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BGSU

Bowling Green 20 at Texas A&M 26

TA&M
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:43 · Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 9 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+3.6Home team on offense+19.9Garbage-time factor+5.3Score differential+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Time remaining+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:48: Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 65 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 10:43: Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +6.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:24: Rahkeem Smith run for 40 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +12.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 12:56: Randy Bond 34 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +3.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:38: Jackson Kleather 23 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +11.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 9BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:38TA&M 4th & 1 at BGSU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.8%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:18BGSU 4th & 16 at TA&M 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:51TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:41BGSU 4th & 18 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:52TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:35BGSU 4th & 4 at TA&M 15, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.9%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:17TA&M 4th & 3 at BGSU 11, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:21BGSU 4th & 8 at TA&M 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:51TA&M 4th & 3 at BGSU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:02TA&M 4th & 2 at BGSU 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.5%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−4.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:56TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:01BGSU 4th & 10 at TA&M 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    14.1%−9.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:56TA&M 4th & 7 at BGSU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−11.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:39BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:15TA&M 4th & 2 at BGSU 25, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.5%−1.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−10.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:45BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 31, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:43BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 38, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:38BGSU 4th & 5 at TA&M 5, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:04TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:48BGSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:43TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:24BGSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5592% → 92%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 4 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
92.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
92.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 6 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
92.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
91.9%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 35Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+4
91.8%
Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the TA&M 39Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+15
91.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 15 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.7%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
91.6%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+7
91.5%
Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the BGSU 37Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+10
91.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Terry Bussey for 10 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
91.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Theo Melin Ohrstrom for 27 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:408% → 9%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 6 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
91.5%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
91.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 9 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+14
91.2%
Terion Stewart run for 14 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
91.1%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 43Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 11
OPP 43
-9
91.1%
(07:30) BAZELAK, Connor pass up the middle complete for 7 yards to GAZAREK, Levi caught at the AM37 and advanced to the AM36 (ANDERSON, Bryce), clock 07:26. PENALTY BG Holding on FATUKASI, Tunde enforced 9 yards from the AM43 to the BG48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 20
OWN 48
0
91.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 20
OWN 48
+4
91.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the TA&M 48Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
91.2%
John Henderson punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1991% → 91%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
91.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the TA&M 10Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+5
91.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the TA&M 15Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
90.8%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+3
90.6%
Tyler White punt for 43 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 3 yds to the BGSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:019% → 9%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
90.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
90.6%
Terion Stewart run for 13 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
90.2%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the TA&M 41Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
90.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-9
90.3%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Shemar Stewart for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 18
50
0
90.6%
John Henderson punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4290% → 90%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
90.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 1 yd to the TA&M 5Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+1
90.2%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TA&M 6Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 8
OWN 6
-3
89.9%
Texas A&M Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the TA&M 3Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 11
OWN 3
0
89.8%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 11
OWN 3
0
89.6%
Tyler White punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:1011% → 12%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
89.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 7 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+8
89.2%
Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
89.2%
(14:59) BAZELAK, Connor pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON JR., Malcolm thrown to the AM12, clock 14:54. PENALTY AM Pass Interference on LEE III, Will enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the AM21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
88.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+11
88.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 21 yds Bowling Green Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TA&M 18Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-4
88.7%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 4 yards to the TA&M 22Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+7
89.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the TA&M 15Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+33
87.7%
Jackson Kleather 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:2889% → 89%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
88.5%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
88.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 8 yds to the BGSU 36Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
88.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
88.6%
(12:19) REED, Marcel pass deep to the right incomplete intended for THOMAS, Noah broken up by RHAMBO, Edward at the BG2, clock 12:13. PENALTY BG Pass Interference on RHAMBO, Edward enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the BG18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
88.5%
Marcel Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the BGSU 21Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+2
88.3%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the BGSU 19Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+8
87.8%
Marcel Reed run for 8 yds to the BGSU 11Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
89.1%
Randy Bond 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:5511% → 12%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.8%
Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
88.6%
Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 30Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
88.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 12 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
88.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 11 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
87.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jacob Harris for 3 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
87.5%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-1
87.5%
Jamal Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 45Similar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
88.3%
John Henderson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Terry Bussey at the TA&M 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9FG
25 plays · 77 yds · 6:1289% → 90%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
88.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TA&M 15Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 6
OWN 15
-5
88.5%
(05:39) MOSS, Le'Veon rush to the left for no gain to the AM15 (BENJAMIN, Jacorey), clock 05:37. PENALTY Before the snap, AM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the AM15 to the AM10. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+6
88.4%
Noah Thomas run for 6 yds to the TA&M 16Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+12
88.0%
Marcel Reed run for 12 yds to the TA&M 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
88.4%
Marcel Reed run for 9 yds to the TA&M 37Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
88.9%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
88.5%
EJ Smith run for 2 yds to the TA&M 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
88.5%
Amari Daniels run for 8 yds to the TA&M 47Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+2
88.8%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.5%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-10
88.3%
(01:53) QB Keeper REED, Marcel rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the BG48 (SIMMS, Trent), clock 01:48. PENALTY AM Holding on BISONTIS, Chase enforced 10 yards from the AM49 to the AM39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 20
OWN 39
-3
87.6%
Marcel Reed sacked by Joseph Sipp Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 36Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 23
OWN 36
+20
87.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 20 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+8
87.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 8 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
88.2%
Marcel Reed run for 8 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+8
89.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 8 yds to the BGSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
89.4%
Marcel Reed run for 8 yds to the BGSU 12Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 2
OPP 12
0
89.0%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 2
OPP 12
0
88.9%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
89.8%
Randy Bond 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
82.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 65 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:0384% → 90%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 4 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
83.5%
Marcel Reed run for 18 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
84.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+29
84.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 29 yds to the BGSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
84.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the BGSU 15Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+8
84.5%
Jabre Barber run for 8 yds to the BGSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
84.3%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the BGSU 5Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.4%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 5 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 5:1211% → 25%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
89.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 9 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+2
88.6%
Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-8
88.8%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Shemar Turner for a loss of 8 yards to the BGSU 22Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 18
OWN 22
+8
89.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 8 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+14
89.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 14 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
88.1%
Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BGSU 46Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+10
87.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 10 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
87.2%
Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the TA&M 40Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+40
75.0%
Rahkeem Smith run for 40 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:2079% → 76%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
79.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 25Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
78.7%
Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
78.2%
EJ Smith run for 1 yd to the TA&M 32Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 1
OWN 32
-5
77.0%
Texas A&M Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the TA&M 27Similar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 6
OWN 27
-19
75.9%
punt blocked by Trey Johnson blocked by Trey Johnson , returns for no gain to the TA&M 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4827% → 23%
Q3 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
73.0%
Lucian Anderson III run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 10Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
72.6%
Justin Pegues pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
77.0%
Jackson Kleather 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:0178% → 88%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
78.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the TA&M 21Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
77.8%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+11
76.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 11 yds to the TA&M 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
78.1%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
77.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 14 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
79.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Noah Thomas for 17 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
82.9%
Marcel Reed run for 9 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+9
83.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 9 yds to the BGSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
83.7%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
83.7%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the BGSU 16Similar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
87.5%
Randy Bond 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1517% → 14%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.5%
Terion Stewart run for a loss of 5 yards to the BGSU 20Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
83.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 8 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
85.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
85.9%
John Henderson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Terry Bussey at the TA&M 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 4:1989% → 93%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Tre Watson for 5 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
89.4%
Marcel Reed run for 14 yds to the TA&M 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
90.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 12 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
90.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the BGSU 41Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
91.0%
Amari Daniels run for 8 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
91.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jabre Barber for 3 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
91.8%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+5
91.0%
EJ Smith run for 5 yds to the BGSU 25Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+42
92.8%
Randy Bond 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18INT
16 plays · 60 yds · 5:328% → 8%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
92.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 3 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
93.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 5 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
92.4%
Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 37Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
92.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+1
92.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 1 yd to the BGSU 38Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+9
93.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 9 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
92.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 9 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+18
93.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 18 yds to the TA&M 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
92.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+11
92.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 11 yds to the TA&M 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
92.4%
Connor Bazelak pass intercepted, touchback. Marcus Ratcliffe return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
96.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for 15 yds to the TA&M 35 Le'Veon Moss fumbled, recovered by BGSU Edward Rhambo E. Rhambo return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:547% → 19%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
93.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+30
92.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 30 yds to the TA&M 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
92.8%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
80.9%
Jackson Kleather 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
96.9%
(00:35) [NH] Kneel down by REED, Marcel at BG46 (team loss of 2), clock 00:29.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:24
Rahkeem Smith run for 40 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
-12.3
FG · Q4 0:38
Jackson Kleather 23 yd FG GOOD
-11.8
TD · Q3 14:48
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 65 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
-7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com