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RUTG

Rutgers 31 at Miami 24

MIA
2023 · Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl · Dec 28, 2023 · Yankee Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:43 · Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 8 yds to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense−35.8Garbage-time factor−15.6Score differential−18.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.1One-score game+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:19: Jacurri Brown run for 7 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +12.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Andres Borregales 35 Yd Field Goal — MIA win probability +8.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 10:33: Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 30 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +12.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:51: Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK) — RUTG win probability +15.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:27: Jacurri Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +22.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 3:11MIA 4th & 16 at MIA 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:13RUTG 4th & 15 at MIA 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:45RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  4. Q3 7:23RUTG 4th & 4 at MIA 46, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    41.3%−3.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q3 5:06MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.7
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:15MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−3.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:13RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:55MIA 4th & 2 at MIA 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:47MIA 4th & 2 at MIA 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.9%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:15RUTG 4th & 1 at MIA 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.9%−2.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:35RUTG 4th & 6 at MIA 17, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:43MIA 4th & 4 at RUTG 17, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−1.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:08MIA 4th & 6 at MIA 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:54RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:37RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:19MIA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:33MIA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:51RUTG Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:27MIA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 7:3648% → 52%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
51.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 22 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
51.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the RUTG 49Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+14
51.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 14 yds to the MIA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
51.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the MIA 32Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+11
51.7%
Kyle Monangai run for 11 yds to the MIA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
51.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the MIA 17Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
51.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the MIA 14Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+3
51.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the MIA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
51.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 5 yds to the MIA 6Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+5
51.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the MIA 2 for a 1ST down Miami Penalty, Personal Foul (1 Yards) to the MIA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the MIA 1Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
51.4%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the MIA 1Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 3:3150% → 48%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
49.5%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
49.4%
Jacurri Brown run for 3 yds to the MIA 18Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+8
48.8%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 8 yds to the MIA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
49.1%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for no gain to the MIA 26Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
48.8%
Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the MIA 28Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-8
48.4%
Jacurri Brown sacked by Mohamed Toure for a loss of 8 yards to the MIA 20Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
47.8%
Dylan Joyce punt for 51 yds, downed at the RUTG 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:4252% → 53%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
47.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
47.3%
Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the RUTG 34Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+14
47.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 14 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
46.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
45.9%
Samuel Brown V run for 11 yds to the MIA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
45.5%
Samuel Brown V run for 11 yds to the MIA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
45.1%
Samuel Brown V run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 34 Samuel Brown V fumbled, recovered by RUTGSimilar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 14
OPP 34
0
45.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 14
OPP 34
-1
45.8%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 35Similar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 15
OPP 35
+53
46.8%
Jai Patel 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5447% → 46%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
47.0%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 38Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-2
47.7%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 36Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-3
46.1%
Jacurri Brown pass intercepted Abram Wright return for 3 yds to the MIA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 3:3856% → 67%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
43.9%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 46Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+11
44.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Famah Toure for 11 yds to the MIA 35Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
43.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the MIA 33Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+5
44.2%
Miami Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MIA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
42.5%
Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 30Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+23
40.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 23 yds to the MIA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
33.2%
Kyle Monangai run for 7 yds for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1235% → 46%
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
34.7%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 16 yds to the MIA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
35.9%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 8 yds to the MIA 49Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
36.0%
Jacurri Brown pass incomplete to Xavier RestrepoSimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
34.7%
Ajay Allen run for 3 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
34.7%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Jacolby George for 1 yd to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the RUTG 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
35.1%
Brown, Jacurri pass incomplete to George, Jacolby, PENALTY RUTGERS roughing passer 15 yards to the RUTGERS17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
34.7%
Jacurri Brown run for 2 yds to the RUTG 15Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
34.3%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 6 yds to the RUTG 9Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+2
33.4%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the RUTG 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
45.8%
Jacurri Brown run for 7 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:2060% → 61%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 31Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
38.9%
Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the RUTG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
37.5%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
50
0
36.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Kyle MonangaiSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
50
-2
36.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 48Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
37.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
39.5%
Flynn Appleby punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ray Ray Joseph at the MIA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8END OF HALF
9 plays · 73 yds · 0:4040% → 54%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
39.7%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 9 yds to the MIA 19Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+16
40.2%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 16 yds to the MIA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
40.2%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 9 yds to the MIA 44Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+24
43.5%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 9 yds to the RUTG 47 for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the RUTG 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
46.3%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 8 yds to the RUTG 24Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+7
45.7%
Jacurri Brown run for 7 yds to the RUTG 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
45.6%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+35
54.2%
Andres Borregales 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:1248% → 65%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
47.8%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 34Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
47.9%
Jacurri Brown run for 4 yds to the MIA 38Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+6
48.9%
Jacurri Brown run for 6 yds to the MIA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
49.9%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Riley Williams for 13 yds to the RUTG 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
50.9%
Jacolby George run for 14 yds to the RUTG 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
52.4%
Ajay Allen run for 3 yds to the RUTG 26Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-4
52.4%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 11 yds to the RUTG 15 for a 1ST down Miami Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the RUTG 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
65.2%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 30 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:5940% → 41%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.1%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 29Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
59.5%
Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+14
59.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 14 yds to the RUTG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
57.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
57.7%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+6
59.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Kyle Monangai for 6 yds to the MIA 46Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
59.0%
Flynn Appleby punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ray Ray Joseph at the MIA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11PUNT TD
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4462% → 37%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
62.1%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the MIA 9Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+2
62.0%
Jacurri Brown run for 2 yds to the MIA 11Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+2
60.9%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 2 yds to the MIA 13Similar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
41.7%
T. Ward recovers blocked punt in end zone for TD. Dylan Joyce punt blocked by Trevor Yeboah-Kodie for (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
36.5%
Rutgers Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:2043% → 38%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.3%
Jacurri Brown run for 3 yds to the MIA 28Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-7
43.5%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 3 yds to the MIA 31 Miami Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MIA 21Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
41.2%
Ajay Allen run for 5 yds to the MIA 26Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
39.8%
Jacurri Brown sacked by Wesley Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 25Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
38.3%
Dylan Joyce punt for 49 yds, downed at the RUTG 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5762% → 60%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
37.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
38.0%
Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the RUTG 30Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
38.4%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+55
40.3%
Flynn Appleby punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ray Ray Joseph at the MIA 30 Miami Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the MIA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1141% → 38%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
40.8%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
40.5%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 19Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+4
38.9%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 4 yds to the MIA 23Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
37.8%
Dylan Joyce punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian Dremel at the RUTG 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:0465% → 85%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
35.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 38Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
33.4%
Kyle Monangai run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+40
31.8%
Kyle Monangai run for 40 yds to the MIA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
50
+9
32.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the MIA 41Similar
Q4 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.6%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the MIA 1Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4319% → 15%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
18.6%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Jacolby George for 12 yds to the MIA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
19.5%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
18.9%
Jacurri Brown run for 5 yds to the MIA 42Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+3
16.1%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIA 45Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 2
OWN 45
-2
15.2%
Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17FG
11 plays · 26 yds · 6:4089% → 98%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
11.3%
Samuel Brown V run for no gain to the MIA 43Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
10.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds to the MIA 40Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+6
10.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 6 yds to the MIA 34Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
10.3%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the MIA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
8.0%
Samuel Brown V run for 7 yds to the MIA 25Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+2
7.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the MIA 23Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
7.2%
Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the MIA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
6.6%
Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the MIA 19Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+1
5.3%
Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MIA 18Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+1
4.6%
Samuel Brown V run for 1 yd to the MIA 17Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
2.5%
Jai Patel 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 1:443% → 26%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
2.9%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 22 yds to the MIA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
2.7%
Jacurri Brown run for 9 yds to the RUTG 44Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+4
2.9%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 4 yds to the RUTG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
2.8%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 6 yds to the RUTG 34Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+11
3.2%
Jacurri Brown run for 11 yds to the RUTG 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
3.2%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
3.1%
Jacurri Brown run for 6 yds to the RUTG 17Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
3.0%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+8
3.0%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 8 yds to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
3.3%
Jacurri Brown pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (7 Yards) to the RUTG 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
3.7%
Jacurri Brown pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo for a 1ST down Rutgers Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (1 Yards) to the RUTG 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.8%
Jacurri Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0814% → 13%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
14.2%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 4 yds to the MIA 48Similar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
15.3%
Jacurri Brown pass incomplete to Isaiah HortonSimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
14.1%
Jacurri Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+5
12.6%
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 5 yds to the RUTG 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the RUTG 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:27
Jacurri Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
+22.1
TD · Q4 11:51
Gavin Wimsatt run for 1 yd for a TD (Jai Patel KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q3 10:33
Jacurri Brown pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 30 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)
+12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com