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VT

Virginia Tech 27 at Vanderbilt 34

VAN
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:10 · Jesse Mirco punt for 60 yds , Ali Jennings returns for 17 yds to the VT 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 117Pregame prior−9.1Home team on offense+14.4Garbage-time factor+8.9Score differential+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:18: Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +16.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:12: Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 11 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +31.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:21: Kyron Drones pass complete to Ali Jennings for 62 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +31.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:51: Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 8 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +40.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Diego Pavia run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK) — VAN win probability +17.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 8:27VAN 4th & 12 at VT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:33VT 4th & 1 at VT 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:45VAN 4th & 1 at VT 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.9%−0.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:32VT 4th & 6 at VAN 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:52VT 4th & 14 at VAN 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−3.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−10.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:24VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−2.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:07VAN 4th & 10 at VT 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:12VT 4th & 3 at VT 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:31VAN 4th & 13 at VAN 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−4.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:34VT 4th & 17 at VAN 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−3.8
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−10.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:10VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 33, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:38VAN 4th & 13 at VT 36, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−2.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:24VT 4th & 10 at VT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−11.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q2 14:54VAN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:18VAN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:42VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:12VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:21VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:51VAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 6:0316% → 19%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.0%
Diego Pavia run for 10 yds to the VAN 35 Vanderbilt Penalty, Offensive Holding (Quincy Skinner Jr.) to the VAN 25Similar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
16.2%
Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the VAN 32Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
16.7%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the VAN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
16.9%
Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 40Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-4
17.4%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 4 yards to the VAN 36Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+31
17.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 31 yds to the VT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
18.3%
Diego Pavia run for 10 yds to the VT 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
19.0%
Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VT 19Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-6
19.1%
Junior Sherrill run for a loss of 6 yards to the VT 25 Junior Sherrill fumbled, recovered by VAN Junior SherrillSimilar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
19.3%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+43
19.4%
Brock Taylor 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2INT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:5780% → 78%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.9%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
20.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 5 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
20.4%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
20.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 39Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
21.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 7 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
21.2%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the VT 47Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+3
21.8%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
50
-15
21.6%
Kyron Drones pass intercepted Glenn Seabrooks III return for 15 yds to the VT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3TD
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:5124% → 29%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
23.5%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
24.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VT 22Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+4
24.0%
Chase Gillespie run for 4 yds to the VT 18Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+3
23.8%
Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
25.5%
Jamoni Jones run for 1 yd to the VT 14Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
26.1%
Diego Pavia run for no gain to the VT 14Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
28.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:4771% → 69%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
29.0%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 29Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+8
30.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 8 yds to the VT 37Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+16
30.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 1 yd to the VAN 38 for a 1ST down Vanderbilt Penalty, Personal Foul (CJ Taylor) to the VAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
29.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 4 yds to the VAN 43Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
29.9%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
30.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
31.0%
Peter Moore punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 6:4631% → 57%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
31.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 23 yds to the VAN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
32.6%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 42Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+8
33.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 3
50
+4
34.1%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 4 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
36.2%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the VT 42Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
36.5%
Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
38.2%
Sedrick Alexander run for 6 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+2
39.6%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the VT 27Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+7
39.3%
Diego Pavia run for 7 yds to the VT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
41.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 13 yds to the VT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
57.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6FG
17 plays · 44 yds · 4:1748% → 45%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
52.3%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
53.0%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+11
54.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 11 yds to the VT 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
53.2%
Tuten, Bhayshul rush for 8 yards to the VAN48, PENALTY VATECH holding (Chaplin, Xavier) 10 yards to the VATECH34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+24
56.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 24 yds to the VAN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
54.1%
Kyron Drones run for 6 yds to the VAN 36Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
54.0%
Jaylin Lane run for 3 yds to the VAN 33Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
54.1%
Kyron Drones run for 3 yds to the VAN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
54.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 5 yds to the VAN 25Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
54.2%
Takye Heath run for 6 yds to the VAN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
54.5%
Tuten, Bhayshul rush for 17 yards to the VAN2, PENALTY VATECH holding (Felton, Da'Quan) 10 yards to the VAN29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+5
57.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 5 yds to the VAN 24Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 15
OPP 24
0
57.5%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 15
OPP 24
+1
59.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 1 yd to the VAN 23Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+40
54.8%
John Love 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 0:1360% → 63%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
60.2%
Sedrick Alexander run for no gain to the VAN 28Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
60.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 31Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-5
62.7%
Diego Pavia sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland and Wilfried Pene for a loss of 5 yards to the VAN 26Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
63.3%
Jesse Mirco punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ali Jennings at the VT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:1639% → 37%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
61.1%
Kyron Drones sacked by Linus Zunk for a loss of 7 yards to the VT 25 for a 1ST down Vanderbilt Penalty, Personal Foul (Miles Capers) to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
60.5%
Drones, Kyron pass incomplete to Lane, Jaylin, PENALTY VATECH holding (Chaplin, Xavier) 10 yards to the VATECH30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 20
OWN 30
-7
62.7%
Kyron Drones sacked by Linus Zunk for a loss of 7 yards to the VT 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:0340% → 57%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
60.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 20Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+1
61.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 1 yd to the VT 21Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+26
62.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 26 yds to the VT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+29
60.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ali Jennings for 29 yds to the VAN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
58.4%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
43.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 24 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 5:3049% → 64%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.3%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Junior SherrillSimilar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+27
50.1%
Diego Pavia run for 27 yds to the VT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
54.2%
AJ Newberry run for 2 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+4
54.9%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 4 yards to the VT 46 Diego Pavia fumbled, recovered by VAN Diego Pavia Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+11
56.6%
Diego Pavia run for 11 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
59.8%
Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VT 31Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-11
62.8%
Diego Pavia sacked by Caleb Woodson for a loss of 11 yards to the VT 42Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 17
OPP 42
+7
60.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds to the VT 35Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 10
OPP 35
-5
58.8%
Vanderbilt Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the VT 40Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 15
OPP 40
+5
58.2%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Illegal Procedure (5 Yards) to the VT 35Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+53
63.6%
Brock Taylor 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4136% → 33%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 4 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
63.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the VT 30Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
65.9%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
67.4%
Peter Moore punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Richie Hoskins at the VAN 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2968% → 67%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
68.2%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAN 18 Diego Pavia fumbled, recovered by VAN Diego PaviaSimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 13
OWN 18
0
69.2%
Eli Stowers run for no gain to the VAN 18Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 13
OWN 18
0
68.2%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Eli StowersSimilar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
67.3%
Jesse Mirco punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Ali Jennings at the VT 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:4332% → 31%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
68.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 29Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+32
70.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 17 yds to the VAN 46 for a 1ST down Vanderbilt Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the VAN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
66.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 26 yds to the VAN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
65.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for no gain to the VAN 13Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
66.1%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Stephen GosnellSimilar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-7
72.5%
Kyron Drones sacked by Khordae Sydnor for a loss of 7 yards to the VAN 20Similar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+38
69.0%
John Love 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5176% → 77%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
76.3%
Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 24Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
76.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 10 yds to the VAN 34Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
78.1%
Sedrick Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 33Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+17
77.4%
Jesse Mirco punt for 60 yds , Ali Jennings returns for 17 yds to the VT 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:3326% → 59%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
73.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 9 yds to the VT 33Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 1
OWN 33
0
71.6%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ayden GreeneSimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+13
74.8%
Kyron Drones run for 13 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+44
72.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 44 yds to the VAN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
69.8%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 5 yards to the VAN 15Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+4
72.2%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the VAN 11Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
40.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 11 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:1252% → 52%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
51.6%
Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 26Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+41
52.0%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 41 yds to the VT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
60.5%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-2
61.3%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 31Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
59.1%
Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.Similar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 8
OPP 31
-5
55.2%
Vanderbilt Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VT 36Similar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
52.2%
Jesse Mirco punt for 33 yds, downed at the VT 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 97 yds · 2:2451% → 87%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
49.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 9 yds to the VT 12Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+5
47.7%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+21
47.5%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 21 yds to the VT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
44.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 40Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-2
44.5%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 38Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+62
13.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ali Jennings for 62 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:1621% → 67%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
20.7%
Diego Pavia run for 1 yd to the VAN 31Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+16
20.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 16 yds to the VAN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
21.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 19 yds to the VT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
23.6%
Diego Pavia run for 9 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+5
24.9%
Virginia Tech Penalty, Defensive Offside (Christian James) to the VT 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
26.4%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VT 8 for a 1ST down AJ Newberry for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
66.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 8 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2450% → 45%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.9%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Ali JenningsSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
50.4%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for no gain to the VT 25Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
52.0%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+22
54.6%
Peter Moore punt for 49 yds , Martel Hight returns for 22 yds to the VAN 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:5764% → 64%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
63.9%
Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+13
65.6%
Diego Pavia run for 13 yds to the VT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
68.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VT 30Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
66.4%
Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the VT 25Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+43
64.4%
Brock Taylor 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 83%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
65.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Eli Stowers for 5 yds to the VT 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+5
65.6%
Diego Pavia run for 5 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
65.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 11 yds to the VT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.6%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22Uncategorized
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0020% → 9%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
80.1%
Collin Schlee run for 14 yds to the VAN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
80.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VAN 9Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
80.1%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VAN 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-5
85.7%
Collin Schlee sacked by Zaylin Wood for a loss of 5 yards to the VAN 12Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 12
0
91.3%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:51
Diego Pavia pass complete to Sedrick Alexander for 8 yds for a TD (Brock Taylor KICK)
+40.4
TD · Q4 4:21
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ali Jennings for 62 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-31.4
TD · Q4 10:12
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 11 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-31.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com