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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 7 at Mississippi State 56

MSST
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Davis Wade Stadium
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Win probability · MSST
modelMSST aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playMSST scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:58 · punt blocked by JP Purvis blocked by JP Purvis for a TD , returns for no gain for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Pregame prior+8.5Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+30.4Blowout margin+17.9Garbage-time factor+8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 14:28: Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 65 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK) — EKU win probability +0.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:01: Creed Whittemore run for 41 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK) — MSST win probability +2.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:10: Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK) — MSST win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:16: Blake Shapen pass complete to Mario Craver for 54 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK) — MSST win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:03: Matt Morrissey pass complete to Ron Vann Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK) — EKU win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:40EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:10EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 29, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:49MSST 4th & 3 at EKU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:11EKU 4th & 6 at EKU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:16MSST 4th & 1 at EKU 45, up 14
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:12EKU 4th & 6 at EKU 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:05EKU 4th & 3 at EKU 35, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:05MSST 4th & 1 at EKU 39, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:29EKU 4th & 1 at MSST 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−1.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:37EKU 4th & 2 at MSST 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:00MSST 4th & 4 at EKU 41, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:22EKU 4th & 1 at MSST 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:56MSST 4th & 7 at EKU 7, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:00EKU 4th & 10 at midfield, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:33MSST 4th & 4 at MSST 36, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:58EKU 4th & 6 at EKU 16, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:59EKU 4th & 9 at EKU 26, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7EKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:28MSST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:07MSST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:01MSST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:10MSST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:16MSST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:03EKU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:42MSST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:07MSST Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MSSTDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3296% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
96.2%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 10 yds to the MSST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
96.1%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 65 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:434% → 4%
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.1%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Joshua Carter for 2 yds to the EKU 22Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
96.1%
Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the EKU 27Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
96.0%
Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the EKU 29Similar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Jacob Baker punt for 44 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for no gain to the EKU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:0496% → 96%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
95.9%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 15 yds to the EKU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
95.9%
Davon Booth run for 5 yds to the EKU 6Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
95.8%
Davon Booth run for 2 yds to the EKU 4Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
96.0%
Blake Shapen run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:034% → 4%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.9%
Matt Morrissey run for 4 yds to the EKU 24Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
95.8%
Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the EKU 27Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
95.8%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Caeleb Schlachter for 2 yds to the EKU 29Similar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+18
95.7%
Jacob Baker punt for 43 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 18 yds to the MSST 46Similar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
95.8%
(08:59) SHAPEN, Blake pass to the right complete for 47 yards to CRAVER, Mario caught at the EKU43 and advanced to the EKU7 (WARD, Jaheim). PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MSU46 to the MSU41. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:5496% → 96%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+7
95.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 7 yds to the MSST 48Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+12
95.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 12 yds to the EKU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
95.8%
SHAPEN, Blake pass short up the middle complete for 4 yards to LEE, Keyvone caught at the EKU38 and advanced to the EKU36 (KELLY, Kyle). PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Formation on POUNDERS, Makylan enforced 5 yards from the EKU40 to the EKU45. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+1
95.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the EKU 44Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+10
95.8%
Blake Shapen run for 10 yds to the EKU 34Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+1
95.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the EKU 33Similar
Q1 5:49
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+2
95.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Justin Ball for 2 yds to the EKU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:385% → 5%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
95.4%
Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 35Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
95.4%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 38Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+5
95.4%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jakob Dixon for 5 yds to the EKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.2%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
95.2%
Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 47Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
95.2%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jakob Dixon for no gain to the EKU 47Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
95.0%
Jacob Baker punt for 37 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for no gain to the MSST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5596% → 95%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
95.5%
Johnnie Daniels run for 2 yds to the MSST 48 Johnnie Daniels fumbled, recovered by MSST Justin Ball J. Ball return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
95.5%
Johnnie Daniels run for 4 yds to the EKU 48Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+3
95.4%
Blake Shapen run for 3 yds to the EKU 45Similar
Q1 0:16
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 44 yds, downed at the EKU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:485% → 5%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
95.0%
Brayden Latham run for 6 yds to the EKU 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+3
95.0%
Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the EKU 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 10
0
95.0%
Brayden Latham run for no gain to the EKU 10Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 10
-5
95.0%
Eastern Kentucky Penalty, Delay Of Game (Mike Smith Jr.) to the EKU 5Similar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+7
95.0%
Jacob Baker punt for 49 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 7 yds to the EKU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:1195% → 97%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
95.3%
Blake Shapen sacked by Gabe Fletcher for a loss of 7 yards to the MSST 46Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+3
95.1%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Creed Whittemore for 3 yds to the MSST 49Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+16
95.1%
Blake Shapen run for 16 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-6
95.4%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Braylon Burnside for a loss of 6 yards to the EKU 41Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+41
97.4%
Creed Whittemore run for 41 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:563% → 3%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
97.1%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+11
97.1%
Brayden Latham run for 11 yds to the EKU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.0%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
97.1%
Brayden Latham run for 7 yds to the EKU 35Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
97.0%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+30
97.0%
Jacob Baker punt for 43 yds , Kevin Coleman Jr. returns for 30 yds to the EKU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:5598% → 99%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
97.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the EKU 43Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
97.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 2 yds to the EKU 41Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
97.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Keyvone Lee for 2 yds to the EKU 39Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+16
97.7%
Keyvone Lee run for 16 yds to the EKU 23 Keyvone Lee fumbled, recovered by MSST return for 0 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
98.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:411% → 1%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.8%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 28Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
98.8%
Matt Morrissey sacked by Kalvin Dinkins for a loss of 3 yards to the EKU 25Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+21
98.9%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Bryant Johnson Jr. for 21 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
98.8%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 49Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
98.7%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 6
50
+5
98.9%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jayden West for 5 yds to the MSST 45Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-1
99.2%
Joshua Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 13TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:1399% → 99%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.2%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Mario Craver for 54 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 14TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:131% → 1%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Joshua Carter for 6 yds to the EKU 31Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.4%
Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.4%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 11 yds to the EKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.4%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 49Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+10
99.4%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 10 yds to the MSST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.4%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+16
99.4%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jakob Dixon for 16 yds to the MSST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.3%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
99.3%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+13
99.4%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 13 yds to the MSST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.3%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 3 yds to the MSST 9Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
99.4%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
98.8%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Ron Vann Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.2%
(00:03) [NHSG] Kneel down by SHAPEN, Blake at MSU20 (team loss of 5).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:231% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.2%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 19 yds to the EKU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.1%
Joshua Carter run for 8 yds to the MSST 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+5
98.9%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 5 yds to the MSST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.5%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.5%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 8 yds to the MSST 35Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
99.4%
Joshua Carter run for no gain to the MSST 35Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
99.3%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 17TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:55100% → 100%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.5%
Davon Booth run for 4 yds to the MSST 39Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+14
99.5%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 14 yds to the EKU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.6%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Jordan Mosley for 3 yds to the EKU 44Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
99.6%
Davon Booth run for 3 yds to the EKU 41Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
99.6%
Davon Booth run for no gain to the EKU 41Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+16
99.6%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 16 yds to the EKU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Blake Shapen run for no gain to the EKU 25Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.7%
Davon Booth run for 9 yds to the EKU 16Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+15
99.6%
Davon Booth run for 15 yds to the EKU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Davon Booth run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 5:200% → 0%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Brayden Latham run for 3 yds to the EKU 28Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.7%
Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 30Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.7%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jaycob Horn for 6 yds to the EKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.8%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Marcus Calwise Jr. for 8 yds to the EKU 44Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+16
99.8%
Brayden Latham run for 16 yds to the MSST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Brayden Latham for 2 yds to the MSST 38Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+7
99.8%
Brayden Latham run for 7 yds to the MSST 31Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
99.8%
Brayden Latham run for no gain to the MSST 31Similar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-2
99.8%
Brayden Latham run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSST 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 19MISSED FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
99.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 25 yds to the EKU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 9 yds to the EKU 33Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
99.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 3 yds to the EKU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.8%
Keyvone Lee run for 5 yds to the EKU 25Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+18
99.8%
Blake Shapen run for 18 yds to the EKU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the EKU 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Blake Shapen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
99.8%
Kyle Ferrie 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:520% → 0%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
99.9%
Joshua Carter run for 13 yds to the EKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Jackson House for 7 yds to the EKU 40Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Bryant Johnson Jr. for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Mississippi State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the MSST 45Similar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 5
OPP 45
-7
99.9%
Matt Morrissey sacked by Joseph Head Jr. and Ashun Shepphard for a loss of 7 yards to the EKU 48Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 10
50
0
99.9%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 10
50
0
99.9%
Jacob Baker punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
Johnnie Daniels run for 5 yds to the MSST 19Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Chris Parson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+11
99.9%
Johnnie Daniels run for 11 yds to the MSST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Chris Parson run for 7 yds to the MSST 37Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-1
99.9%
Johnnie Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 36 Johnnie Daniels fumbled, recovered by MSST Johnnie Daniels J. Daniels return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Chris Parson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Nick Barr-Mira punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jalen Montgomery at the EKU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 22PUNT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Matt Morrissey run for no gain to the EKU 12Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 16Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
100.0%
punt blocked by JP Purvis blocked by JP Purvis for a TD , returns for no gain for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 23INT TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the EKU 30Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the EKU 34Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the EKU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Matt Morrissey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
100.0%
Joshua Carter run for 6 yds to the EKU 43Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-51
100.0%
Matt Morrissey pass intercepted Elijah Cannon return for 51 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
100.0%
Matt Morrissey run for a loss of 14 yards to the EKU 11 Matt Morrissey fumbled, recovered by EKU Matt Morrissey M. Morrissey return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+2
100.0%
Brayden Latham run for 2 yds to the EKU 13Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+13
100.0%
Brayden Latham run for 13 yds to the EKU 26Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Jacob Baker punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
100.0%
Xavier Gayten run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSST 21Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+12
100.0%
Xavier Gayten run for 12 yds to the MSST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Xavier Gayten run for 5 yds to the MSST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:01
Creed Whittemore run for 41 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 7:10
Blake Shapen pass complete to Kevin Coleman Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Kyle Ferrie KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 0:03
Matt Morrissey pass complete to Ron Vann Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Patrick Nations KICK)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com