Try the model
WKU

Western Kentucky 0 at Alabama 63

ALA
2024 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:39 · Cole Maynard punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Mbakwe at the ALA 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+22.9Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+28.9Blowout margin+17.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.9Garbage-time factor+7.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:07: Jalen Milroe 12 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick) — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:01: Kendrick Law 22 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick) — ALA win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:27: Ryan Williams 84 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick) — ALA win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:35: Jam Miller 39 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick) — ALA win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:53: Justice Haynes 85 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick) — ALA win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 13 of 13
  1. Q1 12:50WKU 4th & 22 at WKU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:20ALA 4th & 13 at ALA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:46WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:39WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:39WKU 4th & 10 at ALA 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:55WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:23WKU 4th & 3 at ALA 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:26WKU 4th & 5 at ALA 8, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:45WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:13ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 29, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:40WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 16, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:38WKU 4th & 12 at WKU 18, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:39WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 28, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:45ALA 4th & 9 at ALA 26, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:02WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 27, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:39WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 32, down 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:22ALA 4th & 1 at WKU 11, up 63
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:07ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:01ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:27ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:35ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:53ALA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:30ALA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:30ALA Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:51ALA Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:04ALA Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:102% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 2 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
98.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to River Helms for 16 yds to the WKU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to River HelmsSimilar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-2
98.3%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 41Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 12
OWN 41
-10
98.2%
TJ Finley sacked by Que Robinson for a loss of 10 yards to the WKU 31Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 22
OWN 31
0
98.1%
Cole Maynard punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cole Adams at the ALA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3098% → 98%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
98.1%
Justice Haynes run for 4 yds to the ALA 35Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-7
98.1%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Hosea Wheeler for a loss of 7 yards to the ALA 28 Jalen Milroe fumbled, forced by Hosea Wheeler, recovered by ALA Jalen Milroe , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 13
OWN 28
0
98.0%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kendrick LawSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
97.9%
James Burnip punt for 52 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:322% → 2%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.9%
Easton Messer run for 2 yds to the WKU 22Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-23
97.9%
TJ Finley pass intercepted Keon Sabb return for 23 yds to the WKU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:4198% → 98%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
97.9%
Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the WKU 12Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
98.0%
Jalen Milroe 12 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5INT
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:352% → 3%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Dalvin SmithSimilar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.9%
TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 13 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
97.9%
Young, Elijah rush for 2 yards to the WESTERNKY40, PENALTY ALA substitution infraction 5 yards to the WESTERNKY43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
97.9%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 41Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+8
97.8%
TJ Finley run for 8 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+15
97.7%
Finley, TJ pass incomplete to Childress, Bryce, PENALTY ALA pass interference (Morgan, Red) 15 yards to the ALA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
97.7%
Elijah Young run for 10 yds to the ALA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.6%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
97.6%
TJ Finley pass complete to River Helms for 4 yds to the ALA 22Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 6
OPP 22
-64
97.5%
TJ Finley pass intercepted Keon Sabb return for 64 yds to the WKU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:3198% → 98%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
97.7%
Justice Haynes run for 2 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+2
97.6%
Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the WKU 22Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+22
97.9%
Kendrick Law 22 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:152% → 2%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.8%
Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
97.7%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Bryce ChildressSimilar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
97.7%
TJ Finley run for 3 yds to the WKU 30Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
97.7%
Cole Maynard punt for 42 yds , Cole Adams returns for 1 yd to the ALA 31 Alabama Penalty, Illegal Block (Zavier Mincey) to the ALA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 1:1998% → 98%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
97.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 8 yds to the ALA 27Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 2
OWN 27
-5
97.8%
Alabama Penalty, False Start (Tyler Booker) to the ALA 22Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-7
97.8%
Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the ALA 25 Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kobe Prentice) to the ALA 15Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+1
97.8%
Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 16Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 13
OWN 16
+84
98.2%
Ryan Williams 84 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.3%
TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 5 yds to the WKU 30Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Elijah YoungSimilar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.3%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+9
98.3%
Cole Maynard punt for 51 yds , Cole Adams returns for 9 yds to the ALA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:2798% → 98%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
98.2%
Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 29Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+7
98.2%
Kendrick Law run for 7 yds to the ALA 36Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-16
98.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the ALA 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WKU Devonte' MathewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:332% → 2%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
98.1%
Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the ALA 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-5
98.1%
Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Blake Austin) to the ALA 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+5
98.1%
TJ Finley run for 5 yds to the ALA 13Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-7
98.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to TJ Finley for a loss of 7 yards to the ALA 20Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
98.2%
Lucas Carneiro 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0498% → 99%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
98.4%
Miller, Jam rush for 12 yards to the ALA32, PENALTY ALA holding (Roberts, Jaeden) 10 yards to the ALA10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+50
98.4%
Jalen Milroe run for 40 yds to the WKU 49 for a 1ST down Western Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Holding (Upton Stout) to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.0%
Jam Miller 39 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13DOWNS
23 plays · 71 yds · 9:091% → 1%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 2 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to L.T. Sanders for 4 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.0%
TJ Finley run for 3 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.0%
TJ Finley run for 4 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.0%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Easton MesserSimilar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for no gain to the WKU 38Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.1%
TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
50
0
99.0%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 10
50
0
99.0%
TJ Finley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 10
50
+7
99.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for 7 yds to the ALA 43Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+5
99.0%
TJ Finley pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 5 yds to the ALA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.2%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds to the ALA 34Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+10
99.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 10 yds to the ALA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 3 yds to the ALA 21Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
99.2%
TJ Finley pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+8
99.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Easton Messer for 8 yds to the ALA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
99.2%
TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for a loss of 5 yards to the ALA 18Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+1
99.3%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the ALA 17Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 14
OPP 17
+9
99.4%
TJ Finley pass complete to Moussa Barry for 9 yds to the ALA 8Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+4
99.2%
TJ Finley run for 4 yds to the ALA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14TD
2 plays · 96 yds · 0:3399% → 100%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
99.4%
Justice Haynes run for 11 yds to the ALA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+85
99.5%
Justice Haynes 85 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
George Hart III run for 4 yds to the WKU 29Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
George Hart III run for no gain to the WKU 29Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
L.T. Sanders run for no gain to the WKU 29Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.7%
Cole Maynard punt for 38 yds , Cole Adams returns for 12 yds to the ALA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.5%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jam MillerSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+55
99.7%
Ryan Williams 55 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 25Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 28Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Jam Miller run for 7 yds to the ALA 32Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.7%
Jam Miller run for 1 yd to the ALA 33Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.7%
Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 34Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
99.7%
Alabama Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ALA 29Similar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
James Burnip punt for 54 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.7%
Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the WKU 19Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+2
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 2 yds to the WKU 21Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 6
OWN 21
-8
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 2 yds to the WKU 23 Western Kentucky Penalty, Illegal Block (Michael Mathison) to the WKU 13Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+3
99.8%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 3 yds to the WKU 16Similar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 11
OWN 16
+9
99.8%
Cole Maynard punt for 54 yds , Cole Adams returns for 9 yds to the ALA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:10100% → 100%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.8%
Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the ALA 42Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
99.8%
Richard Young run for 3 yds to the ALA 45Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+17
99.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Germie Bernard for 17 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.8%
Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+1
99.8%
Richard Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 32Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+4
99.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 4 yds to the WKU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
99.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 10 yds to the WKU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
99.8%
Richard Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 21Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Jalen Milroe 21 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.9%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 18Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Kisean JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Dalvin SmithSimilar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+11
99.9%
Cole Maynard punt for 46 yds , Cole Adams returns for 11 yds to the ALA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:47100% → 100%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
99.9%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 20 yds to the WKU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Daniel Hill run for no gain to the WKU 33Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+14
99.9%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 14 yds to the WKU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
99.9%
Ty Simpson run for 17 yds to the WKU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Daniel Hill run for no gain to the WKU 2Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Daniel Hill 2 Yd Run (Conor Talty Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
L.T. Sanders run for no gain to the WKU 25Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Caden Veltkamp run for 3 yds to the WKU 28Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Cole Maynard punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Mbakwe at the ALA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Richard YoungSimilar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Richard Young run for 1 yd to the ALA 26Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Caleb OdomSimilar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
James Burnip punt for 46 yds, fair catch by K.D. Hutchinson at the WKU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
100.0%
Easton Messer run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+1
100.0%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the WKU 27Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to George Hart IIISimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Cole Maynard punt for 52 yds, downed at the ALA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 26TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:58100% → 100%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Rico ScottSimilar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.9%
Kevin Riley run for 9 yds to the ALA 30Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Richard Young run for 2 yds to the ALA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Caleb Odom for 8 yds to the ALA 40Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Richard Young run for 4 yds to the ALA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the ALA 46Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+15
99.9%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Caleb Odom for 15 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
99.9%
Simpson, Ty pass pass intended for Scott, Rico intercepted by Robinson, Kent at the WESTERNKY6, Robinson, Kent return 0 yards to the WESTERNKY6, PENALTY WESTERNKY personal foul (Thomas, Darius) 15 yards to the WESTERNKY24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALA.Similar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
100.0%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 9 yds to the WKU 15Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Kobe PrenticeSimilar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
100.0%
Ty Simpson 15 Yd Run (Conor Talty Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Bryce Childress for 4 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the WKU 32Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Cole Maynard punt for 35 yds, downed at the ALA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 28END OF GAME
14 plays · 55 yds · 7:56100% → 100%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Daniel Hill run for 5 yds to the ALA 38Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+11
100.0%
Daniel Hill run for 11 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
100.0%
Daniel Hill run for 3 yds to the WKU 48Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
100.0%
Daniel Hill run for 1 yd to the WKU 47Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+16
100.0%
Dylan Lonergan run for 16 yds to the WKU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
100.0%
Daniel Hill run for 4 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
100.0%
Daniel Hill run for 3 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+4
100.0%
Kevin Riley run for 4 yds to the WKU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
100.0%
Kevin Riley run for 3 yds to the WKU 17Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+2
100.0%
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the WKU 15Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+4
100.0%
Kevin Riley run for 4 yds to the WKU 11Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+2
100.0%
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the WKU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:35
Jam Miller 39 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)
+0.7
TD · Q1 2:27
Ryan Williams 84 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)
+0.4
TD · Q1 5:01
Kendrick Law 22 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Graham Nicholson Kick)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com