK 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-9
62.4%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 9 yards to the ARK 24Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 19
OWN 24
+7
62.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 7 yds to the ARK 31Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+4
62.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 4 yds to the ARK 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
-5
62.7%
Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 30Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
63.0%
Devin Bale punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Terry Bussey at the TA&M 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 37 yds · 5:0062% → 60%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
62.3%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TA&M 20Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
62.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 9 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
61.6%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
61.6%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
61.4%
EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the TA&M 32Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+22
60.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 22 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
63.2%
Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the ARK 39Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 3
OPP 39
-3
63.0%
EJ Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 42Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+4
62.4%
Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the ARK 38Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-5
61.5%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 43Similar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
60.3%
Tyler White punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
60.0%
Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 10 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by TA&M Scooby WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:3863% → 71%
Q2 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
62.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the ARK 5Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
70.8%
Marcel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1634% → 33%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.2%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaiah SategnaSimilar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
66.3%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
66.8%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Ja'Quinden JacksonSimilar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
67.5%
Devin Bale punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terry Bussey at the TA&M 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5068% → 67%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
68.4%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
68.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
67.7%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Tre WatsonSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
67.1%
Tyler White punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2935% → 34%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
65.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the ARK 15Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
65.1%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Ja'Quinden JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 15
-5
65.7%
Taylen Green sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 5 yards to the ARK 10Similar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
66.2%
Devin Bale punt for 44 yds, downed at the TA&M 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5269% → 67%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
69.4%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
68.7%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
68.5%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
67.1%
Tyler White punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15INT
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:2935% → 41%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
65.0%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+1
65.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the ARK 8Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+10
65.7%
Taylen Green run for 10 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
63.9%
Braylen Russell run for 6 yds to the ARK 24Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+2
63.1%
Braylen Russell run for 2 yds to the ARK 26Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-5
63.2%
Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 21Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+8
64.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 8 yds to the ARK 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
63.0%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+19
62.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 19 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
59.4%
Taylen Green pass intercepted Dezz Ricks return for no gain to the TA&M 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16END OF HALF
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2466% → 68%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
65.7%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TA&M 39Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
67.4%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+13
66.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 13 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
68.2%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-9
67.9%
Marcel Reed sacked by Landon Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the TA&M 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:3165% → 65%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
65.4%
Arkansas Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
67.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 43Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
67.7%
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
66.6%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
64.7%
Tyler White punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:0939% → 40%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.4%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Ty WashingtonSimilar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
61.6%
Braylen Russell run for 7 yds to the ARK 27Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
61.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 5 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
60.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 6 yds to the ARK 38Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
58.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 2 yds to the ARK 40Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+24
59.0%
Taylen Green run for 24 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
57.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 2 yds to the TA&M 34Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-5
56.2%
Arkansas Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 39Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+7
58.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jordan Anthony for 7 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
57.5%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaiah SategnaSimilar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 6
OPP 32
-5
60.0%
Devin Bale run for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:0066% → 64%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
65.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 21 yds to the ARK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-7
68.4%
Marcel Reed sacked by Quincy Rhodes Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 49Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 17
OPP 49
+3
66.5%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 14
OPP 46
0
64.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jabre BarberSimilar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
63.5%
Tyler White punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1839% → 37%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
60.9%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the ARK 15Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+2
60.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the ARK 17Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
61.5%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+6
62.8%
Devin Bale punt for 54 yds , Terry Bussey returns for 6 yds to the TA&M 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4865% → 62%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
64.7%
Marcel Reed run for 13 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
67.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 8
50
+10
67.3%
Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (10 Yards) to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
67.8%
Marcel Reed sacked by Landon Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard line Texas A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 20
50
-6
64.9%
Jabre Barber run for a loss of 6 yards to the TA&M 44Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 26
OWN 44
+2
62.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 2 yds to the TA&M 46Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 24
OWN 46
0
61.6%
Tyler White punt for 39 yds, downed at the ARK 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 22FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:0841% → 53%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
59.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 11 yds to the ARK 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
58.6%
Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
57.3%
Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 31Similar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
58.7%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaiah SategnaSimilar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+16
58.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 16 yds to the ARK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
54.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 7 yds to the TA&M 46Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
53.3%
Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
53.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 12 yds to the TA&M 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
51.8%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 35Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 15
OPP 35
0
53.6%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+8
56.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
47.2%
Kyle Ramsey 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1752% → 81%
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 4 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
50.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 14 yds to the TA&M 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
53.6%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 44Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
53.2%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+23
52.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 23 yds to the ARK 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
54.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 8 yds to the ARK 20Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+15
55.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 15 yds to the ARK 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
80.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:1926% → 26%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
73.8%
Arkansas Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the ARK 20Similar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
74.2%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaaSimilar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
74.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 15 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
73.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 34Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+21
74.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 21 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
68.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 5 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-3
68.2%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 43Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
69.5%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Andrew ArmstrongSimilar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
73.7%
Devin Bale punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:3882% → 87%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+10
81.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 10 yds to the TA&M 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
84.3%
Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TA&M 16Similar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 5
OWN 16
+45
85.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 30 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ARK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
88.5%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 41Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-3
89.1%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARK 44Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 15
OPP 44
0
87.7%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 15
OPP 44
-5
86.4%
Texas A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ARK 49Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 20
OPP 49
0
87.3%
Tyler White punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 26FUMBLE
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:0920% → 20%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
79.6%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+5
81.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 5 yds to the ARK 15Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+4
82.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 4 yds to the ARK 19Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+2
82.9%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the ARK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
81.3%
Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (13 Yards) to the ARK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
79.9%
Taylen Green sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 6 yards to the ARK 43 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by TA&M Jaydon Hill , return for 0 yards Texas A&M Penalty, Assisting the Runner (15 Yards) to the ARK 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27Uncategorized
8 plays · -4 yds · 1:2394% → 93%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-8
93.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 49Similar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
93.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 7 yds to the TA&M 49Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 18
OWN 49
+7
93.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 7 yds to the ARK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
94.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-1
92.9%
End of 4th QuarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:00
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
+25.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:23
Le'Veon Moss run for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 49
+14
FG · Q4 13:24
Kyle Ramsey 45 yd FG GOOD
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com