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2024 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2024 · War Memorial Stadium (AR)
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadUAPB aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreUAPB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:42 · Shea Yurkins punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Pregame prior+40.1Home team on offense+28.2Score differential+21.3Blowout margin+11.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6Garbage-time factor+4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:08: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK) — UAPB win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:03: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 46 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK) — ARK win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:06: Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK) — UAPB win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:37: Taylen Green pass complete to Ty Washington for 23 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK) — ARK win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAPB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:37UAPB 4th & 14 at UAPB 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:14UAPB 4th & 11 at UAPB 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:17UAPB 4th & 18 at UAPB 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00UAPB 4th & 13 at UAPB 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:46UAPB 4th & 4 at ARK 47, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:42UAPB 4th & 9 at ARK 46, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:31UAPB 4th & 8 at UAPB 27, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:31UAPB 4th & 5 at UAPB 45, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 12:08ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:16ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:03ARK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:12ARK Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:06ARK Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:37ARK Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:09ARK Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:13ARK Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:14ARK Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:36ARK Touchdown, up 69 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 9 yds to the ARK 43 Ja'Quinden Jackson fumbled, recovered by ARKSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
99.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 8 yds to the UAPB 46Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+6
99.6%
Rodney Hill run for 6 yds to the UAPB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.6%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+32
99.6%
Taylen Green run for 32 yds to the UAPB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Oshawn Ross run for 2 yds to the UAPB 27Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
99.4%
Mekhi Hagens sacked by Eric Gregory for a loss of 6 yards to the UAPB 21Similar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Shea Yurkins punt for 19 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:2199% → 99%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
99.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 14 yds to the UAPB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
99.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds to the UAPB 18Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+3
99.4%
Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the UAPB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
99.4%
Braylen Russell run for 11 yds to the UAPB 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Taylen Green run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:021% → 1%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Oshawn Ross run for 5 yds to the UAPB 30Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
99.4%
Johness Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAPB 29Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.4%
Mekhi Hagens sacked by Xavian Sorey Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the UAPB 24Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Shea Yurkins punt for 36 yds, downed at the ARK 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 1:1199% → 100%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ja'Quinden Jackson for 6 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+8
99.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 8 yds to the UAPB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 46 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:461% → 1%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.4%
HAGENS, Mekhi pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GIBSON, JaVonnie thrown to the UAP47. PENALTY ARK Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Jayden enforced at the spot of the foul for 8 yards to the UAP33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.4%
Mekhi Hagens run for 7 yds to the UAPB 40Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-1
99.4%
Za'Marion Webber run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAPB 39Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-5
99.4%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAPB 34Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-9
99.5%
Mekhi Hagens sacked by Stephen Dix Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the UAPB 25Similar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 18
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Shea Yurkins punt for 38 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for no gain Arkansas Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UAPB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
99.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-5
99.5%
Arkansas Penalty, False Start (Jordan Anthony) to the UAPB 45Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+24
99.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jordan Anthony for 24 yds to the UAPB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
99.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 10 yds to the UAPB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
99.5%
Taylen Green run for 7 yds to the UAPB 4Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Rodney Hill run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.7%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Kristian Gammage for 11 yds to the UAPB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.6%
Oshawn Ross run for 2 yds to the UAPB 38Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 8
OWN 38
-5
99.7%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jaden Kelly) to the UAPB 33Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Shea Yurkins punt for 22 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.6%
Rodney Hill run for 6 yds to the ARK 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
99.6%
Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the ARK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+34
99.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 34 yds to the UAPB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
99.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jordan Anthony for 11 yds to the UAPB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.6%
Rodney Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAPB 9Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.7%
Johness Davis run for 11 yds to the UAPB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
99.7%
Mekhi Hagens run for 4 yds to the UAPB 40 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UAPB 28Similar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 18
OWN 28
+17
99.7%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Aramoni Rhone for 17 yds to the UAPB 45Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
99.7%
Mekhi Hagens run for 2 yds to the UAPB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
99.7%
Johness Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAPB 45Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+8
99.7%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Kristian Gammage for 8 yds to the ARK 47Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Shea Yurkins punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 6 yds to the ARK 25Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds to the ARK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
99.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Luke Hasz for 20 yds to the UAPB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
99.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 14 yds to the UAPB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
99.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jordan Anthony for 11 yds to the UAPB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ty Washington for 23 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 29 yds · 3:550% → 0%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Kristian Gammage for 2 yds to the UAPB 27Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Johness Davis run for 2 yds to the UAPB 29Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Jaxson Isaac for 9 yds to the UAPB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
99.9%
Johness Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAPB 36Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+17
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Aramoni Rhone for 17 yds to the ARK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
99.9%
Johness Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARK 49Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Daemon Dawkins for 3 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Shea Yurkins punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 23Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
99.8%
GREEN, Taylen pass deep to the left complete for 42 yards to SATEGNA, Isaiah caught at the UAP48 and advanced to the UAP35 (ALLEN-PATMON, Marquese). PENALTY ARK Holding on BLACKSTOCK, Keyshawn enforced 10 yards from the ARK23 to the ARK13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+10
99.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Rodney Hill for 10 yds to the ARK 23Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+17
99.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Khafre Brown for 17 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Rodney Hill for 6 yds to the ARK 46Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+18
99.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 18 yds to the UAPB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
Taylen Green run for 36 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Oshawn Ross run for 4 yds to the UAPB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Kevin English for 3 yds to the UAPB 28Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAPB 27Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Shea Yurkins punt for 40 yds, downed at the ARK 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
99.9%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 15 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+25
99.9%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Khafre Brown for 25 yds to the UAPB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Malachi Singleton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
Doneiko Slaughter run for 4 yds to the UAPB 23Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+14
99.9%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Luke Hasz for 14 yds to the UAPB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Braylen Russell run for 9 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:420% → 0%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 15 yds to the UAPB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Oshawn Ross run for no gain to the UAPB 40Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
YURKINS, Shea punt 38 yards to the ARK22, STEPHENS, Bryce returned 72 yards to the UAP6, End of Play, clock 03:44. PENALTY ARK Running Into the kicker on COLLINS, Charlie enforced 5 yards from the UAP40 to the UAP45 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Jeremy Baker punt for 41 yds, downed at the ARK 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 10:17100% → 100%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
99.9%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Monte Harrison for 11 yds to the ARK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the ARK 29Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 11 yds to the ARK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 3 yds to the ARK 43Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Rashod Dubinion run for 4 yds to the ARK 47Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+13
99.9%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Davion Dozier for 13 yds to the UAPB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Braylen Russell run for 3 yds to the UAPB 37Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Malachi Singleton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+28
100.0%
Malachi Singleton pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 28 yds to the UAPB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
100.0%
Rashod Dubinion run for 7 yds to the UAPB 2Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
100.0%
Malachi Singleton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAPB 4 Malachi Singleton fumbled, recovered by ARK Malachi Singleton M. Singleton return for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Malachi Singleton run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 19PUNT
13 plays · 20 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Za'Marion Webber run for 1 yd to the UAPB 26Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
100.0%
Mekhi Hagens run for 9 yds to the UAPB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+21
100.0%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Donovan Giles for 21 yds to the ARK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
100.0%
Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 17 yds to the ARK 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-10
100.0%
HAGENS, Mekhi pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for GAMMAGE, Kristian thrown to the ARK0. PENALTY UAP Holding enforced 10 yards from the ARK27 to the ARK37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 20
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Mekhi Hagens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 20
OPP 37
-5
100.0%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, False Start (Jaden Kelly) to the ARK 42Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 25
OPP 42
-13
100.0%
Mekhi Hagens sacked by Bradley Shaw for a loss of 13 yards to the UAPB 45Similar
Q4 4:11
4TH & 38
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Jeremy Baker punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dylan Hasz at the ARK 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 7 yds to the ARK 17Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+10
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 10 yds to the ARK 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
100.0%
KJ Jackson pass complete to Monte Harrison for 18 yds to the ARK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
100.0%
KJ Jackson pass complete to Krosse Johnson for 10 yds to the UAPB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAPB 42Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
KJ Jackson run for 3 yds to the UAPB 39Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+16
100.0%
KJ Jackson pass complete to Shamar Easter for 16 yds to the UAPB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
100.0%
KJ Jackson pass complete to Krosse Johnson for 15 yds to the UAPB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAPB 4Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Tyrell Reed Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UAPBDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
BJ Curry run for 2 yds to the UAPB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:37
Taylen Green pass complete to Ty Washington for 23 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 12:08
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)
-0.1
TD · Q1 5:03
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 46 yds for a TD (Kyle Ramsey KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com