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SMU

SMU 14 at Boston College 23

BC
2023 · Wasabi Fenway Bowl · Dec 28, 2023 · Fenway Park
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:07: Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +8.1 pts (now 40%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:08: Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 6 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +11.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:22: Thomas Castellanos run for 15 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK) — BC win probability +29.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:07: Boston College Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sione Hala) to the BC 42 — BC win probability +7.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:48: Thomas Castellanos run for 14 yds for a TD (Liam Connor PAT MISSED) — BC win probability +15.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 6:21BC 4th & 10 at SMU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    23.8%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:25SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:47BC 4th & 7 at SMU 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:03SMU 4th & 13 at SMU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:46BC 4th & 16 at BC 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:18SMU 4th & 4 at BC 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:19SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:38BC 4th & 17 at BC 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−3.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:21SMU 4th & 6 at BC 28, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−9.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:07SMU 4th & 3 at SMU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.4%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:58SMU 4th & 16 at SMU 35, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−3.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:49BC 4th & 4 at BC 43, up 9
    Close callPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:00SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 28, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.7%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:40SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 42, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:19BC 4th & 1 at SMU 9, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−2.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 9:14SMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:07BC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:08SMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:22BC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:48BC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1FUMBLE
11 plays · 41 yds · 4:2481% → 79%
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
19.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 10 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
19.7%
Roderick Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 21Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+10
19.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 10 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+11
20.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
20.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 6 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
20.8%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
20.9%
Kevin Jennings run for 12 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
20.9%
SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 41Similar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+3
21.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 3 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 12
OPP 38
-5
21.3%
Kevin Jennings run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 43 Kevin Jennings fumbled, forced by #, recovered by SMUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:1122% → 24%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
22.3%
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the BC 43Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
22.5%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 9 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
23.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
23.4%
Thomas Castellanos run for 19 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
23.9%
Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
24.3%
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
24.1%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Jaedn SkeeteSimilar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
24.3%
Liam Connor 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:1775% → 74%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
25.0%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the SMU 15Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
25.1%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jake Bailey, broken up by #Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
25.4%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 9
OWN 15
+29
25.7%
Ryan Bujcevski punt blocked by TEAM blocked by TEAM Bujcevski, Ryan punt 29 yards to the SMU44, recovered by BOSTONCOLL # at SMU44 (blocked by TEAM).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:0926% → 27%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
26.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the SMU 43Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+13
26.2%
Thomas Castellanos run for 13 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
27.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
27.0%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to #Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+7
27.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 2
OPP 22
-5
26.6%
Boston College Penalty, False Start (Dwayne Allick) to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
26.7%
Liam Connor 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:2574% → 72%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
26.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 4 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
26.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
26.6%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 3
OWN 34
-5
27.0%
SMU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 8
OWN 29
-5
27.6%
SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 24Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 13
OWN 24
+6
27.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 34 yds , Lewis Bond returns for 6 yds to the BC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0528% → 27%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
27.8%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to #Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
27.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to #Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-6
27.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Alex Broome for a loss of 6 yards Alex Broome fumbled, recovered by BC #Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
26.7%
Sam Candotti punt for 36 yds, downed at the SMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 6:2472% → 76%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
27.8%
Jake Bailey run for 10 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
27.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
28.0%
Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+9
28.0%
Kevin Jennings run for 9 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
27.6%
SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+3
29.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 3 yds to the SMU 40Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 17
OWN 40
0
29.4%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+18
30.0%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 18 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
28.4%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
28.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 4 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
28.8%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson, broken up by #Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+5
29.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
28.7%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the BC 31Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+16
29.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Adam Moore for 16 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
28.7%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 14 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.1%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 5:5927% → 40%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
26.9%
Alex Broome run for 1 yd to the BC 24Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+1
26.7%
Thomas Castellanos run for 1 yd to the BC 25Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+19
25.7%
Thomas Castellanos run for 19 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
29.1%
Thomas Castellanos run for 7 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+8
30.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 8 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
30.4%
Thomas Castellanos run for 13 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
31.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 13 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
31.7%
Nate Johnson run for 6 yds to the SMU 9Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+3
31.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 3 yds to the SMU 6Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
40.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 55 yds · 2:4765% → 75%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
35.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
34.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the BC 49Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+5
35.2%
Boston College Penalty, Defensive Offside (#) to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
34.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 2 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+15
35.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Adam Moore for 15 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
33.6%
Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
34.6%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Tyler Lavine, broken up by #Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+9
36.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 9 yds to the BC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
34.7%
Kevin Jennings run for 9 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 1
OPP 6
0
36.6%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson, broken up by #Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
25.1%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 6 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
30.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:0430% → 36%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
30.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-5
31.5%
Boston College Penalty, False Start (#) to the BC 30Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+6
30.3%
Thomas Castellanos run for 6 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+20
30.3%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Alex Broome for 20 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
33.9%
Dino Tomlin run for 6 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+11
34.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 11 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
36.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass intercepted Alexander Kilgore return for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 15 Alexander Kilgore fumbled, forced by #, recovered by SMU Isaiah NwokobiaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:0370% → 67%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
30.2%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello Brinson, broken up by #Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+11
30.6%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
30.1%
Camar Wheaton run for no gain to the SMU 26Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
30.5%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
31.5%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson, broken up by #Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
32.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:1734% → 30%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
34.1%
Kye Robichaux run for 10 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
35.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 3 yds to the SMU 44Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-5
35.9%
Boston College Penalty, False Start (#) to the SMU 49Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-5
34.2%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Alex Broome for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 46Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 17
OWN 46
0
31.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to #Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
29.5%
Loren DiLoreto punt for 42 yds, downed at the SMU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14MISSED FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 5:5770% → 72%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
30.3%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+2
30.3%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SMU 20Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+4
31.4%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
30.5%
Kevin Jennings run for 4 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
-14
29.8%
SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (-14 Yards) to the SMU 14Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 20
OWN 14
+4
31.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 4 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 16
OWN 18
+21
30.6%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 21 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
26.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 8 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
26.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
25.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith, broken up by #Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
25.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to LJ Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+11
25.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to LJ Johnson Jr. for 11 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
24.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-1
24.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 28Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
25.6%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #Similar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
28.3%
Collin Rogers 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by KP Price Rogers, Collin field goal attempt from 46 blocked, recovered by BOSTONCOLL TEAM at BOSTONCOLL28 spot at BOSTONCOLL28, clock 01:21 (blocked by Price, KP).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:2032% → 67%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
32.3%
Thomas Castellanos sacked by Elijah Chatman for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 27Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+15
31.9%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 15 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
35.2%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
35.9%
Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the BC 45Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+8
34.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 8 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
37.7%
Thomas Castellanos pass incomplete to Lewis BondSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+32
37.4%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Jaedn Skeete for 32 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
67.3%
Thomas Castellanos run for 15 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5742% → 41%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
57.9%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello Brinson, broken up by #Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
58.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jake Bailey, broken up by #Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
61.4%
Kevin Jennings run for 7 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
59.5%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:1967% → 84%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-16
67.4%
Boston College Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sione Hala) to the BC 42Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
66.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+40
68.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 40 yds to the SMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
83.9%
Thomas Castellanos run for 14 yds for a TD (Liam Connor PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:3318% → 14%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
81.7%
Kevin Jennings run for 7 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+6
80.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 6 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
80.6%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
81.5%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-6
82.9%
Kevin Jennings sacked by Kam Arnold and # for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 35Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
85.9%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 47 yds, downed at the BC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:0084% → 91%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
84.4%
Alex Broome run for 7 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+12
88.6%
Thomas Castellanos pass complete to Lewis Bond for 12 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
89.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
90.5%
Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the BC 43Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
91.3%
Thomas Castellanos run for no gain to the BC 43Similar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
91.2%
Loren DiLoreto punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 23 yds · 2:099% → 6%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
91.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 4 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
91.0%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
91.9%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to LJ Johnson Jr., broken up by #Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+5
92.2%
Boston College Penalty, Defensive Offside (#) to the SMU 28Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+3
91.6%
Kevin Jennings run for 3 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
91.0%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to LJ Johnson Jr., broken up by #Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
91.9%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan Hudson, broken up by #Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+11
92.5%
Kevin Jennings run for 11 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Tyler Lavine for no gain to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
92.1%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete, broken up by #Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
94.0%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Moochie Dixon, broken up by #Similar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
94.5%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith, broken up by #Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21Uncategorized
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:2394% → 97%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+24
93.9%
Thomas Castellanos run for 24 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
95.7%
Thomas Castellanos run for 5 yds to the SMU 13Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+2
95.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the SMU 11Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+2
96.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the SMU 9Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
96.0%
Thomas Castellanos run for 2 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 8Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:22
Thomas Castellanos run for 15 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)
+29.9
TD · Q4 9:48
Thomas Castellanos run for 14 yds for a TD (Liam Connor PAT MISSED)
+15.6
TD · Q2 0:08
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 6 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
-11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com