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WIS

Wisconsin 31 at LSU 35

LSU
2023 · ReliaQuest Bowl · Jan 1, 2024 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:31 · Tanner Mordecai sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 45 Tanner Mordecai fumbled, recovered by LSU Da'Shawn Womack , return for 0 yards
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 187Pregame prior+0.3Home team on offense+15.1Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor+4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:47: Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +12.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:14: Jackson Acker run for 33 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — WIS win probability +14.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:33: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 38 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +14.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:44: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 14 yds for a TD — LSU win probability +17.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:08: Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +30.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 13
  1. Q1 10:43LSU 4th & 9 at LSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43LSU 4th & 9 at LSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:40LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:40LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:32WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:51LSU 4th & 1 at WIS 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−1.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:51LSU 4th & 1 at WIS 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−1.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:14LSU 4th & 2 at LSU 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:14LSU 4th & 2 at LSU 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:11WIS 4th & 13 at WIS 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−2.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:11WIS 4th & 13 at WIS 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−2.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:56WIS 4th & 4 at LSU 33, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%−0.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:56WIS 4th & 4 at LSU 33, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%−0.9
    49% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:13WIS 4th & 1 at LSU 36, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.3%−0.5
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.8%
    42% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:54WIS 4th & 18 at WIS 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−4.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:54WIS 4th & 18 at WIS 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−4.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:18WIS 4th & 3 at LSU 3, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%−2.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−17.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:11LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:11LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:34WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 47, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%−3.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:07LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 19, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−1.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:07LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 19, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%−1.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 6:10WIS 4th & 13 at LSU 37, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−2.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−1.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:31WIS 4th & 25 at LSU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−0.3
    average punt
  25. Q4 0:31WIS 4th & 25 at LSU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:28WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:23WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:00LSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:28LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:47WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:14WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:33LSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:44LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:08LSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:1781% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
80.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 9 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+5
80.7%
Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
80.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 6 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+4
80.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
80.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 3 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+8
80.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 8 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
80.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
80.7%
Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the LSU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
80.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
79.5%
Jay Bramblett punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
79.5%
Jay Bramblett punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 2:1521% → 24%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
79.5%
Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the WIS 24Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
79.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 3 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+12
79.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 12 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+41
79.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 41 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
76.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 20 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4877% → 76%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 8 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
77.5%
Trey Holly run for no gain to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
77.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
75.9%
Jay Bramblett punt for 29 yds, downed at the WIS 39Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
75.9%
Jay Bramblett punt for 29 yds, downed at the WIS 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0825% → 26%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
75.5%
Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
75.4%
Cade Yacamelli run for 5 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
74.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 1 yd to the WIS 48Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
74.5%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5DOWNS
12 plays · 45 yds · 3:4175% → 73%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
74.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 11 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
75.1%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+25
75.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 25 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
75.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
75.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-5
75.4%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Charles Turner III) to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+5
75.0%
Wisconsin Penalty, Offsides (Gio Paez) to the WIS 46Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-5
75.4%
NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass to the left complete for 8 yards to DIGGS, Logan to the WIS38 (CHANEY, Jake). PENALTY Before the snap, LSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the WIS46 to the LSU49. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+9
75.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 9 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+5
73.9%
NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LACY, Kyren broken up by FOURQUREAN, Nyzier at the WIS25, clock 02:26. PENALTY Before the snap, WIS Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the WIS42 to the WIS37. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-3
73.2%
Josh Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 40Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-3
73.2%
Josh Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:2829% → 34%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
71.2%
Cade Yacamelli run for 7 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+53
65.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 53 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4667% → 67%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
67.0%
Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
67.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+3
67.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 3 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
66.6%
Jay Bramblett punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 14Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
66.6%
Jay Bramblett punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 29 yds · 5:0335% → 42%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
65.0%
Jackson Acker run for 8 yds to the WIS 22Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+2
64.7%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
64.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the WIS 32Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+3
64.7%
Jackson Acker run for 3 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
64.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
64.8%
Tanner Mordecai run for 11 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
64.2%
MORDECAI, Tanner pass deep up the middle complete for 46 yards to ANTHONY, Vinny caught at the LSU15 and advanced to the LSU8, End of Play. PENALTY WIS Holding on FURTNEY, Michael enforced 10 yards from the WIS46 to the WIS36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+1
64.8%
Cade Yacamelli run for 1 yd to the WIS 37Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+6
64.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 6 yds to the WIS 43Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
64.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
57.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 17 ydsSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
57.7%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 17 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:1160% → 68%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
59.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
59.3%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+8
59.9%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 8 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
60.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 21 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
61.0%
Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the WIS 24Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+18
61.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 18 yds to the WIS 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
61.0%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the WIS 1Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.0%
Wisconsin Penalty, Offsides (C.J. Goetz) to the WIS 1Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.7%
Harold Perkins Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:5437% → 39%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
62.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 9 yds to the WIS 40Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+21
61.4%
Cade Yacamelli run for 21 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
60.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
60.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+6
61.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+51
60.7%
Nathanial Vakos 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+51
60.7%
Nathanial Vakos 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:2863% → 76%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
62.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 7 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+6
64.4%
Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
64.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+17
63.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 17 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
65.1%
Josh Williams run for 12 yds to the WIS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
66.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 13 yds to the WIS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
75.8%
Kaleb Jackson run for 12 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:4131% → 47%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
69.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 22 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
66.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 5 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
65.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 2 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+22
65.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 22 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
52.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:1559% → 59%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
59.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 10 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
59.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted Ricardo Hallman return for 10 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
59.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass intercepted Ricardo Hallman return for 10 yds to the LSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:1947% → 47%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
53.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 9 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
52.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
52.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
53.1%
Jackson Acker run for no gain to the LSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
56.8%
Kneel down by NUSSMEIER, Garrett at LSU35 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4645% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
54.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 13 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
53.2%
Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the WIS 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
52.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+12
53.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 12 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
52.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
50.3%
Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+6
49.4%
Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
35.4%
Jackson Acker run for 33 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3639% → 56%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
38.9%
Josh Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 24Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
38.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 14 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
40.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 17 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
41.4%
Josh Williams run for 7 yds to the WIS 38Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+38
55.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 38 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 2:3351% → 51%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 9 yds to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
47.8%
Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the WIS 29Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
48.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 6 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
48.8%
Tanner Mordecai run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 34Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-7
50.9%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Maason Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the WIS 27Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+5
48.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 48 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+5
48.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 48 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:1049% → 71%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
49.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 8 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
52.1%
Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the LSU 39Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+6
51.1%
Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
51.8%
NUSSMEIER, Garrett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for THOMAS JR., Brian thrown to the WIS10. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on FOURQUREAN, Nyzier enforced 15 yards to the WIS40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
53.4%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+12
51.5%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 12 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
53.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Josh Williams for 11 yds to the WIS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
53.2%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the WIS 14Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
71.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 14 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 3:1943% → 52%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
57.4%
Jackson Acker run for 8 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+36
56.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 36 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
55.0%
Tanner Mordecai run for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 6Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
55.3%
Jackson Acker run for 3 yds to the LSU 3Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
57.1%
Jackson Acker run for no gain to the LSU 3Similar
Q3 1:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
48.3%
Nathanial Vakos 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:4753% → 47%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
52.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 5 yds to the LSU 24Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+12
53.2%
Noah Cain run for 12 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
53.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
49.1%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Brian Thomas Jr.) to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
47.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+10
46.1%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Mason Taylor for 10 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
47.2%
Jay Bramblett punt for 36 yds, downed at the WIS 23Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
47.2%
Jay Bramblett punt for 36 yds, downed at the WIS 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:3751% → 60%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
48.9%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 25Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-10
48.9%
Wisconsin Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bryson Green) to the WIS 18Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+9
49.8%
Tanner Mordecai run for 9 yds to the WIS 27Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+12
49.8%
Jackson Acker run for 12 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
45.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
46.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 6 yds to the WIS 45Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+2
45.7%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 47Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
39.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2741% → 38%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
41.1%
Kaleb Jackson run for 3 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+3
41.0%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 3 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
39.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
38.4%
Jay Bramblett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 40Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
38.4%
Jay Bramblett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:5765% → 66%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
34.9%
Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 42Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
35.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+24
36.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Trech Kekahuna for 24 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
31.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for no gain to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
32.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-3
34.2%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Mekhi Wingo for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 37Similar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 13
OPP 37
0
33.6%
Atticus Bertrams punt for 35 yds, downed at the LSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 25TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 3:0237% → 88%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
36.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+9
36.0%
Josh Williams run for 9 yds to the LSU 11Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+2
35.2%
Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
41.2%
Garrett Nussmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+37
46.3%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 37 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
50
+43
53.7%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 43 yds to the WIS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
57.3%
Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the WIS 4Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.8%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 34 yds · 2:3222% → 17%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
77.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the WIS 25Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+24
76.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 24 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
72.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
70.7%
Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
66.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+7
69.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
66.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 8 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 2
OPP 19
-13
66.5%
Tanner Mordecai sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the LSU 32 Tanner Mordecai fumbled, recovered by WIS Vinny Anthony II , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 15
OPP 32
-10
75.0%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Mekhi Wingo for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 42Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 25
OPP 42
-3
82.9%
Tanner Mordecai sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 45 Tanner Mordecai fumbled, recovered by LSU Da'Shawn Womack , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 25
OPP 42
-3
82.9%
Tanner Mordecai sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 45 Tanner Mordecai fumbled, recovered by LSU Da'Shawn Womack , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Kneel down by NUSSMEIER, Garrett at LSU44 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:08
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+30.5
TD · Q3 4:44
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Chris Hilton Jr. for 14 yds for a TD
+17.8
TD · Q3 10:33
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 38 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
+14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com