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CLEM

Clemson 38 at Kentucky 35

UK
2023 · TaxSlayer Gator Bowl · Dec 29, 2023 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:22 · Aidan Swanson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Home team on offense+15.7Pregame prior−8.2Score differential+5.0Garbage-time factor+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:00: Barion Brown run for 22 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +3.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:17: Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK) — CLEM win probability +5.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:44: Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — UK win probability +9.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:47: Barion Brown 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Alex Raynor Kick) — UK win probability +11.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:47: Clemson Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line — UK win probability +2.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CLEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:16CLEM 4th & 2 at UK 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:38UK 4th & 7 at UK 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:14CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:09CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:40UK 4th & 11 at UK 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:21CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 40, down 4
    Close callPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:19UK 4th & 8 at UK 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:13CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:25UK 4th & 17 at UK 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:03CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:22CLEM 4th & 22 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−3.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:31UK 4th & 21 at UK 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−3.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:25CLEM 4th & 5 at UK 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:00CLEM 4th & 11 at UK 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:20CLEM 4th & 8 at UK 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:35CLEM 4th & 2 at UK 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:00UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:17CLEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:44UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:47UK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:1467% → 66%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
32.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Josh Sapp for 4 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST down Kentucky Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
33.0%
Phil Mafah run for 9 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
33.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 3 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
33.3%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the UK 29Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-1
33.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 30Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+8
33.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 8 yds to the UK 22Similar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+39
33.8%
Jonathan Weitz 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:2234% → 34%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.0%
Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
34.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 13 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
34.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
34.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 3 yds to the UK 49Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
34.7%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
34.4%
Wilson Berry punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:1065% → 64%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
34.7%
Will Shipley run for 1 yd to the CLEM 16Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+4
34.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 4 yds to the CLEM 20Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+7
35.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 7 yds to the CLEM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
35.0%
Cade Klubnik run for 3 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
35.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
35.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
35.6%
Aidan Swanson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Barion Brown at the UK 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:4235% → 39%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
35.3%
Ray Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 22 Ray Davis fumbled, recovered by UK Ray DavisSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+13
35.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 13 yds to the UK 35Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+43
35.6%
Ray Davis run for 43 yds to the CLEM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
39.4%
Barion Brown run for 22 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:2161% → 60%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.7%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
38.5%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
38.8%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
38.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Phil MafahSimilar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
39.3%
Will Shipley run for no gain to the CLEM 36Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
39.9%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q1 2:09
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
40.4%
Aidan Swanson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2040% → 39%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.7%
Ray Davis run for no gain to the UK 25Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
39.9%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
39.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 24Similar
Q1 0:40
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
39.3%
Wilson Berry punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5960% → 59%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
40.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 4 yds to the CLEM 38Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+4
39.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 4 yds to the CLEM 42Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-2
39.8%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Trevin Wallace for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 40Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
41.5%
Aidan Swanson punt for 48 yds, downed at the UK 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5741% → 40%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
41.1%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
41.2%
Ramon Jefferson run for 2 yds to the UK 14Similar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
40.8%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Dane KeySimilar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
40.4%
Wilson Berry punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Hamp Greene at the CLEM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:3359% → 65%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
40.8%
Phil Mafah run for 18 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
40.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 14 yds to the UK 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
39.9%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (Tyler Brown) to the UK 32Similar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+3
40.8%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the UK 29Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+28
40.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 28 yds to the UK 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.4%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1638% → 49%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.3%
Ray Davis run for no gain to the UK 25Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.0%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 26Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
37.3%
Clemson Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Shelton Lewis) to the UK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+58
39.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 58 yds to the CLEM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
48.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:1055% → 50%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
45.5%
Cade Klubnik run for 6 yds to the CLEM 31Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
44.9%
Will Shipley run for 5 yds to the CLEM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
45.3%
Will Shipley run for 2 yds to the CLEM 38Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-5
45.2%
Cade Klubnik sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the CLEM 33Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+5
48.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 5 yds to the CLEM 38Similar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+9
50.4%
Aidan Swanson punt for 53 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 9 yds to the UK 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:1949% → 49%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
49.4%
Ramon Jefferson run for 2 yds to the UK 20Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
49.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+27
49.0%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 27 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
52.6%
Ramon Jefferson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 7
50
-8
53.3%
Devin Leary sacked by Barrett Carter and T.J. Parker for a loss of 8 yards to the UK 42Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 15
OWN 42
-2
50.2%
Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 40Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 17
OWN 40
+4
49.2%
Wilson Berry punt for 43 yds , Hamp Greene returns for 4 yds to the CLEM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:1046% → 44%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
54.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 9 yds to the CLEM 30Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+3
52.4%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the CLEM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
53.7%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
54.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 6 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-1
53.4%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Deone Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 38Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
56.3%
Aidan Swanson punt for 45 yds, downed at the UK 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
52.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
66.5%
Clemson Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:5823% → 21%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
76.8%
Phil Mafah run for a loss of 4 yards to the CLEM 21Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+28
77.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Olsen Patt-Henry for 28 yds to the CLEM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
75.7%
Cade Klubnik run for 13 yds to the UK 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
75.5%
Cade Klubnik sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 7 yards to the UK 45 Clemson Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Cade Klubnik) to the UK 45Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 17
OPP 45
0
77.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Adam RandallSimilar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 17
OPP 45
-5
79.0%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Deone Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 22
50
0
79.2%
Aidan Swanson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 5:2884% → 88%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
84.4%
Ray Davis run for no gain to the UK 15Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
85.1%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds to the UK 20Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+10
85.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 10 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
87.2%
Davis, Ray rush for 6 yards to the KENTUCKY36, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding (Ray, Dylan) 10 yards to the KENTUCKY20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 20
OWN 20
0
87.0%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+24
87.4%
Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 24 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
88.8%
Kentucky Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jordan Dingle) to the UK 29Similar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 25
OWN 29
0
88.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-StephensSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 25
OWN 29
-6
88.6%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the UK 23Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 31
OWN 23
+10
87.5%
Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 10 yds to the UK 33Similar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 21
OWN 33
0
88.4%
Wilson Berry punt for 37 yds, downed at the CLEM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:0012% → 8%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
87.6%
Cade Klubnik run for 14 yds to the CLEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
87.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 4 yds to the CLEM 48Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
88.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 4
50
+10
89.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 10 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-8
88.9%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Octavious Oxendine for a loss of 8 yards to the UK 48Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 18
OPP 48
0
90.0%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Josh SappSimilar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 18
OPP 48
-5
90.3%
Clemson Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CLEM 47Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 23
OWN 47
+18
90.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 18 yds to the UK 35Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+5
90.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Will Shipley for 5 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
89.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Troy Stellato for 7 yds to the UK 23Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+3
89.3%
Will Shipley run for 3 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
89.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 15 yds to the UK 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
90.7%
Will Shipley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 7Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
91.1%
Will Shipley run for 6 yds to the UK 1Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.7%
Phil Mafah 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4994% → 95%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.3%
Ramon Jefferson run for 2 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.2%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
95.2%
Devin Leary sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 25 Devin Leary fumbled, recovered by CLEM Justin Mascoll , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
92.3%
Cade Klubnik pass intercepted, touchback. Jordan Lovett return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:1096% → 97%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
95.5%
Ray Davis run for 7 yds to the UK 27Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
95.9%
Ray Davis run for no gain to the UK 27Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
96.0%
Devin Leary run for 5 yds to the UK 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
96.2%
Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the UK 40Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-2
96.6%
Ray Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 38Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
96.6%
Devin Leary pass intercepted Barrett Carter return for no gain to the UK 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:035% → 4%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
95.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+12
95.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 12 yds to the UK 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+18
95.0%
Tyler Brown run for 18 yds to the UK 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.1%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Jake BriningstoolSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
95.3%
Cade Klubnik run for 1 yd to the UK 6Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
95.9%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Jonquis Hardaway for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 11 Cade Klubnik fumbled, forced by Jonquis Hardaway, recovered by CLEM Cade Klubnik , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 7:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
96.3%
Jonathan Weitz 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Barion Brown run for 4 yds to the UK 29 Barion Brown fumbled, forced by Khalil Barnes, recovered by CLEM Barrett CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
95.7%
Phil Mafah 29 Yd Run (Cade Klubnik Pass to Tyler Brown for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3097% → 98%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.7%
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 15 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
98.0%
Barion Brown 60 Yd pass from Devin Leary (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:303% → 2%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Troy StellatoSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
97.5%
Phil Mafah run for 2 yds to the UK 35Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
97.6%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the UK 35Similar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+52
97.7%
Jonathan Weitz 52 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 27TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5898% → 99%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+72
98.3%
Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 72 yds to the CLEM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.6%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the CLEM 1Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Ray Davis 1 Yd Run (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 1:582% → 2%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
98.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 9 yds to the CLEM 41Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+5
98.2%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 5 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
98.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 1 yd to the CLEM 47Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-1
98.3%
Cade Klubnik sacked by D'Eryk Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the CLEM 46Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+12
98.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 12 yds to the UK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
98.2%
Kentucky Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the UK 37Similar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+2
98.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Phil Mafah for 2 yds to the UK 35Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 3
OPP 35
-15
97.8%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Jantzen Dunn for a loss of 15 yards to the 50 yard line Clemson Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 18
50
+16
98.4%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 16 yds to the UK 34Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+5
98.1%
Phil Mafah run for 5 yds to the UK 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
97.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Antonio Williams for 11 yds to the UK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
97.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Jake Briningstool for 15 yds to the UK 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.7%
Phil Mafah 3 Yd Run (Cade Klubnik Pass to Josh Sapp for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 29INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.0%
Devin Leary pass intercepted Shelton Lewis return for 5 yds to the UK 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
98.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UK 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-98.3
TD · Q3 14:47
Barion Brown 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Alex Raynor Kick)
+11.7
TD · Q2 7:44
Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com