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TENN

Tennessee 25 at Oklahoma 15

OU
2024 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDSAFETYTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:07 · Luke Elzinga punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Squirrel White at the TENN 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense−13.9Pregame prior−9.0Score differential−7.2Garbage-time factor−4.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:03: Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 66 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +6.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:40: Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +11.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:03: Max Gilbert 41 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +5.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:25: Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Keltner PAT MISSED) — OU win probability +11.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:01: Jovantae Barnes 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — OU win probability +3.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:21OU 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:36TENN 4th & 2 at OU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:51OU 4th & 7 at OU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:19TENN 4th & 28 at TENN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:45TENN 4th & 8 at OU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:33OU 4th & 1 at TENN 20, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%−0.9
    75% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:20OU 4th & 10 at OU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:17TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:23TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 14, up 9
    Close callPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:38OU 4th & 12 at OU 28, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:07OU 4th & 4 at OU 31, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:26TENN 4th & 19 at TENN 37, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−3.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:52OU 4th & 5 at OU 22, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:03TENN 4th & 5 at OU 23, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−5.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:16OU 4th & 4 at OU 46, down 19
    Close callPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:51TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 48, up 19
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00OU 4th & 18 at OU 30, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:55TENN 4th & 15 at TENN 25, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:28TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 29, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:15OU 4th & 14 at OU 23, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:35TENN 4th & 1 at OU 14, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%−1.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−5.8
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:01OU 4th & 1 at TENN 1, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−2.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 0 of 2TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:03TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:40TENN Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:25OU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    8.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:01OU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    6.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:1633% → 34%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
32.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for a loss of 5 yards to the OU 20Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
33.1%
Taylor Tatum run for 4 yds to the OU 24Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
33.1%
Tennessee Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the OU 30Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
33.3%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 12 yds to the OU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
33.5%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
33.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the OU 43Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+7
33.8%
Jackson Arnold run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:21
4TH & 2
50
0
34.0%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2466% → 66%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
50
0
33.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
50
+8
33.9%
Nico Iamaleava run for 8 yds to the OU 42Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
33.9%
Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the OU 42Similar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
34.4%
Jackson Ross punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2235% → 35%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
34.8%
Jackson Arnold run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 18Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-4
35.0%
Jackson Arnold sacked by Tyre West for a loss of 4 yards to the OU 14Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+9
35.0%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jake Roberts for 9 yds to the OU 23Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+4
34.9%
Luke Elzinga punt for 38 yds , Squirrel White returns for 4 yds to the TENN 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -18 yds · 1:1165% → 64%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
34.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TENN 45Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
35.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Holden Staes for 2 yds to the TENN 47Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-7
35.1%
Squirrel White run for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 40Similar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 13
OWN 40
-15
36.0%
Tennessee Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TENN 25Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 28
OWN 25
0
36.3%
Jackson Ross punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Peyton Bowen at the OU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:2936% → 37%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
36.2%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 3 yds to the OU 36Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+11
36.6%
Deion Burks run for 11 yds to the OU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-17
37.1%
Jackson Arnold pass intercepted Jermod McCoy return for 17 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:1565% → 64%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
35.5%
DeSean Bishop run for 2 yds to the OU 48Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+38
35.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 38 yds to the OU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
35.4%
DeSean Bishop run for 2 yds to the OU 8Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
35.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q1 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
36.0%
Nico Iamaleava run for no gain to the OU 8Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+27
36.2%
Max Gilbert 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 3:0736% → 40%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.0%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Brenen ThompsonSimilar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
35.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for 17 yds to the OU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
37.1%
Deion Burks run for 7 yds to the OU 49Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+6
37.5%
Taylor Tatum run for 6 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
37.8%
Taylor Tatum run for 4 yds to the TENN 41 Taylor Tatum fumbled, recovered by OU Taylor TatumSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+11
37.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 11 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
38.4%
Tennessee Penalty, Personal Foul (1 Yards) to the TENN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
38.5%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+9
38.5%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 9 yds to the TENN 20Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
38.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the TENN 20Similar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+37
39.6%
Tyler Keltner 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3062% → 68%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
38.1%
Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TENN 20Similar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
38.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for 14 yds to the TENN 34Similar
Q1 0:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+66
32.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 66 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:4033% → 33%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
33.3%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 12 yds to the OU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
33.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for no gain to the OU 37Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
33.6%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
32.9%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Brenen ThompsonSimilar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
32.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:3067% → 67%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
32.9%
Tennessee Penalty, Personal Foul (-10 Yards) to the TENN 10Similar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
33.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+5
33.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the TENN 15Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+1
33.5%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Robert Spears-Jennings for a loss of 9 yards to the TENN 5 fumbled, forced by Robert Spears-Jennings, recovered by OU Ethan Downs return for 1 yd to the TENN 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 0
OPP 5
0
36.4%
Jackson Arnold run for no gain to the TENN 6 Jackson Arnold fumbled, recovered by TENN Joshua JosephsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:1867% → 66%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
33.2%
DeSean Bishop run for 1 yd to the TENN 7Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+8
33.3%
DeSean Bishop run for 8 yds to the TENN 15Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+7
33.3%
DeSean Bishop run for 7 yds to the TENN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
32.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 7 yds to the TENN 29Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+12
32.1%
DeSean Bishop run for 12 yds to the TENN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
31.6%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by R Mason Thomas and Da'Jon Terry for a loss of 2 yards to the TENN 39Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
32.9%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
33.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for no gain to the TENN 39Similar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
33.9%
Jackson Ross punt for 57 yds, downed at the OU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13SF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0533% → 32%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
33.4%
Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (-2 Yards) to the OU 2Similar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 12
OWN 2
0
31.5%
Jayson Jenkins SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3566% → 68%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
33.9%
DeSean Bishop run for 4 yds to the TENN 10Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+1
33.5%
Nico Iamaleava run for 1 yd to the TENN 11Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+3
32.3%
DeSean Bishop run for 3 yds to the TENN 14Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
32.1%
Jackson Ross punt for 56 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for no gain to the OU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:2733% → 29%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
32.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 28Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
32.2%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
28.8%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 12
OWN 28
+8
28.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 45 yds , Squirrel White returns for 8 yds to the TENN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:4971% → 70%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
29.3%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TENN 37Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-1
29.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 36Similar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-3
30.0%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Trace Ford for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 33 Nico Iamaleava fumbled, recovered by OU Gracen Halton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · -21 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-21
32.6%
Jackson Arnold run for a loss of 21 yards to the OU 46 Jackson Arnold fumbled, recovered by TENN Jakobe ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:4072% → 86%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
28.2%
Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the OU 46Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
28.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 8 yds to the OU 38Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+10
28.3%
Dylan Sampson run for 10 yds to the OU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
27.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the OU 25Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
27.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the OU 23Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+6
27.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 6 yds to the OU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
26.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 16 yds to the OU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1821% → 19%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
20.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OU 21 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OU Michael Hawkins Jr.Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+9
20.0%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 9 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
20.0%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the OU 31Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
19.4%
Luke Elzinga punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Squirrel White at the TENN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-4
16.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TENN 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 12 yds · 4:1982% → 84%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the TENN 26Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
17.7%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the TENN 30Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
17.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Holden Staes for 6 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
16.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 7 yds to the TENN 43Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+3
15.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
15.0%
Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TENN 42Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 14
OWN 42
-10
15.1%
Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TENN 32Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 24
OWN 32
+5
15.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the TENN 37Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 19
OWN 37
0
15.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 19
OWN 37
+4
15.7%
Jackson Ross punt for 50 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 4 yds to the OU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5817% → 17%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
17.2%
Sam Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the OU 14Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 13
OWN 14
0
16.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+8
16.5%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Deion Burks for 8 yds to the OU 22Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
16.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 54 yds, downed at the TENN 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23FG
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:2585% → 92%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
14.6%
DeSean Bishop run for 6 yds to the TENN 30Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+42
14.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 42 yds to the OU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
12.7%
DeSean Bishop run for 3 yds to the OU 25Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
12.5%
DeSean Bishop run for no gain to the OU 25Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+2
12.7%
DeSean Bishop run for 2 yds to the OU 23Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
7.6%
Max Gilbert 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:4012% → 11%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
12.2%
Tennessee Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the OU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
12.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the OU 40Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
12.2%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Brenen Thompson for 6 yds to the OU 46Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
11.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the OU 46Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
11.4%
Luke Elzinga punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Squirrel White at the TENN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:2594% → 95%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
5.7%
Oklahoma Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
5.6%
Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 29Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+6
5.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 6 yds to the TENN 35Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+8
5.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Ethan Davis for 8 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
4.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for 5 yds to the TENN 48Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
4.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
4.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 5
OWN 48
+17
4.8%
Jackson Ross punt for 44 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 17 yds to the OU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:349% → 8%
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
8.6%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 13 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
8.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 36Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-16
8.2%
Michael Hawkins Jr. sacked by Jayson Jenkins and James Pearce Jr. for a loss of 16 yards to the OU 20Similar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 28
OWN 20
+10
7.6%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 10 yds to the OU 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 30
0
7.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:3996% → 96%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
4.0%
DeSean Bishop run for 3 yds to the TENN 13Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+17
3.9%
DeSean Bishop run for 17 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
3.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-4
3.7%
DeSean Bishop run for a loss of 4 yards to the TENN 26Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 14
OWN 26
-1
3.7%
DeSean Bishop run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 25Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+6
3.7%
Jackson Ross punt for 49 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 6 yds to the OU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 3:235% → 19%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
5.1%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
5.0%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 7 yds to the OU 39Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+19
5.3%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 19 yds to the TENN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
5.5%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the TENN 39Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+5
5.5%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 5 yds to the TENN 34Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+10
5.7%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Zion Ragins for 10 yds to the TENN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
5.7%
Tennessee Penalty, Roughing Passer (12 Yards) to the TENN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
5.7%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+11
5.6%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 11 yds to the TENN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
5.4%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 2Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.4%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Keltner PAT MISSED)Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-15
18.5%
Oklahoma Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TENN 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:5393% → 94%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
6.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the TENN 26Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-7
6.7%
Iamaleava, Nico rush for loss of 7 yards to the TENN19, PENALTY TENN illegal forward pass 0 yards to the TENN19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+10
6.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 10 yds to the TENN 29Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+3
5.8%
Jackson Ross punt for 47 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 3 yds to the OU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 30DOWNS
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:069% → 7%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
8.5%
Michael Hawkins Jr. sacked by Jaxson Moi for a loss of 7 yards to the OU 20Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+3
8.0%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the OU 23Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 14
OWN 23
0
7.5%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 14
OWN 23
0
7.4%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 31FG
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3995% → 98%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
5.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
4.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the OU 18Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+4
4.5%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the OU 14Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+32
2.4%
Max Gilbert 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 32TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:244% → 7%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
3.5%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 14 yds to the OU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+46
3.5%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jaquaize Pettaway for 46 yds to the TENN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
4.3%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the TENN 11Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
4.2%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+4
3.4%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the TENN 7Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+3
3.3%
Tennessee Penalty, Roughing Holder (3 Yards) to the TENN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
3.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jake Roberts for 2 yds to the TENN 2Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
4.2%
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
3.9%
Michael Hawkins Jr. run for 1 yd to the TENN 1Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.0%
Jovantae Barnes 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 33END OF GAME
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:0396% → 96%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
4.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 7 yds to the TENN 47Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
3.7%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TENN 49Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+16
3.8%
Nico Iamaleava run for 16 yds to the OU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
3.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OU 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 40
-5
3.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:40
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
-11.8
TD · Q4 8:25
Michael Hawkins Jr. pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Keltner PAT MISSED)
+11
TD · Q1 0:03
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 66 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com