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BOIS

Boise State 44 at UNLV 20

UNLV
2023 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2023 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+1.9UNLV 25.7%Jose Pizano 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 31 - HOME 20 · Q3 11:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:07 · Jose Pizano 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Home team on offense−10.4Score differential−5.3Pregame prior−7.1Garbage-time factor−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:49: Fred Thompkins 47 Yd Interception Return (Jose Pizano Kick) — UNLV win probability +6.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:32: Taylen Green pass complete to Austin Bolt for 57 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:10: Taylen Green run for 70 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +9.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:03: Jonah Dalmas 50 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +9.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:16: Taylen Green pass complete to Matt Lauter for 16 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +9.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 7 of 8BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 1:21UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:23BOIS 4th & 7 at UNLV 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−5.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 3:35UNLV 4th & 6 at BOIS 33, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:21BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:21BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:54UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.7%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:07UNLV 4th & 8 at BOIS 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:03BOIS 4th & 13 at UNLV 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:17UNLV 4th & 5 at BOIS 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−1.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:05UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:23BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:55UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:43BOIS 4th & 5 at UNLV 5, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:51UNLV 4th & 16 at BOIS 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:08BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:45UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:21BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:49UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:32BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 12:10BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:16BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5266% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
34.2%
Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+32
34.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 32 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
34.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+15
34.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Taylen pass incomplete deep middle to Strachan,Prince PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference (Turner,Jaxen) 15 yards from UNLV37 to UNLV22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
34.2%
Taylen Green run for 8 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+3
34.2%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
34.2%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
34.0%
Taylen Green run for 8 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 4:1835% → 38%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+23
34.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 23 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
34.6%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+14
34.6%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 14 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
34.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 13 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
34.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the BOIS 34Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
35.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+16
34.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 16 yds to the BOIS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
35.1%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (St. John,Jalen) 5 yards from BSU18 to BSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 15
OPP 23
0
35.0%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+6
34.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Timothy Conerly for 6 yds to the BOIS 17Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+9
34.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Maiava,Jayden pass incomplete short right to Thompson Jr.,Corey PENALTY BSU Holding (Robinson,Rodney) 9 yards from BSU17 to BSU08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
35.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q1 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
35.1%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the BOIS 5Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
38.3%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2463% → 67%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
37.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
36.9%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
37.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 5 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
36.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 45Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+43
36.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 43 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
37.2%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+4
37.2%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
33.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5435% → 34%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
34.7%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Kaleo BallungaySimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
34.7%
Jayden Maiava run for 2 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
34.2%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Kaleo BallungaySimilar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
34.0%
Marshall Nichols punt for 49 yds, fair catch by George Holani at the BOIS 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5INT TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:3266% → 61%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
34.2%
Shotgun Green,Taylen pass incomplete short middle to Bolt,Austin PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference (Oliver,Cameron) 9 yards from BSU31 to BSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
33.5%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BOIS 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
33.4%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-47
39.4%
Fred Thompkins 47 Yd Interception Return (Jose Pizano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1760% → 67%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 30Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
39.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the BOIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
33.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Austin Bolt for 57 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:0535% → 37%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
34.8%
Jacob De Jesus run for 9 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+32
35.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 32 yds to the BOIS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
36.8%
Jayden Maiava run for 9 yds to the BOIS 30 Jayden Maiava fumbled, recovered by BOIS Alexander TeubnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
27.4%
Taylen Green run for 70 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1629% → 28%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
28.7%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
29.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Corey Thompson Jr. for 5 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
28.3%
Jayden Maiava pass intercepted A'Marion McCoy return for no gain to the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:3174% → 78%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
25.9%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+1
25.8%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+10
26.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 10 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
25.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the UNLV 16Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+2
25.8%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
25.9%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to Austin BoltSimilar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
21.7%
Jonah Dalmas 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:4824% → 25%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 7 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
24.5%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 14 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
25.3%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Kaleo BallungaySimilar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
25.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 2 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+15
25.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 15 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
25.5%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
26.2%
Courtney Reese run for no gain to the BOIS 33Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
25.4%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Corey Thompson Jr.Similar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+51
25.4%
Jose Pizano 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12PUNT
13 plays · 21 yds · 3:1477% → 82%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.3%
Taylen Green pass incomplete to George HolaniSimilar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.5%
Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the BOIS 31Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
21.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 6 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
20.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-5
20.0%
Green,Taylen pass complete short right to Smith,Riley for 12 yards to the UNLV42 (Oliver,Cameron; Woodard,Jackson) PENALTY BSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Lauter,Matt) 5 yards from BSU46 to BSU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
20.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 43Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
18.0%
Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+5
18.5%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 36 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 5 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+5
18.5%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 36 yds , Jacob De Jesus returns for 5 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:2122% → 20%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
22.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 12 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.5%
Donavyn Lester run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
23.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for no gain to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
20.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 4 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 3:4722% → 26%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
22.2%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Corey Thompson Jr.Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
21.9%
Jacob De Jesus run for no gain to the UNLV 27Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+8
21.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 8 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+9
22.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 9 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
23.7%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 8 yds to the BOIS 48Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
24.0%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
23.9%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
24.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 14 yds to the BOIS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
24.6%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the BOIS 28Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
24.6%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
23.8%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q3 11:07
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
25.7%
Jose Pizano 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 6:0475% → 85%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
25.2%
run for 16 yds to the BOIS 9 fumbled, recovered by BOIS Taylen GreenSimilar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 26
OWN 9
+19
25.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 19 yds to the BOIS 28Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
25.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Austin Bolt for 15 yds to the BOIS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
23.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 47Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+1
23.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 46Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+23
24.1%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 23 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
23.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+3
23.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Jambres Dubar for 3 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-3
24.2%
Taylen Green sacked by Jackson Woodard for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 13
OPP 34
+50
14.9%
Jonah Dalmas 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3818% → 17%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
50
+3
17.8%
Jayden Maiava run for 3 yds to the BOIS 47Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
18.0%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the BOIS 44Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+1
17.8%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the BOIS 45Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+4
16.7%
Jayden Maiava run for 4 yds to the BOIS 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 3:0188% → 97%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
12.5%
George Holani run for 31 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
11.8%
George Holani run for 7 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 3
OPP 21
0
11.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+3
12.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
11.8%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
2.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Matt Lauter for 16 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:554% → 3%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
4.3%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the UNLV 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
4.3%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Corey Thompson Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+4
4.2%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
3.4%
Marshall Nichols punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:0297% → 98%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 20Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
2.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 11 yds to the BOIS 31 for a 1ST down Boise State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Prince Strachan) to the BOIS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
2.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for 14 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
2.8%
George Holani run for 7 yds to the BOIS 42Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+1
2.7%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BOIS 43Similar
Q4 11:03
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
2.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 40 Ashton Jeanty fumbled, recovered by BOIS Jacob WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:423% → 3%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
3.1%
Jayden Maiava run for 3 yds to the BOIS 37Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
3.0%
Jayden Maiava pass intercepted Andrew Simpson return for no gain to the BOIS 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5898% → 98%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
2.0%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BOIS 34Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
2.0%
George Holani run for no gain to the BOIS 34Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+2
2.0%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the BOIS 32Similar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
1.7%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:282% → 2%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
2.3%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
2.3%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Corey Thompson Jr.Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
2.2%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Dominic GicintoSimilar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
2.2%
Marshall Nichols punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23FG
8 plays · 79 yds · 4:1298% → 99%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
1.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 16 yds to the BOIS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+50
1.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 50 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
1.5%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+7
1.5%
PENALTY UNLV UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Johnson,Darius) 7 yards from UNLV15 to UNLV08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
1.5%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
1.5%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
1.5%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the UNLV 5Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
0.9%
Jonah Dalmas 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 2:461% → 1%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
1.0%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 28 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
1.1%
Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the BOIS 39Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
1.1%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr.Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+10
1.1%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 10 yds to the BOIS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+13
1.2%
Doug Brumfield pass complete to Vincent Davis Jr. for 13 yds to the BOIS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
1.3%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (St. John,Jalen) 5 yards from BSU18 to BSU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 15
OPP 23
0
1.2%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Zyell GriffinSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+1
1.2%
Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the BOIS 24Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 16
OPP 24
0
1.2%
Doug Brumfield pass incomplete to Senika McKieSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
1.3%
Doug Brumfield sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 31Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 16
OPP 24
-6
0.8%
Doug Brumfield sacked by Seyi Oladipo for a loss of 6 yards to the BOIS 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
0.5%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BOIS 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-2
0.5%
Kneel down by Boise St. at BSU32 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:10
Taylen Green run for 70 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-9.4
FG · Q3 5:03
Jonah Dalmas 50 yd FG GOOD
-9.4
TD · Q3 0:16
Taylen Green pass complete to Matt Lauter for 16 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com