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South Carolina 31 at Kentucky 6

UK
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:15 · TEAM run for no gain to the UK 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:20: Brock Vandagriff run for 3 yds to the SC 24 — UK win probability +7.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:19: Alex Raynor 39 Yd Field Goal — UK win probability +5.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 6:49: Joshua Simon 16 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (Alex Herrera Kick) — SC win probability +19.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:28: Raheim Sanders 6 Yd Run (Alex Herrera Kick) — SC win probability +16.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:49: Nick Emmanwori 24 Yd Interception Return (Alex Herrera Kick) — SC win probability +10.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 10SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:23UK 4th & 3 at UK 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:53SC 4th & 8 at SC 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:00UK 4th & 6 at UK 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:39UK 4th & 27 at UK 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:08SC 4th & 7 at SC 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:07UK 4th & 23 at UK 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:11SC 4th & 2 at SC 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:15UK 4th & 1 at UK 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.3%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:06SC 4th & 7 at UK 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−5.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:55UK 4th & 1 at SC 14, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%−1.9
    84% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−6.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:19UK 4th & 3 at SC 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−1.5
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:26SC 4th & 24 at SC 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−4.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:42UK 4th & 22 at UK 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−5.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:33UK 4th & 20 at UK 2, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−5.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:53SC 4th & 26 at UK 36, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:00UK 4th & 18 at UK 47, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:39SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:49SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:28SC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:49SC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:1776% → 75%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
75.7%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the UK 20Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+11
75.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 11 yds to the UK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
75.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 5 yds to the UK 36Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
75.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the UK 38Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
75.3%
Brock Vandagriff pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
75.2%
Wilson Berry punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2525% → 25%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
75.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-10
75.1%
Sellers, LaNorris pass complete to Smith, Michael for 7 yards to the SC33, PENALTY SC holding 10 yards to the SC16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 18
OWN 16
0
75.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Mazeo Bennett Jr.Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 18
OWN 16
+10
75.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 10 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+54
75.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 54 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 19 Ja'Mori Maclin fumbled, recovered by UK Ja'Mori MaclinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4575% → 74%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
74.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 9 yds to the UK 28Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-7
74.9%
Barion Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 21Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+2
74.4%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 2 yds to the UK 23Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
74.0%
Wilson Berry punt for 38 yds, downed at the SC 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 1:1426% → 29%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
74.0%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 21 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
73.6%
LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the UK 35Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+11
73.3%
Jared Brown run for 11 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
70.9%
Mazeo Bennett Jr. 24 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (Alex Herrera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3972% → 70%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
71.6%
Jason Patterson run for 5 yds to the UK 29 Jason Patterson fumbled, recovered by UK Dane KeySimilar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+32
71.4%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Dane Key for 32 yds to the SC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
71.9%
Brock Vandagriff pass complete to Fred Farrier II for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 43Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 14
OPP 43
-9
71.1%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by T.J. Sanders for a loss of 9 yards to the UK 48Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 23
OWN 48
-4
70.4%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by Kyle Kennard for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 44 Brock Vandagriff fumbled, forced by Kyle Kennard, recovered by UK Brock Vandagriff , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 27
OWN 44
0
69.6%
Wilson Berry punt for 47 yds, downed at the SC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:1630% → 31%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
69.8%
Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the SC 10Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
69.4%
Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the SC 10Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 9
OWN 10
-5
69.5%
Sellers, LaNorris pass complete to Jacobs, Vandrevius for 17 yards to the SC27, PENALTY SC holding 5 yards to the SC5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 14
OWN 5
+7
69.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 7 yds to the SC 12Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 7
OWN 12
+13
69.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 57 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for 13 yds to the UK 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:5369% → 67%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-12
69.3%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by Vicari Swain for a loss of 12 yards to the UK 32 Kentucky Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the UK 32Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 22
OWN 32
-1
68.2%
Brock Vandagriff run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 31Similar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 23
OWN 31
0
67.5%
Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 23
OWN 31
0
67.3%
Wilson Berry punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Juju McDowell at the SC 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4933% → 34%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
67.3%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SC 31Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
66.9%
Robby Ashford run for 4 yds to the SC 35Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+2
66.5%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the SC 37Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
66.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UK 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:5067% → 65%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
66.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 8 yds to the UK 18Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+4
66.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the UK 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
65.9%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the UK 22Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
65.5%
Anthony Brown-Stephens run for 8 yds to the UK 30Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
65.1%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the UK 31Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
64.6%
Brock Vandagriff run for no gain to the UK 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:5838% → 43%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
62.4%
Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 32Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+18
61.9%
Robby Ashford run for 18 yds to the UK 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
61.1%
Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 16Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 12
OPP 16
0
60.7%
Robby Ashford run for no gain to the UK 16Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+5
60.7%
Robby Ashford run for 5 yds to the UK 11Similar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
57.4%
Alex Herrera 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:5559% → 59%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
58.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 11 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
58.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 6 yds to the UK 46Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+8
58.7%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 8 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
58.7%
Jason Patterson run for 8 yds to the SC 38Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+3
58.4%
Jason Patterson run for 3 yds to the SC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
59.2%
Jason Patterson run for 6 yds to the SC 29Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
59.0%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the SC 26Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+3
57.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the SC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
58.1%
Jason Patterson run for 4 yds to the SC 19Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+2
57.4%
Jason Patterson run for 2 yds to the SC 17Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+3
54.6%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the SC 14Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+32
58.9%
Alex Raynor 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12INT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:1048% → 47%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
52.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Joshua Simon for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 18Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-16
53.4%
LaNorris Sellers pass intercepted Ty Bryant return for 16 yds to the SC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0161% → 64%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
60.5%
Brock Vandagriff run for 3 yds to the SC 24Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+4
60.4%
Brock Vandagriff run for 4 yds to the SC 20Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
58.0%
Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+39
63.5%
Alex Raynor 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
60.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 2:1941% → 40%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
59.1%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Michael Smith for 9 yds to the SC 34Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
57.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
56.8%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Maxwell Hairston for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 39 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, forced by Maxwell Hairston, recovered by SC Michael Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-7
57.6%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Zion Childress for a loss of 7 yards to the SC 32 LaNorris Sellers fumbled, forced by Zion Childress, recovered by SC Kamaar Bell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 19
OWN 32
-5
59.6%
South Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SC 27Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 24
OWN 27
0
59.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 24
OWN 27
+8
60.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 58 yds , Ja'Mori Maclin returns for 8 yds to the UK 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:2859% → 55%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
58.7%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for no gain to the UK 23Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
58.2%
Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-12
56.5%
Brock Vandagriff sacked by Dylan Stewart for a loss of 12 yards to the UK 11Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 22
OWN 11
+2
55.4%
Wilson Berry punt for 49 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 2 yds to the SC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:4646% → 67%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
54.3%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the SC 46Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
54.0%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 2
50
+1
53.5%
LaNorris Sellers run for 1 yd to the UK 49Similar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+5
54.9%
Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
52.3%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Michael Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 45Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-3
52.0%
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 48Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+32
52.5%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Mazeo Bennett Jr. for 32 yds to the UK 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
32.8%
Joshua Simon 16 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (Alex Herrera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 1:3736% → 30%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
35.5%
Sumo-Karngbaye, Demie rush for 9 yards to the UK21, PENALTY UK holding 6 yards to the UK6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 16
OWN 6
-3
34.9%
Sumo-Karngbaye, Demie rush for 13 yards to the UK19, PENALTY UK holding 3 yards to the UK3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 19
OWN 3
-1
34.5%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 2Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 20
OWN 2
0
32.4%
Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete to Josh KattusSimilar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 20
OWN 2
0
31.0%
Brock Vandagriff pass incomplete to Ja'Mori MaclinSimilar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 20
OWN 2
+2
30.0%
Wilson Berry punt for 48 yds , Juju McDowell returns for 2 yds to the UK 4 Kentucky Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the UK 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:0169% → 92%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
30.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass incomplete to Raheim SandersSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-7
30.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the UK 40 South Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 17
50
+6
30.7%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 6 yds to the UK 44Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+13
30.2%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Jared Brown for 13 yds to the UK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
28.4%
Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+5
27.6%
Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the UK 22Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+21
27.2%
Raheim Sanders run for 21 yds to the UK 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
26.1%
LaNorris Sellers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 2Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 0
OPP 2
-10
24.8%
Sanders, Raheim rush for 2 yards to the UK0, PENALTY SC holding 10 yards to the UK12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 0
OPP 12
+6
23.9%
Sellers, LaNorris pass incomplete to Simon, Joshua, PENALTY UK holding 6 yards to the UK6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SC.Similar
Q3 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
7.7%
Raheim Sanders 6 Yd Run (Alex Herrera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20INT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:1212% → 2%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
11.9%
Brock Vandagriff run for 2 yds to the UK 10Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-24
1.2%
Nick Emmanwori 24 Yd Interception Return (Alex Herrera Kick)Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
1.7%
South Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the SC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21INT
12 plays · 37 yds · 4:392% → 1%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
1.5%
Sumo-Karngbaye, Demie rush for 4 yards to the UK44, PENALTY UK illegal formation 5 yards to the UK35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 15
OWN 35
-5
1.1%
Sumo-Karngbaye, Demie rush for 26 yards to the SC39, PENALTY UK illegal formation 5 yards to the UK30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+24
1.0%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 24 yds to the SC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
1.3%
Ja'Mori Maclin run for 12 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
1.3%
Jason Patterson run for 3 yds to the SC 31Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
1.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Dane Key for 4 yds to the SC 27Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+3
1.2%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the SC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
1.2%
Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for a loss of 2 yards to the SC 26Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 12
OPP 26
-5
1.0%
Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SC 31Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 17
OPP 31
+8
0.8%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 8 yds to the SC 23Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-14
0.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted Jalon Kilgore return for 14 yds to the SC 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:5299% → 100%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
0.8%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SC 32Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+15
0.8%
Sellers, LaNorris pass incomplete to Harbor, Nyck, PENALTY UK pass interference 15 yards to the SC47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SC.Similar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
0.7%
Juju McDowell run for a loss of 3 yards to the SC 44Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+36
0.6%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Michael Smith for 36 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
0.6%
McDowell, Juju rush for 5 yards to the UK15, PENALTY SC holding 10 yards to the UK30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 20
OPP 30
-1
0.5%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 31Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 21
OPP 31
+3
0.4%
LaNorris Sellers run for 3 yds to the UK 28Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 18
OPP 28
-5
0.4%
South Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UK 33Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 23
OPP 33
-3
0.4%
LaNorris Sellers sacked by Steven Soles Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 36Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 26
OPP 36
0
0.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:440% → 0%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.3%
Jason Patterson run for 5 yds to the UK 25Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
0.3%
Jason Patterson run for 4 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
0.3%
Jason Patterson run for 5 yds to the UK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
0.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 11 yds to the UK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
0.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 3 yds to the UK 48Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
0.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 7 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
0.2%
Barion Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the SC 49Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 14
OPP 49
0
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Willie RodriguezSimilar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 14
OPP 49
-4
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Bryan Thomas Jr. and Monkell Goodwine for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 47Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 18
OWN 47
0
0.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Willie RodriguezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 49Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
0.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the UK 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:49
Joshua Simon 16 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (Alex Herrera Kick)
-19.7
TD · Q3 0:28
Raheim Sanders 6 Yd Run (Alex Herrera Kick)
-16.2
TD · Q4 14:49
Nick Emmanwori 24 Yd Interception Return (Alex Herrera Kick)
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com