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SMU

SMU 26 at Tulane 14

TULN
2023 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2023 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:04 · Collin Rogers 40 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Home team on offense+0.4Pregame prior+8.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:32: Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 17 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +11.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:46: Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 42 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +17.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:35: Collin Rogers 48 yd FG GOOD — SMU win probability +7.4 pts (now 53%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 12:38: Collin Rogers 32 yd FG GOOD — SMU win probability +10.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 8:58: Collin Rogers 32 yd FG GOOD — SMU win probability +9.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 10 of 13SMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:04SMU 4th & 2 at TULN 23, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:14TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:30TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:59SMU 4th & 2 at SMU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:25TULN 4th & 17 at TULN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:46TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:49SMU 4th & 7 at SMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:50TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:16TULN 4th & 5 at SMU 37, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.1%−1.0
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    47.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:33TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:20SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:35SMU 4th & 9 at TULN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:30TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:38SMU 4th & 7 at TULN 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.8
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−15.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:45TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:58SMU 4th & 11 at TULN 15, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−3.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−13.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:10TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 27, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:47SMU 4th & 4 at SMU 33, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:28TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 40, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%−1.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:15SMU 4th & 16 at TULN 28, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.9
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−4.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:30TULN 4th & 16 at TULN 14, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:08TULN 4th & 13 at SMU 13, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:50TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:37SMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:32SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:46TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
59.0%
Kevin Jennings sacked by Devean Deal for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 1 Kevin Jennings fumbled, recovered by TULN Devean Deal , return for 14 yds to the SMU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.1%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:1941% → 40%
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
59.2%
Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
59.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
59.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 5 yds to the SMU 39Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+15
59.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 15 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
59.6%
Kevin Jennings run for no gain to the TULN 46Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
59.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 15 yds to the TULN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
59.7%
Kevin Jennings run for 5 yds to the TULN 26Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
59.8%
Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the TULN 23Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 2
OPP 23
0
60.0%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan HudsonSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
60.2%
Collin Rogers 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3761% → 61%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
60.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 25Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
61.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 4 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-3
61.2%
Michael Pratt sacked by Kobe Wilson and Nelson Paul for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 26Similar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+24
60.9%
- Team punt blocked by Charles Woods for a 1ST down blocked by Charles Woods for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5DOWNS TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:3239% → 42%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
50
0
60.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jaylan KnightonSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
50
+9
60.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 9 yds to the TULN 41Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+32
60.8%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 32 yds to the TULN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
60.6%
Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the TULN 6Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
57.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3259% → 59%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
59.0%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the TULN 28Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
59.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 2
OWN 32
-1
59.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 31Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
58.5%
Will Karoll punt for 50 yds , Roderick Daniels Jr. returns for no gain to the SMU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7INT
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:4941% → 43%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
58.9%
Kevin Jennings run for 2 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+20
58.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 20 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
58.1%
Camar Wheaton run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 38Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
58.6%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Key'Shawn SmithSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+11
58.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 11 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+7
58.4%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 7 yds to the TULN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
57.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to RJ Maryland for 3 yds to the TULN 41Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+11
57.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for 11 yds to the TULN 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
56.7%
SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TULN 35Similar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+3
57.0%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
56.6%
Kevin Jennings pass intercepted Kam Pedescleaux return for no gain to the TULN 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4059% → 58%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
59.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 19Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+15
59.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 15 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
59.5%
Arnold Barnes III run for 5 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-15
60.5%
Tulane Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TULN 24Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 20
OWN 24
+3
59.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 3 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 17
OWN 27
0
58.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+29
57.9%
Will Karoll punt for 54 yds , Roderick Daniels Jr. returns for 29 yds to the SMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:3743% → 45%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
56.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 47Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+10
57.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 10 yds to the TULN 43Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
56.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the TULN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
56.2%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
55.4%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+9
56.0%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 9 yds to the TULN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
55.3%
Kevin Jennings pass intercepted Jarius Monroe return for no gain to the TULN 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1559% → 58%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
59.0%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the TULN 4Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+2
59.1%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 6Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
58.2%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
57.6%
Will Karoll punt for 65 yds, downed at the SMU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5343% → 42%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
57.4%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello BrinsonSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
56.7%
Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
57.2%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Romello BrinsonSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
57.9%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 47 yds, downed at the TULN 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5059% → 57%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
59.3%
Michael Pratt sacked by Isaiah Smith and Kori Roberson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the TULN 16Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+6
59.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 6 yds to the TULN 22Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
58.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:50
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+15
57.4%
Will Karoll punt for 58 yds , Roderick Daniels Jr. returns for 15 yds to the SMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:4244% → 62%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
55.6%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
55.4%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+17
56.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 17 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
53.2%
Kevin Jennings run for 10 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
53.2%
Kevin Jennings run for 2 yds to the TULN 34Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
52.1%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to RJ MarylandSimilar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+17
53.3%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 17 yds Tyler Lavine fumbled, recovered by SMUSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
51.7%
Kevin Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
49.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the TULN 17Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+17
38.5%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 17 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:0444% → 44%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
43.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 22 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
46.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 11 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-8
47.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Isaiah Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 18
50
+9
44.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 9 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+4
46.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 4 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
44.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
39.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 1 yd to the SMU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5744% → 41%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
43.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 2 yds to the TULN 24Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+9
43.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 9 yds to the TULN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
43.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 6 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-3
45.5%
Michael Pratt sacked by Nelson Paul for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 36Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
42.2%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
40.8%
Will Karoll punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0060% → 58%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.3%
Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
39.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
39.8%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to RJ MarylandSimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+33
41.6%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the TULN 22 SMU Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the TULN 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:1442% → 62%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
42.3%
Makhi Hughes run for 8 yds to the TULN 45Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+4
44.6%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the TULN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
44.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 4 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
44.7%
Makhi Hughes run for 5 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+42
62.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 42 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:5745% → 53%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
55.1%
Kevin Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+17
55.7%
Kevin Jennings run for 17 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
52.4%
Jaylan Knighton run for 23 yds to the TULN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
50.2%
Kevin Jennings run for 1 yd to the TULN 31Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
50.2%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the TULN 29Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 7
OPP 29
-15
51.9%
SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TULN 44Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 22
OPP 44
+13
54.7%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 13 yds to the TULN 31Similar
Q3 5:35
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
47.3%
Collin Rogers 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3750% → 47%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
50.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 6 yds to the TULN 32Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-5
52.0%
Tulane Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the TULN 27Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
49.2%
Makhi Hughes run for 3 yds to the TULN 30Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+3
48.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 3 yds to the TULN 33Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
47.4%
Will Karoll punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Roderick Daniels Jr. at the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:4155% → 70%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
44.7%
Camar Wheaton run for 11 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
42.9%
SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 39Similar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+6
44.4%
Kevin Jennings run for 6 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+9
42.2%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 9 yds to the TULN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
41.1%
Kevin Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 47Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+9
40.9%
Kevin Jennings run for 9 yds to the TULN 38Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-1
40.7%
Tyler Lavine run for a loss of 1 yard to the TULN 39Similar
Q4 14:24
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+5
43.6%
Tulane Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (5 Yards) to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
39.1%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the TULN 33 for a 1ST down Tulane Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TULN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
38.3%
Kevin Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the TULN 20Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+5
38.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the TULN 15Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
40.4%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Jordan HudsonSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
30.2%
Collin Rogers 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:4740% → 33%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
40.1%
Tulane Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TULN 15Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
39.2%
Michael Pratt sacked by Elijah Roberts for a loss of 5 yards to the TULN 20 Michael Pratt fumbled, recovered by TULNSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+8
39.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Makhi Hughes for 8 yds to the TULN 23Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
39.8%
Makhi Hughes run for 2 yds to the TULN 25Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
33.1%
Will Karoll punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TULN 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3576% → 83%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
23.6%
Kevin Jennings run for 16 yds to the TULN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
23.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the TULN 14Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
22.7%
Kevin Jennings run for 4 yds to the TULN 10Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
23.4%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to Moochie DixonSimilar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 6
OPP 10
-5
26.6%
SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TULN 15Similar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
17.2%
Collin Rogers 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:2419% → 17%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.4%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the TULN 27Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
19.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shaadie Clayton-JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
17.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
17.1%
Will Karoll punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Roderick Daniels Jr. at the SMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:1386% → 89%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
13.6%
Camar Wheaton run for no gain to the SMU 27Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
12.3%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+4
12.4%
Kevin Jennings run for 4 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
11.1%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the TULN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:1015% → 13%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
15.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 12 yds to the TULN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
15.6%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 5 yds to the TULN 39Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
17.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+1
15.3%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the TULN 40Similar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 4
OWN 40
-8
13.2%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted Isaiah Nwokobia return for 8 yds to the TULN 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 27FG
10 plays · 9 yds · 1:0692% → 97%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
7.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Moochie Dixon for a loss of 3 yards to the TULN 40Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+18
7.6%
Tyler Lavine run for 18 yds to the TULN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
5.7%
Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the TULN 19Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-5
5.7%
SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TULN 24Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 12
OPP 24
-4
5.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the TULN 28Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 16
OPP 28
0
6.2%
Kevin Jennings pass incomplete to RJ MarylandSimilar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+45
3.0%
Collin Rogers 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 28DOWNS
16 plays · 67 yds · 2:554% → 3%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris Brazzell IISimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-8
3.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Isaiah Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the TULN 12Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 18
OWN 12
-6
3.1%
Tulane Penalty, Offensive Holding (-6 Yards) to the TULN 6Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 24
OWN 6
+8
2.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 8 yds to the TULN 14Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 16
OWN 14
+22
2.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Alex Bauman for 22 yds to the TULN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
2.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 11 yds to the TULN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
2.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
2.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Chris CarterSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+14
2.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 14 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
2.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Chris Carter for 12 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+25
3.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 25 yds to the SMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
4.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-11
4.4%
Michael Pratt sacked by Alexander Kilgore for a loss of 11 yards to the SMU 13Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
3.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
0
2.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Alex BaumanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
1.9%
TEAM run for 9 yds to the SMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:46
Michael Pratt pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 42 yds for a TD (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+17.5
TD · Q2 1:32
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 17 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)
-11.3
FG · Q4 12:38
Collin Rogers 32 yd FG GOOD
-10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com