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UTC

Chattanooga 3 at Tennessee 69

TENN
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUTC aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:02 · Heath Jehu punt for 50 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior+43.7Home team on offense+9.1Score differential+6.1Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Garbage-time factor+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:34: Ethan Davis 4 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Max Gilbert Kick) — TENN win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:18: Dont'e Thornton Jr. 36 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Max Gilbert Kick) — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:03: Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK) — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:14: Dont'e Thornton Jr. 10 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Max Gilbert Kick) — TENN win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 10:14: Timeout Tennessee, clock 10:14 — TENN win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UTC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTC made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 11:19TENN 4th & 1 at UTC 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:44UTC 4th & 4 at UTC 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:00UTC 4th & 7 at UTC 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:00UTC 4th & 7 at UTC 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:32TENN 4th & 8 at UTC 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:02UTC 4th & 7 at UTC 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:09UTC 4th & 2 at UTC 47, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:59UTC 4th & 4 at UTC 41, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:48UTC 4th & 11 at UTC 36, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:53TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 34, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:46UTC 4th & 18 at UTC 35, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:10UTC 4th & 18 at TENN 25, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:15TENN 4th & 10 at UTC 24, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:46UTC 4th & 5 at TENN 37, down 45
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:13UTC 4th & 7 at UTC 28, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:11UTC 4th & 7 at TENN 7, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:07UTC 4th & 1 at UTC 49, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:09TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:34TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:18TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:03TENN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:14TENN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:43TENN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:13TENN Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:06TENN Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:2799% → 98%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
98.5%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
98.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 7 yds to the UTC 47Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
98.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the UTC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
98.4%
Dylan Sampson run for 13 yds to the UTC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
98.4%
Bru McCoy run for 9 yds to the UTC 21Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+5
98.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
98.3%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the UTC 15Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
98.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the UTC 10Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+3
98.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dylan SampsonSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+6
98.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 6 yds to the UTC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:242% → 2%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.2%
Reggie Davis run for 7 yds to the UTC 32Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
98.1%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.1%
Reggie Davis run for 3 yds to the UTC 35 Reggie Davis fumbled, recovered by UTC Joshua JosephsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:0398% → 98%
Q1 9:37
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+10
98.2%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
98.2%
Dylan Sampson run for 17 yds to the UTC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
98.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.3%
Ethan Davis 4 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Max Gilbert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:452% → 2%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.2%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Javin WhatleySimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.2%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+20
98.2%
Heath Jehu punt for 48 yds , Squirrel White returns for 20 yds to the TENN 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:1298% → 99%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
98.3%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
98.6%
Dont'e Thornton Jr. 36 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Max Gilbert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:132% → 2%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+13
98.5%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Heath Jehu punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Squirrel White at the TENN 20Similar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Heath Jehu punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Squirrel White at the TENN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7FG
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:0999% → 99%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
98.5%
Nico Iamaleava run for 5 yds to the TENN 15Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 5
OWN 15
-7
98.6%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun Iamaleava,Nico rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TENN22 (Joseph,Kobe) PENALTY TENN Holding (Campbell Jr.,John) 7 yards from TENN15 to TENN08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+9
98.4%
Cameron Seldon run for 9 yds to the TENN 17Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+4
98.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Holden Staes for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+59
98.6%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
98.7%
Cameron Seldon run for 4 yds to the UTC 16Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
98.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-2
98.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Cameron SeldonSimilar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
98.7%
Max Gilbert 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:222% → 1%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.5%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Jay Gibson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
98.5%
Reggie Davis run for 4 yds to the UTC 24Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
98.6%
Reggie Davis run for 3 yds to the UTC 21Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
98.6%
Reggie Davis run for 7 yds to the UTC 28Similar
Q1 1:02
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Heath Jehu punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 1:4299% → 99%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
98.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dylan Sampson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 6 yds to the TENN 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-5
98.8%
(00:16) PENALTY TENN False Start (Kitselman,Miles) 5 yards from TENN47 to TENN42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+7
98.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Dylan SampsonSimilar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+11
98.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Squirrel White for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+37
98.8%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.1%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:431% → 1%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.3%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Jay Gibson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.3%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.3%
Reggie Davis run for no gain to the UTC 39Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+6
99.3%
Reggie Davis run for 6 yds to the UTC 47Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Heath Jehu punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.1%
DeSean Bishop run for 2 yds to the TENN 23Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
99.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+10
99.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to DeSean Bishop for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.0%
DeSean Bishop run for 2 yds to the TENN 35Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+24
99.0%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.1%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chas NimrodSimilar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+24
99.1%
DeSean Bishop run for 24 yds to the UTC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.2%
Dont'e Thornton Jr. 10 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Max Gilbert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Reggie Davis run for no gain to the UTC 25Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.6%
Reggie Davis run for 10 yds to the UTC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.6%
Reggie Davis run for 1 yd to the UTC 36Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
99.6%
Reggie Davis run for 4 yds to the UTC 40Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+1
99.6%
Reggie Davis run for 1 yd to the UTC 41Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Heath Jehu punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:06100% → 100%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+56
99.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 56 yds to the UTC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.6%
Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Lance Jackson run for no gain to the UTC 25Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.7%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Javin Whatley for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.7%
Lance Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTC 38Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+3
99.8%
Lance Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTC 36Similar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Jude Kelley punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 4 yds to the TENN 34Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Jackson Ross punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
99.8%
Chase Artopoeus sacked by Tyre West for a loss of 8 yards to the UTC 35Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Reggie Davis run for 2 yds to the UTC 33Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
Reggie Davis run for 2 yds to the UTC 35Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 18
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Jude Kelley punt for 39 yds , Jermod McCoy returns for no gain to the TENN 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17Uncategorized
9 plays · 28 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass complete to Ethan Davis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
99.7%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Iamaleava,Nico pass incomplete short middle to White,Squirrel thrown to CHATT35 PENALTY TENN Chop Block (Karic,Andrej) 15 yards from TENN48 to TENN33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 25
OWN 33
-4
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava sacked by Joseph Bakhole for a loss of 4 yards to the TENN 29Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 29
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 24
OWN 34
+1
99.7%
Nico Iamaleava run for 1 yd to the TENN 35Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 23
OWN 35
+9
99.7%
Cameron Seldon run for 9 yds to the TENN 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 18FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:410% → 0%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Jay GibsonSimilar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
99.7%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.7%
Reggie Davis run for 2 yds to the UTC 42Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+22
99.8%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Javin Whatley for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
99.7%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.7%
Reggie Davis run for 2 yds to the TENN 15Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 23
OPP 30
+5
99.8%
Reggie Davis run for 5 yds to the TENN 25Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 18
OPP 25
+43
99.8%
Jude Kelley 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
99.8%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Holden StaesSimilar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+14
99.8%
Cameron Seldon run for 14 yds to the UTC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
99.8%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Squirrel White for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Gaston Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
99.8%
Cameron Seldon run for 11 yds to the UTC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Cameron Seldon run for no gain to the UTC 24Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Cameron Seldon run for no gain to the UTC 24Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Gaston Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
99.8%
Max Gilbert 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 20MISSED FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:130% → 0%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Lance Jackson run for 3 yds to the UTC 28Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+19
99.9%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Chris Domercant for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Lance Jackson run for 2 yds to the UTC 49Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+9
99.9%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Lance Jackson run for 1 yd to the TENN 41Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Zaire ThorntonSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Lance Jackson run for 2 yds to the TENN 37Similar
Q3 2:46
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+55
99.9%
Alen Karajic 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Kaleb Webb to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+10
99.9%
DeSean Bishop run for 10 yds to the UTC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+10
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
DeSean Bishop run for 22 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Reggie Davis run for 3 yds to the UTC 28Similar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Jude Kelley punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Boo Carter at the TENN 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23INT
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:49100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Peyton Lewis run for 2 yds to the TENN 35Similar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Peyton Lewis run for 2 yds to the UTC 42Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-5
99.9%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Gaston pass complete short right to Webb,Kaleb caught at CHATT36, for 6 yards to the CHATT36, out of bounds at CHATT36 PENALTY TENN Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Perry,Jesse) 5 yards from CHATT42 to CHATT47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+12
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Dayton SneedSimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Peyton Lewis run for 7 yds to the UTC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Peyton Lewis run for 3 yds to the UTC 25Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Gaston Moore pass intercepted Kobe Joseph return for no gain to the TENN 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 24MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:100% → 0%
Q4 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
100.0%
Reggie Davis run for 2 yds to the TENN 8Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
100.0%
Reggie Davis run for 1 yd to the TENN 7Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
Chase Artopoeus pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
100.0%
Jude Kelley 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 6:50100% → 100%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Khalifa Keith run for 2 yds to the TENN 22Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
99.9%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Nathan Leacock for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.9%
Jake Merklinger sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the TENN 33Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 7 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Jake Merklinger run for 3 yds to the TENN 48Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 4 yds to the UTC 48Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+5
100.0%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Trey Weary for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
100.0%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Trey WearySimilar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Jake Merklinger run for no gain to the UTC 35Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+5
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 5 yds to the UTC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 9 yds to the UTC 21Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+5
100.0%
Jake Merklinger pass complete to Trey Weary for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 5 yds to the UTC 11Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+8
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 8 yds to the UTC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 1 yd to the UTC 4Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 3 yds to the UTC 1Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 1 yd for a TD (Josh Turbyville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 26PUNT TD
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:480% → 0%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Journey Wyche run for 8 yds to the UTC 33Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
100.0%
Journey Wyche run for 7 yds to the UTC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Journey Wyche run for 2 yds to the UTC 42Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Journey Wyche run for no gain to the UTC 42Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+12
100.0%
Luke Schomburg pass complete to Zaire ThorntonSimilar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+13
100.0%
Heath Jehu punt blocked by Jordan Ross blocked by Jordan Ross for a TD , Jordan Ross returns for 13 yds for a TD (Josh Turbyville KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Journey Wyche run for 2 yds to the UTC 27Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Journey Wyche run for 4 yds to the UTC 31Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Lance Jackson run for no gain to the UTC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:14
Timeout Tennessee, clock 10:14
+0.4
TD · Q1 7:18
Dont'e Thornton Jr. 36 Yd pass from Nico Iamaleava (Max Gilbert Kick)
+0.3
TD · Q2 14:03
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds for a TD (Max Gilbert KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com