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AKR

Akron 7 at South Carolina 50

SC
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:25 · Avery Book punt for 54 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Pregame prior+34.0Home team on offense+7.2Score differential+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Garbage-time factor+0.8Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:19: Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +1.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:53: Robby Ashford pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (K. Kroeger Run For Two-point Conversion) — SC win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:28: Robby Ashford pass complete to Juju McDowell for 12 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:53: Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 42 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK) — AKR win probability +3.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:02: Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +4.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 9AKR made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 12:57SC 4th & 6 at SC 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:57AKR 4th & 13 at AKR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45SC 4th & 2 at AKR 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:55AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:55AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 32, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:04SC 4th & 12 at SC 20, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:25AKR 4th & 18 at AKR 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:28SC 4th & 1 at AKR 12, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:17SC 4th & 1 at AKR 38, up 15
    Close callWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%
    38% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:49AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:57SC 4th & 20 at SC 24, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−1.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:45AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:26AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 23, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:40SC 4th & 14 at SC 43, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:13AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 16, down 22
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:47SC 4th & 1 at AKR 37, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:18SC 4th & 1 at AKR 26, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:52AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 19, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:52AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 19, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:05AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 37, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 7AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:19SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:53SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:28SC Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:53AKR Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:02SC Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:14SC Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:14SC Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:03SC Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5894% → 94%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 26Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
94.1%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the SC 28Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
93.9%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 6 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
93.8%
PENALTY USC Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC34 to USC29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
93.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jordan Castleberry at the AKR 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:536% → 7%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
93.7%
Jordon Simmons run for 11 yds to the AKR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
93.6%
Jordon Simmons run for 6 yds to the AKR 26Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 16
OWN 26
0
93.5%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+3
93.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 3 yds to the AKR 29Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
93.4%
Avery Book punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
17 plays · 89 yds · 5:2993% → 93%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+38
93.2%
Robby Ashford run for 38 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
93.2%
Nyck Harbor run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 9
50
+9
93.1%
Juju McDowell run for 9 yds to the AKR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.9%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
92.9%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+15
92.8%
Robby Ashford run for 15 yds to the AKR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
92.8%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 9 yds to the AKR 17Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+4
92.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the AKR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
92.5%
Robby Ashford run for 8 yds to the AKR 5Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 2
OPP 5
0
92.4%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
92.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the AKR 5Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+3
91.9%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Michael Smith for 3 yds to the AKR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
Q1 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
93.2%
PENALTY USC Delay Of Game 5 yards from AKR03 to AKR08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:147% → 8%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 7 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
92.5%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
92.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 1 yd to the AKR 33Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
92.5%
Avery Book punt for 43 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 1 yd to the SC 25Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
92.5%
Avery Book punt for 43 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 1 yd to the SC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 2:5593% → 95%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
93.2%
Juju McDowell run for 8 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+12
93.1%
Robby Ashford run for 12 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
93.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the SC 38Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+17
93.0%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
93.1%
Robby Ashford run for 15 yds to the AKR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
93.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the AKR 30Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
95.0%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (K. Kroeger Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:567% → 7%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.3%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 1 yd to the AKR 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
93.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Israel Polk for 6 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
93.2%
Avery Book punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Juju McDowell at the SC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4395% → 95%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
94.8%
Jawarn Howell run for 4 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
94.8%
Jawarn Howell run for 2 yds to the SC 28Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-8
94.7%
Robby Ashford sacked by CJ Nunnally IV for a loss of 8 yards to the SC 20Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
94.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AKR 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 3:197% → 6%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
92.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 6 yds to the AKR 46Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
92.9%
Ben Finley run for 3 yds to the AKR 49Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
92.8%
Charles Kellom run for 5 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
92.8%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 2 yds to the SC 44Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-5
92.8%
Ben Finley sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the SC 49Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 13
OPP 49
0
93.5%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 13
OPP 49
-5
93.5%
PENALTY AKR Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC49 to AKR46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 18
OWN 46
0
93.6%
Avery Book punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:4396% → 98%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+35
95.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 35 yds to the AKR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
95.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds to the AKR 37Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+2
95.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
95.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the AKR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
96.0%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the AKR 32Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+11
95.9%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Brady Hunt for 11 yds to the AKR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
96.2%
South Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AKR 28Similar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 17
OPP 28
+9
96.2%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 9 yds to the AKR 19Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+7
96.2%
Juju McDowell run for 7 yds to the AKR 12Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
96.0%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for no gain to the AKR 12Similar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+12
97.7%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Juju McDowell for 12 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:233% → 7%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
96.7%
Ben Finley run for 1 yd to the AKR 31Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
96.8%
Jordon Simmons run for 4 yds to the AKR 35Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+8
96.9%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 8 yds to the AKR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.1%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
97.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 15 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
93.2%
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 42 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11FUMBLE
10 plays · 34 yds · 1:2096% → 95%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
95.8%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Ashford,Robby pass incomplete deep middle to Larvadain,Gage thrown to AKR37 PENALTY AKR Pass Interference (White,Catrell) 15 yards from USC27 to USC42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.9%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
95.9%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 2
50
+3
95.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the AKR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.1%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
96.0%
Robby Ashford run for 3 yds to the AKR 44Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+6
95.6%
Robby Ashford run for 6 yds to the AKR 38Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
95.0%
run for 1 yd to the AKR 39 fumbled, recovered by AKR Nathan KapongoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
94.3%
Kneel down by Akron at AKR38 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:067% → 7%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.4%
Jordon Simmons run for 5 yds to the AKR 30Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
93.1%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jordon Simmons for 7 yds to the AKR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
93.0%
Jordon Simmons run for 4 yds to the AKR 41Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
92.8%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
93.0%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+28
93.2%
Avery Book punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 34 , Jalon Kilgore returns for 28 yds to the SC 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:4693% → 92%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
92.9%
Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds to the SC 42Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 2
OWN 42
-15
93.2%
(12:23) No Huddle-Shotgun McDowell,Juju rush left for 0 yards to the USC42 (Lewis,Darrian; Adler,Bennett) PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Hunt,Brady) 15 yards from USC42 to USC27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+7
92.9%
Robby Ashford run for 7 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-10
92.7%
Robby Ashford sacked by Antavious Fish for a loss of 10 yards to the SC 24Similar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 20
OWN 24
0
92.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 75 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:027% → 7%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
93.3%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 5 yds to the AKR 6Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+6
93.5%
Ben Finley pass complete to Charles Kellom for 6 yds to the AKR 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
93.0%
South Carolina Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the AKR 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.7%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
93.1%
Charles Kellom run for 3 yds to the AKR 30Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
93.0%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
93.3%
Avery Book punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:3194% → 99%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+44
94.2%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 44 yds to the AKR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
94.6%
Robby Ashford run for 12 yds to the AKR 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
94.6%
Jawarn Howell run for 2 yds to the AKR 26Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-6
94.6%
Robby Ashford sacked by Bennett Adler for a loss of 6 yards to the AKR 32Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+28
94.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 28 yds to the AKR 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
94.4%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the AKR 2Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:272% → 2%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.9%
Ben Finley run for 1 yd to the AKR 26Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
98.0%
Charles Kellom run for 2 yds to the AKR 28Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.0%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
98.0%
(03:41) Book,Avery punt 54 yards to the USC18 PENALTY AKR Illegal Formation 5 yards from AKR28 to AKR23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
98.1%
punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4099% → 99%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the AKR 48Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+1
99.3%
Robby Ashford run for 1 yd to the AKR 47Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-10
99.3%
(02:27) Shotgun Ashford,Robby pass complete deep left to Harbor,Nyck caught at AKR22, for 31 yards to the AKR16 (Lewis III,Paul), out of bounds PENALTY USC Holding (Baugh,Trovon) 10 yards from AKR47 to USC43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
99.3%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
99.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:181% → 1%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
98.6%
Charles Kellom run for 6 yds to the AKR 15Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+1
98.7%
Ben Finley pass complete to Jake Newell for 1 yd to the AKR 16Similar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
98.8%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 3
OWN 16
+6
98.8%
Avery Book punt for 61 yds , Gage Larvadain returns for 6 yds to the SC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:4699% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the SC 30Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+27
99.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 27 yds to the AKR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 4 yds to the AKR 39Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
99.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the AKR 36Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
Robby Ashford run for 36 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21INT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:120% → 0%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.9%
(13:12) Shotgun Finley,Ben pass incomplete short right to Bullock,Tahj thrown to AKR26 PENALTY AKR Holding (Shor,Dayne) 10 yards from AKR25 to AKR15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Ben Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Ben Finley pass intercepted DQ Smith return for no gain to the AKR 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22TD
14 plays · 46 yds · 4:36100% → 100%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Davis Beville pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
Davis Beville pass complete to Eriq Rice for 6 yds to the AKR 40Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Matthew Fuller run for 3 yds to the AKR 37Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Matthew Fuller run for 2 yds to the AKR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Davis Beville pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Matthew Fuller run for 5 yds to the AKR 30Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Davis Beville pass complete to Payton Mangrum for 4 yds to the AKR 26Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Matthew Fuller run for 1 yd to the AKR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Matthew Fuller run for no gain to the AKR 25Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.9%
Davis Beville pass complete to Eriq Rice for 14 yds to the AKR 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Jawarn Howell run for 2 yds to the AKR 9Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Davis Beville pass complete to Connor Cox for 9 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Charles Kellom run for 2 yds to the AKR 27Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Tahj Bullock run for 4 yds to the AKR 31Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
99.9%
(07:04) PENALTY AKR False Start (Shor,Dayne) 5 yards from AKR31 to AKR26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
99.9%
Tahj Bullock sacked by Rondarius Porter for a loss of 7 yards to the AKR 19Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+29
100.0%
Avery Book punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AKR 48 Akron Penalty, Kick Catch Interference (Catrell White) to the AKR 48Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+18
100.0%
Avery Book punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 48 Akron Penalty, Kick Catch Interference (Catrell White) to the AKR 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
Matthew Fuller run for 8 yds to the AKR 29Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+4
100.0%
Matthew Fuller run for 4 yds to the AKR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
100.0%
Matthew Fuller run for 2 yds to the AKR 23Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+23
100.0%
Jawarn Howell run for 23 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Conner Cravaack for 6 yds to the AKR 31Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Tahj Bullock pass complete to Conner Cravaack for 1 yd to the AKR 32Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Tahj Bullock run for 4 yds to the AKR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
100.0%
Jordon Simmons run for 1 yd to the AKR 37Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Tahj Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Marquese Williams run for no gain to the AKR 37Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Avery Book punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
Bradley Dunn run for 2 yds to the SC 21Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+8
100.0%
Bradley Dunn run for 8 yds to the SC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:02
Oscar Adaway III run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q2 1:53
Ben Finley pass complete to Adrian Norton for 42 yds for a TD (Garrison Smith KICK)
-3.6
TD · Q1 0:53
Robby Ashford pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 30 yds for a TD (K. Kroeger Run For Two-point Conversion)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com