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UAB

UAB 27 at Arkansas 37

ARK
2024 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:42 · Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the ARK 21 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+7.7Home team on offense+17.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.3Score differential+5.6Garbage-time factor+6.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:48: Taylen Green run for 14 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK) — ARK win probability +6.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:03: Kyle Ramsey 51 yd FG GOOD — ARK win probability +4.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:00: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 16 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK) — ARK win probability +6.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:55: Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 21 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK) — UAB win probability +25.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 40%).
  5. TD · Q4 3:36: Taylen Green run for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK) — ARK win probability +9.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 7:33UAB 4th & 4 at ARK 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:00ARK 4th & 8 at UAB 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:55UAB 4th & 1 at ARK 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−0.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:39ARK 4th & 1 at UAB 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.9%−1.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:11UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:53UAB 4th & 5 at ARK 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:03ARK 4th & 12 at UAB 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:54UAB 4th & 14 at UAB 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:28ARK 4th & 22 at UAB 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:42UAB 4th & 7 at ARK 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:31ARK 4th & 8 at UAB 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−6.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:04UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.0%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:42UAB 4th & 1 at ARK 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−1.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−5.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:05UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:51UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:17ARK Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:48ARK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:00ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:55UAB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:36ARK Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 7:277% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
93.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+15
93.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 15 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
92.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 5 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+6
92.5%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 6 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
92.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the ARK 36Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
92.2%
Amare Thomas run for 5 yds to the ARK 31Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+6
92.0%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the ARK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
91.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 3 yds to the ARK 22Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+7
91.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 7 yds to the ARK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
91.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
91.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the ARK 12Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+3
91.2%
Jacob Zeno run for 3 yds to the ARK 9Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
90.9%
Jonah Delange 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2INT
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:4591% → 91%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+23
90.9%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 23 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-40
91.0%
Taylen Green pass intercepted Michael Moore return for 40 yds to the ARK 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:3510% → 11%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
90.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for no gain to the ARK 15Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
89.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for 15 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:5990% → 89%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
89.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 9 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 1
OPP 14
0
89.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
89.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
89.2%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
89.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
88.7%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
88.7%
Kyle Ramsey 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0712% → 18%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
88.2%
Arkansas Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Landon Jackson) to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
87.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 5 yds to the ARK 49Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
87.4%
Jacob Zeno run for no gain to the ARK 49Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+4
87.1%
Jacob Zeno run for 4 yds to the ARK 45Similar
Q1 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+11
86.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 11 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
85.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 5 yds to the ARK 29Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
85.4%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:42
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-10
85.7%
(00:42) ZENO, Jacob pass to the right complete for 21 yards to HOLT-BENNETT, Malachi caught at the ARK16 and advanced to the ARK8 (WORTH III, Larry), clock 00:26. PENALTY UAB Holding on YATES, Quez enforced 10 yards from the ARK29 to the ARK39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+5
85.6%
Arkansas Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the ARK 34Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+34
81.9%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 34 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3483% → 84%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the ARK 25Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
81.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 9 yds to the ARK 34Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
81.4%
Taylen Green run for 14 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
81.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
81.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 9 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
80.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
79.6%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
79.4%
Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
78.7%
Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+14
79.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 14 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
79.8%
Rodney Hill run for 13 yds to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.7%
Braylen Russell run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:0019% → 21%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
80.6%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+6
79.9%
Jacob Zeno run for 6 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-5
78.2%
UAB Penalty, False Start (OC Brothers) to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 6
OWN 32
-7
78.4%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Brad Spence for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 7:11
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
78.9%
Patrick Foley punt for 44 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for no gain to the ARK 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:2279% → 86%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+29
79.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 29 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
80.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
80.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+14
79.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 14 yds to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
80.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 12 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
86.4%
Taylen Green run for 14 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:5517% → 24%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
82.8%
(04:48) ZENO, Jacob pass up the middle complete for -5 yards to BUCKHAULTER, Brandon caught at the UAB21 and advanced to the UAB20 (JACKSON, Landon), clock 04:42. PENALTY ARK Face mask on SOREY, Xavian enforced 15 yards from the UAB25 to the UAB40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
81.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 11 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
80.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARK 48Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+12
80.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Bryce Damous for 12 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+29
79.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 29 yds to the ARK 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
77.7%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
77.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 2 yds to the ARK 5Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
77.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
75.9%
Jonah Delange 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 0:5077% → 82%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
76.8%
(01:53) GREEN, Taylen pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TESLAA, Isaac thrown to the ARK43, clock 01:49. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on HILL, Kelvin enforced 15 yards to the ARK40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
78.4%
(01:49) GREEN, Taylen pass deep to the left incomplete intended for TESLAA, Isaac thrown to the UAB20, clock 01:43. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on DEMPSEY, Colby enforced 15 yards to the UAB45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
79.2%
Taylen Green run for 8 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+6
79.1%
Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
80.0%
Taylen Green sacked by Desmond Little for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
79.4%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 12
OPP 33
0
77.4%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 12
OPP 33
+51
81.6%
Kyle Ramsey 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:2220% → 19%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
80.2%
(01:03) ZENO, Jacob pass short to the left complete for 5 yards to SHANKS, Kam caught at the UAB29 and advanced to the UAB30, out of bounds, clock 00:59. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on HOLT-BENNETT, Malachi enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the UAB13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+4
80.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Lee Beebe Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 18
OWN 17
-5
80.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for a loss of 5 yards Kam Shanks fumbled, recovered by UAB Kam Shanks K. Shanks return for 7 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+3
80.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the UAB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:5682% → 89%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
81.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 14Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+15
81.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 15 yds to the ARK 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
81.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 17 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
82.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 8 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+7
82.5%
Rodney Hill run for 7 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
82.1%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
82.0%
Taylen Green run for 8 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+7
82.3%
Taylen Green run for 7 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
82.9%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
82.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 8 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+16
89.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 16 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:0613% → 12%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.3%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
87.1%
(09:37) BEEBE JR., Lee rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the UAB32 (ROBINSON, Marquise), clock 09:29. PENALTY UAB Holding on JONES, DJ enforced 10 yards from the UAB27 to the UAB17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+3
87.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for 3 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
87.7%
Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
88.0%
Patrick Foley punt for 40 yds, downed at the ARK 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:1389% → 86%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
89.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 15 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
89.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+29
89.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 29 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
89.6%
Rodney Hill run for 3 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-10
89.5%
(05:21) HILL, Rodney rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the UAB6 (BRYANT, Sirad), clock 05:14. PENALTY ARK Holding on PAASKE, Andreas enforced 10 yards from the UAB12 to the UAB22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 17
OPP 22
-5
89.3%
Taylen Green sacked by Joker Gill for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 22
OPP 27
0
87.8%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 22
OPP 27
+45
86.4%
Kyle Ramsey 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4915% → 13%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
85.2%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 4 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+11
84.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 11 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
84.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 10 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
82.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 1 yd to the ARK 47Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
82.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the ARK 44Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-1
82.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 45Similar
Q3 1:42
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
85.2%
Patrick Foley punt for 33 yds, downed at the ARK 12Similar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
86.9%
(01:33) GREEN, Taylen pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BRODEN, Tyrone thrown to the ARK47, clock 01:27. PENALTY UAB Roughing the Passer on ROUSSAW JR., Everett enforced 15 yards from the ARK12 to the ARK27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:5488% → 90%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
88.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 8 yds to the ARK 35Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+13
88.7%
Taylen Green run for 13 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+28
89.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 28 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
90.6%
Taylen Green sacked by AJ Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 16
OPP 30
0
90.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 16
OPP 30
+8
89.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 8 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+40
90.0%
Kyle Ramsey 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 6:339% → 32%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
90.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
90.9%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+2
91.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 2 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+5
91.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Kam Shanks for 5 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
89.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 13 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
89.3%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+23
90.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Brandon Hawkins Jr. for 23 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
89.1%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Isaiah Jacobs for 6 yds to the ARK 26Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+1
88.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 1 yd to the ARK 25Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
91.8%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the ARK 23Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
93.1%
Lee Beebe Jr. run for 2 yds to the ARK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
67.6%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 21 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1981% → 98%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
80.6%
Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 20Similar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+16
80.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 16 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
82.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 11 yds to the ARK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
84.0%
UAB Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
85.0%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Holding (Sirad Bryant) to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
86.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
88.8%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 9 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by ARK Taylen Green T. Green return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 3:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.4%
Taylen Green run for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19INT
11 plays · 40 yds · 2:264% → 5%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.7%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 9 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
96.1%
Isaiah Jacobs run for 3 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
96.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Amare Thomas for 2 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
96.1%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+9
96.4%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 9 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
96.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+2
96.7%
Jacob Zeno run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 8
50
+15
96.8%
(01:11) ZENO, Jacob sacked for a loss of 7 yards at the UAB43 (JACKSON, Landon;ROSE, Keivie), clock 01:07. PENALTY ARK Face mask on SLAUGHTER, Doneiko enforced 15 yards from the UAB50 to the ARK35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-23
95.5%
Jacob Zeno pass intercepted TJ Metcalf return for 23 yds to the ARK 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:4499% → 99%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
98.7%
(00:54) Kneel down by ARK at ARK30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:46.Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-1
98.6%
(00:10) Kneel down by ARK at ARK29 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:55
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Dallas Payne for 21 yds for a TD (Jonah Delange KICK)
-25.4
TD · Q4 3:36
Taylen Green run for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)
+9.6
TD · Q3 10:00
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 16 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com