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ARK

Arkansas 31 at Oklahoma State 39

OKST
2024 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadARK aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreARK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:44 · Kyle Ramsey 41 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 143Home team on offense−19.4Pregame prior+4.5Score differential−6.1Garbage-time factor−8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Time remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 9:37: Brennan Presley 7 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Alan Bowman Pass to De'Zhaun Stribling for Two-Point Conversion) — OKST win probability +35.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 5:13: Brennan Presley 3 Yd Run (Logan Ward Kick) — OKST win probability +24.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:01: Luke Hasz 43 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Kyle Ramsey Kick) — ARK win probability +36.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:55: Logan Ward 38 Yd Field Goal — OKST win probability +29.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Kyle Ramsey 45 Yd Field Goal — ARK win probability +26.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 10 of 10ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:08OKST 4th & 1 at ARK 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.8%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:29ARK 4th & 17 at OKST 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    26.7%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:46OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:43OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:49OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:29OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:47ARK 4th & 11 at ARK 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:51ARK 4th & 6 at midfield, up 14
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:10OKST 4th & 1 at ARK 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−2.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−9.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:45OKST 4th & 27 at ARK 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−2.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:39OKST 4th & 10 at ARK 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−8.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:44ARK 4th & 14 at OKST 24, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−3.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−9.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:23OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 38, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:45ARK 4th & 4 at OKST 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    44.0%−1.6
    70% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−21.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:55OKST 4th & 9 at ARK 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−9.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−34.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ARK made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:52ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:31ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:50OKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:05ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:37OKST Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    50.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    50.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:13OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−1.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:01ARK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:3773% → 72%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
72.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 12 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
72.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+16
72.5%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete, PENALTY ARK pass interference 16 yards to the ARK39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
72.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josh Ford for 10 yds to the ARK 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
72.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds to the ARK 21Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
72.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
72.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the ARK 20Similar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
72.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:2928% → 28%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
72.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 15 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
71.9%
Taylen Green run for 31 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
71.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
71.1%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-9
71.2%
Taylen Green sacked by Jeff Roberson for a loss of 9 yards to the OKST 36Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 12
OPP 36
-5
71.7%
Arkansas Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKST 41Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
71.7%
Devin Bale punt for 40 yds, downed at the OKST 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3472% → 71%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
71.5%
Alan Bowman run for 2 yds to the OKST 3Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
71.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
71.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 8
OWN 3
0
70.8%
Wes Pahl punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the OKST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:4529% → 33%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
70.6%
Taylen Green run for 17 yds to the OKST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
70.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the OKST 27Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
70.2%
Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+18
70.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 18 yds to the OKST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
69.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the OKST 5Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson 5 Yd Run (Kyle Ramsey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:5968% → 67%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
67.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Talyn Shettron for 11 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
67.6%
Alan Bowman run for no gain to the OKST 39Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
67.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
67.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
66.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 2:4933% → 41%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+28
66.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 28 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
65.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 12 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
65.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 17 yds to the OKST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
64.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 28Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 12
OPP 28
0
64.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 12
OPP 28
+23
64.1%
Taylen Green run for 23 yds to the OKST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
63.2%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
58.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson 5 Yd Run (Kyle Ramsey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3260% → 59%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 35Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
59.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
58.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 5 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
58.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 44 yds, downed at the ARK 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8INT TD
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:4043% → 36%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
57.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 14 yds to the ARK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
56.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Rodney Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 28Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+16
55.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 16 yds to the ARK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
54.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 3 yds to the ARK 47Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+1
53.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the ARK 48Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+10
52.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 10 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
51.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 9 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+2
50.3%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the OKST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
49.2%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
48.8%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 8
OPP 29
-73
57.6%
Kale Smith 73 Yd Interception Return (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
63.9%
Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:3341% → 56%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Rodney Hill for 2 yds to the ARK 27Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
57.1%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the ARK 29Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
57.2%
Arkansas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 24Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+32
57.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 32 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
54.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 16 yds to the OKST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
53.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 17 yds to the OKST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
52.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the OKST 11Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
43.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson 11 Yd Run (Kyle Ramsey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1545% → 42%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
44.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
42.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
42.4%
Hudson Kaak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3158% → 57%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
42.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARK 29Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
42.6%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
43.1%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+4
43.3%
Devin Bale punt for 57 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 4 yds to the OKST 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:4441% → 40%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
41.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 17Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+7
40.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Cale Cabbiness for 7 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+6
39.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
40.1%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Jaheim Singletary return for no gain to the ARK 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:1362% → 69%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
38.5%
Taylen Green sacked by Obi Ezeigbo for a loss of 7 yards to the ARK 28Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+4
37.8%
Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 32Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+13
36.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 13 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+35
30.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 35 yds to the OKST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:5463% → 67%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
37.5%
Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the ARK 19Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
37.0%
Jordan Anthony run for 3 yds to the ARK 22Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+9
36.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 9 yds to the ARK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
34.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 15 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
32.2%
Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 6
50
0
31.7%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 6
50
0
31.9%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 6
50
0
33.2%
Devin Bale punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FG
17 plays · 62 yds · 4:5634% → 34%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
34.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 12Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+19
33.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 19 yds to the OKST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
34.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 32Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+10
33.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 10 yds to the OKST 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
34.1%
Alan Bowman run for 5 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+19
34.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 19 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
35.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the ARK 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
35.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
34.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Tyler Foster for 9 yds to the ARK 13Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
32.7%
Sesi Vailahi run for no gain to the ARK 13Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+2
32.0%
Alan Bowman run for 2 yds to the ARK 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
32.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 3 yds to the ARK 8Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 7
OPP 8
-15
31.9%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the ARK 23Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 22
OPP 23
-5
31.1%
Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 28Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 27
OPP 28
0
30.8%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 27
OPP 28
0
29.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 27
OPP 28
+45
33.9%
Logan Ward 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16FUMBLE
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:0866% → 71%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
34.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 23Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
34.9%
Arkansas Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ARK 18Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+18
34.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 18 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
31.7%
Rodney Hill run for 1 yd to the ARK 37Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
31.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 8 yds to the ARK 45Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+6
29.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 6 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
28.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 49 Ja'Quinden Jackson fumbled, recovered by OKST Kody WalterscheidSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:2134% → 33%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
33.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 10 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
33.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
33.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the ARK 34Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+16
32.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 16 yds to the ARK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
34.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+7
33.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 7 yds to the ARK 11Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 3
OPP 11
-15
32.0%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the ARK 26Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 18
OPP 26
+8
29.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josh Ford for 8 yds to the ARK 18Similar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+35
33.1%
Logan Ward 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:4970% → 76%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.8%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
30.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 6 yds to the ARK 31Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+18
29.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 18 yds to the ARK 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
26.3%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
26.3%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+18
25.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 18 yds to the OKST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
21.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 13 yds to the OKST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
21.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the OKST 19Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-5
19.8%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 24 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by ARK Taylen GreenSimilar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 14
OPP 24
0
20.6%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+41
24.3%
Kyle Ramsey 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:5927% → 23%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
26.5%
Sesi Vailahi run for 5 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
27.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+9
25.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
27.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
27.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
25.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+37
23.3%
Hudson Kaak punt for 38 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for no gain to the ARK 25 Isaiah Sategna fumbled, recovered by OKST Shea FreibaumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:2332% → 67%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 0
OPP 25
+18
32.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 18 yds to the ARK 7Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
67.3%
Brennan Presley 7 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Alan Bowman Pass to De'Zhaun Stribling for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:2745% → 48%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
54.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 10 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
51.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 26 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
47.9%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 33Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 14
OPP 33
0
50.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 14
OPP 33
+10
53.6%
Taylen Green run for 10 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+3
52.0%
Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the OKST 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:1959% → 92%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
59.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 9 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+63
62.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jake Schultz for 63 yds to the ARK 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
66.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
66.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josh Ford for 5 yds to the ARK 3Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.5%
Brennan Presley 3 Yd Run (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5513% → 54%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
86.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 31 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
83.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the OKST 43Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+43
46.4%
Luke Hasz 43 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Kyle Ramsey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 2:5559% → 92%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
58.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 10 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
59.4%
Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (13 Yards) to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
63.7%
Sesi Vailahi run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 43Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+15
59.5%
Arkansas Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ARK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
64.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the ARK 42Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
64.4%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+21
61.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 36 yds to the ARK 6 for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the ARK 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
68.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 23Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+1
68.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the ARK 22Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+7
65.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the ARK 15Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 4
OPP 15
-5
62.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARK 20Similar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+38
91.9%
Logan Ward 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 48 yds · 0:4719% → 59%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 8 yds to the ARK 33Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
77.3%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
78.6%
Rodney Hill run for 7 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
77.9%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+33
78.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 33 yds to the OKST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
67.8%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+45
41.5%
Kyle Ramsey 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 26MISSED FG
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0059% → 44%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
41.1%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
41.7%
Rodney Hill run for 12 yds to the OKST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-6
41.1%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 6 yards to the OKST 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 19
+3
42.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 3 yds to the OKST 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 16
-12
45.5%
Taylen Green sacked by Obi Ezeigbo for a loss of 12 yards to the OKST 28Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 25
OPP 28
+46
56.3%
Kyle Ramsey 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27MISSED FG
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
65.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the ARK 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+1
65.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the ARK 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-2
63.3%
Alan Bowman run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 24Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
58.8%
Logan Ward 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 88%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
65.6%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+13
65.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the ARK 24 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the ARK 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
88.0%
Ollie Gordon II 12 Yd Run (Alan Bowman Pass to Ollie Gordon II for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 29Uncategorized
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0013% → 8%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
87.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 10 yds to the OKST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
87.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the OKST 15Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
87.3%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+9
91.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Rodney Hill for 9 yds to the OKST 6Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-1
92.4%
Rodney Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:01
Luke Hasz 43 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Kyle Ramsey Kick)
-36.6
TD · Q4 9:37
Brennan Presley 7 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Alan Bowman Pass to De'Zhaun Stribling for Two-Point Conversion)
+35
FG · Q4 0:55
Logan Ward 38 Yd Field Goal
+29.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com