Try the model
USA

South Alabama 59 at Eastern Michigan 10

EMU
2023 · 68 Ventures Bowl · Dec 23, 2023 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:12 · Tanner McGee run for 5 yds to the EMU 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:30: Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — EMU win probability +5.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:50: Jesus Gomez 49 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +3.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:15: Kentrel Bullock run for 17 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — EMU win probability +16.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:07: Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 20 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — EMU win probability +18.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:39: Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 42 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — EMU win probability +4.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9USA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:56EMU 4th & 9 at USA 26, up 3
    Close callPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    16.5%
    64% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:08EMU 4th & 11 at USA 22, up 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    20.3%
    72% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:31EMU 4th & 7 at USA 28, up 17
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.1 ptsPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%
    60% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:50EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 44, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:11USA 4th & 3 at USA 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.2%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:04EMU 4th & 17 at USA 20, up 35
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%
    75% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:06USA 4th & 25 at EMU 41, down 35
    Close callPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:12EMU 4th & 2 at USA 33, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:45EMU 4th & 3 at USA 43, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:38EMU 4th & 14 at USA 21, up 49
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%
    74% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:53EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 42, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8USA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:37EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:30EMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:15EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:07EMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:39EMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:07EMU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:50EMU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:07EMU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:58USA Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:5889% → 87%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
11.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for 15 yds to the USA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
11.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 14 yds to the USA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
11.4%
Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds to the USA 49Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
11.5%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jeremiah WebbSimilar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-5
11.6%
South Alabama Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the USA 44Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+19
11.8%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 19 yds to the EMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
12.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for 9 yds to the EMU 28Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+4
12.2%
Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
12.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to DJ Thomas-JonesSimilar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-4
12.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMU 28Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 14
OWN 28
0
12.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to DJ Thomas-JonesSimilar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+46
13.1%
Diego Guajardo 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4613% → 14%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
13.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMU 26Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
13.6%
Ike Udengwu III pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
13.5%
Ike Udengwu III pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+20
13.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 57 yds , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 20 yds to the USA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:1387% → 84%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
13.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Brandon CrumSimilar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
13.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds to the USA 42Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+6
13.7%
Desmond Trotter run for 6 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+49
14.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jeremiah Webb for 49 yds to the EMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 0
OWN 3
+3
15.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 3 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1517% → 17%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
16.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMU 24Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-2
16.7%
Ike Udengwu III run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 22Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
17.2%
Ike Udengwu III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 11
OPP 22
0
17.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:1384% → 76%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
16.5%
Gio Lopez run for 9 yds to the USA 44Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+14
16.8%
Gio Lopez run for 14 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
17.4%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 2 yds to the EMU 40Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+16
17.9%
Gio Lopez run for 16 yds to the EMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
18.6%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 19 yds to the EMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 0
OWN 5
+5
24.5%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4226% → 28%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
25.6%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 6 yds to the EMU 31Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+2
26.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-5
27.6%
McMillan, Dontae rush for 8 yards to the EASTMICH41, PENALTY EASTMICH illegal formation 5 yards to the EASTMICH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
28.0%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q1 1:31
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+17
28.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 55 yds , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 17 yds to the USA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:1274% → 73%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
26.0%
Desmond Trotter run for 6 yds to the USA 40Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-8
26.6%
Desmond Trotter pass intercepted Joe Sparacio return for 8 yds to the USA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5530% → 27%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
29.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the USA 39Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+8
31.1%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 8 yds to the USA 31Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
30.9%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+49
27.3%
Jesus Gomez 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:1774% → 51%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
25.9%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the USA 36Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+18
26.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Javon Ivory for 18 yds to the EMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
28.1%
Braylon McReynolds run for 16 yds to the EMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
29.6%
Desmond Trotter run for 9 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 1
OWN 21
-1
30.3%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 22Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+5
31.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 5 yds to the EMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
32.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for no gain to the EMU 17Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+17
49.2%
Kentrel Bullock run for 17 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-18
53.1%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass intercepted Marquise Robinson return for 18 yds to the EMU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:3651% → 29%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
49.1%
Gio Lopez run for 14 yds to the EMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
51.3%
Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+1
53.1%
Gio Lopez run for 1 yd to the EMU 20Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+20
71.5%
Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 20 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3476% → 78%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
75.6%
Dontae McMillan run for 3 yds to the USA 48Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+3
76.4%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Isaac Smith for 3 yds to the USA 45Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+1
77.7%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 1 yd to the USA 44Similar
Q2 5:50
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
77.7%
Dontae McMillan run for no gain to the USA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:2419% → 19%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
80.6%
Kentrel Bullock run for 7 yds to the EMU 49Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
80.1%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kentrel BullockSimilar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
80.7%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jamaal PritchettSimilar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+2
81.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 2 yds to the EMU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14INT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:1882% → 86%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
81.8%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-4
82.3%
Max Reese run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMU 43Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+15
83.1%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 15 yds to the USA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
84.0%
Jackson, Jaylon rush for 4 yards to the SOUTHALA38, PENALTY EASTMICH holding 10 yards to the EASTMICH48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+4
85.2%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 4 yds to the USA 48Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 16
OWN 48
0
85.4%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 16
OWN 48
0
86.0%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass intercepted Jalen Jordan return for no gain to the USA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4916% → 9%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
83.7%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Javon Ivory for 7 yds to the USA 32Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+11
83.0%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Javon Ivory for 11 yds to the USA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
86.8%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Javon Ivory for 15 yds to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
87.5%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Javon IvorySimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+42
91.5%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 42 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · -7 yds · 0:2590% → 92%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
90.1%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-3
90.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMU 24Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 13
OPP 24
-4
91.5%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for a loss of 4 yards to the EMU 20Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 17
OPP 20
0
91.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds , Jamaal Pritchett returns for no gain to the USA 20 South Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (13 Yards) to the USA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:477% → 5%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
93.2%
Gio Lopez run for 7 yds to the USA 18Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+38
91.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 38 yds to the EMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
94.6%
Lopez, Gio pass incomplete to Ivory, Javon, PENALTY SOUTHALA holding 10 yards to the SOUTHALA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 20
OPP 46
-5
94.6%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Kentrel Bullock for a loss of 5 yards to the USA 41Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 25
OPP 41
0
94.8%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Jamaal PritchettSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 25
OPP 41
0
95.0%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Brandon CrumSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 25
OPP 41
-2
95.2%
Jack Martin punt for 47 yds , Hamze El-Zayat returns for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 10 Hamze El-Zayat fumbled, recovered by USASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 0
OWN 10
+29
94.7%
Diego Guajardo 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3993% → 95%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
92.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMU 27Similar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
93.0%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 3 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+3
93.4%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 3 yds to the EMU 33Similar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+1
94.5%
Dontae McMillan run for 1 yd to the EMU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:005% → 3%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
94.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 36Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 12
OWN 36
0
95.5%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the EMU 36Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+12
96.0%
Trotter, Desmond pass incomplete to Webb, Jeremiah, PENALTY EASTMICH pass interference (Shine, Kempton) 12 yards to the EASTMICH24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUTHALA.Similar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.9%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Braylon McReynoldsSimilar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+21
96.2%
Braylon McReynolds run for 21 yds to the EMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 0
OWN 3
+3
97.2%
Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0997% → 97%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.7%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Isaac SmithSimilar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+16
96.8%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 16 yds to the EMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.1%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Makhail WoodSimilar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-2
97.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 34Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+9
97.4%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 9 yds to the EMU 43Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
97.4%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:432% → 1%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
97.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jamaal Pritchett for 16 yds to the EMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Jeremiah WebbSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+27
98.7%
Gio Lopez run for 27 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:0698% → 99%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-6
98.3%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Hamze El-Zayat for a loss of 6 yards to the EMU 19Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 16
OPP 19
+2
98.4%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the EMU 21Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 14
OPP 21
0
98.6%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for no gain to the EMU 21Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 14
OPP 21
0
98.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jamaal Pritchett at the USA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:251% → 0%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
98.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 9 yds to the USA 35Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+13
98.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Keyshawn Woodyard for 13 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
99.1%
Braylon McReynolds run for a loss of 4 yards to the USA 44Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+4
99.3%
Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the USA 48Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.4%
PJ Martin run for 5 yds to the EMU 47Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+5
99.4%
Eastern Michigan Penalty, Defensive Offside (Peyton Price) to the EMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.4%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Brandon CrumSimilar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+36
99.4%
PJ Martin run for 36 yds to the EMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 0
OWN 6
+6
99.6%
PJ Martin run for 6 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 3:55100% → 100%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
99.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMU 17Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 11
OPP 17
0
99.5%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Jere GetzingerSimilar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+14
99.5%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Terry Lockett Jr. for 14 yds to the EMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.5%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 4 yds to the EMU 35Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for no gain to the EMU 35Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+24
99.6%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 9 yds to the USA 44 for a 1ST down South Alabama Penalty, Roughing Passer (Trey Kiser) to the USA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the USA 42Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Hamze El-ZayatSimilar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Terry Lockett Jr.Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26MISSED FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 4:160% → 0%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.8%
Kentrel Bullock run for 6 yds to the USA 26Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+9
99.8%
Kentrel Bullock run for 9 yds to the USA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+33
99.8%
Kentrel Bullock run for 33 yds to the EMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Todd Justice for 3 yds to the EMU 29Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-2
99.9%
Dorian Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMU 31Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-5
99.9%
South Alabama Penalty, False Start (Malachi Carney) to the EMU 36Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to PJ Martin for 6 yds to the EMU 30Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 8
OWN 30
+48
99.9%
Diego Guajardo 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 7:10100% → 100%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMU 34Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+7
99.9%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Joseph Walker Jr. for 7 yds to the EMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Joseph Walker Jr.Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.9%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 8 yds to the EMU 49Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the USA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Joseph Walker Jr. for 8 yds to the USA 40Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 4 yds to the USA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Jamarien Wheeler for 7 yds to the USA 29Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass incomplete to Jere GetzingerSimilar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+10
100.0%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 10 yds to the USA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
100.0%
Cam'Ron McCoy pass complete to Joseph Walker Jr. for 7 yds to the USA 12Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+2
100.0%
Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the USA 10Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+10
100.0%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 10 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
100.0%
South Alabama Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USA 30Similar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+16
100.0%
Tanner McGee run for 16 yds to the USA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
100.0%
Tanner McGee run for 5 yds to the EMU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-100
TD · Q2 8:07
Gio Lopez pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 20 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)
+18.4
TD · Q2 10:15
Kentrel Bullock run for 17 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)
+16.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com