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JXST

Jacksonville State 34 at Louisiana 31

UL
2023 · R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl · Dec 16, 2023 · Caesars Superdome
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadJXST aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreJXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFUMBLETDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:05 · Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the UL 27 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 115Home team on offense−3.0Pregame prior+1.6Score differential−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Time remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:47: Chandler Fields run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +15.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:53: Logan Smothers run for 10 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +20.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:32: Logan Smothers pass intercepted Tyree Skipper return for 43 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +35.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:46: Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 18 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +42.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Garrison Rippa 27 yd FG GOOD — JXST win probability +24.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 10JXST made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 12:10JXST 4th & 1 at JXST 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    51.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:48UL 4th & 28 at JXST 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    50.9%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:07JXST 4th & 1 at UL 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    47.2%−0.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:30UL 4th & 8 at UL 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48JXST 4th & 8 at UL 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:01UL 4th & 6 at UL 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:21JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:00UL 4th & 15 at UL 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:23JXST 4th & 7 at JXST 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:12UL 4th & 2 at JXST 48, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:32UL 4th & 9 at UL 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:05JXST 4th & 2 at UL 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    49.3%−1.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:55JXST 4th & 4 at UL 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−12.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:10JXST 4th & 2 at UL 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%−3.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    37.4%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:02UL 4th & 1 at JXST 16, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.3%−3.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−17.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:15JXST 4th & 13 at JXST 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−6.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:18UL 4th & 5 at JXST 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:33JXST 4th & 8 at JXST 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:37UL 4th & 4 at UL 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:46JXST 4th & 3 at UL 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−3.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−8.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:13UL 4th & 23 at UL 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−6.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3JXST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:06JXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:22UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:23JXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:47UL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:53JXST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:32UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−1.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:46JXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−4.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JXSTDrive 1FUMBLE TD
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:3846% → 46%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.7%
Ron Wiggins run for 5 yds to the JVST 30Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
53.7%
Zion Webb run for 4 yds to the JVST 34Similar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
53.7%
Jacksonville State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JVST 29Similar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
53.8%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 12 yds to the JVST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
53.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 12 yds to the UL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+46
54.3%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for a loss of 7 yards for a TD Perry Carter fumbled, recovered by UL Jalen Clark , return for 46 yds (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 2INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:3446% → 45%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
54.5%
Malik Jackson run for 8 yds to the JVST 33Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
54.5%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the JVST 33Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
54.7%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the JVST 34Similar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
55.0%
Zion Webb run for 3 yds to the JVST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
55.0%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Sean BrownSimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
55.1%
Zion Webb pass intercepted Keyon Martin return for 1 yd to the UL 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:4555% → 57%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
55.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the UL 31Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+25
55.6%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 25 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
56.2%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 8 yds to the JVST 36Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+11
56.6%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 11 yds to the JVST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
57.2%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Harvey BroussardSimilar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
57.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Dre'lyn Washington for 1 yd to the JVST 24Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-19
57.2%
Chandler Fields sacked by Quae Drake for a loss of 19 yards to the JVST 43 Chandler Fields fumbled, recovered by UL Bryant Williams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 28
OPP 43
0
56.7%
Thomas Leo punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 4TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:3943% → 47%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
57.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 5 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+11
57.0%
Ron Wiggins run for 11 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
57.0%
Ron Wiggins run for 9 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
56.6%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the JVST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
56.9%
Zion Webb run for 7 yds to the UL 44Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
56.8%
Zion Webb run for no gain to the UL 44Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+2
57.1%
Zion Webb pass complete to Sean Brown for 2 yds to the UL 42Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+2
57.6%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
57.2%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the UL 38Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+33
57.4%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 33 yds to the UL 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
56.7%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the UL 3Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
56.8%
Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the UL 1Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.0%
Cole Fuller run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2555% → 54%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
54.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrance Carter for 1 yd to the UL 35Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
55.0%
Chandler Fields run for 1 yd to the UL 36Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
54.7%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Jacob BernardSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+5
54.2%
Thomas Leo punt for 51 yds , Jamarye Joiner returns for 5 yds to the JVST 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 50 yds · 1:3546% → 46%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
54.0%
Zion Webb run for 15 yds to the JVST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
53.6%
Ron Wiggins run for 11 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
52.7%
Ron Wiggins run for 7 yds to the UL 49Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+10
52.2%
Zion Webb pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 10 yds to the UL 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
52.3%
Zion Webb run for 2 yds to the UL 37Similar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
52.4%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Perry CarterSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
52.6%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Sean BrownSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 8
OPP 37
+5
53.6%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 5 yds to the UL 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4255% → 54%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
55.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the UL 36Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
56.1%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
55.0%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Harvey BroussardSimilar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
54.4%
Thomas Leo punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:3746% → 46%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.1%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the JVST 20Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
54.2%
Anwar Lewis run for 5 yds to the JVST 25Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
54.5%
Zion Webb run for 10 yds to the JVST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
53.5%
Anwar Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 32Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+5
54.3%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the JVST 37Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+5
54.0%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 5 yds to the JVST 42Similar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
53.8%
Jack Dawson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacob Bernard at the UL 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:1755% → 54%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
55.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 6 yds to the UL 26Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-5
55.6%
Louisiana Penalty, False Start (George Jackson) to the UL 21Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
55.3%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 23Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+19
54.6%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 19 yds to the UL 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
57.4%
Chandler Fields run for no gain to the UL 42Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
56.7%
Elijah Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the UL 37Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 15
OWN 37
0
54.9%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 15
OWN 37
0
54.2%
Thomas Leo punt for 21 yds, downed at the JVST 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3249% → 47%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
51.0%
Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
50.6%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Sean BrownSimilar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
51.3%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Perry CarterSimilar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
52.8%
Jack Dawson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UL 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:0656% → 57%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+27
55.7%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 27 yds to the UL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
57.9%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the UL 45Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
57.8%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Harvey BroussardSimilar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+7
56.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 7 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
56.6%
Thomas Leo punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the JVST 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12INT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4747% → 34%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
52.9%
Ron Wiggins run for no gain to the JVST 10Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
53.2%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the JVST 11Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+5
54.1%
Webb, Zion pass incomplete to Galban, Sterling, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE 12 men on the field (TEAM) 5 yards to the JAXVILLEST16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 4
OWN 16
-16
66.2%
Zion Webb pass intercepted Jalen Clark return for 16 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 13TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 3:5535% → 54%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.1%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the JVST 26Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
65.4%
Zion Webb pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for a loss of 5 yards to the JVST 21Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+26
66.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to P.J. Wells for 26 yds to the JVST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
63.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the JVST 49Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+10
62.9%
Perry Carter run for 10 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
62.6%
Zion Webb run for 4 yds to the UL 37Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+3
62.3%
Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+4
62.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the UL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
60.8%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the UL 28Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+10
60.5%
Zion Webb run for 10 yds to the UL 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
60.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 1 yd to the UL 17Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+1
60.6%
Zion Webb run for 1 yd to the UL 16Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+9
64.0%
Logan Smothers run for 9 yds to the UL 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
47.5%
Ron Wiggins run for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+1
46.5%
Louisiana Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the UL 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the UL 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2457% → 55%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
57.0%
Chandler Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 34Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+2
56.8%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the UL 36Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
56.0%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Harvey BroussardSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
54.6%
Thomas Leo punt for 40 yds, downed at the JVST 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 5:3347% → 55%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
52.8%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the JVST 25Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+25
53.0%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Perry Carter for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
50
+3
49.6%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the UL 47Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
49.5%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the UL 46Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+8
50.3%
Logan Smothers pass complete to P.J. Wells for 8 yds to the UL 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
49.8%
Logan Smothers run for 4 yds to the UL 34Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+4
48.3%
Logan Smothers run for 4 yds to the UL 30Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
49.7%
Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Quinton LaneSimilar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+3
51.9%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the UL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
48.2%
Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the UL 26Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+8
48.5%
Logan Smothers run for 8 yds to the UL 18Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+8
49.5%
Malik Jackson run for 8 yds to the UL 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
48.1%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the UL 7Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
48.0%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the UL 3Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
49.5%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 4Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
45.1%
Garrison Rippa 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 1:5549% → 70%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
48.5%
Zylan Perry run for 14 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
51.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Robert Williams for 19 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
52.8%
Fields, Chandler pass incomplete to Williams, Robert, PENALTY JAXVILLEST pass interference (Carter, Derek) 15 yards to the JAXVILLEST25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULLAFAYTTE.Similar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
54.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrance Carter for 20 yds to the JVST 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
54.3%
Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the JVST 4Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
54.3%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the JVST 1Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.7%
Chandler Fields run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4835% → 61%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
65.5%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Quinton Lane for 23 yds to the JVST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
61.8%
Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the UL 49Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-2
61.2%
Ron Wiggins run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 49Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+7
63.6%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Ron Wiggins for 7 yds to the UL 44Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+17
63.0%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Jacob Barrick for 17 yds to the UL 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
59.0%
Ron Wiggins run for 10 yds to the UL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
59.0%
Ron Wiggins run for 7 yds to the UL 10Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
38.6%
Logan Smothers run for 10 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 3:3749% → 59%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
48.8%
Elijah Davis run for 13 yds to the JVST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
52.1%
Elijah Davis run for 4 yds to the JVST 45Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+9
52.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 9 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
52.1%
Elijah Davis run for 5 yds to the JVST 31Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
54.4%
Elijah Davis run for 4 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+2
51.7%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the JVST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
54.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Terrance Carter for 9 yds to the JVST 16Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
54.4%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
51.5%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Pearse MiglSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+33
59.2%
Kenneth Almendares 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4047% → 45%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
52.7%
Ron Wiggins run for 19 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
49.0%
Anwar Lewis run for 3 yds to the JVST 47Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
48.3%
Logan Smothers pass complete to Ron Wiggins for no gain to the JVST 47Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 7
OWN 47
-6
49.8%
Logan Smothers sacked by Cameron Whitfield for a loss of 6 yards to the JVST 41Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 13
OWN 41
+46
54.8%
Jack Dawson punt for 34 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 40 Louisiana Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaydon Johnson) to the UL 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:5357% → 58%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
56.6%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 9 yds to the UL 21Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 1
OWN 21
-1
57.6%
Dre'lyn Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 20Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+17
54.9%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 17 yds to the UL 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
58.8%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the UL 41Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
61.4%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the UL 45Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
60.8%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the UL 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
62.2%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the JVST 48Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
63.2%
Zylan Perry run for no gain to the JVST 48Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
62.3%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
58.3%
Thomas Leo punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JVST 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 22INT TD
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3949% → 13%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
51.4%
Logan Smothers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
51.9%
Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the JVST 24Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
53.2%
Logan Smothers run for 8 yds to the JVST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
49.8%
Logan Smothers run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 30Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 12
OWN 30
-2
51.4%
Ron Wiggins run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 28Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 14
OWN 28
-43
86.6%
Logan Smothers pass intercepted Tyree Skipper return for 43 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5415% → 12%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.4%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the JVST 27Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
85.0%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to P.J. WellsSimilar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
87.2%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Perry CarterSimilar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
87.9%
Jack Dawson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UL 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5191% → 93%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
90.8%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 39Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
93.2%
Elijah Davis run for 2 yds to the UL 41Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+2
93.8%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the UL 43Similar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
93.4%
Thomas Leo punt for 27 yds, downed at the JVST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 25TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 1:4310% → 54%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
89.9%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 18 yds to the JVST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
88.7%
Zion Webb pass complete to Quinton Lane for 11 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.7%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Quinton LaneSimilar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+16
88.1%
Zion Webb pass complete to Michael Pettway for 16 yds to the UL 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
83.8%
Zion Webb run for 7 yds to the UL 18Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
83.4%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Sean BrownSimilar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
85.7%
Zion Webb pass incomplete to Quinton LaneSimilar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+18
46.0%
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 18 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 1:2063% → 54%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
62.5%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Jacob BernardSimilar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
60.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Robert Williams for 15 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
65.6%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Neal JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-3
65.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 47Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 13
OPP 47
-10
59.7%
Chandler Fields sacked by Larry Worth for a loss of 10 yards to the UL 43Similar
Q4 0:13
4TH & 23
OWN 43
0
54.0%
Thomas Leo punt for 54 yds, downed at the JVST 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
52.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 28MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0066% → 58%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
65.6%
Peter LeBlanc pass incomplete to Robert WilliamsSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
65.4%
Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the JVST 25Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
62.8%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
57.8%
Kenneth Almendares 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 29FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0059% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
41.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 5 yds to the UL 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
41.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 1 yd to the UL 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+7
43.6%
Ron Wiggins run for 7 yds to the UL 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
41.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 2 yds to the UL 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
41.1%
Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the UL 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 7
-2
43.6%
Ron Wiggins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UL 9Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
27.6%
Garrison Rippa 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:46
Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 18 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
-42.5
TD · Q4 5:32
Logan Smothers pass intercepted Tyree Skipper return for 43 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+35.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-27.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com