Try the model
UNC

North Carolina 10 at West Virginia 30

WVU
2023 · Duke's Mayo Bowl · Dec 27, 2023 · Bank of America Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadUNC aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreUNC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG-4.3WVU 57.5%Noah Burnette 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q2 8:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:34 · Noah Burnette 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 8:34: Noah Burnette 28 yd FG GOOD — UNC win probability +4.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. PUNT · Q2 1:29: Tom Maginness punt for 42 yds , Beanie Bishop Jr. returns for 78 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +13.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:27: Conner Harrell pass complete to J.J. Jones for 16 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK) — UNC win probability +14.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Michael Hayes 30 Yd Field Goal — WVU win probability +4.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:48: Jahiem White run for 11 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK) — WVU win probability +9.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UNC made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:37UNC 4th & 15 at WVU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:14WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:10UNC 4th & 1 at WVU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.3%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:34UNC 4th & 6 at WVU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−5.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:18WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:45WVU 4th & 17 at UNC 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:29UNC 4th & 28 at UNC 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:08WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:26UNC 4th & 5 at UNC 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:40WVU 4th & 6 at UNC 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−7.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:44UNC 4th & 13 at UNC 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−2.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:25UNC 4th & 3 at UNC 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:14WVU 4th & 5 at UNC 21, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−2.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:58WVU 4th & 11 at UNC 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:07UNC 4th & 14 at WVU 28, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:36WVU 4th & 3 at UNC 46, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:49WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:27UNC Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:48WVU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
54.1%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 75 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 6:0346% → 43%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.2%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Nate McCollum for 2 yds to the UNC 27Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
54.5%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Nate McCollum for 1 yd to the UNC 28Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
55.0%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 8 yds to the UNC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
54.9%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the UNC 36Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
55.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the UNC 36 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UNC Omarion Hampton Omarion Hampton run for 12 yds to the UNC 36Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
55.6%
North Carolina Penalty, False Start (William Barnes) to the UNC 31Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+17
56.0%
Conner Harrell run for 17 yds to the UNC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
55.7%
Conner Harrell run for 15 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
55.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the WVU 36Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-4
56.0%
Chris Culliver run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU 40Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 13
OPP 40
-2
56.8%
Conner Harrell sacked by Edward Vesterinen and Caden Biser for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 42Similar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
57.3%
Tom Maginness punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Beanie Bishop Jr. at the WVU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:1757% → 58%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
57.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
57.2%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd to the WVU 9Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+27
57.0%
Garrett Greene run for 12 yds to the WVU 21 for a 1ST down North Carolina Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Don Chapman) to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
57.6%
Garrett Greene pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
57.9%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-10
58.1%
West Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (Doug Nester) to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+9
57.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 9 yds to the WVU 39Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
57.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4INT
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:2942% → 42%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
58.3%
Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the UNC 29Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
57.8%
Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the UNC 29Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
58.6%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+47
58.7%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 47 yds to the WVU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
57.3%
West Virginia Penalty, Personal Foul (11 Yards) to the WVU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
57.4%
Conner Harrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 12Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
57.7%
Conner Harrell pass intercepted, touchback. Aubrey Burks return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:3060% → 61%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
59.8%
Jahiem White run for 6 yds to the WVU 26Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+15
59.9%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 15 yds to the WVU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
60.9%
West Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVU 31Similar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+6
60.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Jahiem White for 6 yds to the WVU 37Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+13
60.6%
Jahiem White run for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 1
50
+6
61.3%
D.J. Oliver run for 6 yds to the UNC 44 D.J. Oliver fumbled, forced by Amari Gainer, recovered by UNC Armani ChatmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6FG
15 plays · 45 yds · 6:4841% → 43%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
59.4%
Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
50
+2
58.9%
Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the WVU 48Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
59.2%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the WVU 47Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
60.1%
Conner Harrell run for 2 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
59.3%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the WVU 44Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+4
59.5%
Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+11
59.9%
Conner Harrell run for 11 yds to the WVU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
58.8%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
59.1%
British Brooks run for 2 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+12
60.3%
Conner Harrell pass complete to J.J. Jones for 12 yds to the WVU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
59.1%
Conner Harrell run for 5 yds to the WVU 10Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+1
59.3%
Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the WVU 9Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+3
60.9%
Conner Harrell run for 3 yds to the WVU 6Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-5
61.9%
North Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVU 11Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
57.5%
Noah Burnette 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FUMBLE
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:5360% → 59%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
59.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 9 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
60.8%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the WVU 34Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
60.1%
Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
60.7%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
61.6%
West Virginia Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the WVU 35Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
60.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
59.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+3
58.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 42 yds , Paul Billups II returns for 3 yds to the UNC 26 Paul Billups II fumbled, recovered by WVU Marcis FloydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8MISSED FG
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:1563% → 59%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
63.3%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the UNC 24Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-10
63.4%
West Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (Doug Nester) to the UNC 34Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 18
OPP 34
+1
62.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Traylon Ray for 1 yd to the UNC 33Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 17
OPP 33
0
61.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 17
OPP 33
+52
59.2%
Michael Hayes 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5541% → 26%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
59.4%
Conner Harrell run for 20 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
57.0%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Christian Hamilton for no gain to the WVU 46Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-13
57.6%
Conner Harrell sacked by Marcis Floyd for a loss of 13 yards to the WVU 41 North Carolina Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the UNC 41Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 23
OWN 41
-5
60.8%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for a loss of 5 yards to the UNC 36Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 28
OWN 36
+78
74.3%
Tom Maginness punt for 42 yds , Beanie Bishop Jr. returns for 78 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 0:5227% → 45%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
73.3%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 23 yds to the UNC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
71.8%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 7
50
+15
71.4%
West Virginia Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Malachi Ruffin) to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
70.2%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Christian Hamilton for 13 yds to the WVU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
69.8%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Nate McCollum for 6 yds to the WVU 16Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
55.5%
Conner Harrell pass complete to J.J. Jones for 16 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11END OF HALF
9 plays · 63 yds · 0:2262% → 70%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
61.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 32 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
64.5%
Garrett Greene run for 2 yds to the UNC 41Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+15
64.4%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 15 yds to the UNC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
65.8%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+14
65.7%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 14 yds to the UNC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+30
69.9%
Michael Hayes 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:2734% → 36%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
66.2%
Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the UNC 45Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
65.5%
Omarion Hampton run for 9 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
65.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+13
64.7%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Nate McCollum for 13 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
63.5%
Conner Harrell run for 1 yd to the WVU 26Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-24
64.1%
Conner Harrell pass intercepted Tyrin Bradley return for 24 yds to the WVU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5272% → 69%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
72.0%
Garrett Greene run for 3 yds to the WVU 48Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-4
72.4%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU 44Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
70.2%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
68.6%
Oliver Straw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nate McCollum at the UNC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:3431% → 29%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
69.3%
Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 17Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-6
69.6%
Conner Harrell sacked by Jared Bartlett and Edward Vesterinen for a loss of 6 yards to the UNC 11Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 13
OWN 11
+8
71.3%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 8 yds to the UNC 19Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 5
OWN 19
+5
72.0%
West Virginia Penalty, Encroachment (5 Yards) to the UNC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
70.1%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Nate McCollum for 19 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
68.6%
North Carolina Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the UNC 38Similar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+9
69.7%
Conner Harrell pass complete to J.J. Jones for 9 yds to the UNC 47Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
67.4%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 4 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-3
67.7%
Omarion Hampton run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNC 48Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 5
OWN 48
+22
70.7%
Tom Maginness punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Beanie Bishop Jr. at the WVU 15 North Carolina Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the WVU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:4076% → 81%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
75.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
75.2%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 7 yds to the WVU 37Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+22
76.2%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the UNC 44 for a 1ST down North Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UNC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
78.3%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Hudson Clement for 21 yds to the UNC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
79.0%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the UNC 15Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-1
79.4%
Garrett Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNC 16Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
78.5%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
80.7%
Michael Hayes 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:2720% → 15%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
80.3%
Conner Harrell sacked by Jalen Thornton for a loss of 5 yards to the UNC 16Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+6
81.0%
Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the UNC 22Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+16
82.5%
Conner Harrell pass complete to J.J. Jones for 16 yds to the UNC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
80.1%
Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the UNC 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-8
80.9%
Conner Harrell sacked by Tomiwa Durojaiye and Fatorma Mulbah for a loss of 8 yards to the UNC 35Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
84.5%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+4
85.0%
Tom Maginness punt for 47 yds , Beanie Bishop Jr. returns for 4 yds to the WVU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 1:2683% → 96%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+48
83.2%
Garrett Greene run for 48 yds to the UNC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
85.8%
Garrett Greene pass complete to Kole Taylor for 24 yds to the UNC 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 0
OPP 6
-5
86.7%
West Virginia Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNC 11Similar
Q4 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
0
86.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
95.8%
Jahiem White run for 11 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:575% → 5%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
94.8%
Conner Harrell pass complete to Christian Hamilton for 7 yds to the UNC 26Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
94.5%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
94.7%
Conner Harrell run for no gain to the UNC 26Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
95.5%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:2196% → 99%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
96.1%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
96.2%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the UNC 21Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
96.2%
Garrett Greene run for no gain to the UNC 21Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+17
96.1%
Leighton Bechdel run for 17 yds to the UNC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-8
96.7%
Garrett Greene sacked by Desmond Evans for a loss of 8 yards to the UNC 12 West Virginia Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Garrett Greene) to the UNC 12Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
96.7%
Garrett Greene run for 1 yd to the UNC 11Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
96.7%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
98.6%
Michael Hayes 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:411% → 1%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+53
98.9%
British Brooks run for 53 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.6%
North Carolina Penalty, Illegal Touching (Yards) to the WVU 24Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
98.8%
British Brooks run for 2 yds to the WVU 22Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 8
OPP 22
-6
99.2%
Conner Harrell sacked by Asani Redwood for a loss of 6 yards to the WVU 28Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 14
OPP 28
0
99.3%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 4:1499% → 100%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.1%
Jaylen Anderson run for 1 yd to the WVU 29Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+3
99.2%
D.J. Oliver run for 3 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+15
99.3%
Jaylen Anderson run for 15 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.4%
Jaylen Anderson run for 2 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
99.5%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the UNC 47Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+1
99.5%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the UNC 46Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+2
99.5%
Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the UNC 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 22Uncategorized
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:271% → 1%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Conner Harrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-7
99.5%
Conner Harrell sacked by Jalen Thornton and Jared Bartlett for a loss of 7 yards to the UNC 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:27
Conner Harrell pass complete to J.J. Jones for 16 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)
-14.3
PUNT · Q2 1:29
Tom Maginness punt for 42 yds , Beanie Bishop Jr. returns for 78 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)
+13.5
TD · Q4 12:48
Jahiem White run for 11 yds for a TD (Michael Hayes KICK)
+9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com