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TA&M

Texas A&M 23 at Oklahoma State 31

OKST
2023 · TaxAct Texas Bowl · Dec 27, 2023 · NRG Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:39 · Hudson Kaak punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Home team on offense+8.3Garbage-time factor+3.4Score differential+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Pregame prior−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:29: Gunnar Gundy run for 10 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK) — OKST win probability +9.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:35: Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Ward KICK) — OKST win probability +7.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:44: Amari Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +13.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:17: Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 18 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK) — OKST win probability +11.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:08: Marcel Reed run for 20 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +14.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:20TA&M 4th & 5 at OKST 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:38OKST 4th & 2 at TA&M 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:34TA&M 4th & 9 at OKST 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−2.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:31TA&M 4th & 4 at OKST 7, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−4.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:45TA&M 4th & 5 at OKST 41, down 11
    Close callPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%−0.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:39OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 45, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:12TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:24OKST 4th & 2 at TA&M 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    74.1%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:48OKST 4th & 17 at OKST 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:34TA&M 4th & 16 at TA&M 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:04OKST 4th & 12 at midfield, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:07TA&M 4th & 14 at OKST 33, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:17OKST 4th & 3 at TA&M 30, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:21OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:29OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:35OKST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:44TA&M Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:17OKST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:08TA&M Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3054% → 54%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
46.0%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 11 yds to the TA&M 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
46.0%
Rueben Owens run for 1 yd to the TA&M 47Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+4
46.1%
Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the OKST 49Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
46.2%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Max WrightSimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
46.3%
Nik Constantinou punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2FG
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:1747% → 48%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
46.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 8 yds to the OKST 21Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+22
46.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 22 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
47.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 17 yds to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
47.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
47.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Leon Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+30
47.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 30 yds to the TA&M 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
47.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 5 yards to the TA&M 15Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+1
47.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the TA&M 14Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+12
47.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 12 yds to the TA&M 2Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
48.3%
Alex Hale 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:5152% → 52%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.4%
Marcel Reed run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
48.5%
Amari Daniels run for 13 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
48.2%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TA&M 42Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+14
48.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 14 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
48.2%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
48.3%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+22
48.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 22 yds to the OKST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
48.0%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
48.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 1 yd to the OKST 19Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
48.8%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
47.8%
Randy Bond 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:5949% → 56%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
48.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 3 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
49.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
49.0%
Alan Bowman run for 6 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
49.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the TA&M 47Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+10
50.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 10 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
50.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
51.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+4
50.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the TA&M 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
51.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 11 yds to the TA&M 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
56.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 13 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:3946% → 49%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.5%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
54.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Max Wright for 6 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+39
54.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jaden Platt for 39 yds to the OKST 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
52.6%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (D.J. McKinney) to the OKST 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
52.7%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 16Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+1
53.2%
Marcel Reed run for 1 yd to the OKST 15Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+8
54.6%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Max Wright for 8 yds to the OKST 7Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
51.5%
Randy Bond 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4653% → 65%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
52.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Camron HeardSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+26
51.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 26 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
54.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the TA&M 44Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+34
54.9%
Brennan Presley pass complete to Rashod Owens for 34 yds to the TA&M 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
64.5%
Gunnar Gundy run for 10 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:3038% → 37%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
61.9%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 29 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
60.4%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
60.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Andrew Maleski for 5 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
61.5%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
62.6%
Nik Constantinou punt for 33 yds, downed at the OKST 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:0164% → 66%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
64.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+15
64.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the OKST 8, Texas A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Taurean York) to the OKST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
65.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 26Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+10
65.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 10 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
66.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
65.9%
Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (Shemar Stewart) to the OKST 41Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
67.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the OKST 42Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
66.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
66.3%
Hudson Kaak punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TA&M 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0333% → 31%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
67.0%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
67.1%
Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
68.1%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Micah TeaseSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+1
69.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 51 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 1 yd to the OKST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 2:1769% → 79%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
69.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 10 yds to the OKST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
69.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
69.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+9
67.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
70.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 21 yds to the TA&M 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
71.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
71.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
70.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+14
69.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 14 yds to the TA&M 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
72.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the TA&M 18Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
72.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+17
71.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Braden Cassity for 17 yds to the TA&M 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
79.0%
Rueben Owens run for 7 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4381% → 86%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
80.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 10 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
83.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
85.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 3 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
86.0%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Dalton Brooks return for no gain to the TA&M 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:0119% → 30%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
81.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Max Wright for 8 yds to the TA&M 48Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+2
80.4%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
50
+40
81.7%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Max Wright for 40 yds to the OKST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
80.9%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the OKST 10Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
81.3%
Marcel Reed run for 5 yds to the OKST 5Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 0
OPP 5
+3
83.6%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Trey Rucker) to the OKST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.4%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:0877% → 91%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
76.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 15 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
77.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
50
+32
78.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 32 yds to the TA&M 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
79.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
79.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the TA&M 18Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
91.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 18 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5711% → 25%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.9%
Marcel Reed run for 2 yds to the TA&M 27Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
89.1%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 9 yds to the TA&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+32
89.5%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 32 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
88.6%
Rueben Owens run for 8 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+4
88.9%
Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the OKST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
74.6%
Marcel Reed run for 20 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:0782% → 82%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
82.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 11 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
83.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 8 yds to the OKST 49Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
84.3%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 1
50
-1
83.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 49Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 2
OWN 49
-15
82.7%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Personal Foul (Ollie Gordon II) to the OKST 34Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 17
OWN 34
0
81.7%
Wes Pahl punt for 42 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for no gain to the TA&M 24 Moose Muhammad III fumbled, recovered by TA&MSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3418% → 21%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
82.4%
Marcel Reed run for 7 yds to the TA&M 31Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+2
81.0%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+15
82.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Micah Tease for 15 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
80.5%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Rueben OwensSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
80.9%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Rueben OwensSimilar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+17
82.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 17 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
79.0%
Marcel Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+34
79.2%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Amari Daniels for 34 yds Amari Daniels fumbled, forced by Xavier Benson, recovered by OKST Nickolas MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:4286% → 87%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
85.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Leon Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+7
85.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 7 yds to the OKST 8Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+33
85.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 33 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
87.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 1
50
-10
87.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dalton Cooper) to the OKST 40Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+2
87.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 2 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
87.4%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Sam Mathews return for no gain to the TA&M 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2114% → 10%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
85.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Micah Tease for 4 yds to the TA&M 32Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-10
87.3%
Marcel Reed sacked by Collin Clay for a loss of 10 yards to the TA&M 22Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 16
OWN 22
0
89.6%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 16
OWN 22
0
90.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:1691% → 90%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
90.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 25 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
91.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
91.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 3 yds to the TA&M 45Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
91.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 7
OPP 45
-5
90.0%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 12
50
+15
89.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 45 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for 15 yds to the TA&M 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:4310% → 11%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
90.3%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Rueben Owens for 8 yds to the TA&M 28Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
88.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 9 yds to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+34
90.0%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 34 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
87.7%
Marcel Reed pass incomplete to Jahdae WalkerSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
88.8%
Marcel Reed run for 1 yd to the OKST 28Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-5
90.2%
Marcel Reed sacked by Anthony Goodlow for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 33Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+51
89.4%
Randy Bond 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22MISSED FG
17 plays · 45 yds · 4:3893% → 99%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 3 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
93.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 10 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
94.4%
Ollie Gordon II run for 5 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+10
95.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Cale Cabbiness for 10 yds to the TA&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
94.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the TA&M 38Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+1
95.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
96.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the TA&M 33Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-1
97.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 34Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+4
97.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the TA&M 30Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+47
98.6%
Alex Hale 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23INT
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:095% → 6%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+27
94.8%
Marcel Reed pass complete to Jahdae Walker for 27 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
93.9%
Marcel Reed pass intercepted Kendal Daniels return for 1 yd to the OKST 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:08
Marcel Reed run for 20 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
-14.3
TD · Q3 9:44
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)
-13.2
TD · Q3 7:17
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 18 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)
+11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com