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ORE

Oregon 31 at Washington 34

WASH
2023 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2023 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:48 · Jack McCallister punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior−21.1Home team on offense+3.5Garbage-time factor+1.2Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:09: Terrance Ferguson 2 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick) — ORE win probability +9.8 pts (now 46%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:39: Terrance Ferguson 2 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick) — ORE win probability +14.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 1:51: Jordan James 6 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick) — ORE win probability +22.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:23: Dillon Johnson 1 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick) — WASH win probability +25.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:14: Traeshon Holden 63 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick) — ORE win probability +23.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 7:34WASH 4th & 16 at ORE 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:09ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:24ORE 4th & 1 at ORE 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:48WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:46ORE 4th & 4 at WASH 18, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:37ORE 4th & 4 at ORE 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:39WASH 4th & 8 at ORE 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    58.8%−6.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:41ORE 4th & 5 at ORE 47, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:39ORE 4th & 2 at WASH 2, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    32.9%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−14.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:21WASH 4th & 2 at ORE 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    54.8%−2.0
    60% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−10.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:04ORE 4th & 9 at ORE 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 3:46WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:48WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:09ORE Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:39ORE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:51ORE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:23WASH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:44WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:14ORE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.0 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%−2.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1FG
17 plays · 54 yds · 7:2424% → 28%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
23.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 9 yds to the WASH 34Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
24.0%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
24.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 7 yds to the WASH 43Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
24.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the WASH 44Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+12
25.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 12 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
25.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 5 yds to the ORE 39Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
25.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+12
25.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 12 yds to the ORE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
26.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds to the ORE 22Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+7
26.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 7 yds to the ORE 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-7
27.3%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Popo Aumavae for a loss of 7 yards to the ORE 22Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 17
OPP 22
+1
27.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the ORE 21Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 16
OPP 21
0
27.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+38
27.5%
Grady Gross 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2172% → 71%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.1%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
28.2%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
28.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy Franklin, broken up by Jaivion GreenSimilar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+32
28.8%
Ross James punt for 57 yds , Germie Bernard returns for 32 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 3:1329% → 34%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
50
+7
28.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 7 yds to the ORE 43Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+16
29.2%
Dillon Johnson run for 16 yds to the ORE 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
29.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 9 yds to the ORE 18Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+6
30.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 6 yds to the ORE 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
30.9%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the ORE 11Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+6
31.4%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Odunze, Rome, PENALTY OREGON holding (Manning, Dontae) 6 yards to the OREGON5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
34.2%
Dillon Johnson 5 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1767% → 65%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.3%
Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 26Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
33.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 8 yds to the ORE 34Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
34.1%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
34.6%
Ross James punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Germie Bernard at the WASH 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:2934% → 36%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
34.1%
Germie Bernard run for 5 yds to the WASH 27Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
34.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+5
34.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 5 yds to the WASH 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
35.2%
Washington Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WASH 27Similar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+6
35.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 6 yds to the WASH 33Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
35.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 3 yds to the WASH 36Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
36.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
35.8%
Jack McCallister punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 5:5463% → 60%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
37.4%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the ORE 12Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+17
38.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds to the ORE 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
38.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+5
38.1%
Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
38.5%
Bo Nix run for 5 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+8
38.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 8 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
38.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 11 yds to the WASH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
38.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Casey Kelly for 11 yds to the WASH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
38.7%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the WASH 21Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 21
-2
39.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the WASH 23Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+5
42.0%
Nix, Bo pass incomplete to Franklin, Troy, PENALTY WASHINGTON offside (Trice, Bralen) 5 yards to the WASHINGTON18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
41.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy Franklin, broken up by Jabbar MuhammadSimilar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
40.2%
Camden Lewis 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5242% → 55%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
42.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 22 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
45.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the ORE 49Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+45
46.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 45 yds to the ORE 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
54.0%
Germie Bernard 4 Yd pass from Dillon Johnson (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
55.1%
Washington Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ORE 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0248% → 45%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
52.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 24Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
53.4%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the ORE 26Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
54.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 5 yds to the ORE 31Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
55.2%
Ross James punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Denzel Boston at the WASH 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 2:4655% → 73%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+34
55.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
50
+4
57.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the ORE 46Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
59.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 7 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
60.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 17 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
62.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Will NixonSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
62.7%
Will Nixon run for 5 yds to the ORE 17Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 5
OPP 17
-3
64.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 20Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
72.5%
Grady Gross 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:1832% → 46%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
67.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 39 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
63.4%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+12
63.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 12 yds to the WASH 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
62.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Bucky IrvingSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
63.4%
Nix, Bo pass incomplete to Franklin, Troy, PENALTY WASHINGTON pass interference (Muhammad, Jabbar) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
63.0%
Bo Nix run for 7 yds to the WASH 2Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
63.3%
Bucky Irving run for no gain to the WASH 2Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
53.6%
Terrance Ferguson 2 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
58.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WASH 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:1544% → 55%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
56.0%
Jordan James run for 17 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
54.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
55.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 5 yds to the ORE 47Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
57.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:41
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+6
59.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 6 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
56.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden, broken up by Bralen TriceSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
57.4%
Jordan James run for 1 yd to the WASH 46Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+30
58.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 30 yds to the WASH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
56.3%
Jordan James run for 8 yds to the WASH 8Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 2
OPP 8
0
56.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tez JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+3
58.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 3 yds to the WASH 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
57.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Terrance FergusonSimilar
Q3 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
57.7%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the WASH 3Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
60.0%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the WASH 2Similar
Q3 9:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.5%
Terrance Ferguson 2 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:1149% → 51%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the WASH 27Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
50.0%
Dillon Johnson run for 16 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
53.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 5 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
54.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-5
53.0%
Washington Penalty, False Start (Troy Fautanu) to the WASH 43Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
51.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted Khyree Jackson return for no gain to the ORE 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3653% → 54%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
46.6%
Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 44Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-3
46.3%
Bo Nix pass intercepted Mishael Powell return for 3 yds to the WASH 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1654% → 55%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
54.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 4 yds to the WASH 45Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
55.1%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WASH 49Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+15
54.8%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Odunze, Rome, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Manning, Dontae) 15 yards to the OREGON36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
56.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 4 yds to the ORE 32Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+5
58.0%
Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds to the ORE 27Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-1
57.0%
Dillon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 28Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 2
OPP 28
-10
55.2%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Nikko Reed for a loss of 10 yards to the ORE 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:2247% → 75%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
52.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the ORE 45Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+44
50.5%
Bo Nix run for 44 yds to the WASH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
48.2%
Nix, Bo rush for no gain to the WASHINGTON11, PENALTY WASHINGTON offside (Tupuola-Fetui, Zion) 5 yards to the WASHINGTON6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 5
OPP 6
+6
25.4%
Jordan James 6 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2133% → 67%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
33.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 13 yds to the WASH 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
34.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 11 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+31
37.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 31 yds to the ORE 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
40.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon DorlusSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
40.3%
Dillon Johnson run for 7 yds to the ORE 13Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+5
38.3%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 5 yds to the ORE 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
40.8%
Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds to the ORE 3Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
41.1%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the ORE 1Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.7%
Dillon Johnson 1 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:1340% → 35%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.2%
Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the ORE 31Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
58.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 4 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
59.9%
Bucky Irving run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 34Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+2
61.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 2 yds to the ORE 36Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
62.4%
Bo Nix run for no gain to the ORE 36Similar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
64.6%
Ross James punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WASH 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 6:1067% → 94%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+25
67.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 25 yds to the WASH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
70.6%
Dillon Johnson run for 5 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+8
71.8%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 8 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
72.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 19 yds to the ORE 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
75.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 5 yds to the ORE 20Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+6
76.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 6 yds to the ORE 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
76.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 9 yds to the ORE 5Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 1
OPP 5
0
80.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
80.5%
Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the ORE 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
83.3%
Dillon Johnson pass complete to Germie Bernard for 1 yd to the ORE 2Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
87.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.1%
Quentin Moore 2 Yd pass from Michael Penix Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:236% → 29%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
94.1%
Bo Nix run for 12 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
71.1%
Traeshon Holden 63 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21Uncategorized
13 plays · 30 yds · 1:4586% → 95%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
86.4%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the WASH 48Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+3
88.0%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the ORE 49Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+6
88.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 6 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
90.1%
Johnson, Dillon rush for 5 yards to the OREGON38, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Kalepo, Nate) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+3
88.7%
Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 17
50
+8
88.9%
Dillon Johnson run for 8 yds to the ORE 42Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+18
92.5%
Dillon Johnson run for 18 yds to the ORE 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:23
Dillon Johnson 1 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)
+25.6
TD · Q4 2:14
Traeshon Holden 63 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)
-23
TD · Q3 1:51
Jordan James 6 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)
-22.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com