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NICH

Nicholls 21 at LSU 44

LSU
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:50 · Peyton Todd punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Terry Matthews at the NICH 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior+12.2Home team on offense+32.3Score differential+22.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.3Garbage-time factor+13.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+8.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:18: Lee Negrotto 18 Yd pass from Quincy Brown (Gabe Showalter Kick) — NICH win probability +1.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:53: Ju'Juan Johnson 4 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick) — LSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:52: Collin Guggenheim 67 Yd Run (Gabe Showalter Kick) — NICH win probability +2.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 6:43: Kyren Lacy 7 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick) — LSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:09: Zavion Thomas 4 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick) — LSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:06LSU 4th & 9 at LSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:04LSU 4th & 1 at NICH 18, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:17NICH 4th & 5 at LSU 35, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:56NICH 4th & 8 at NICH 27, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 5:05NICH 4th & 7 at NICH 28, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:05NICH 4th & 7 at NICH 28, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:01NICH 4th & 8 at LSU 47, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:34LSU 4th & 16 at LSU 7, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:21NICH 4th & 6 at LSU 40, down 23
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:50LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 27, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:25NICH 4th & 3 at LSU 38, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:19LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 45, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:51LSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:30NICH Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:17LSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:18NICH Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:53LSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:52NICH Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:03LSU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:43LSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:09LSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
99.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 18 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
99.7%
PENALTY LSU False Start (Campbell,Will) 5 yards from LSU33 to LSU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+6
99.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 6 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Peyton Todd punt for 47 yds , Terry Matthews returns for no gain to the NICH 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2SF
4 plays · -19 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.6%
Marquese Albert run for 3 yds to the NICH 22Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+2
99.6%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NICH 20Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+4
99.6%
Pat McQuaide run for 4 yds to the NICH 24Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 5
OWN 24
+24
99.6%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:13100% → 100%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 4 yds to the NICH 23Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+5
99.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 5 yds to the NICH 18Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+7
99.5%
Kaleb Jackson run for 7 yds to the NICH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.6%
Kaleb Jackson run for 9 yds to the NICH 2Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+1
99.6%
Kaleb Jackson run for 1 yd to the NICH 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Trey'Dez Green 1 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 4TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 7:171% → 1%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the NICH 17Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+18
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 18 yds to the NICH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Jackson Dufrene for 13 yds to the NICH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+9
99.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Jackson Dufrene for 9 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the LSU 39Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+2
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+10
99.2%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 10 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Collin Guggenheim run for no gain to the LSU 25Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.2%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 14 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.2%
Collin Guggenheim run for 9 yds to the LSU 2Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Collin Guggenheim 2 Yd Run (Gabe Showalter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:4399% → 99%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
98.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 7 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+3
98.9%
Kaleb Jackson run for 3 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
98.9%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 12 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
98.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Ju'Juan Johnson for 8 yds to the NICH 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+11
98.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 11 yds to the NICH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
98.9%
Kyren Lacy 32 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 6TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:591% → 3%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Marquese Albert run for 5 yds to the NICH 30Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
98.9%
Marquese Albert run for 2 yds to the NICH 32Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
98.9%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 7 yds to the NICH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
98.8%
PENALTY LSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from NSU39 to NSU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+2
98.8%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NICH 46Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
98.8%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NICH 48Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+4
98.6%
Corey Warren Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
98.6%
Collin Guggenheim pass complete to Tank Mcmath for a loss of 5 yards to the NICH 47Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+13
98.7%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 13 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+2
98.6%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.6%
Collin Guggenheim run for no gain to the LSU 38Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+16
98.6%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Terry Matthews for 16 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
98.6%
Collin Guggenheim run for 9 yds to the LSU 13Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 1
OPP 13
-5
98.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Guggenheim,Collin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LSU10 (Allen,Jordan; Breaux,Ahmad) PENALTY NSU Illegal Formation (Negrotto,Lee) 5 yards from LSU13 to LSU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+18
96.8%
Lee Negrotto 18 Yd pass from Quincy Brown (Gabe Showalter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2597% → 98%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.4%
Kaleb Jackson run for 5 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
97.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete deep left to Daniels,CJ thrown to LSU45 broken up by Lee,Ethan PENALTY NSU Pass Interference (Lee,Ethan) 15 yards from LSU20 to LSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
97.4%
Garrett Nussmeier run for 1 yd to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+34
97.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 34 yds to the NICH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+26
97.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 26 yds to the NICH 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.2%
Ju'Juan Johnson 4 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:572% → 2%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.0%
Marquese Albert run for 3 yds to the NICH 28Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
97.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Albert,Marquese rush left for 24 yards gain to the LSU48 (Woodland,PJ), out of bounds PENALTY NSU Holding (Hebb,Nathan) 10 yards from NSU28 to NSU18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+3
98.0%
Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NICH 21Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+6
98.0%
Collin Guggenheim run for 6 yds to the NICH 27Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+6
97.9%
Kylan Dupre punt for 33 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 6 yds to the LSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9MISSED FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:5698% → 98%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
98.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 6
50
+5
98.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 5 yds to the NICH 45Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+10
98.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass incomplete short left to Thomas,Zavion thrown to NSU45 PENALTY NSU Pass Interference (Sullivan Jr.,Laurence) 10 yards from NSU45 to NSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
98.2%
Rickie Collins pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 12 yds to the NICH 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
98.0%
Rickie Collins run for 1 yd to the NICH 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+39
98.0%
Damian Ramos 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 10TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:083% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Guggenheim,Collin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NSU28 (Swinson,Bradyn; Spears,Dashawn) PENALTY LSU Illegal Substitution (Spears,Dashawn) 5 yards from NSU25 to NSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
97.3%
Pat McQuaide run for 3 yds to the NICH 33Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+67
95.1%
Collin Guggenheim 67 Yd Run (Gabe Showalter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:4496% → 97%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
95.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 8 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+5
96.0%
Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
96.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 17 yds to the NICH 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
96.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 9 yds to the NICH 33Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
96.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
96.1%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the NICH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
96.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+8
96.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Javen Nicholas for 8 yds to the NICH 23Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+5
96.1%
PENALTY NSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from NSU23 to NSU18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
96.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+12
96.3%
Josh Williams run for 12 yds to the NICH 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.1%
Kyren Lacy 6 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
96.3%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 16 yds Quincy Brown fumbled, recovered by LSU PJ WoodlandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:1097% → 99%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
97.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 13 yds to the NICH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
97.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+17
97.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 17 yds to the NICH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
97.0%
Caden Durham run for 4 yds to the NICH 7Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
98.6%
Kyren Lacy 7 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:382% → 2%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.8%
Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NICH 28Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
97.7%
Collin Guggenheim run for no gain to the NICH 28Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.9%
Pat McQuaide pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.8%
Kylan Dupre punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.8%
Kylan Dupre punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the NICH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:5699% → 100%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
98.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Aaron Anderson for 14 yds to the NICH 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
98.5%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the NICH 29Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
98.5%
Caden Durham run for 2 yds to the NICH 27Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+14
98.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 14 yds to the NICH 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
98.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to CJ Daniels for 8 yds to the NICH 5Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+1
98.5%
Caden Durham run for 1 yd to the NICH 4Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Zavion Thomas 4 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:081% → 1%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the NICH 29Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
99.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun McQuaide,Pat pass incomplete short right to Brown,Quincy thrown to NSU42, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY LSU Pass Interference (Johnson,JK) 11 yard from NSU29 to NSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.3%
Corey Warren Jr. run for 2 yds to the NICH 42Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.4%
Nicholls Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-2 Yards) to the NICH 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the NICH 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.4%
Pat McQuaide pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.4%
Pat McQuaide pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
99.4%
Kylan Dupre punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the LSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass complete short right to Daniels,CJ caught at LSU20, for 7 yards to the LSU20 (Smith,Kendarius), out of bounds PENALTY LSU Pass Interference (Anderson,Aaron) LSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass declined 6 yards from LSU13 to LSU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 16
OWN 7
0
99.6%
Kaleb Jackson run for no gain to the LSU 7Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 16
OWN 7
-14
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Nussmeier,Garrett pass complete short left to Taylor,Mason caught at LSU21, for 14 yards to the LSU21 (Dalmado,Jake) PENALTY LSU Illegal Touch-Pass (Taylor,Mason). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 16
OWN 7
0
99.6%
Kaleb Jackson run for no gain to the LSU 7Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 16
OWN 7
0
99.5%
Peyton Todd punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Terry Matthews at the NICH 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:131% → 1%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the NICH 46Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
99.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Marquese Albert for 5 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+5
99.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 5 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.4%
Pat McQuaide pass complete to Quincy Brown for 3 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
99.4%
Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the LSU 40Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
99.4%
Pat McQuaide pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
99.5%
Kylan Dupre punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Josh Williams run for no gain to the LSU 20Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.6%
PENALTY LSU False Start (Chester,DJ) 5 yards from LSU20 to LSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+12
99.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 12 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Peyton Todd punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Terry Matthews at the NICH 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:251% → 1%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.5%
Corey Warren Jr. run for 4 yds to the NICH 42Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
99.5%
Corey Warren Jr. run for 1 yd to the NICH 43Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+12
99.5%
Christian Arceneaux pass complete to Jackson Dufrene for 12 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.5%
Jayden Milton run for no gain to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.5%
Christian Arceneaux pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.5%
Christian Arceneaux pass complete to Jackson Dufrene for 7 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Christian Arceneaux pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.7%
Rickie Collins run for 3 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
99.8%
Kaleb Jackson run for 4 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Kaleb Jackson run for no gain to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Blake Ochsendorf punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NICH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:191% → 1%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
99.4%
PENALTY NSU False Start (Johnson,Jacob) 5 yards from NSU18 to NSU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 13
-2
99.4%
Kneel down by Nicholls at NSU11 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:52
Collin Guggenheim 67 Yd Run (Gabe Showalter Kick)
-2.1
TD · Q2 4:18
Lee Negrotto 18 Yd pass from Quincy Brown (Gabe Showalter Kick)
-1.7
TD · Q3 6:43
Kyren Lacy 7 Yd pass from Garrett Nussmeier (Damian Ramos Kick)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com