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ULM

UL Monroe 3 at Texas 51

TEX
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:16 · Reid Watkins run for 4 yds to the TEX 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:11: Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:28: Arch Manning pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 3 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:34: Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 17 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:46: Max Larson 35 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +1.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:04: Jerrick Gibson run for 2 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ULM made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 10:12ULM 4th & 17 at ULM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:46ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:35ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:45ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:46ULM 4th & 9 at TEX 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:30ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 29, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:30ULM 4th & 18 at ULM 17, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:34TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 46, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:06ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 15, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:38TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 48, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:59ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 32, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:12TEX 4th & 3 at ULM 12, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:41ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 30, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:04TEX 4th & 7 at ULM 44, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:11TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:28TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:34TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:15TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:04TEX Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:56TEX Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:18TEX Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3599% → 99%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.4%
Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds to the TEX 33Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+6
99.4%
Arch Manning pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 6 yds to the TEX 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
99.4%
(13:51) MANNING, Arch scrambles up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the TEXAS41 (WELLS, Kevontay), clock 13:46. PENALTY TEXAS Holding on CAMPBELL, DJ enforced 10 yards from the TEXAS39 to the TEXAS29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+6
99.4%
Jaydon Blue run for 6 yds to the TEX 35Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+16
99.4%
Arch Manning pass complete to Silas Bolden for 16 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 6 yds to the ULM 43Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-4
99.3%
Arch Manning pass intercepted Carl Fauntroy return for 4 yds to the ULM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.3%
General Booty pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 4 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-1
99.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 32Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-5
99.2%
General Booty sacked by Anthony Hill Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 27Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 12
OWN 27
-5
99.2%
(10:20) RYAN, Makenzie punt 31 yards to the TEXAS42, fair catch by BOLDEN, Silas, clock 10:14. PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ULM27 to the ULM22. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 17
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 45 yds , Silas Bolden returns for no gain to the TEX 22 Texas Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TEX 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:4599% → 99%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.2%
Jaydon Blue run for 8 yds to the TEX 31Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+1
99.2%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the TEX 32Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+56
99.1%
Arch Manning pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 56 yds to the ULM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.1%
Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds to the ULM 7Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
99.1%
Jaydon Blue run for 4 yds to the ULM 3Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
99.0%
Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds to the ULM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:361% → 1%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.1%
Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the ULM 31Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-45
99.0%
General Booty pass intercepted Anthony Hill Jr. return for 35 yds Texas Penalty, Illegal Block (Trey Moore) to the ULM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.1%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-2
99.1%
Jerrick Gibson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 15Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+8
99.0%
Arch Manning pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 8 yds to the ULM 7Similar
Q1 5:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Arch Manning pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 3 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:411% → 1%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.1%
Taven Curry run for 8 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.1%
Taven Curry run for 3 yds to the ULM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:0399% → 99%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.1%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the TEX 28Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+15
99.1%
(03:19) MANNING, Arch pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WINGO, Ryan thrown to the ULM30, clock 03:13. PENALTY ULM Pass Interference on RANDLE, Travor enforced 15 yards to the TEXAS43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
99.1%
Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 25 yds to the ULM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.1%
Arch Manning pass complete to Juan Davis for 7 yds to the ULM 25Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+8
99.1%
Jaydon Blue run for 8 yds to the ULM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.3%
Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 17 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:591% → 1%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the ULM 26Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the ULM 30Similar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.3%
General Booty pass complete to Ahmad Hardy for 7 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.3%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
99.3%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+3
99.3%
Taven Curry run for 3 yds to the ULM 42Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
99.3%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 35 yds, downed at the TEX 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 5:0699% → 100%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.3%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
99.3%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+46
99.3%
Arch Manning pass complete to Matthew Golden for 46 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
99.3%
Arch Manning sacked by Billy Pullen and Daniel Knudsen for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 45Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+19
99.3%
Arch Manning pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 19 yds to the ULM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 6 yds to the ULM 20Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+6
99.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 6 yds to the ULM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.4%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.4%
Jerrick Gibson run for 1 yd to the ULM 13Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+11
99.3%
Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Niblett for 11 yds to the ULM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.4%
MANNING, Arch pass short to the right incomplete intended for GOLDEN, Matthew broken up by VIGERS, Car'lin at the ULM0, clock 08:55. PENALTY Before the snap, TEXAS False Start on BANKS JR., Kelvin enforced 5 yards from the ULM2 to the ULM7. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds to the ULM 2Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Jaydon Blue run for 2 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 6:280% → 2%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Taven Curry run for 8 yds to the ULM 33Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.7%
Texas Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jahdae Barron) to the ULM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.7%
Taven Curry run for 3 yds to the ULM 41Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
99.7%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+5
99.7%
Taven Curry run for 5 yds to the ULM 46Similar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+3
99.7%
Hunter Herring run for 3 yds to the ULM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the TEX 44Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+8
99.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 8 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.8%
(03:35) BOOTY, General pass deep to the right complete for 20 yards to GREEN, Rylan caught at the TEXAS19 and advanced to the TEXAS16 (TAAFFE, Michael), clock 03:31. PENALTY TEXAS Personal Foul on TAAFFE, Michael enforced 0 yards ULM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GRIFFIN, Tyler enforced 0 yards from the TEXAS21 to the TEXAS36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+23
99.7%
General Booty pass complete to Julian Nixon for 23 yds to the TEX 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.7%
Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the TEX 14Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
99.7%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 6
OPP 14
-3
99.7%
General Booty sacked by Liona Lefau for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 17Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
98.4%
Max Larson 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:1299% → 99%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.3%
UL Monroe Penalty, Offsides (Billy Pullen) to the TEX 36Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-3
99.3%
Arch Manning pass intercepted Wydett Williams Jr. return for 3 yds to the TEX 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12MISSED FG
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:202% → 1%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.4%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
98.3%
General Booty pass complete to Davon Wells for 4 yds to the TEX 34Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+7
98.1%
General Booty pass complete to Davon Wells for 7 yds to the TEX 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.6%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+45
98.7%
Max Larson 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
General Booty pass complete to Davon Wells for 2 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.4%
General Booty pass complete to Davon Wells for 2 yds to the ULM 29Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.3%
General Booty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.5%
Jaydon Blue run for 9 yds to the TEX 43Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+9
99.6%
Jaydon Blue run for 9 yds to the ULM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.6%
(12:36) MANNING, Arch pass up the middle incomplete intended for DAVIS, Juan thrown to the ULM35, clock 12:34. PENALTY ULM Roughing the Passer on WELLS, Kevontay enforced 15 yards from the ULM48 to the ULM33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
99.6%
Jaydon Blue run for 20 yds to the ULM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.6%
(12:07) BLUE, Jaydon rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the ULM6 (KNUDSEN, Daniel), clock 12:01. PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the ULM13 to the ULM8. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 5
OPP 8
+3
99.6%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the ULM 5Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+3
99.6%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the ULM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Jerrick Gibson run for 2 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 27Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
99.8%
Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 3 yards to the ULM 24Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-7
99.8%
General Booty pass complete to General Booty for a loss of 7 yards to the ULM 17Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+9
99.8%
(08:44) RYAN, Makenzie punt 38 yards to the TEXAS45, BOLDEN, Silas returned 9 yards to the ULM46 (MACK, Andre;DRILLETTE, Brett), clock 08:32. PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Illegal Formation TEXAS Illegal Block in the Back , Offsetting penalties [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+2
99.8%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 44 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 2 yds to the TEX 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Jaydon Blue run for 5 yds to the TEX 46Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Michael Kern punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.7%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
99.7%
Ozarrio Smith run for no gain to the ULM 12Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+3
99.7%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Artis Cole for 3 yds to the ULM 15Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 7
50
0
99.9%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 7
50
-2
99.9%
Jaydon Blue run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 48Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Michael Kern punt for 49 yds, downed at the ULM 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19SF
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 12
OWN 1
0
99.7%
Ozarrio Smith run for no gain to the ULM 1Similar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
99.7%
UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Sam Carson) to the ULM 2Similar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 11
OWN 2
-1
99.7%
UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Ozarrio Smith) to the ULM 1Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 12
OWN 1
0
99.9%
UL Monroe Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ULM 1Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 12
OWN 1
-1
99.9%
Liona Lefau SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:21100% → 100%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Arch Manning pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the TEX 42Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+15
99.9%
Arch Manning pass complete to Johntay Cook II for 15 yds to the ULM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 3 yds to the ULM 40Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 8 yds to the ULM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
Arch Manning pass complete to Jerrick Gibson for 8 yds to the ULM 24Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+16
99.9%
Arch Manning pass complete to Silas Bolden for 16 yds to the ULM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.9%
Jaydon Blue run for 7 yds to the ULM 1Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 5 yds to the ULM 30Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
99.9%
Bennett Galloway run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 28Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Aidan Armenta pass complete to Davon Wells for 4 yds to the ULM 32Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 4 yds to the TEX 47Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 8 yds to the ULM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 6 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+20
99.9%
Colin Page run for 20 yds to the ULM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Colin Page run for 3 yds to the ULM 16Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Colin Page run for 2 yds to the ULM 14Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 2 yds to the ULM 12Similar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+4
99.9%
Ryan Niblett run for 4 yds to the ULM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.9%
Ryan Niblett run for 7 yds to the ULM 1Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Ryan Niblett run for 1 yd for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Ozarrio Smith run for 3 yds to the ULM 28Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Ozarrio Smith run for 2 yds to the ULM 30Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Aidan Armenta pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-6
100.0%
Makenzie Ryan punt for 36 yds , Silas Bolden returns for a loss of 6 yards to the TEX 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:29100% → 100%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
100.0%
Colin Page run for 11 yds to the TEX 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
100.0%
Colin Page run for 4 yds to the TEX 43Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+10
100.0%
Colin Page run for 10 yds to the ULM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Colin Page run for 2 yds to the ULM 45Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Colin Page run for 4 yds to the ULM 41Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+2
100.0%
Colin Page run for 2 yds to the ULM 39Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-5
100.0%
Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ULM 44Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 7
OPP 44
+2
100.0%
Colin Page run for 2 yds to the ULM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-11
100.0%
Aidan Armenta pass intercepted Artis Cole return for 11 yds to the TEX 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Reid Watkins run for 2 yds to the TEX 35Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
100.0%
Reid Watkins run for 6 yds to the TEX 41Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Reid Watkins run for 3 yds to the TEX 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
Reid Watkins run for 4 yds to the TEX 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 1:46
Max Larson 35 yd FG GOOD
-1.2
TD · Q1 5:28
Arch Manning pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 3 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 1:34
Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 17 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com