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LSU

LSU 36 at South Carolina 33

SC
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:44 · Peyton Todd punt for 39 yds , Debo Williams returns for 12 yds to the SC 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior−18.5Home team on offense+0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:19: Raheim Sanders run for 10 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK) — SC win probability +13.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:47: Caden Durham run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — LSU win probability +15.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:56: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +21.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:51: Raheim Sanders run for 66 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — SC win probability +24.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:12: Josh Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +58.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:44LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:13LSU 4th & 22 at LSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:49SC 4th & 7 at LSU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:26LSU 4th & 21 at LSU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−2.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:28LSU 4th & 3 at SC 11, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%−0.8
    87% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−7.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:01SC 4th & 14 at LSU 39, up 8
    Numbers favored punt by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−0.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    61.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:25SC 4th & 5 at SC 6, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:59SC 4th & 14 at SC 21, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−5.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:27LSU 4th & 1 at SC 1, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−4.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−14.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:34SC 4th & 10 at LSU 24, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    45.0%−13.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:56LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 34, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:46SC 4th & 8 at SC 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−6.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:14SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:19SC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:08LSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:15SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:20LSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    40.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:47LSU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    48.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:56LSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:51SC Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:12LSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2831% → 33%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
30.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 17 yds to the SC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
30.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the SC 48Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+10
31.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 10 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
31.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 11 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
31.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+27
31.7%
Raheim Sanders run for 27 yds to the LSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
32.9%
LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1767% → 66%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
32.7%
Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
33.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 4 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
33.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+12
33.7%
Peyton Todd punt for 39 yds , Debo Williams returns for 12 yds to the SC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3INT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:0535% → 36%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
34.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the SC 42Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
34.7%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ashton Stamps) to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
35.0%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+12
35.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 12 yds Joshua Simon fumbled, forced by Sage Ryan, recovered by SC Michael Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
36.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
36.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
36.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass intercepted, touchback. Zy Alexander return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:5064% → 61%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
35.9%
South Carolina Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Kyle Kennard) to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
35.9%
Kaleb Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
35.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Aaron AndersonSimilar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+6
36.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 6 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
36.6%
Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-1
36.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-12
37.9%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Bam Martin-Scott and Kyle Kennard for a loss of 12 yards to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 22
OWN 33
0
38.8%
Peyton Todd punt for 42 yds, downed at the SC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 6:1639% → 44%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the SC 26Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
39.2%
South Carolina Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the SC 21Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+17
39.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 17 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
40.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 39Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
41.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 7 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
41.1%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
41.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+22
42.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 7 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
42.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+5
43.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
43.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
44.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
44.8%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
44.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q2 13:49
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
43.6%
Alex Herrera 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:0155% → 53%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+26
44.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 11 yds to the SC 37 for a 1ST down South Carolina Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the SC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
43.5%
Kaleb Jackson run for 1 yd to the SC 47Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
43.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyle ParkerSimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-12
44.5%
Garrett Nussmeier sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 12 yards to the SC 41 LSU Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the LSU 41Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 21
OWN 41
+16
46.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Maurice Brown II blocked by Maurice Brown II TEAM punt 0 yards to the LSU41, recovered by SC Brown II, Maurice at LSU41, Brown II, Maurice for 15 yards to the LSU26, Mack III, Buddy for 16 yards to the LSU10 (blocked by Brown II, Maurice). Maurice Brown II return for 15 yds to the LSU 10 Buddy Mack III return for 16 yds to the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
59.7%
Raheim Sanders run for 10 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5444% → 52%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
56.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 20 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
55.9%
Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 5
50
+12
56.5%
Zavion Thomas run for 12 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
57.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 9 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+2
57.1%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the SC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
57.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Caden Durham for 1 yd to the SC 26Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
58.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyle ParkerSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+26
48.4%
Caden Durham run for 26 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:5649% → 51%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
49.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for 11 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
50.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for no gain to the SC 36Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-15
50.6%
South Carolina Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the SC 21Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 25
OWN 21
+13
50.2%
LaNorris Sellers run for 13 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+1
50.5%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Sage Ryan for a loss of 15 yards to the SC 18 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, recovered by LSU Harold Perkins Jr. , return for 0 yards , return for 1 yd to the SC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3252% → 49%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
48.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 5 yds to the SC 13Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+2
49.5%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the SC 11Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 3
OPP 11
0
53.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
51.1%
Damian Ramos 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
62.7%
LaNorris Sellers run for 75 yds for a TD (Alex Herrera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3537% → 48%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.1%
Kaleb Jackson run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
63.2%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Emery Jones Jr.) to the LSU 23Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+18
64.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 18 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
64.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 23 yds to the SC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
62.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 20 yds to the SC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
61.4%
Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the SC 12Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
51.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13END OF HALF
9 plays · 33 yds · 1:1259% → 60%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.7%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 26Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+39
59.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 39 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
62.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Raheim SandersSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
62.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-4
62.3%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Bradyn Swinson for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 14
OPP 39
-3
59.7%
Robby Ashford sacked by Sai'vion Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 42 Robby Ashford fumbled, recovered by SC Raheim Sanders , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:4441% → 41%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
59.5%
Kaleb Jackson run for 19 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
58.3%
Kaleb Jackson run for 1 yd to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-5
58.9%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 40Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+46
60.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 46 yds to the SC 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
55.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
56.0%
Kaleb Jackson run for no gain to the SC 14Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+12
58.8%
South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the SC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
56.6%
Kaleb Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 3Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
57.0%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the SC 1Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.2%
Josh Williams run for no gain to the SC 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5665% → 64%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
64.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the SC 4Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
65.5%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the SC 4Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+2
64.9%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the SC 6Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
64.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the SC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:3338% → 55%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
61.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason TaylorSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+20
62.3%
Caden Durham run for 20 yds to the SC 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
60.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 16 yds to the SC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
60.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
45.3%
Caden Durham run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3953% → 50%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.6%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the SC 25Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
52.6%
Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the SC 20Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
51.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 1 yd to the SC 21Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
50.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 44 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for no gain to the LSU 21 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:5648% → 74%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
51.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 16 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
50.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
51.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 3 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+16
51.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 16 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
47.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 6 yds to the SC 39Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+15
47.9%
South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
46.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 25Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+15
47.4%
Caden Durham run for 15 yds to the SC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
46.9%
Caden Durham run for 6 yds to the SC 4Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
47.7%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the SC 2Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19DOWNS
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 10:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Josh WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4333% → 62%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the SC 30Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
33.6%
Robby Ashford run for 4 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
57.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 66 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 0
OPP 3
-5
62.4%
South Carolina Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the LSU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:0844% → 44%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
55.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 5 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 19
-4
55.4%
Josh Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 15Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+10
58.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 10 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
55.7%
Garrett Nussmeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 24 Garrett Nussmeier fumbled, recovered by SC Dylan StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4565% → 67%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
64.6%
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 25Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+1
64.7%
Robby Ashford run for 1 yd to the LSU 24Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
62.5%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
66.8%
Alex Herrera 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3336% → 34%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
64.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 9 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
62.5%
Caden Durham run for no gain to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
65.8%
Peyton Todd punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:3769% → 73%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-14
69.6%
South Carolina Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Mazeo Bennett Jr.) to the SC 13Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+11
74.6%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 11 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-12
73.3%
Robby Ashford sacked by Bradyn Swinson for a loss of 12 yards to the SC 12 Robby Ashford fumbled, recovered by LSU Major Burns , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5943% → 39%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
56.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-5
57.4%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SC 17Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+4
60.4%
Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the SC 13Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 11
OPP 13
-30
60.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted Nick Emmanwori return for 20 yds to the SC 0 South Carolina Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Kyle Kennard) to the SC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:0676% → 81%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
75.9%
Robby Ashford run for 4 yds to the SC 14Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
77.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the SC 18Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 2
OWN 18
-5
79.1%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (Vershon Lee) to the SC 13Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 7
OWN 13
-1
81.6%
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 12Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 8
OWN 12
+4
80.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 47 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 4 yds to the LSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 27TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 2:1631% → 88%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
69.5%
Caden Durham run for 10 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
67.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
67.8%
Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the SC 41Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+3
70.0%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the SC 38Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+5
71.9%
South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+29
66.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 29 yds to the SC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
65.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 0
OPP 4
+2
62.1%
South Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the SC 2Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
70.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
11.7%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 28DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:5827% → 23%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
27.0%
Robby Ashford run for 9 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-7
27.5%
Robby Ashford sacked by Bradyn Swinson for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 27Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+31
22.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Vandrevius Jacobs for 31 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
31.4%
South Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+15
25.9%
Robby Ashford run for 15 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
32.7%
Robby Ashford pass incomplete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
31.9%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+49
23.3%
Alex Herrera 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:12
Josh Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
-58.9
TD · Q4 13:51
Raheim Sanders run for 66 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+24
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-23.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com