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OKST

Oklahoma State 21 at Texas 49

TEX
2023 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2023 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:54 · Ja'Tavion Sanders run for 12 yds to the OKST 26 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+21.4Home team on offense+20.1Score differential+13.9Garbage-time factor+7.1Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:41: T'Vondre Sweat 2 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick) — TEX win probability +2.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:40: CJ Baxter 10 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick) — TEX win probability +3.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:50: Rashod Owens 7 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Logan Ward Kick) — OKST win probability +5.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:11: Jaydon Blue 8 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick) — TEX win probability +5.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:33: Keilan Robinson 57 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick) — TEX win probability +2.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:21OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:28OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:16OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 29, down 21
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:54TEX 4th & 1 at OKST 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:26TEX 4th & 10 at OKST 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:36TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:40OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:25OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:57TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 49, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:17OKST 4th & 3 at TEX 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 7OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:52TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:34TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:36OKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:41TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:40TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:50OKST Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:11TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:33TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:38TEX Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:26OKST Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2413% → 13%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
87.1%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
87.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 14:33
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
87.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q1 14:21
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+17
87.0%
Hudson Kaak punt for 32 yds, downed at the TEX 46 Oklahoma State Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Shea Freibaum) to the OKST 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:5887% → 87%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
86.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to CJ Baxter for 17 yds to the OKST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
86.9%
Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the OKST 20Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+10
86.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to CJ Baxter for 10 yds to the OKST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
87.0%
Adonai Mitchell 10 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:0713% → 13%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
86.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+9
86.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 9 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
86.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
86.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Sesi Vailahi for 3 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
86.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
86.6%
Hudson Kaak punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the TEX 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:1387% → 88%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+54
86.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 54 yds to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
86.9%
CJ Baxter run for no gain to the OKST 30Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
86.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 6 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+24
87.8%
Ja'Tavion Sanders 24 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5113% → 15%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
87.4%
Texas Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jahdae Barron) to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
87.5%
Ollie Gordon II run for 6 yds to the OKST 46Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+34
87.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 34 yds to the TEX 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
87.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the TEX 14Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
87.2%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the TEX 12Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+6
87.3%
Sesi Vailahi run for 6 yds to the TEX 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
87.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 1 yd to the TEX 5Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Leon Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 5:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.5%
Brennan Presley 5 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:2986% → 89%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
86.1%
Jaydon Blue run for 6 yds to the TEX 29Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+16
86.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 16 yds to the TEX 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
86.4%
Jaydon Blue run for 12 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
86.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 4 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+15
86.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 15 yds to the OKST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
86.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 9 yds to the OKST 15Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+7
86.2%
Jaydon Blue run for 7 yds to the OKST 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
86.2%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the OKST 5Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 0
OPP 5
+3
86.4%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dylan Smith) to the OKST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.9%
T'Vondre Sweat 2 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7INT
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:3812% → 13%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.7%
Ollie Gordon II run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 24Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+13
87.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 13 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
87.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
87.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+22
87.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 22 yds to the TEX 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Leon Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
87.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 6 yds to the TEX 35Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
87.1%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Kitan Crawford return for no gain to the TEX 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 3:0589% → 93%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
88.5%
CJ Baxter run for 8 yds to the TEX 13Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+8
88.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 8 yds to the TEX 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
88.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
88.8%
CJ Baxter run for no gain to the TEX 21Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+62
88.6%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 62 yds to the OKST 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
89.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 7 yds to the OKST 10Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
93.2%
CJ Baxter 10 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:067% → 7%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
93.1%
Ollie Gordon II run for 4 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+2
93.0%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
93.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
93.4%
Hudson Kaak punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEX 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:5494% → 94%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
94.0%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the TEX 18Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+3
94.1%
Quinn Ewers run for 3 yds to the TEX 21Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+11
94.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Gunnar Helm for 11 yds to the TEX 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
94.4%
Texas Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christian Jones) to the TEX 22Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+10
94.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 10 yds to the TEX 32Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-3
94.4%
Jaydon Blue run for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 29Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 13
OWN 29
-27
94.3%
Quinn Ewers pass intercepted Nickolas Martin return for 27 yds to the TEX 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:047% → 13%
Q2 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
92.8%
Ollie Gordon II run for 2 yds to the TEX 1Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 0
OPP 1
-6
92.7%
Oklahoma State Penalty, False Start (Brennan Presley) to the TEX 7Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.1%
Rashod Owens 7 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 3:2989% → 96%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
89.0%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Adonai MitchellSimilar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
89.0%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Keilan Robinson for 4 yds to the TEX 22Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+17
88.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 17 yds to the TEX 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
89.5%
CJ Baxter run for 1 yd to the TEX 40Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+20
89.5%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 20 yds to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
89.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+26
89.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 26 yds to the OKST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
90.2%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the OKST 8Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
90.2%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
95.7%
Jaydon Blue 8 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:315% → 5%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
94.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Sesi Vailahi for 9 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
94.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 6 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
94.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Leon Johnson III for 1 yd Leon Johnson III fumbled, forced by Anthony Hill Jr., recovered by TEX Ethan BurkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:5596% → 96%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
96.2%
CJ Baxter run for 1 yd to the OKST 46Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
96.2%
Quinn Ewers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+8
96.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to CJ Baxter for 8 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+12
95.8%
Ja'Tavion Sanders run for 12 yds to the OKST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
96.3%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the OKST 21Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
96.5%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jaydon BlueSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
96.4%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Jaydon BlueSimilar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 5
OPP 21
-5
96.1%
Texas Penalty, Delay of Game (Quinn Ewers) to the OKST 26Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
95.9%
Bert Auburn 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:205% → 5%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
94.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 9 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
94.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 5 yds to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
94.9%
Alan Bowman sacked by Anthony Hill Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-1
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 5:1496% → 97%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
95.9%
CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the TEX 16Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+6
96.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 6 yds to the TEX 22Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+2
96.0%
CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the TEX 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
96.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 4 yds to the TEX 28Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+2
96.4%
CJ Baxter run for 2 yds to the TEX 30Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 4
OWN 30
-5
96.4%
Texas Penalty, False Start (CJ Baxter) to the TEX 25Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+15
96.4%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Jaydon Blue for 15 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 1 yd to the TEX 41Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+1
96.8%
Jaydon Blue run for 1 yd to the TEX 42Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-7
96.9%
Quinn Ewers sacked by Nathan Latu for a loss of 7 yards to the TEX 35Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+8
96.6%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 51 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 8 yds to the OKST 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:363% → 3%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
96.6%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 25Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+11
96.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 11 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
96.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-7
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the OKST 38Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+1
96.8%
Sesi Vailahi run for 1 yd to the OKST 39Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
97.0%
Hudson Kaak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the TEX 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:0097% → 100%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
97.1%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 8 yds to the TEX 29Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+3
97.3%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the TEX 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
97.3%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for a loss of 3 yards to the TEX 29Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 13
OWN 29
-5
97.3%
Texas Penalty, False Start (Ja'Tavion Sanders) to the TEX 24Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+19
96.7%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 19 yds to the TEX 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.1%
Jaydon Blue run for no gain to the TEX 43Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.7%
Keilan Robinson 57 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ollie Gordon II for 18 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ollie Gordon IISimilar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Hudson Kaak punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Xavier Worthy at the TEX 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20TD
15 plays · 88 yds · 6:37100% → 100%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
99.7%
CJ Baxter run for 3 yds to the TEX 15Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 7
OWN 15
-2
99.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to CJ Baxter for a loss of 2 yards to the TEX 13Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+10
99.8%
Quinn Ewers run for 10 yds to the TEX 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.8%
CJ Baxter run for no gain to the TEX 23Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+17
99.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 17 yds to the TEX 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Xavier WorthySimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.8%
CJ Baxter run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 39Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+10
99.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 10 yds to the TEX 49Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+8
99.8%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Ja'Tavion Sanders for 8 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
99.8%
CJ Baxter run for 14 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.8%
Jaydon Blue run for 3 yds to the OKST 26Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Gunnar HelmSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+15
99.9%
Quinn Ewers pass complete to Adonai Mitchell for 15 yds to the OKST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Quinn Ewers pass incomplete to Ja'Tavion SandersSimilar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Keilan Robinson 11 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 3:530% → 0%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for 3 yds to the OKST 14Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+10
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 10 yds to the OKST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Jaden BraySimilar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+41
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Rashod Owens for 41 yds to the TEX 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Braden CassitySimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 8 yds to the TEX 27Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 2
OPP 27
-1
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Jaden Bray for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 28Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+25
99.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Brennan Presley for 25 yds to the TEX 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Ollie Gordon II run for no gain to the TEX 3Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Rashod Owens 3 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22END OF GAME
11 plays · 41 yds · 6:14100% → 100%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Savion Red run for 3 yds to the TEX 28Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Savion Red run for 8 yds to the TEX 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Savion Red run for 5 yds to the TEX 41Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Savion Red run for a loss of 1 yard to the TEX 40Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+12
99.9%
Maalik Murphy pass complete to Johntay Cook II for 12 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the OKST 48Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
100.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for 11 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Quintrevion Wisner run for no gain to the OKST 37Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
100.0%
Savion Red run for 4 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 6
OPP 33
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:50
Rashod Owens 7 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Logan Ward Kick)
-5.6
TD · Q2 2:11
Jaydon Blue 8 Yd pass from Quinn Ewers (Bert Auburn Kick)
+5.5
TD · Q2 11:40
CJ Baxter 10 Yd Run (Bert Auburn Kick)
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com