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CCU

Coastal Carolina 24 at San José State 14

SJSU
2023 · EasyPost Hawaiʻi Bowl · Dec 23, 2023 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-3.2SJSU 11.0%Kade Hensley 49 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 0 · Q4 14:16
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:16 · Kade Hensley 49 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Home team on offense−33.1Pregame prior+4.4Score differential−15.7Garbage-time factor−9.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.6
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:44: Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the CCU 20 — CCU win probability +9.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:19: Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +17.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:27: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 35 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +12.3 pts (now 24%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:30: Quali Conley run for 12 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +28.6 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 2:43: Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +12.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:07CCU 4th & 1 at SJSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:40SJSU 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:25CCU 4th & 11 at SJSU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    39.7%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:20SJSU 4th & 5 at CCU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    54.3%−1.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:48CCU 4th & 2 at SJSU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−1.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:53CCU 4th & 30 at CCU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:12SJSU 4th & 7 at SJSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:51CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:16CCU 4th & 3 at SJSU 32, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%−1.9
    51% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:27SJSU 4th & 9 at CCU 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:52CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−5.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:16CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:19CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:27SJSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:30SJSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:43CCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:4631% → 32%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
68.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Ja'Vin Simpkins for 3 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
68.5%
Bryson Graves run for 6 yds to the CCU 42Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+7
68.4%
Reese White run for 7 yds to the CCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
68.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 5 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
68.0%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Braydon BennettSimilar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+4
68.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
67.9%
Max Balthazar run for no gain to the SJSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:2768% → 68%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
68.4%
San José State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the SJSU 27Similar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
68.2%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the SJSU 27Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+19
68.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 19 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
68.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 6
50
0
68.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 6
50
0
68.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 6
50
0
67.7%
Alex Weir punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:2432% → 39%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.6%
Max Balthazar run for no gain to the CCU 20Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
67.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+28
67.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 28 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
66.5%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+8
66.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 8 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
66.0%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
66.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the SJSU 29Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+22
66.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 22 yds to the SJSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
65.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the SJSU 4Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
65.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the SJSU 2Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Matt Alaimo for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0163% → 62%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
62.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Rogers for 5 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+4
62.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
62.5%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 40Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
61.6%
Alex Weir punt for 40 yds, downed at the CCU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:4439% → 42%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
60.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for no gain to the CCU 20Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
60.6%
Braydon Bennett run for 9 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
59.9%
Ethan Vasko run for 1 yd to the CCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
59.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese White for no gain to the CCU 30 for a 1ST down San José State Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (15 Yards) to the CCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
58.3%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the CCU 47Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+12
57.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 12 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
57.1%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
56.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
56.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Braydon BennettSimilar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 6
OPP 37
-5
57.6%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SJSU 42Similar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
58.1%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 38 yds, downed at the SJSU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6DOWNS
13 plays · 54 yds · 6:0558% → 54%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+16
58.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 16 yds to the SJSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Kairee RobinsonSimilar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
58.1%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+10
57.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 10 yds to the SJSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
58.0%
Isaac Jernagin run for 2 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-5
58.1%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Malik Williams) to the SJSU 35Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+9
56.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 9 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+8
56.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
57.3%
Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-9
57.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 1 yd to the CCU 40 San José State Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 12
50
0
55.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 12
50
+7
54.6%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 7 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q2 5:20
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+1
54.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 1 yd to the CCU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 3 yds · 4:2749% → 52%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
50.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 13 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
49.7%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-6
49.4%
Ethan Vasko run for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSU 49 Ethan Vasko fumbled, recovered by CCU Ethan VaskoSimilar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+12
50.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 12 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+2
47.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Bryson Graves for 2 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
44.6%
Ethan Vasko run for 5 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-10
42.8%
Vasko, Ethan pass complete to Graves, Bryson for 3 yards to the SJSU27, PENALTY COASTALCAR holding (Jumper, Evan) 10 yards to the SJSU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 15
OPP 40
0
44.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 15
OPP 40
-15
45.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete Coastal Carolina Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Will McDonald) to the CCU 45Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 30
OWN 45
0
47.8%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 52 yds, downed at the SJSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8END OF HALF
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:4148% → 50%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
47.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSU 4Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+18
48.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 18 yds to the SJSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
48.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 10 yds to the SJSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
50.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4749% → 46%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
49.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 9 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 35
-10
50.8%
Conley, Quali rush for 7 yards to the SJSU42, PENALTY SJSU holding (Olson, Sam) 10 yards to the SJSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+4
48.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 4 yds to the SJSU 29Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
47.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 7
OWN 29
-2
45.8%
Alex Weir punt for 42 yds , Bryson Graves returns for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:2155% → 55%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
45.3%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Brooks JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+10
46.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 10 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
43.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
44.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Kendall KarrSimilar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+2
45.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 2 yds to the CCU 39Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
45.5%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:0746% → 52%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
46.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 17Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
45.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Kairee RobinsonSimilar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+33
44.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 33 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
50
+18
49.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 18 yds to the CCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
51.1%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 33Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
50.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Kairee RobinsonSimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+27
47.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 27 yds to the CCU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 0
OPP 6
-7
52.2%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 7 yards to the CCU 13 Kairee Robinson fumbled, forced by Teddy Tiokeng, recovered by CCU Shane BruceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 5:2557% → 83%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
43.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+5
40.4%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 5 yds to the CCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.2%
Bryson Graves run for 2 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
39.5%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
41.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 10 yds to the CCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
37.5%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 4 yds to the CCU 41Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+37
36.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 22 yds to the SJSU 37 for a 1ST down San José State Penalty, Personal Foul (Tre Jenkins) to the SJSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
34.0%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Matt AlaimoSimilar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
34.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 2 yds to the SJSU 20Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+18
34.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 18 yds to the SJSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
17.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:3222% → 23%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Sam OlsonSimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
21.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
21.0%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass incomplete to Miller, Malikhi, PENALTY COASTALCAR illegal use of hands 15 yards to the SJSU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SJSU.Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
23.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 20 yds to the CCU 34 Kairee Robinson fumbled, forced by Abraham Temoney III, recovered by CCU Courtney Eubanks , return for 9 yds to the CCU 49 Coastal Carolina Penalty, Sideline Interference (15 Yards) to the CCU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:3182% → 89%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
18.3%
Ethan Vasko run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 31Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+5
18.1%
Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the CCU 36Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+10
17.4%
Vasko, Ethan pass incomplete to Graves, Bryson, PENALTY SJSU pass interference 10 yards to the COASTALCAR46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR.Similar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
16.2%
Bryson Graves run for 8 yds to the SJSU 46Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+7
15.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kyre Duplessis for 7 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
15.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
15.3%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the SJSU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
14.2%
Reese White run for no gain to the SJSU 32Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+49
11.0%
Kade Hensley 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4914% → 24%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
13.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 24 yds to the SJSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
12.3%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass incomplete, PENALTY COASTALCAR face mask (Watson, Demetrius) 15 yards to the COASTALCAR36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SJSU.Similar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
12.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
12.7%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the CCU 35Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
12.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Sam OlsonSimilar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+35
24.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 35 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3576% → 77%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
23.6%
Ethan Vasko sacked by Tre Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the CCU 21Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
23.9%
Ethan Vasko run for no gain to the CCU 21Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
22.7%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Ja'Vin SimpkinsSimilar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
22.9%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 40 yds, downed at the SJSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:2224% → 52%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
23.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+13
23.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 13 yds to the CCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
21.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 13 yds to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
23.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Sam OlsonSimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+10
22.8%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass incomplete to Ross, Charles, PENALTY COASTALCAR holding (Fletcher, Tobias) 10 yards to the COASTALCAR25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SJSU.Similar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
23.3%
Quali Conley run for 13 yds to the CCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
52.0%
Quali Conley run for 12 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4763% → 94%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.7%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
36.0%
Reese White run for 11 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
32.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 14 yds to the SJSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
29.8%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the SJSU 43Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+17
25.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 17 yds to the SJSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
23.8%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the SJSU 20Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+6
22.7%
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the SJSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
21.3%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the SJSU 11Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+3
19.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the SJSU 8Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
6.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 1:237% → 6%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
7.0%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 8 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+5
7.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 5 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
6.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 25 yds to the CCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
8.6%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass incomplete to Nash, Nick, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Lusk, Keonte) 15 yards to the COASTALCAR13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SJSU.Similar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
8.5%
Cordeiro, Chevan pass incomplete to Nash, Nick, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Lusk, Keonte) 11 yards to the COASTALCAR2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SJSU.Similar
Q4 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
9.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 0
OPP 2
-5
11.7%
San José State Penalty, False Start (Malik Williams) to the CCU 7Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-8
8.2%
Chevan Cordeiro sacked by Micheal Mason for a loss of 8 yards to the CCU 15Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
6.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Nick NashSimilar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 0
OPP 15
+32
5.7%
Kyler Halvorsen 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:3895% → 95%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 18Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-2
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:30
Quali Conley run for 12 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+28.6
TD · Q3 3:19
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Kendall Karr for 2 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-17.5
TD · Q4 2:43
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com