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USF

South Florida 45 at Syracuse 0

SYR
2023 · RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl · Dec 21, 2023 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFUMBLETDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.9SYR 7.8%Byrum Brown pass complete to SeanAtkins for 35 yds for a TD (JohnCannon KICK)AWAY 38 - HOME 0 · Q3 12:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:52 · Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 35 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense−41.4Score differential−17.9Garbage-time factor−8.2Pregame prior+6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:49: Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 13 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +2.8 pts (now 40%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q1 2:22: Brady Denaburg run for a loss of 10 yards Brady Denaburg fumbled, recovered by USF Aamaris Brown , return for 64 yds (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +5.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:54: Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 31 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +14.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:05: Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Naiem Simmons — USF win probability +8.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. SACK · Q2 0:09: Braden Davis sacked by Daquan Evans for a loss of 9 yards Braden Davis fumbled, forced by Daquan Evans, recovered by USF Tramel Logan , return for 0 yards , return for 61 yds (John Cannon KICK) — USF win probability +19.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 11 of 13USF made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:10USF 4th & 10 at USF 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:38SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:22SYR 4th & 9 at USF 27, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.7%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    57.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:12SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:05USF 4th & 2 at SYR 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−2.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:28SYR 4th & 3 at USF 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%−1.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:44USF 4th & 3 at USF 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:42SYR 4th & 21 at SYR 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:40USF 4th & 9 at SYR 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:52USF 4th & 2 at SYR 35, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:29SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:14USF 4th & 12 at USF 20, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:59SYR 4th & 7 at USF 47, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:19USF 4th & 21 at SYR 36, up 38
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:02SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 25, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:34SYR 4th & 10 at USF 42, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:38USF 4th & 4 at USF 18, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:56SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 46, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:51USF 4th & 7 at USF 48, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:49SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 23, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:30USF 4th & 8 at USF 41, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:15SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 21, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:49USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:54USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:52USF Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:26USF Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:3136% → 36%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.0%
Byrum Brown run for 3 yds to the USF 28Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
64.0%
Byrum Brown run for 9 yds to the USF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
63.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 34Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
63.9%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Sean AtkinsSimilar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+3
64.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 3 yds to the USF 37Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+5
64.0%
Andrew Stokes punt for 50 yds , LeQuint Allen returns for 5 yds to the SYR 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5564% → 64%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
63.9%
Dan Villari run for 3 yds to the SYR 21Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
63.9%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 21Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-5
63.7%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 16Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+10
63.6%
Dan Villari pass complete to Donovan Brown for 10 yds to the SYR 26Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
63.7%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 38 yds , Sean Atkins returns for no gain to the USF 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:1036% → 40%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
63.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the USF 33Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+12
63.8%
Byrum Brown run for 12 yds to the USF 45Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
63.4%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the USF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
63.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 10 yds to the SYR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
63.2%
Byrum Brown run for 5 yds to the SYR 37Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+11
63.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 11 yds to the SYR 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
62.7%
Byrum Brown run for 4 yds to the SYR 22Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
62.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the SYR 19Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+6
62.9%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Weston Wolff for 6 yds to the SYR 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
60.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 13 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5961% → 60%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
60.9%
Dan Villari run for no gain to the SYR 23Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
60.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 25Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+5
60.2%
Dan Villari run for 5 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 3
OWN 30
-5
59.9%
Syracuse Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SYR 25Similar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
59.6%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USF 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1541% → 42%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
59.0%
Byrum Brown run for 8 yds to the SYR 48Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+3
58.5%
Byrum Brown run for 3 yds to the SYR 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
58.3%
Byrum Brown sacked by Kevin Jobity Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 15
50
+56
58.5%
Byrum Brown run for 4 yds to the USF 28 Byrum Brown fumbled, recovered by SYR Alijah Clark , return for 41 yds to the USF 13 Syracuse Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the USF 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6FUMBLE TD
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:3261% → 54%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
61.2%
Dan Villari run for 1 yd to the USF 27Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-14
61.1%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 14 yards to the USF 41 LeQuint Allen fumbled, recovered by SYRSimilar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 23
OPP 41
+14
59.3%
Dan Villari pass complete to Damien Alford for 14 yds to the USF 27Similar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+64
54.2%
Brady Denaburg run for a loss of 10 yards Brady Denaburg fumbled, recovered by USF Aamaris Brown , return for 64 yds (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:0853% → 51%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
53.3%
Dan Villari run for no gain to the SYR 17Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
52.7%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 15Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+15
51.9%
Villari, Dan pass incomplete to Hatcher, Umari, PENALTY SOUFLA pass interference (Brown, Aamaris) 15 yards to the SYRACUSE30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
52.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 32Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-2
51.9%
Dan Villari pass complete to Umari Hatcher for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-5
51.1%
Syracuse Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 25Similar
Q2 14:32
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+2
50.8%
Braden Davis pass complete to Donovan Brown for 2 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
50.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 54 yds , Sean Atkins returns for no gain to the USF 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 1:4951% → 67%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+33
48.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 33 yds to the SYR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
47.6%
Byrum Brown sacked by Caleb Okechukwu for a loss of 4 yards to the USF 48Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 14
OWN 48
-5
47.9%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USF 43Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 19
OWN 43
+8
47.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 8 yds to the SYR 49Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+9
46.9%
Byrum Brown run for 9 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+9
47.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to K'Wan Powell for 9 yds to the SYR 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
32.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 31 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9INT
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:3238% → 37%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
37.5%
Braden Davis pass complete to Damien Alford for 33 yds to the USF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
38.9%
Braden Davis run for 3 yds to the USF 39Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+6
38.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 6 yds to the USF 33Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-2
37.3%
Braden Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 35Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+6
36.7%
Dan Villari run for 6 yds to the USF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
37.0%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the USF 28Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-5
36.8%
Dan Villari pass intercepted Jacquez Williams return for 5 yds to the USF 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2172% → 73%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.3%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Naiem SimmonsSimilar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
28.3%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Khafre BrownSimilar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
28.1%
Byrum Brown run for 7 yds to the USF 32Similar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
27.1%
Andrew Stokes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Donovan Brown at the SYR 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:4532% → 30%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
31.7%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 6 yards to the SYR 21Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 16
OWN 21
0
30.7%
Dan Villari pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 16
OWN 21
0
30.4%
Dan Villari pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q2 5:47
4TH & 16
OWN 21
-5
30.4%
Syracuse Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SYR 16Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 21
OWN 16
0
30.3%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12FG
11 plays · 29 yds · 2:5376% → 76%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
23.8%
Byrum Brown run for 2 yds to the SYR 49Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+14
23.2%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 14 yds to the SYR 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
22.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 8 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+4
20.9%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 4 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
20.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for no gain to the SYR 23Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-5
20.7%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 28Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 15
OPP 28
-10
20.2%
Brown, Byrum rush for 4 yards to the SYRACUSE24, PENALTY SOUFLA holding 10 yards to the SYRACUSE38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 25
OPP 38
+16
20.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 16 yds to the SYR 22Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
20.6%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Sean AtkinsSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
23.7%
John Cannon 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13FUMBLE TD
12 plays · 38 yds · 1:5927% → 8%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
27.4%
Braden Davis pass complete to Damien Alford for 20 yds to the SYR 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
28.6%
Braden Davis pass complete to Damien Alford for 16 yds to the USF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
27.2%
Braden Davis pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 8 yds to the USF 33Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+5
28.9%
LeQuint Allen run for 5 yds to the USF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
28.6%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the USF 28Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-7
27.6%
Braden Davis sacked by Jaelen Stokes for a loss of 7 yards to the USF 35 Syracuse Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the USF 35Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 17
OPP 35
+15
25.2%
Davis, Braden pass incomplete to Brown, Donovan, PENALTY SOUFLA unnecessary roughness (Pettway, Jamie) 15 yards to the SOUFLA20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-15
28.0%
Syracuse Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Mark Petry) to the USF 35Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
26.8%
Braden Davis pass complete to LeQuint Allen for 5 yds to the USF 30Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
27.3%
Braden Davis pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+61
7.8%
Braden Davis sacked by Daquan Evans for a loss of 9 yards Braden Davis fumbled, forced by Daquan Evans, recovered by USF Tramel Logan , return for 0 yards , return for 61 yds (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
7.1%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the SYR 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:248% → 9%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
8.4%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 23Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
9.5%
Braden Davis pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q3 14:19
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
9.3%
Dan Villari pass intercepted Tavin Ward return for no gain to the SYR 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:1092% → 92%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
7.8%
Sean Atkins run for 3 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
7.5%
K'Wan Powell run for 4 yds to the SYR 36Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+1
6.9%
K'Wan Powell run for 1 yd to the SYR 35Similar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+35
7.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 35 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:155% → 4%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.7%
Dan Villari run for 3 yds to the SYR 28Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
4.3%
Dan Villari run for 1 yd to the SYR 29Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
3.8%
Dan Villari pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
3.7%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:5196% → 96%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
4.1%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the USF 23Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-10
4.0%
Wright, Nay'Quan rush for 20 yards to the SOUFLA43, PENALTY SOUFLA holding 10 yards to the SOUFLA13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 19
OWN 13
+2
3.9%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 2 yds to the USF 15Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+5
3.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 5 yds to the USF 20Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
4.5%
Andrew Stokes punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LeQuint Allen at the SYR 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:053% → 2%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
2.8%
Dan Villari run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
50
0
2.7%
LeQuint Allen run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 10
50
+3
1.7%
LeQuint Allen run for 3 yds to the USF 47Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
1.6%
Dan Villari pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
1.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 51 yds · 3:2698% → 98%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
2.5%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Weston Wolff for 10 yds to the USF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
2.3%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jaden Alexis for 3 yds to the USF 26Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+8
2.1%
Byrum Brown run for 8 yds to the USF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
2.0%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Jaden AlexisSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
2.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Naiem Simmons for 13 yds to the USF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
1.7%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the SYR 46Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+21
1.6%
Sean Atkins pass complete to Byrum Brown for 21 yds to the SYR 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
1.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 1 yd to the SYR 24Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
1.4%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Khafre BrownSimilar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+7
1.5%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the SYR 17Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 2
OPP 17
-14
2.0%
Brown, Byrum pass complete to Wolff, Weston for 3 yards to the SYRACUSE14, PENALTY SOUFLA pass interference 14 yards to the SYRACUSE31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 16
OPP 31
-5
2.1%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SYR 36Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 21
OPP 36
0
1.6%
Andrew Stokes punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SYR 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:411% → 1%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
0.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 18Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+2
0.6%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the SYR 20Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+5
0.5%
Dan Villari run for 5 yds to the SYR 25Similar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+1
0.5%
LeQuint Allen run for 1 yd to the SYR 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:2799% → 99%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.9%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
0.9%
Sean Atkins run for 12 yds to the SYR 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
0.8%
K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the SYR 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+8
0.8%
K'Wan Powell run for 8 yds to the SYR 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
0.7%
K'Wan Powell run for 1 yd to the SYR 3Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.7%
K'Wan Powell run for 1 yd to the SYR 2Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.6%
Nay'Quan Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
0.3%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the SYR 22Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
0.3%
Dan Villari run for 3 yds to the SYR 25Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+33
0.2%
Dan Villari pass complete to Umari Hatcher for 33 yds to the USF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
0.3%
LeQuint Allen run for 2 yds to the USF 40Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-2
0.2%
LeQuint Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 42Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
0.2%
Dan Villari pass incomplete to Donovan BrownSimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
0.2%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 30 yds, downed at the USF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
0.4%
Yasias Young run for 6 yds to the USF 18Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 4
OWN 18
0
0.4%
Yasias Young run for no gain to the USF 18Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
0.4%
Bryce Archie pass incomplete to Jayson LittlejohnSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 4
OWN 18
+4
0.4%
Andrew Stokes punt for 44 yds , LeQuint Allen returns for 4 yds to the SYR 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.2%
Braden Davis pass incomplete to Dan VillariSimilar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
0.2%
LeQuint Allen run for 4 yds to the SYR 46Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
0.1%
Braden Davis pass incomplete to Umari HatcherSimilar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
0.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the USF 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:52100% → 100%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
0.3%
Dominic Gonnella run for 6 yds to the USF 26Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-2
0.3%
Dominic Gonnella run for a loss of 2 yards to the USF 24Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
0.3%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Dominic Gonnella for 8 yds to the USF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
0.3%
Bryce Archie run for 7 yds to the USF 39Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
0.3%
Bryce Archie run for 6 yds to the USF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.2%
Bryce Archie run for no gain to the USF 45Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
0.2%
Bryce Archie pass complete to Brock Burnette for 3 yds to the USF 48Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Bryce Archie pass incomplete to Brock BurnetteSimilar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
0.3%
Andrew Stokes punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Donovan Brown at the SYR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Braden Davis pass incomplete to Damien AlfordSimilar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.1%
Jakobie Seabourn run for 3 yds to the SYR 23Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
0.1%
Braden Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
0.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Naiem Simmons at the USF 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
0.2%
Jaylen Johnson run for 4 yds to the USF 43Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-5
0.2%
South Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USF 38Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+4
0.2%
Jaylen Johnson run for 4 yds to the USF 42Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-1
0.2%
Israel Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the USF 41Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
0.4%
Andrew Stokes punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SYR 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
0.1%
Jakobie Seabourn run for no gain to the SYR 17Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
0.0%
Jakobie Seabourn run for 1 yd to the SYR 18Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+3
0.0%
Jakobie Seabourn run for 3 yds to the SYR 21Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
0.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 3 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SYR 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q2 0:09
Braden Davis sacked by Daquan Evans for a loss of 9 yards Braden Davis fumbled, forced by Daquan Evans, recovered by USF Tramel Logan , return for 0 yards , return for 61 yds (John Cannon KICK)
-19.6
TD · Q2 11:54
Byrum Brown pass complete to Khafre Brown for 31 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
-14.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 8:05
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Naiem Simmons
-8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com