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UGA

Georgia 24 at Alabama 27

ALA
2023 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2023 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.2ALA 79.6%Will Reichard 28 Yd Field GoalAWAY 10 - HOME 20 · Q3 0:48
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Q3 0:48 · Will Reichard 28 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Home team on offense+15.1Pregame prior−3.6Garbage-time factor+7.8Score differential+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:48: Jermaine Burton 15 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Will Reichard Kick) — ALA win probability +11.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:51: Peyton Woodring 34 Yd Field Goal — UGA win probability +5.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:16: Carson Beck 1 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick) — UGA win probability +24.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 5:47: Roydell Williams 1 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick) — ALA win probability +15.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:52: Kendall Milton 1 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick) — UGA win probability +26.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:21ALA 4th & 12 at ALA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:38ALA 4th & 4 at ALA 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:31UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:43ALA 4th & 9 at UGA 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:36UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:05ALA 4th & 1 at UGA 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.4%−1.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:37UGA 4th & 22 at ALA 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−2.4
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:18ALA 4th & 4 at UGA 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%−0.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:37UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 45, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:36ALA 4th & 8 at ALA 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−2.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:51UGA 4th & 7 at ALA 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−9.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:24ALA 4th & 15 at UGA 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    69.3%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:48ALA 4th & 9 at UGA 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−10.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:06UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−2.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:53ALA 4th & 7 at ALA 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:49UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.5%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:52UGA 4th & 1 at ALA 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−4.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−7.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 9:31UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:04ALA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:48ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:16UGA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.8%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:47ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:52UGA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.5 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%−2.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3437% → 37%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
36.6%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond, broken up by Zion LogueSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
36.6%
Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the ALA 37Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-4
36.9%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Jalon Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the ALA 33Similar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
37.1%
James Burnip punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UGA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 3:4363% → 64%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+23
37.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 23 yds to the UGA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
37.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 14 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
37.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the ALA 42Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
37.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 5 yds to the ALA 37Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
37.6%
Carson Beck run for 2 yds to the ALA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
37.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 15 yds to the ALA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
37.7%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the ALA 17Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
36.1%
Kendall Milton 17 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4537% → 36%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.7%
Roydell Williams run for 6 yds to the ALA 31Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
36.8%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Malik Benson, broken up by Malaki StarksSimilar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
36.5%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
36.3%
James Burnip punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0164% → 63%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
36.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for a loss of 3 yards to the UGA 10Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
36.4%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Ladd McConkeySimilar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 13
OWN 10
0
36.6%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 13
OWN 10
0
36.8%
Brett Thorson punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:4137% → 39%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
37.3%
Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the UGA 42Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+4
37.5%
Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
37.5%
Jam Miller run for 8 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+4
38.0%
Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds to the UGA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
38.1%
Jalen Milroe run for 7 yds to the UGA 19Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 3
OPP 19
-6
38.2%
Jam Miller run for a loss of 6 yards to the UGA 25Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
37.7%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah BondSimilar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+43
39.0%
Will Reichard 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0161% → 60%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 6 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
38.4%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
38.8%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 32Similar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
39.7%
Brett Thorson punt for 60 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the ALA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 4:2539% → 48%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
39.3%
Roydell Williams run for 12 yds to the ALA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
39.5%
Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the ALA 28Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
40.5%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Roydell Williams for 9 yds to the ALA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
40.3%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Malik Benson, broken up by Javon Bullard Alabama Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (JC Latham) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+34
40.1%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 19 yds to the UGA 44 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Javon Bullard) to the UGA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
42.4%
Roydell Williams run for 9 yds to the UGA 20Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 1
OPP 20
-1
42.5%
Roydell Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 21Similar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
41.8%
Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the UGA 20Similar
Q2 13:05
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
41.5%
Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the UGA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
43.3%
Miller, Jam rush for 4 yards to the GEORGIA14, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Roberts, Jaeden) 10 yards to the GEORGIA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+28
47.5%
Jam Miller 28 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8MISSED FG
15 plays · 44 yds · 7:2354% → 49%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
45.7%
Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
45.6%
Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
45.9%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
46.0%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 21 yds to the ALA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
44.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 6 yds to the ALA 36Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+5
44.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the ALA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
44.1%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
44.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 4 yds to the ALA 27Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+8
45.6%
Carson Beck run for 8 yds to the ALA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
44.9%
Kendall Milton run for no gain to the ALA 19Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-2
45.3%
Kendall Milton run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 21Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 12
OPP 21
-5
46.9%
Carson Beck sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the ALA 26Similar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 17
OPP 26
-5
50.4%
Georgia Penalty, False Start (Jared Wilson) to the ALA 31Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 22
OPP 31
+50
50.6%
Peyton Woodring 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:4051% → 67%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
50.6%
Milroe, Jalen pass incomplete to Burton, Jermaine, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Starks, Malaki) 15 yards to the ALABAMA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
52.5%
Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the ALA 49Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
53.0%
Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
53.6%
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the UGA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
54.1%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kobe PrenticeSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-11
53.9%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Warren Brinson for a loss of 11 yards to the ALA 46Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 21
OWN 46
+17
49.7%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 17 yds to the UGA 37Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+22
52.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 22 yds to the UGA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
55.7%
Jam Miller run for no gain to the UGA 15Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
66.9%
Jermaine Burton 15 Yd pass from Jalen Milroe (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:2034% → 36%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.8%
Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 6 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
64.4%
Carson Beck run for 1 yd to the UGA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:1637% → 32%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.4%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
63.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 8 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
65.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 2 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
65.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 7 yds to the UGA 46Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-1
65.6%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 45Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
67.9%
Brett Thorson punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5569% → 67%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
68.7%
Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the ALA 23Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
68.9%
Roydell Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 22Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
68.2%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Amari NiblackSimilar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
67.3%
James Burnip punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13FG
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:3532% → 38%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+51
68.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Arian Smith for 51 yds to the ALA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
65.6%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the ALA 16Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
66.0%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Brock Bowers, broken up by Trey AmosSimilar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
67.7%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Brock Bowers, broken up by Kristian StorySimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
62.5%
Peyton Woodring 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:2467% → 70%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.1%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jam MillerSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.9%
Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the ALA 27Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
67.5%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 13 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
71.4%
Jam Miller run for 5 yds to the ALA 45Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+16
72.2%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for no gain to the UGA 45 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (C.J. Smith) to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
72.9%
Roydell Williams run for 6 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
73.9%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine BurtonSimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 4
OPP 33
-12
72.7%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Jalon Walker for a loss of 12 yards to the UGA 45Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
69.5%
James Burnip punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0432% → 31%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
68.1%
Kendall Milton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 5Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+8
68.9%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 8 yds to the UGA 13Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+9
70.2%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 9 yds to the UGA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
68.7%
Georgia Penalty, False Start (Brock Bowers) to the UGA 17Similar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 15
OWN 17
-6
69.2%
Carson Beck run for a loss of 6 yards to the UGA 11 Carson Beck fumbled, recovered by ALA Trezmen MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2078% → 80%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
77.7%
Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the UGA 9Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-1
78.2%
Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 10Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
79.4%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton, broken up by Javon BullardSimilar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
79.6%
Will Reichard 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:3522% → 17%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Kendall Milton for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
79.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
78.8%
Carson Beck sacked by Justin Eboigbe for a loss of 3 yards to the UGA 35Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 13
OWN 35
0
81.4%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Ladd McConkey, broken up by Terrion ArnoldSimilar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
82.5%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dillon Bell, broken up by Trey AmosSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
83.1%
Brett Thorson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Caleb Downs at the ALA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0981% → 82%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
80.9%
Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the ALA 22Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-11
81.7%
Jalen Milroe sacked by Tramel Walthour for a loss of 11 yards to the ALA 11Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+12
81.8%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 12 yds to the ALA 23Similar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+28
82.1%
James Burnip punt for 40 yds , Anthony Evans III returns for 28 yds to the ALA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:3222% → 44%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
77.8%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the ALA 30Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
77.5%
Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the ALA 27Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+11
81.9%
Beck, Carson pass incomplete to Rosemy-Jacksaint, Marcus, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Arnold, Terrion) 11 yards to the ALABAMA16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
80.5%
Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 15 yds to the ALA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.3%
Carson Beck 1 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2269% → 92%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
68.5%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 21 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
71.9%
Roydell Williams run for 9 yds to the UGA 45Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+12
73.2%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 12 yds to the UGA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
74.7%
Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
75.1%
Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the UGA 25Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+13
73.3%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 13 yds to the UGA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
75.4%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 11 yds to the UGA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.8%
Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the UGA 1Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.8%
Roydell Williams 1 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:489% → 33%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.1%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 9 yds to the UGA 34Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
89.7%
Carson Beck pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
90.1%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the UGA 34Similar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+11
91.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 11 yds to the UGA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
90.0%
Beck, Carson pass sacked for loss of 11 yards to the GEORGIA34 (Oatis, Jaheim), PENALTY ALABAMA face mask (Oatis, Jaheim) 15 yards to the ALABAMA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
89.6%
Carson Beck pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 14 yds to the ALA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+20
88.3%
Carson Beck pass complete to Brock Bowers for 20 yds to the ALA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
89.1%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the ALA 1Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.4%
Carson Beck run for no gain to the ALA 1Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.1%
Kendall Milton run for no gain to the ALA 1Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.3%
Kendall Milton 1 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:0586% → 95%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
85.7%
Jalen Milroe run for 30 yds to the UGA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
89.9%
Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+9
90.2%
Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the UGA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
92.8%
Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the UGA 33Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-1
93.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 34Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-1
94.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:52
Kendall Milton 1 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)
-26.1
TD · Q4 10:16
Carson Beck 1 Yd Run (Peyton Woodring Kick)
-24.2
TD · Q4 5:47
Roydell Williams 1 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)
+15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com