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TULN

Tulane 19 at Oklahoma 34

OU
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+3.4OU 94.5%Tyler Keltner 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 24 · Q3 9:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:20 · Tyler Keltner 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+14.6Home team on offense+20.0Score differential+9.7Garbage-time factor+8.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:39: Taylor Tatum run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Keltner KICK) — OU win probability +6.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:19: Ty Thompson pass complete to Reggie Brown for 7 yds for a TD (Ethan Head PAT MISSED) — TULN win probability +6.4 pts (now 14%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:45: Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 8 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK) — TULN win probability +7.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:20: Jackson Arnold pass intercepted Tyler Grubbs return for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — TULN win probability +13.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:05: Jackson Arnold run for 24 yds for a TD (Tyler Keltner KICK) — OU win probability +8.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:22TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:12TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:53OU 4th & 5 at OU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:17TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:52OU 4th & 11 at TULN 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:00TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:15TULN 4th & 15 at OU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:20OU 4th & 10 at TULN 11, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:45TULN 4th & 8 at OU 8, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−5.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:55OU 4th & 14 at OU 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:45TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:07OU 4th & 9 at OU 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−3.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:00TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 29, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:25OU 4th & 12 at OU 24, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−4.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:18TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 35, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.9%−4.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:34TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 32, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:55OU 4th & 5 at TULN 22, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:36OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:02OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:39OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:19TULN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:45TULN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:20TULN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    26.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:05OU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3217% → 17%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.1%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 26Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
82.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 5 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
82.7%
Will Karoll punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Peyton Bowen at the OU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 5:3683% → 83%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
82.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 7 yds to the OU 38Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
82.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd to the OU 39Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
82.5%
Jackson Arnold run for 3 yds to the OU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
82.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 7 yds to the OU 49Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+3
82.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 3 yds to the TULN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
82.3%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 3 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+10
82.2%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 10 yds to the TULN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
82.2%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 5 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
82.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+12
81.9%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jovantae Barnes for 12 yds to the TULN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
81.7%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Deion BurksSimilar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+6
81.7%
Jackson Arnold run for 6 yds to the TULN 10Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+9
81.4%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 9 yds to the TULN 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.1%
Jackson Arnold run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:2017% → 17%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
82.5%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
82.7%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Derrick Graham) to the TULN 22Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+12
82.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 12 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
82.6%
Tulane Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TULN 29Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
82.8%
Will Karoll punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1383% → 83%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
83.0%
Gavin Sawchuk run for no gain to the OU 43Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
82.9%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Jake Roberts for 5 yds to the OU 48Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
82.8%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Deion BurksSimilar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
82.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2818% → 18%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
82.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 13Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+19
82.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 19 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
82.1%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
82.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 33Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+1
82.4%
Darian Mensah run for 1 yd to the TULN 34Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
82.3%
Will Karoll punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Peyton Bowen at the OU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 3:1382% → 82%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
82.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 6 yds to the OU 27Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+1
82.3%
Jovantae Barnes run for 1 yd to the OU 28Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+12
81.9%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Zion Kearney for 12 yds to the OU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
82.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 14 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
82.8%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
82.8%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+10
82.2%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 10 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
82.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 4 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
82.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the TULN 32Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
82.6%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Jovantae BarnesSimilar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 6
OPP 32
-5
81.9%
Oklahoma Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TULN 37Similar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
81.6%
Luke Elzinga punt for 33 yds, downed at the TULN 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3918% → 18%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
81.8%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the TULN 8Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 8
-4
81.8%
Tulane Penalty, Illegal Formation (-4 Yards) to the TULN 4Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 4
0
81.8%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+2
82.2%
Arnold Barnes III run for 2 yds to the TULN 6Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+24
82.4%
Will Karoll punt for 78 yds , Peyton Bowen returns for 24 yds to the OU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:4983% → 88%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
82.5%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
50
+2
82.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for 2 yds to the TULN 48Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+15
82.7%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 15 yds to the TULN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
82.8%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+18
82.8%
Jackson Arnold run for 7 yds to the TULN 23 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Bailey Despanie) to the TULN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
82.8%
Taylor Tatum run for 3 yds to the TULN 9Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
87.5%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Taylor Tatum for 9 yds for a TD (Tyler Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9MISSED FG
14 plays · 43 yds · 4:4314% → 13%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.7%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
85.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
50
+2
85.2%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the OU 48Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+10
85.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 10 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
85.4%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the OU 35Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
84.7%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the OU 31Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+4
85.3%
Arnold Barnes III run for 4 yds to the OU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
84.8%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
85.1%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
85.6%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 10
OPP 27
-5
86.5%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (Yulkeith Brown) to the OU 32Similar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 15
OPP 32
+50
86.8%
Jacob Barnes 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:2087% → 95%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+47
87.1%
Jackson Arnold run for 47 yds to the TULN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
87.8%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
87.8%
Jackson Arnold run for 7 yds to the TULN 13Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+8
87.5%
Taylor Tatum run for 8 yds to the TULN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
87.9%
Jackson Arnold run for 4 yds to the TULN 1Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.8%
Taylor Tatum run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:146% → 14%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Makhi HughesSimilar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 9 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
93.7%
Darian Mensah run for 3 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.8%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+19
93.8%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 19 yds to the OU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
93.4%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the OU 38Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+10
93.3%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming for a 1ST down Oklahoma Penalty, Defensive Holding (Dez Malone) to the OU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
93.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the OU 24Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
93.0%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+17
93.5%
Makhi Hughes run for 17 yds to the OU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.2%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the OU 7Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.5%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Reggie Brown for 7 yds for a TD (Ethan Head PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 5:3490% → 95%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the OU 25Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
89.8%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Zion Ragins for 13 yds to the OU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
90.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the OU 41Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
90.2%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 3 yds to the OU 44Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
89.8%
Tulane Penalty, Defensive Offside (Adin Huntington) to the OU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
90.6%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Deion BurksSimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
90.5%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Jaquaize PettawaySimilar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+17
90.0%
Jackson Arnold run for 17 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
90.9%
Jovantae Barnes run for 12 yds to the TULN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
91.0%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 11 yds to the TULN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
91.1%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the TULN 8Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
91.2%
Jovantae Barnes run for no gain to the TULN 8Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-3
91.1%
Jackson Arnold sacked by Patrick Jenkins for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 11Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
94.5%
Tyler Keltner 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:257% → 14%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
93.3%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 22 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
92.9%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 46Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+15
93.2%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 15 yds to the OU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.2%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the OU 39Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+15
93.3%
Mensah, Darian pass incomplete to Bauman, Alex (TEAM), PENALTY OU pass interference (Anderson, Angelo) 15 yards to the OU24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.Similar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
92.5%
Dontae Fleming run for 19 yds to the OU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
92.6%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Arnold Barnes III for a loss of 2 yards to the OU 7Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
93.0%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the OU 8Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.9%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.4%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 8 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:4288% → 88%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.4%
Jackson Arnold run for 2 yds to the OU 27Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
88.3%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 15 yds to the OU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
89.2%
Taylor Tatum run for 1 yd to the OU 43Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+2
89.5%
Taylor Tatum run for 2 yds to the OU 45Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-7
89.2%
Jackson Arnold sacked by Tyler Grubbs for a loss of 7 yards to the OU 38Similar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
88.3%
Luke Elzinga punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0512% → 11%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
88.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+2
87.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+6
87.6%
Yulkeith Brown run for 6 yds to the TULN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.0%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-2
87.3%
Arnold Barnes III run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 36Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
88.9%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
89.3%
Will Karoll punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Peyton Bowen at the OU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17INT TD
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:1990% → 76%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
89.7%
Oklahoma Penalty, Illegal Formation (Michael Tarquin) to the OU 22Similar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 15
OWN 22
-22
76.1%
Jackson Arnold pass intercepted Tyler Grubbs return for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:0077% → 75%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
76.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 4 yds to the OU 34Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-8
78.1%
Jackson Arnold sacked by Angelo Anderson for a loss of 8 yards to the OU 26Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+5
75.0%
Tulane Penalty, Defensive Offside (Angelo Anderson) to the OU 31Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
75.7%
Jackson Arnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
74.7%
Luke Elzinga punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0127% → 25%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
73.4%
Darian Mensah pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
73.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
73.6%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
75.0%
Will Karoll punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2481% → 78%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
80.6%
Jovantae Barnes run for 3 yds to the OU 29Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
80.5%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Bauer Sharp for no gain to the OU 29Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-5
79.4%
Oklahoma Penalty, False Start (Febechi Nwaiwu) to the OU 24Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
78.5%
Jackson Arnold pass incomplete to Deion BurksSimilar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 12
OWN 24
+49
77.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 49 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 23 Tulane Penalty, Illegal Block (Mandel Eugene Jr.) to the TULN 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0028% → 27%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
72.3%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the TULN 26Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
72.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+6
73.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the TULN 35Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-2
73.5%
Darian Mensah pass intercepted Billy Bowman Jr. return for 2 yds to the TULN 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 2:0687% → 97%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
86.6%
Jackson Arnold pass complete to Deion Burks for 20 yds to the TULN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
87.8%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd to the TULN 22Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-2
88.3%
Taylor Tatum pass complete to Jackson Arnold for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 24Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+24
96.5%
Jackson Arnold run for 24 yds for a TD (Tyler Keltner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:247% → 5%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
92.8%
Darian Mensah sacked by R Mason Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the TULN 30Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+2
94.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
94.5%
Darian Mensah pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 13
OWN 32
-5
94.6%
Darian Mensah sacked by R Mason Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the TULN 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3397% → 99%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
96.9%
Taylor Tatum run for 4 yds to the TULN 23Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+4
97.3%
Taylor Tatum run for 4 yds to the TULN 19Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-3
97.5%
Jackson Arnold run for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 22Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
98.7%
Tyler Keltner 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25FUMBLE
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:033% → 2%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.0%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 23Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+16
97.1%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 16 yds to the TULN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
96.7%
Darian Mensah pass complete to Mario Williams for 16 yds to the OU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
96.6%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reggie Brown) to the TULN 45Similar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 20
OWN 45
+6
97.0%
Darian Mensah run for 6 yds to the OU 49Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+8
97.6%
Darian Mensah sacked by R Mason Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the TULN 36 Darian Mensah fumbled, forced by R Mason Thomas, recovered by OU R Mason Thomas , return for 0 yards , return for 8 yds to the TULN 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.2%
Taylor Tatum run for 4 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
99.3%
Taylor Tatum run for no gain to the TULN 32Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-5
99.3%
Oklahoma Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TULN 37Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 11
OPP 37
-9
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the TULN 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:20
Jackson Arnold pass intercepted Tyler Grubbs return for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-13.6
TD · Q4 6:05
Jackson Arnold run for 24 yds for a TD (Tyler Keltner KICK)
+8.7
TD · Q3 4:45
Darian Mensah pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 8 yds for a TD (Ethan Head KICK)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com