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FUR

Furman 0 at Ole Miss 76

MISS
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadFUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreFUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:58 · run for 10 yds to the FUR 2 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+46.5Home team on offense+4.4Score differential+1.9Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Garbage-time factor+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:07: Jaxson Dart pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 61 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK) — MISS win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:39: JJ Pegues 2 Yd Run (Caden Davis Kick) — MISS win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 0:58: Caden Davis 42 yd FG GOOD — MISS win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:27: Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 4 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK) — MISS win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 8:00: Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 46 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK) — MISS win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6FUR made the numbers' call on 13 of 14
  1. Q1 8:46FUR 4th & 10 at MISS 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:58MISS 4th & 2 at FUR 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:33FUR 4th & 13 at FUR 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:58MISS 4th & 11 at FUR 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52FUR 4th & 9 at MISS 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:02FUR 4th & 1 at FUR 34, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:33FUR 4th & 8 at FUR 27, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:58FUR 4th & 11 at FUR 43, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:46FUR 4th & 14 at FUR 21, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:04FUR 4th & 19 at FUR 8, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:43FUR 4th & 2 at FUR 33, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:58MISS 4th & 5 at MISS 21, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:42FUR 4th & 2 at MISS 42, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:16MISS 4th & 9 at MISS 43, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:55FUR 4th & 21 at FUR 11, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:15FUR 4th & 11 at FUR 24, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:27FUR 4th & 5 at FUR 30, down 73
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:42MISS 4th & 10 at FUR 23, up 73
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:19FUR 4th & 11 at MISS 48, down 76
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:18MISS 4th & 7 at FUR 18, up 76
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:53MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:07MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:39MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:27MISS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:00MISS Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:18MISS Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:34MISS Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:49MISS Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:46MISS Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:16MISS Touchdown, up 72 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0599% → 99%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Jaxson Dart run for no gain to the MISS 25Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.3%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 11 yds to the MISS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the MISS 40Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+25
99.2%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 25 yds to the FUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
99.2%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 18 yds to the FUR 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.2%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the FUR 15Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
99.2%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the FUR 15Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+15
99.2%
Jaxson Dart run for 15 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:051% → 1%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.2%
Carson Jones pass complete to Myion Hicks for a loss of 3 yards to the FUR 22Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-2
99.1%
Myion Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the FUR 20Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+24
99.1%
Carson Jones pass complete to Joshua Harris for 39 yds to the MISS 41 for a 1ST down Furman Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Joshua Harris) to the FUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.1%
Myion Hicks run for 1 yd to the FUR 45Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+10
99.1%
Carson Jones pass complete to Colton Hinton for 10 yds to the MISS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.0%
Carson Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.0%
Furman Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 15
50
0
99.0%
Carson Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 15
50
+5
99.0%
Carson Jones pass complete to Grant Robinson for 5 yds to the MISS 45Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
99.0%
Ian Williams punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Caden Davis at the MISS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:3399% → 99%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+29
99.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 29 yds to the MISS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
99.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 61 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 4INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.0%
Grant Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FUR 24Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.0%
Ole Miss Penalty, Illegal Block (Brandon Turnage) to the FUR 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
11 plays · 46 yds · 2:5199% → 99%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 8 yds to the FUR 38Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+4
99.1%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 4 yds to the FUR 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.0%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the FUR 29Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+9
99.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 9 yds to the FUR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.0%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 6 yds to the FUR 14Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
99.0%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+2
99.0%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the FUR 12Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+10
98.9%
run for 10 yds to the FUR 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.2%
JJ Pegues 2 Yd Run (Caden Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:031% → 1%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
Bailor Hughes run for 4 yds to the FUR 29Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Bailor Hughes run for no gain to the FUR 29Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.1%
Furman Penalty, Delay Of Game (Carson Jones) to the FUR 24Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-2
99.1%
Carson Jones pass complete to Colton Hinton for a loss of 2 yards to the FUR 22Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.1%
Ian Williams punt for 13 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
99.2%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 21 yds to the FUR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.2%
Jaxson Dart run for a loss of 1 yard to the FUR 25Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
99.1%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:58
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+42
99.2%
Caden Davis 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
99.1%
Carson Jones pass complete to Joshua Burrell for 37 yds to the MISS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.0%
Carson Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.1%
Bailor Hughes run for 1 yd to the MISS 37Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Carson Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Carson Jones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:2299% → 99%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
99.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 14 yds to the FUR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
99.3%
(14:26) DART, Jaxson sacked for a loss of 9 yards at the OLE42 (DIMAGGIO, Evan), clock 14:21. PENALTY FUR Face mask on DIMAGGIO, Evan enforced 15 yards from the FUR49 to the FUR34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
99.3%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 10 yds to the FUR 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
99.3%
Jaxson Dart sacked by Xavier Stephens for a loss of 3 yards to the FUR 27Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+12
99.3%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 12 yds to the FUR 15Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+9
99.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 9 yds to the FUR 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the FUR 4Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 4 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:241% → 1%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.4%
Carson Jones pass complete to Colton Hinton for 2 yds to the FUR 27Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
99.1%
Grant Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the FUR 23Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
99.0%
Furman Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FUR 18Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+16
99.1%
Carson Jones pass complete to Ben Ferguson for 16 yds to the FUR 34Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Ian Williams punt for 42 yds , Micah Davis returns for no gain to the MISS 34 Ole Miss Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MISS 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:4999% → 100%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+35
99.4%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 35 yds to the FUR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.7%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 46 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Carson Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.7%
Carson Jones pass complete to Colton Hinton for a loss of 2 yards to the FUR 23Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
99.7%
Carson Jones pass complete to Bailor Hughes for 4 yds to the FUR 27Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.7%
Ian Williams punt for 43 yds , Micah Davis returns for 9 yds to the MISS 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
99.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 61 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Carson Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.8%
Myion Hicks run for 19 yds to the FUR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Carson Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.8%
Grant Robinson run for 1 yd to the FUR 45Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-2
99.8%
Carson Jones pass complete to Grant Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the FUR 43Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+26
99.8%
Ian Williams punt for 41 yds , Micah Davis returns for 26 yds to the MISS 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.8%
Jaxson Dart run for 11 yds to the FUR 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.8%
Jaxson Dart run for 5 yds to the FUR 42Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
99.8%
Furman Penalty, Delay Of Game (Evan DiMaggio) to the FUR 38Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Jaxson Dart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the FUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
99.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 9 yds to the FUR 26Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+4
99.8%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the FUR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 22 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Carson Jones pass complete to Ryan Lamb for 5 yds to the FUR 30Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
Furman Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FUR 25Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Carson Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Carson Jones pass complete to Devin Hester Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the FUR 21Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Ian Williams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the MISS 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
99.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for a loss of 3 yards to the MISS 34Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+14
99.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ayden Williams for 14 yds to the MISS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Cayden Lee for 3 yds to the FUR 49Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+13
99.8%
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 13 yds to the FUR 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+53
99.8%
Caden Davis 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
Myion Hicks run for 6 yds to the FUR 23Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-4
99.9%
Myion Hicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the FUR 19Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-11
99.9%
Carson Jones sacked by Akelo Stone and Chris Paul Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the FUR 8Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 19
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Ian Williams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the FUR 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 19TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.8%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Cayden Lee for 35 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Carson Jones pass complete to Grant Robinson for 8 yds to the FUR 33Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-6
99.9%
Carson Jones sacked by Kam Franklin for a loss of 6 yards to the FUR 27Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Carson Jones pass complete to Colton Hinton for 6 yds to the FUR 33Similar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Ian Williams punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the MISS 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
99.9%
Matt Jones run for 5 yds to the MISS 21Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Austin Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Austin Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Fraser Masin punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Bailor Hughes run for 5 yds to the MISS 45Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Bailor Hughes run for 3 yds to the MISS 42Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Trey Hedden pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Trey Hedden pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
99.9%
Austin Simmons sacked by Dylan Chiedo for a loss of 7 yards to the MISS 35Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Josh Aka for 8 yds to the MISS 43Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Austin Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Fraser Masin punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Joshua Harris at the FUR 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
99.9%
Grant Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FUR 21Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
Grant Robinson run for 2 yds to the FUR 23Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-8
99.9%
Trey Hedden sacked by Chris Hardie and Kam Franklin for a loss of 8 yards to the FUR 15 Furman Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Trey Hedden) to the FUR 11Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 21
OWN 11
+4
99.9%
Ian Williams punt for 45 yds , Micah Davis returns for 4 yds to the MISS 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 25TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
99.9%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Ayden Williams for 12 yds to the FUR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.9%
(05:25) SIMMONS, Austin pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Ayden thrown to the FUR0, clock 05:21. PENALTY FUR Pass Interference on INGRAM V, Charles enforced 15 yards to the FUR25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Austin Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.9%
Austin Simmons run for 8 yds to the FUR 17Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Matt Jones run for 17 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Trey Hedden pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
Bailor Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the FUR 23Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
100.0%
Trey Hedden pass complete to Ben Ferguson for 1 yd to the FUR 24Similar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Ian Williams punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the MISS 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 27TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Austin Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 9 yds to the MISS 36Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the MISS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.9%
Austin Simmons run for 9 yds to the MISS 47Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Austin Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the MISS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the FUR 46Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+46
99.9%
Matt Jones run for 46 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Grant Robinson run for 2 yds to the FUR 27Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
Myion Hicks run for 3 yds to the FUR 30Similar
Q4 14:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Trey Hedden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Ian Williams punt for 48 yds, downed at the MISS 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 29FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
99.9%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 11 yds to the MISS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
99.9%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Noreel White for 14 yds to the MISS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
100.0%
Rashad Amos run for 7 yds to the FUR 46Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Rashad Amos run for 3 yds to the FUR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
100.0%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Noreel White for 20 yds to the FUR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Austin Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Austin Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Austin Simmons pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
99.9%
Caden Davis 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 30PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:200% → 0%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Gavin Hall run for 4 yds to the FUR 29Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
100.0%
Trey Hedden pass complete to Joshua Burrell for 6 yds to the FUR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
100.0%
Gavin Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the FUR 33Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+10
100.0%
Trey Hedden pass complete to Joshua Harris for 10 yds to the FUR 43Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+10
100.0%
Trey Hedden pass complete to Joshua Harris for 10 yds to the MISS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Trey Hedden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
100.0%
Trey Hedden run for 5 yds to the MISS 42Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-6
100.0%
Trey Hedden sacked by Chris Hardie for a loss of 6 yards to the MISS 48Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Ian Williams punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Micah Davis at the MISS 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 31DOWNS
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:55100% → 100%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
100.0%
Austin Simmons pass complete to Josh Aka for 11 yds to the MISS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Domonique Thomas run for 3 yds to the MISS 32Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+22
100.0%
Domonique Thomas run for 22 yds to the FUR 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Domonique Thomas run for no gain to the FUR 46Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Domonique Thomas run for 4 yds to the FUR 42Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+21
100.0%
Domonique Thomas run for 21 yds to the FUR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
100.0%
Domonique Thomas run for 3 yds to the FUR 18Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Rashad Amos run for no gain to the FUR 18Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Walker Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 7
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Walker Howard pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 32END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
100.0%
Gavin Hall run for 3 yds to the FUR 21Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-1
100.0%
Ben Croasdale run for a loss of 1 yard to the FUR 20Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+11
100.0%
Ben Croasdale run for 11 yds to the FUR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Ben Croasdale run for no gain to the FUR 31Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
100.0%
Ben Croasdale run for 8 yds to the FUR 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 4:39
JJ Pegues 2 Yd Run (Caden Davis Kick)
+0.3
TD · Q2 8:00
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 46 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 8:07
Jaxson Dart pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 61 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com