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UTSA

UTSA 7 at Texas 56

TEX
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:06: Quinn Ewers pass complete to Johntay Cook II for 19 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:10: Arch Manning pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:39: Robert Henry run for 53 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK) — UTSA win probability +1.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:07: Arch Manning run for 67 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK) — TEX win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:13: Isaiah Bond 51 Yd pass from Arch Manning (Bert Auburn Kick) — TEX win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTSA made the numbers' call on 12 of 14
  1. Q1 13:19UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:59UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:13UTSA 4th & 1 at TEX 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:30TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:30UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:32UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:21UTSA 4th & 7 at TEX 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:33TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:09UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 36, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:52TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 45, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:08UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:43UTSA 4th & 15 at TEX 36, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:42TEX 4th & 13 at TEX 33, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:17UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 40, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:20UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 22, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:16UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:21TEX 4th & 5 at UTSA 32, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:13UTSA 4th & 22 at UTSA 46, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:54TEX 4th & 22 at TEX 23, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:27TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:06TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:10TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:39UTSA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:07TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:13TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:57TEX Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:19TEX Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:50TEX Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:111% → 2%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 11 yds to the UTSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
98.6%
Robert Henry run for 1 yd to the UTSA 37Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
98.6%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+3
98.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 3 yds to the UTSA 40Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
98.5%
Caile Hogan punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:3399% → 98%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
98.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 11 yds to the TEX 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
98.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 11 yds to the TEX 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Matthew GoldenSimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+16
98.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 16 yds to the UTSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
98.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 16 yds to the UTSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
98.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 1 yd to the UTSA 29Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+15
98.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ryan Niblett for 15 yds to the UTSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
98.2%
UTSA Penalty, Defensive Holding (7 Yards) to the UTSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 7 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q1 9:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
98.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the UTSA 32Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 6 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-6
98.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 6 yards to the UTSA 26Similar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
98.1%
Caile Hogan punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-11
98.1%
Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Owen Pewee return for 11 yds to the TEX 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:072% → 2%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
98.0%
Robert Henry run for 6 yds to the TEX 32Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
97.9%
Robert Henry run for 3 yds to the TEX 29Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
97.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the TEX 29Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-2
97.8%
Robert Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 6:0498% → 98%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
97.9%
Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEX 26Similar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+2
97.8%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the TEX 28Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+3
97.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Matthew Golden for 3 yds to the TEX 31Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+7
97.7%
Quinn Ewers run for 7 yds to the TEX 38Similar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 3
OWN 38
+18
97.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 18 yds to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
97.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Quintrevion Wisner for 9 yds to the UTSA 35Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+2
97.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 2 yds to the UTSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
97.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 9 yds to the UTSA 24Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
97.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 4 yds to the UTSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
97.5%
Jerrick Gibson run for 11 yds to the UTSA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
97.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Silas Bolden for 1 yd to the UTSA 8Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 0
OPP 8
-5
97.5%
Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTSA 13Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-6
97.3%
Ryan Niblett run for a loss of 6 yards to the UTSA 19Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & 0
OPP 19
+19
97.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Johntay Cook II for 19 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.6%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 26Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-9
97.6%
Owen McCown sacked by Liona Lefau for a loss of 9 yards to the UTSA 17Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+8
97.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 8 yds to the UTSA 25Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.6%
Caile Hogan punt for 49 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 2 yds to the TEX 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 0:5298% → 99%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
97.6%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 3 yds to the TEX 31Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+49
97.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 49 yds to the UTSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
97.7%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 1 yd to the UTSA 19Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+19
98.7%
Arch Manning pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:212% → 3%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
98.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to DJ Allen for 22 yds to the UTSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
97.1%
Robert Henry run for 53 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2398% → 99%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.5%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 8 yds to the TEX 33Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+67
98.6%
Arch Manning run for 67 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11MISSED FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 5:242% → 2%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the UTSA 30Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Owen McCown pass incomplete to Willie McCoySimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
98.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jace Wilson for 10 yds to the UTSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
98.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
98.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jace Wilson for 4 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
98.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the UTSA 49Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+5
98.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the TEX 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.2%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
98.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 10 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
98.2%
Owen McCown run for 9 yds to the TEX 27Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
98.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Houston Thomas for 3 yds to the TEX 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
98.1%
Robert Henry run for 4 yds to the TEX 20Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 6
OPP 20
-1
98.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 21Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
98.1%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
98.2%
Chase Allen 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2799% → 99%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
98.7%
Jerrick Gibson run for 9 yds to the TEX 30Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 1
OWN 30
-4
98.7%
Arch Manning run for a loss of 4 yards to the TEX 26Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 5
OWN 26
-10
98.7%
Arch Manning sacked by Donyai Taylor for a loss of 10 yards to the TEX 16Similar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
98.7%
Michael Kern punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:062% → 2%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
98.3%
Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 30Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+6
98.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Chris Carpenter for 6 yds to the UTSA 36Similar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+47
98.4%
Caile Hogan punt for 43 yds, downed at the TEX 21 Texas Penalty, Illegal Block (4 Yards) to the TEX 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:0699% → 99%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
98.8%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+10
98.8%
Jerrick Gibson run for 10 yds to the TEX 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
98.9%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-3
98.9%
Arch Manning pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 11Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 13
OWN 11
+9
98.9%
Arch Manning pass complete to Jerrick Gibson for 9 yds to the TEX 20Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
98.9%
Michael Kern punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the UTSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15END OF HALF
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:442% → 1%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
98.5%
Owen McCown run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTSA 39Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-10
99.1%
UTSA Penalty, Offensive Holding (CJ James) to the UTSA 29Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 22
OWN 29
+6
99.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Willie McCoy for 6 yds to the UTSA 35Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+10
99.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 10 yds to the UTSA 45Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+18
98.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 18 yds to the TEX 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2299% → 100%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.7%
Jerrick Gibson run for 7 yds to the TEX 32Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
98.7%
Arch Manning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+20
98.7%
Arch Manning pass complete to Matthew Golden for 20 yds to the UTSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
98.8%
Jerrick Gibson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 49Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+51
99.7%
Isaiah Bond 51 Yd pass from Arch Manning (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for a loss of 4 yards to the UTSA 21Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
99.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the UTSA 23Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+3
99.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for 3 yds to the UTSA 26Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Caile Hogan punt for 49 yds, downed at the TEX 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.8%
Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 75 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19MISSED FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:470% → 0%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.8%
Rocko Griffin run for 17 yds to the UTSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.8%
Owen McCown run for 7 yds to the UTSA 49Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+7
99.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Will Henderson III for 7 yds to the TEX 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Dan Dishman for 9 yds to the TEX 35Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
99.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Rocko Griffin for 4 yds to the TEX 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
99.8%
Rocko Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 32Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+3
99.8%
Owen McCown pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 3 yds to the TEX 29Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 8
OPP 29
-7
99.8%
Owen McCown sacked by Colin Simmons for a loss of 7 yards to the TEX 36Similar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 15
OPP 36
+54
99.9%
Chase Allen 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
99.8%
Silas Bolden run for a loss of 8 yards to the TEX 28Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
Jerrick Gibson run for 1 yd to the TEX 29Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Arch Manning pass complete to Johntay Cook II for 4 yds to the TEX 33Similar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Michael Kern punt for 41 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 5 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Will Henderson III for 5 yds to the UTSA 36Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Will Henderson III run for 3 yds to the UTSA 39Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
99.9%
Will Henderson III run for 1 yd to the UTSA 40Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-1
99.9%
Will Henderson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTSA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 10 yds to the UTSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 8 yds to the UTSA 21Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 1 yd to the UTSA 20Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 3 yds to the UTSA 17 Jerrick Gibson fumbled, recovered by UTSA Tyan MiltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.9%
Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the UTSA 18Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Owen McCown run for 4 yds to the UTSA 22Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+9
99.9%
Caile Hogan punt for 43 yds , Silas Bolden returns for 9 yds to the TEX 31 Texas Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TEX 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 11 yds to the TEX 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 2 yds to the TEX 47Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+36
99.9%
Arch Manning pass complete to Ryan Wingo for 36 yds to the UTSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
Jerrick Gibson run for 5 yds to the UTSA 12Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Arch Manning pass complete to Johntay Cook II for 12 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
99.9%
UTSA Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Bryson Donnell run for 4 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Caile Hogan punt for 37 yds, downed at the TEX 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Trey Owens run for 3 yds to the TEX 37Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for 10 yds to the TEX 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the TEX 47Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Trey Owens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+16
99.9%
Trey Owens pass complete to Silas Bolden for 16 yds to the UTSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the UTSA 37Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for 9 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-4
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTSA 32Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Trey Owens pass complete to Silas Bolden for 3 yds to the UTSA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:020% → 0%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
100.0%
Texas Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the UTSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
100.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 9 yds to the TEX 47Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+5
100.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Brandon High Jr. for 5 yds to the TEX 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-7
100.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Devin McCuin for a loss of 7 yards to the TEX 49Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 17
OPP 49
-10
100.0%
Owen McCown sacked by Colton Vasek for a loss of 10 yards to the UTSA 41Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 27
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTSA 46Similar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 22
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Caile Hogan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Silas Bolden at the TEX 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
100.0%
Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TEX 10Similar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Colin Page run for 2 yds to the TEX 12Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+23
100.0%
Colin Page run for 23 yds to the TEX 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Colin Page run for 3 yds to the TEX 38Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-15
100.0%
Texas Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Neto Umeozulu) to the TEX 23Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 22
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Colin Page run for no gain to the TEX 23Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 22
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Trey Owens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 22
OWN 23
+5
100.0%
Michael Kern punt for 51 yds , Chris Carpenter returns for 5 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 29INT TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for no gain to the UTSA 31Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
100.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 34Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-30
100.0%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass intercepted Ethan Burke return for 30 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 28Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTSA 31Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
Brandon High Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:39
Robert Henry run for 53 yds for a TD (Chase Allen KICK)
-1.4
TD · Q2 11:07
Arch Manning run for 67 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 12:10
Arch Manning pass complete to DeAndre Moore Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Bert Auburn KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com