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UNM

New Mexico 19 at Auburn 45

AUB
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:48 · Aaron Rodriguez punt for 43 yds, downed at the AUB 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Pregame prior+5.4Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+27.1Garbage-time factor+11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.4Blowout margin+16.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:01: Luke Drzewiecki 21 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +0.8 pts (now 7%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 9:58: Hank Brown pass complete to Micah Riley for 3 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK) — AUB win probability +3.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:55: Hank Brown pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 14 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK) — AUB win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:50: Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UNM win probability +2.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:08: Hank Brown pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 26 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK) — AUB win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:12UNM 4th & 8 at AUB 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:21AUB 4th & 1 at UNM 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:34AUB 4th & 6 at UNM 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:01UNM 4th & 4 at AUB 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.4%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:39AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:05UNM 4th & 5 at AUB 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:50UNM 4th & 4 at AUB 4, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:36UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 33, down 19
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:09UNM 4th & 8 at AUB 30, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:48UNM 4th & 18 at UNM 17, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 7:45AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:14UNM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:12AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:58AUB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:55AUB Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:50UNM Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:08AUB Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:51AUB Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:472% → 3%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 3 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
97.5%
Luke Wysong run for 7 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
97.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 14 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
97.3%
Javen Jacobs run for 19 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
97.2%
Devon Dampier run for 15 yds to the AUB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
97.1%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-5
97.1%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 22Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+7
97.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 7 yds to the AUB 15Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
97.0%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
97.0%
Luke Drzewiecki 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2TD
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:1697% → 97%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
97.0%
Hank Brown pass complete to Camden Brown for 3 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
97.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the UNM 24Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
96.9%
Hank Brown pass complete to Robert Lewis for 4 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.8%
Hank Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
96.8%
Hank Brown pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the UNM 13Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+2
96.7%
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the UNM 11Similar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+1
96.5%
run for 1 yd to the UNM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.5%
Hank Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.7%
Hank Brown pass complete to Camden Brown for 10 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:293% → 5%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
96.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 13 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
96.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 5 yds to the UNM 43Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+7
96.2%
Luke Wysong run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
50
+50
96.1%
New Mexico Penalty, intentional grounding (Devon Dampier) to the AUB 0Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 24
OWN 36
+5
96.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 5 yds to the UNM 41Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 19
OWN 41
0
96.2%
(05:22) DAMPIER, Devon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TRUJILLO, Nic thrown to the AUB7, clock 05:19. PENALTY AUB Offsides on MCLEOD, Jalen declined AUB Pass Interference on KITE, Antonio enforced 15 yards to the AUB44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+41
96.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 41 yds to the AUB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.8%
Naquari Rogers run for no gain to the AUB 3Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.2%
Naquari Rogers run for 3 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5995% → 96%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the AUB 30Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
95.3%
Hank Brown pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 7 yds to the AUB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+50
95.2%
Hank Brown pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 50 yds to the UNM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
95.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the UNM 9Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+5
95.2%
Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the UNM 4Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
95.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the UNM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5INT
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:335% → 5%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.3%
Eli Sanders run for 11 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
95.0%
Devon Dampier pass intercepted Jerrin Thompson return for no gain to the UNM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6FG
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:4995% → 95%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+26
95.4%
Hank Brown pass complete to Sam Jackson V for 26 yds to the UNM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
95.3%
Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the UNM 2Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
95.3%
Damari Alston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 4Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
95.1%
Hank Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 6Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
95.4%
Towns McGough 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:315% → 7%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.3%
Eli Sanders run for 15 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.1%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
95.1%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+12
95.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Nic Trujillo for 12 yds to the AUB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
94.8%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
94.8%
Devon Dampier run for 8 yds to the AUB 40Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+33
94.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 33 yds to the AUB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
94.2%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
94.1%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Luke Wysong) to the AUB 12Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
94.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the AUB 4Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.2%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
93.4%
Luke Drzewiecki 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1694% → 93%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
93.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the AUB 39Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-1
93.7%
Jeremiah Cobb run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 38Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
93.2%
Hank Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 10
OWN 38
-5
92.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 49 yds , Javen Jacobs returns for a loss of 5 yards to the UNM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:287% → 8%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
93.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 2 yds to the UNM 10Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+10
93.2%
Eli Sanders run for 10 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+55
92.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 55 yds to the AUB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
91.5%
Naquari Rogers run for no gain to the AUB 25Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
91.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 5 yds to the AUB 20Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
92.0%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
92.4%
Luke Drzewiecki 37 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10FUMBLE
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:3393% → 92%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
92.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for 11 yds to the AUB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
92.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the AUB 32Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+8
92.2%
Hank Brown pass complete to Camden Brown for 8 yds to the AUB 40Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
92.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the AUB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.4%
Hank Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+29
92.1%
Damari Alston run for 29 yds to the UNM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
92.4%
Hank Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
92.7%
Damari Alston run for 9 yds to the UNM 18Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-2
92.3%
Damari Alston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 20 Damari Alston fumbled, recovered by UNM Gabriel Lopez G. Lopez return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 0:238% → 7%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.2%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
92.3%
Naquari Rogers run for 4 yds to the UNM 24Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+5
92.4%
Eli Sanders run for 5 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-5
92.4%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Wallace Unamba) to the UNM 24Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-5
92.6%
(01:09) RODRIGUEZ, Aaron punt 54 yards to the AUB22 downed by POLA-GATES, Noa, clock 01:01. PENALTY Before the snap, UNM Illegal Formation on MILLER, Shawn enforced 5 yards from the UNM24 to the UNM19. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
92.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 37 yds , Keionte Scott returns for no gain to the AUB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:4591% → 92%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
91.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the AUB 20Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+12
90.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for 12 yds to the AUB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+23
91.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for 23 yds to the UNM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
92.4%
Hank Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
92.4%
Hank Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+6
91.8%
Holden Geriner run for 6 yds to the UNM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:0091% → 95%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
90.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for 31 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
91.2%
Auburn Penalty, Offensive Holding (Connor Lew) to the AUB 49Similar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 17
OWN 49
+12
90.4%
Hank Brown pass complete to Camden Brown for 12 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+5
91.0%
Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the UNM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
90.9%
Hank Brown pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 4 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+19
90.7%
Jarquez Hunter run for 19 yds to the UNM 11 Jarquez Hunter fumbled, recovered by AUB Rivaldo Fairweather R. Fairweather return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
90.4%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 5 yds to the UNM 6Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+5
91.2%
Hank Brown pass complete to Malcolm Simmons for 5 yds to the UNM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
91.0%
Damari Alston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 3Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.5%
Hank Brown pass complete to Micah Riley for 3 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14INT
12 plays · 50 yds · 4:177% → 7%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 10 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
93.3%
Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the UNM 39Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+20
92.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 20 yds to the AUB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
92.3%
(08:07) DAMPIER, Devon pass to the left complete for 6 yards to WYSONG, Luke caught at the AUB44 and advanced to the AUB35, out of bounds, clock 08:03. PENALTY Before the snap, UNM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the AUB41 to the AUB46. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 15
OPP 46
-5
92.6%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Wallace Unamba) to the UNM 49Similar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 20
OWN 49
0
92.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 20
OWN 49
+21
92.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 21 yds to the AUB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
91.5%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
91.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds to the AUB 25Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
91.7%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 5
OPP 25
-15
93.4%
New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (Richard Pearce) to the AUB 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:3695% → 98%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
94.6%
Hank Brown pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 22 yds to the UNM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
94.6%
(05:05) BROWN, Hank pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LAMBERT-SMITH, KeAndre thrown to the UNM3, clock 05:01. PENALTY UNM Pass Interference on TAYLOR, Bryson enforced 15 yards to the UNM14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.1%
Hank Brown pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 14 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16TD
15 plays · 74 yds · 5:493% → 5%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
97.3%
Javen Jacobs run for 5 yds to the UNM 31Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+11
97.1%
Eli Sanders run for 11 yds to the UNM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
97.1%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the UNM 43Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+6
97.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 6 yds to the UNM 49Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+5
97.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 5 yds to the AUB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
97.1%
(01:46) DAMPIER, Devon pass deep up the middle complete for 34 yards to TRUJILLO, Nic caught at the AUB12 and advanced to the AUB12 (KITE, Antonio), clock 01:35. PENALTY UNM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BECKETT, Baraka enforced 5 yards from the AUB46 to the UNM49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 15
OWN 49
-3
97.1%
Javen Jacobs run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 46Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 18
OWN 46
+9
97.5%
(00:36) DAMPIER, Devon pass to the left incomplete intended for DAVIS, Ryan thrown to the AUB45, clock 00:37. PENALTY AUB Pass Interference on THOMPSON, Jerrin enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the AUB45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
97.3%
Eli Sanders run for 20 yds to the AUB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
97.0%
Luke Wysong run for 8 yds to the AUB 17 for a 1ST down Auburn Penalty, Personal Foul (Jerrin Thompson) to the AUB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
96.9%
Naquari Rogers run for 4 yds to the AUB 4Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.2%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.5%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:3296% → 99%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
95.7%
Auburn Penalty, Delay Of Game (Camden Brown) to the UNM 48Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+8
95.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for 8 yds to the UNM 40Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+12
95.6%
Jarquez Hunter run for 12 yds to the UNM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
96.5%
Hank Brown pass complete to Luke Deal for 2 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+26
99.0%
Hank Brown pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 26 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:352% → 2%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the UNM 33Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
97.9%
Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 33Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
98.0%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+37
98.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 37 yds , Keionte Scott returns for no gain to the AUB 32 , returns for no gain to the AUB 32Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
97.6%
(10:30) DAMPIER, Devon pass short to the right complete for 2 yards to HUNTER, Everett caught at the AUB30 and advanced to the AUB30 (THOMPSON, Jerrin), out of bounds, clock 10:16. PENALTY UNM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on DAVIS, Ryan enforced 5 yards from the AUB32 to the AUB37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:512% → 2%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+3
97.9%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the AUB 34Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-5
97.6%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Caleb Medford) to the AUB 39Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 17
OPP 39
0
97.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 17
OPP 39
+9
98.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 9 yds to the AUB 30Similar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 8
OPP 30
0
97.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:1399% → 100%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+32
99.0%
Hank Brown pass complete to Perry Thompson for 32 yds to the UNM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.1%
Damari Alston run for 7 yds to the UNM 31Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+9
99.2%
Damari Alston run for 9 yds to the UNM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.2%
Hank Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.2%
Hank Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
Damari Alston run for 22 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.9%
(05:49) QB Keeper DAMPIER, Devon rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the UNM32, End of Play, clock 05:45. PENALTY UNM Personal Foul on PEARCE, Richard enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards from the UNM25 to the UNM13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+12
99.9%
Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters run for 12 yds to the UNM 25Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
100.0%
(04:43) DAMPIER, Devon pass to the right complete for 15 yards to DAVIS, Ryan caught at the UNM40 and advanced to the UNM40, out of bounds, clock 04:36. PENALTY UNM Holding on PEARCE, Richard enforced 10 yards from the UNM25 to the UNM15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Javen Jacobs run for 2 yds to the UNM 17Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 43 yds, downed at the AUB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 28 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 8 yds to the AUB 48Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 3 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 1 yd to the UNM 48Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+13
99.9%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 13 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Jeremiah Cobb run for 5 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-2
99.9%
(00:32) [NH] Kneel down by GERINER, Holden at UNM32 (team loss of 2), clock 00:22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:58
Hank Brown pass complete to Micah Riley for 3 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q3 4:55
Hank Brown pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 14 yds for a TD (Towns McGough KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q4 13:50
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 4 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com