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MUR

Murray State 0 at Missouri 51

MIZ
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadMUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreMUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:03 · Jayden Johannsen run for no gain to the MUR 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Pregame prior+48.8Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:38: Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:03MUR 4th & 1 at MUR 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:41MUR 4th & 8 at MUR 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:20MUR 4th & 12 at MUR 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:10MUR 4th & 4 at MUR 41, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:42MIZ 4th & 12 at MIZ 18, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:44MUR 4th & 6 at MUR 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:32MIZ 4th & 12 at MIZ 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:11MUR 4th & 3 at MUR 27, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:17MUR 4th & 5 at MUR 40, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:50MIZ 4th & 7 at MUR 22, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:42MUR 4th & 2 at MUR 33, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:34MIZ 4th & 5 at MUR 5, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:31MUR 4th & 6 at MIZ 47, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:57MIZ 4th & 9 at MUR 9, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:42MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:48MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:41MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:38MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:01MIZ Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:09MIZ Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
99.7%
Luther Burden III run for 10 yds to the MUR 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.7%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MUR 27Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+6
99.7%
Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the MUR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.7%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
99.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 5 yds to the MUR 16Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Jordan Washington run for 7 yds to the MUR 32Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
99.6%
Jordan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 31Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.6%
Jordan Washington run for 3 yds to the MUR 34Similar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Jayden Johannsen run for no gain to the MUR 34Similar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
99.6%
(10:58) COOK, Brady pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BURDEN, Luther thrown to the MSU3, clock 10:53. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on REED, KaVan enforced 15 yards to the MSU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 1:03100% → 100%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.6%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the MUR 15Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+6
99.6%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the MUR 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Nate Noel run for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 4INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-25
99.7%
Jayden Johannsen pass intercepted Toriano Pride Jr. return for 25 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:590% → 0%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Kywon Morgan run for 1 yd to the MUR 26Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Kywon Morgan run for no gain to the MUR 26Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
99.6%
Kywon Morgan run for 9 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Jayden Johannsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.6%
Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 1 yd to the MUR 36Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+1
99.6%
Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kywon Morgan for 1 yd to the MUR 37Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Tom O'Hara punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
99.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 19 yds to the MIZ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+18
99.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 18 yds to the MUR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
99.6%
Marcus Carroll run for 20 yds to the MUR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
99.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 12 yds to the MUR 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Q'Daryius Jennings run for 1 yd to the MUR 26Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
99.7%
JK Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 24Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-1
99.8%
Jayden Johannsen sacked by Khalil Jacobs for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 23Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Tom O'Hara punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.7%
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd to the MIZ 42Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+16
99.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for 16 yds to the MUR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
99.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 12 yds to the MUR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
99.8%
Brady Cook run for a loss of 5 yards to the MUR 35 Brady Cook fumbled, recovered by MUR Kevon Haigler K. Haigler return for 0 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q2 13:24
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
99.7%
Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the MUR 44Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-3
99.7%
Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 3 yards to the MUR 41Similar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Tom O'Hara punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the MUR 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
99.8%
Missouri Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIZ 7Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+9
99.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 9 yds to the MIZ 23Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 7
OWN 23
-5
99.7%
Missouri Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 13Similar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
99.7%
Luke Bauer punt for 52 yds, fair catch by KaVan Reed at the MUR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.7%
Jayden Johannsen run for 3 yds to the MUR 33Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Jayden Johannsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+1
99.7%
Jayden Johannsen run for 1 yd to the MUR 34Similar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Tom O'Hara punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the MIZ 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.7%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 33Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
99.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 6 yds to the MIZ 39Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+8
99.7%
Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
99.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 45Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Luke Bauer punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 4:180% → 0%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.8%
Kywon Morgan run for 2 yds to the MUR 12Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+5
99.8%
Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 5 yds to the MUR 17Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+3
99.8%
Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kywon Morgan for 3 yds to the MUR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Kywon Morgan run for 4 yds to the MUR 24Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Josh Crabtree for 5 yds to the MUR 29Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-2
99.8%
Kywon Morgan run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 27Similar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Tom O'Hara punt for 41 yds, downed at the MIZ 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14TD
18 plays · 68 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 4 yds to the MIZ 36Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the MIZ 40Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+5
99.8%
Marcus Carroll run for 5 yds to the MIZ 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Marcus Carroll for 7 yds to the MUR 48Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+4
99.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 4 yds to the MUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 4 yds to the MUR 40Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
99.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nate Noel for 5 yds to the MUR 35Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the MUR 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+18
99.8%
Brady Cook run for 18 yds to the MUR 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
99.8%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (Tre'Vez Johnson) to the MUR 20Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+5
99.8%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the MUR 15Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+9
99.8%
Murray State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Kevon Haigler) to the MUR 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Brady Cook run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
(00:01) [SG] Kneel down by JOHANNSEN, Jayden at MSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Jordan Washington run for 3 yds to the MUR 38Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Jordan Washington run for no gain to the MUR 38Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Jordan Washington run for 2 yds to the MUR 40Similar
Q3 13:17
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Tom O'Hara punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17FG
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:18100% → 100%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Joshua Manning for 7 yds to the MIZ 9Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 3
OWN 9
-9
99.9%
(12:38) NOEL, Nate rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the MIZ18 (PRESTON, Larry), clock 12:32. PENALTY MIZ Holding on GREEN, Cayden enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the MIZ9 to the MIZ5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+3
99.9%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the MIZ 8Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+49
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 49 yds to the MUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+18
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 18 yds to the MUR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the MUR 24Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the MUR 22Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
Blake Craig 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:410% → 0%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 23Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jayden Johannsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-13
99.9%
Jayden Johannsen sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the MUR 10 Jayden Johannsen fumbled, recovered by MIZ Joe Moore , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:41100% → 100%
Q3 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.9%
Drew Pyne run for 8 yds to the MUR 2Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jamal Roberts run for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Q'Daryius Jennings run for 8 yds to the MUR 33Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Q'Daryius Jennings run for no gain to the MUR 33Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jayden Johannsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Tom O'Hara punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Daniel Blood at the MIZ 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21FG
14 plays · 76 yds · 7:05100% → 100%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
99.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Daniel Blood for 7 yds to the MIZ 26Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Jamal Roberts run for 2 yds to the MIZ 28Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Jamal Roberts run for 4 yds to the MIZ 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 5 yds to the MIZ 37Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+11
99.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 11 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 8
50
+6
99.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 6 yds to the MUR 44Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 5 yds to the MUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 6 yds to the MUR 33Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+15
99.9%
Murray State Penalty, Personal Foul (Justice Cross) to the MUR 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 6 yds to the MUR 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 1 yd to the MUR 2Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the MUR 5Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
99.9%
Blake Craig 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 5:030% → 0%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Josh Crabtree for 9 yds to the MUR 34Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MUR 34Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
100.0%
Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the MUR 40Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+9
100.0%
Jawaun Northington run for 9 yds to the MUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
100.0%
Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 9
50
+3
100.0%
Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Jawaun Northington for 3 yds to the MIZ 47Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Jayden Johannsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Tom O'Hara punt for 40 yds, downed at the MIZ 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23FG
18 plays · 84 yds · 6:32100% → 100%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
100.0%
Murray State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jordan Sonnabend) to the MIZ 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
100.0%
Kewan Lacy run for 11 yds to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
100.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 2
50
-5
100.0%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 45Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
100.0%
(06:21) PYNE, Drew pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CRUTCHFIELD, Courtney broken up by SLADE, Trelon at the MSU24, clock 06:17. PENALTY MSU Offsides on SONNABEND, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the MIZ45 to the MIZ50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 2
50
+11
100.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Daniel Blood for 11 yds to the MUR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
100.0%
Kewan Lacy run for 7 yds to the MUR 32Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+13
100.0%
Kewan Lacy run for 13 yds to the MUR 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
100.0%
Kewan Lacy run for 6 yds to the MUR 13Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+5
100.0%
Kewan Lacy run for 5 yds to the MUR 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
100.0%
(03:50) LACY, Kewan rush to the left for no gain to the MSU8 (GUILLORY, Esteban), clock 03:46. PENALTY MIZ Holding on RICHARDSON, Jayven enforced 10 yards from the MSU8 to the MSU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+4
100.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Daniel Blood for 4 yds to the MUR 14Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
100.0%
(02:41) PYNE, Drew pass to the right incomplete intended for MADISON III, James thrown to the MSU0, clock 02:40. PENALTY MSU Offsides on ADEWOLE, Detoye enforced 5 yards from the MSU14 to the MSU9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
100.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Daniel Blood for 5 yds to the MUR 4Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
100.0%
Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MUR 9Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
100.0%
Blake Craig 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jameson Holcomb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Kevin Emmanuel run for 3 yds to the MUR 28Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
100.0%
Kevin Emmanuel run for 7 yds to the MUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Kevin Emmanuel run for 4 yds to the MUR 39Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Jameson Holcomb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Kevin Emmanuel run for no gain to the MUR 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:38
Marcus Carroll run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Craig KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com