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VT

Virginia Tech 41 at Tulane 20

TULN
2023 · Military Bowl · Dec 27, 2023 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:30 · Kyron Drones run for 17 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior−29.6Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:08: Kyron Drones pass complete to Harrison Saint Germain for 1 yd for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +7.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:52: Kai Horton run for 6 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +14.1 pts (now 42%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:31: Bhayshul Tuten run for 9 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +14.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:56: Valentino Ambrosio 20 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +5.1 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:38: Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 10 yds for a TD (John Love KICK) — VT win probability +9.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:56TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:30VT 4th & 2 at VT 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:33VT 4th & 9 at TULN 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:59TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:29VT 4th & 3 at VT 29, down 4
    Close callPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:38VT 4th & 2 at VT 25, up 3
    Close callPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:40TULN 4th & 25 at VT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:29TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 34, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:28VT 4th & 15 at TULN 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−3.0
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−8.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:56TULN 4th & 2 at VT 2, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.1%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−9.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:10VT 4th & 1 at TULN 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%−1.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−6.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:05TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:38TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:31TULN 4th & 5 at VT 10, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:01TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:20VT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:08VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:52TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:31VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:38VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:33VT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5618% → 19%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
18.3%
Kai Horton run for 1 yd to the TULN 26Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
18.5%
Kai Horton pass complete to Alex Bauman for 4 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
18.7%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
18.7%
Will Karoll punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VT 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2FUMBLE RETURN TD
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:4481% → 80%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
18.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 3 yds to the VT 23Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
19.0%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Benji GosnellSimilar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+16
19.2%
Kyron Drones run for 16 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
19.3%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
19.4%
Kyron Drones run for no gain to the VT 39Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+21
20.4%
Tyler Grubbs 21 Yd Fumble Return (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 6:2280% → 76%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
20.5%
Kyron Drones run for 7 yds to the VT 32Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
20.8%
Kyron Drones run for 2 yds to the VT 34Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
21.2%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
21.7%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 7 yds to the VT 46Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
21.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 2 yds to the VT 48Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-1
22.4%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 47 Bhayshul Tuten fumbled, forced by Jared Small, recovered by VTSimilar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+17
23.1%
Kyron Drones run for 17 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
23.2%
Malachi Thomas run for no gain to the TULN 36Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
23.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Malachi Thomas for 5 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+12
24.1%
Kyron Drones run for 12 yds to the TULN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
24.0%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Harrison Saint GermainSimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
24.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the TULN 18Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
25.1%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Stephen GosnellSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+35
24.0%
John Love 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2924% → 25%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
24.2%
Justin Ibieta pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.2%
Justin Ibieta run for 2 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
24.3%
Justin Ibieta run for 5 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
24.8%
Will Karoll punt for 61 yds, downed at the VT 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:2174% → 73%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
25.6%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 15 yds to the VT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
25.8%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
25.9%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 7 yds to the VT 29Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
26.2%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Bhayshul TutenSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 3
OWN 29
-9
26.7%
Peter Moore punt for 51 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for a loss of 9 yards to the TULN 11 Dontae Fleming fumbled, recovered by VT Da'Wain LoftonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
22.5%
Kyron Drones run for 11 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7FUMBLE
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:2424% → 29%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
23.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 11 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
24.0%
Kai Horton pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 20 yds to the VT 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
25.3%
Makhi Hughes run for no gain to the VT 46Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
25.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the VT 39Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+11
25.8%
Kai Horton run for 11 yds to the VT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
26.7%
Kai Horton pass complete to Jalen Rogers for 5 yds to the VT 23Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+2
27.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the VT 21Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+4
26.7%
Kai Horton run for 4 yds to the VT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
27.6%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+16
27.7%
Kai Horton pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 16 yds to the VT 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 0
OPP 1
-3
28.6%
Kai Horton run for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 4 Kai Horton fumbled, forced by Pheldarius Payne, recovered by VT Antwaun Powell-RylandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:4974% → 72%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
25.7%
Malachi Thomas run for 6 yds to the VT 10Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+1
25.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 1 yd to the VT 11Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+6
26.7%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 6 yds to the VT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
26.3%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 7 yds to the VT 24Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+1
26.2%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the VT 25Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
26.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Kyron Drones for no gain to the VT 25Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
28.1%
Peter Moore punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:5229% → 32%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
29.0%
Ibieta, Justin rush for no gain to the TULANE46, PENALTY VATECH offside 5 yards to the VATECH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+1
29.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the VT 48Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+13
29.2%
Yulkeith Brown run for 13 yds to the VT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
30.3%
Kai Horton pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 19 yds to the VT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
30.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the VT 15Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
31.0%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for a loss of 14 yards to the VT 29 Kai HortonSimilar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 23
OPP 29
-2
28.6%
Kai Horton pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 31Similar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 25
OPP 31
+49
32.0%
Valentino Ambrosio 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:2470% → 80%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 11 yds to the VT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
30.0%
Kyron Drones run for 5 yds to the VT 41Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+18
29.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 18 yds to the TULN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
29.5%
Bhayshul Tuten run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 42Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
29.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylin Lane for no gain to the TULN 42Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+12
31.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Harrison Saint Germain for 12 yds to the TULN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
29.0%
Kyron Drones run for 1 yd to the TULN 29Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+10
29.1%
Kyron Drones run for 10 yds to the TULN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
29.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 11 yds to the TULN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 0
OPP 8
+6
28.5%
Drones, Kyron pass incomplete to Felton, Da'Quan, PENALTY TULANE pass interference 6 yards to the TULANE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
29.1%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the TULN 1Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.1%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Harrison Saint Germain for 1 yd for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
19.6%
Virginia Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TULN 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
20.8%
Kyron Drones sacked by Matthew Fobbs-White for a loss of 3 yards to the VT 44 Kyron Drones fumbled, forced by Matthew Fobbs-White, recovered by VTSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3378% → 78%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
22.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 5 yds to the VT 21Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 21
-4
22.1%
Jaylin Lane run for a loss of 4 yards to the VT 17 Jaylin Lane fumbled, forced by Devean Deal, recovered by TULN Tahir AnnoorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:0328% → 42%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
27.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the VT 13Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+7
27.9%
Makhi Hughes run for 7 yds to the VT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
41.9%
Kai Horton run for 6 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:0666% → 80%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
34.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 8 yds to the VT 35Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
33.6%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the VT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
33.7%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Malachi ThomasSimilar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+51
34.5%
Kyron Drones run for 51 yds to the TULN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
20.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 9 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5524% → 24%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
24.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
24.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
25.0%
Kai Horton run for 1 yd to the TULN 34Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
23.9%
Will Karoll punt for 42 yds , Tucker Holloway returns for no gain to the VT 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FG
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:4977% → 80%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+44
23.2%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 44 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
19.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ayden Greene for 19 yds to the TULN 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
19.8%
Bhayshul Tuten run for no gain to the TULN 13Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
19.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Bhayshul Tuten for 4 yds to the TULN 9Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-9
20.3%
Kyron Drones run for a loss of 9 yards to the TULN 18 Kyron Drones fumbled, recovered by VT Kyron DronesSimilar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+35
19.7%
John Love 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:2419% → 25%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
18.7%
Kai Horton pass complete to Alex Bauman for 9 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
19.6%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
19.1%
Kai Horton run for 5 yds to the TULN 42Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+15
20.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 15 yds to the VT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
20.9%
Yulkeith Brown run for 5 yds to the VT 38Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+9
20.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 9 yds to the VT 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
22.0%
Makhi Hughes run for 24 yds to the VT 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
22.0%
Makhi Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the VT 7Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
21.8%
Kai Horton run for a loss of 1 yard to the VT 8Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
19.7%
Kai Horton pass complete to Chris Carter for 6 yds to the VT 2Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
24.8%
Valentino Ambrosio 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0281% → 94%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
19.0%
Kyron Drones run for 38 yds to the TULN 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
16.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 9 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+17
15.6%
Kyron Drones run for 17 yds to the TULN 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
15.6%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 1 yd to the TULN 10Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
6.2%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 10 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
10.3%
Kai Horton pass complete to Shedro Louis for 12 yds Shedro Louis fumbled, forced by Mose Phillips III, recovered by VT Mansoor DelaneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:2294% → 99%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
6.3%
Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw run for 14 yds to the TULN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
5.8%
Malachi Thomas run for 5 yds to the TULN 25Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
5.5%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
5.5%
Kyron Drones run for 4 yds to the TULN 21Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+9
5.9%
Kyron Drones run for 9 yds to the TULN 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
1.3%
Bhayshul Tuten run for 12 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21DOWNS
19 plays · 58 yds · 5:392% → 1%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
1.9%
Kai Horton sacked by Keli Lawson for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 29Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+1
1.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the TULN 30Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+5
1.8%
Horton, Kai pass sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TULANE20 (Pollard, Norell), PENALTY VATECH offside (Pollard, Norell) 5 yards to the TULANE35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+5
1.7%
Kai Horton pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 5 yds to the TULN 40Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+3
1.6%
Kai Horton pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 3 yds to the TULN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
1.2%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Jalen RogersSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
1.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 1 yd to the TULN 44Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
1.2%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Shaadie Clayton-JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 9
OWN 44
+5
1.1%
Karoll, Will punt 43 yards to the VATECH13, fair catch by Holloway, Tucker, PENALTY VATECH running into kicker 5 yards to the TULANE49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+21
1.2%
Kai Horton pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 21 yds to the VT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
1.4%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+16
1.3%
Kai Horton pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 1 yd to the VT 29 for a 1ST down Virginia Tech Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the VT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
1.3%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
1.3%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the VT 10Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 5
OPP 10
-5
1.1%
Tulane Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the VT 15Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+5
1.0%
Jalen Rogers run for 5 yds to the VT 10Similar
Q4 3:31
4TH & 5
OPP 10
0
1.0%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Bryce BohanonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:5299% → 100%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
0.7%
Jeremiah Coney run for 1 yd to the VT 11Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+8
0.7%
Jeremiah Coney run for 8 yds to the VT 19Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+5
0.5%
Jeremiah Coney run for 5 yds to the VT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
0.5%
Jeremiah Coney run for no gain to the VT 24Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
0.5%
Jeremiah Coney run for 7 yds to the VT 31Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+3
0.5%
Tralon Mitchell run for 3 yds to the VT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:31
Bhayshul Tuten run for 9 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-14.3
TD · Q3 12:52
Kai Horton run for 6 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+14.1
TD · Q4 12:38
Kyron Drones pass complete to Benji Gosnell for 10 yds for a TD (John Love KICK)
-9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com