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SJSU

San José State 37 at UNLV 31

UNLV
2023 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023 · Allegiant Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+9.6UNLV 12.5%Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD(Jose Pizano KICK)AWAY 37 - HOME 24 · Q4 6:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:19 · Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense−23.3Score differential−10.0Garbage-time factor−12.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.4Time remaining−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:10: Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +13.5 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 9:43: Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 3 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +12.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:49: Kyler Halvorsen 22 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:19: Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +9.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:27: Jayden Maiava pass complete to Corey Thompson Jr. for 29 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK) — UNLV win probability +27.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 7SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 7
  1. Q1 9:57SJSU 4th & 6 at UNLV 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:43UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:59SJSU 4th & 8 at UNLV 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−3.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:02UNLV 4th & 2 at SJSU 36, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%−1.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:30SJSU 4th & 2 at UNLV 44, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−3.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:33UNLV 4th & 6 at SJSU 15, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:55SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:15UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:49SJSU 4th & 4 at UNLV 4, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.6%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−11.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:45UNLV 4th & 3 at SJSU 30, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.5%−0.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:51SJSU 4th & 3 at UNLV 42, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−1.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:04SJSU 4th & 3 at UNLV 41, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:07UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 40, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%−4.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 4SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:49SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:37SJSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:08UNLV Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:10UNLV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:43SJSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:27SJSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:19UNLV Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:27UNLV Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.8%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5350% → 51%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
50.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 11 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
50.2%
Jabari Bates run for 3 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
50.3%
Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+56
49.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 56 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:5551% → 51%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
49.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Dominick MazottiSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
49.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+13
49.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 13 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
48.9%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+1
48.7%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the UNLV 7Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
48.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Isaac JernaginSimilar
Q1 9:57
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
48.6%
Kyler Halvorsen 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:0649% → 48%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
48.8%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
48.8%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 5 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-5
48.7%
(09:20) PENALTY UNLV False Start (Shanks,Tiger) 5 yards from UNLV35 to UNLV30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
48.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+38
47.9%
Marshall Nichols punt for 58 yds , Matthew Coleman returns for 38 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+38
47.9%
Marshall Nichols punt for 58 yds , Matthew Coleman returns for 38 yds to the SJSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:5652% → 60%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
47.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Jabari Bates for 2 yds to the SJSU 22Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
48.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 24Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+26
47.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
50
+3
46.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 3 yds to the SJSU 47Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+14
46.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 14 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
46.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Sam OlsonSimilar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+10
46.3%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jett Elad) to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
40.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 25 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:2241% → 47%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+10
41.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 10 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
41.4%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
41.5%
Donavyn Lester run for 3 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+2
41.2%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+15
40.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 15 yds to the SJSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
40.6%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 13 yds to the SJSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
46.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:5755% → 61%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.4%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the SJSU 26Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
45.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 8 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
44.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
43.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 21 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
43.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 12 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
42.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 4 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+7
42.6%
Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
42.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
42.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+5
42.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 5 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
39.1%
Kyler Halvorsen 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3640% → 39%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
40.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 4 yds to the SJSU 40Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
40.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the SJSU 37Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+1
39.3%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the SJSU 36Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+1
38.7%
Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the SJSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:2663% → 65%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
36.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSU 36Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+12
37.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 12 yds to the SJSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
35.1%
Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
34.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 4 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
34.4%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the UNLV 44Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
34.6%
Alex Weir punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9FG
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4134% → 38%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+61
34.1%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 61 yds to the SJSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
36.7%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the SJSU 18Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+3
36.4%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the SJSU 15Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
35.0%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jacob De JesusSimilar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+34
38.2%
Jose Pizano 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:3564% → 66%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 27Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
35.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 9 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
34.6%
Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
34.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Charles RossSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+3
34.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Sam Olson for 3 yds Sam Olson fumbled, recovered by SJSU Malikhi Miller (01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Cordeiro,Chevan pass complete short left to Olson,Sam for 3 yards to the SJSU44 fumbled by Olson,Sam at SJSU49 forced by Turner,Jaxen recovered by SJSU Miller,Malikhi at SJSU44, End Of Play.Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
34.3%
Alex Weir punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:4434% → 33%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-13
33.7%
Jayden Maiava sacked by Bryun Parham for a loss of 13 yards to the UNLV 5Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
32.8%
Jayden Maiava run for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2734% → 51%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+68
34.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 68 yds to the SJSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
38.2%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 1 yd to the SJSU 8Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
37.6%
Donavyn Lester run for 5 yds to the SJSU 3Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
51.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2754% → 70%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSU 26Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
46.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 10 yds to the SJSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+51
45.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 51 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
42.0%
Quali Conley run for 10 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
41.9%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the UNLV 3Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
29.7%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 3 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:2332% → 29%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
31.7%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (Hasz,Jack) 5 yards from UNLV32 to UNLV27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
31.0%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
30.7%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 15
OWN 27
0
29.5%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Jai'Den ThomasSimilar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
28.9%
Marshall Nichols punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:1769% → 83%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
30.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the SJSU 44Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
29.7%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the SJSU 45Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
29.9%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
28.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incomplete to Sam OlsonSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+46
28.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 46 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
25.7%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
25.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
23.7%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 1 yd to the UNLV 4Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
16.6%
Kyler Halvorsen 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:5025% → 23%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
25.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+14
25.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Corey Thompson Jr. for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
50
+8
26.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 8 yds to the SJSU 42Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+5
27.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 5 yds to the SJSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
26.3%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+5
24.4%
Donavyn Lester run for 5 yds to the SJSU 34Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+4
24.4%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 4 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+48
23.2%
Jose Pizano 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:3388% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
11.7%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
11.6%
Kairee Robinson run for 6 yds to the SJSU 39Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
11.0%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the SJSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
8.6%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 10 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
8.0%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
7.7%
Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+40
1.7%
Kairee Robinson run for 40 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:553% → 13%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
3.2%
Donavyn Lester run for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
3.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Corey Thompson Jr. for 7 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
3.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Donavyn Lester for 6 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
3.3%
Jayden Maiava run for 2 yds to the SJSU 49Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
3.1%
Donavyn Lester run for 4 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
3.0%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Maiava,Jayden pass complete deep middle to Thompson Jr.,Corey for 37 yards to the SJSU08 (Dansby,Michael) PENALTY UNLV Pass Interference (Thompson Jr.,Corey) 15 yards from SJSU45 to UNLV40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 25
OWN 40
+13
2.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 13 yds to the SJSU 47Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+9
2.8%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 9 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+12
3.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 12 yds to the SJSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
3.2%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
3.1%
Jayden Maiava run for 1 yd to the SJSU 6Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
2.9%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 4 yds to the SJSU 2Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
12.5%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:2696% → 97%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
3.9%
Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
3.7%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+2
3.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
3.2%
Alex Weir punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jacob De Jesus at the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 2:065% → 32%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
5.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Vincent Davis Jr. for 7 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+6
5.4%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Ricky White for 6 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
5.4%
Vincent Davis Jr. run for 2 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
5.0%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 10 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
5.1%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Vincent Davis Jr. for 8 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
4.7%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Vincent Davis Jr. for 3 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
4.5%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Dominic GicintoSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
4.9%
Courtney Reese run for 10 yds to the SJSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
32.2%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Corey Thompson Jr. for 29 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:1891% → 94%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
8.8%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
5.1%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the UNLV 41Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
5.7%
Alex Weir punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:4412% → 10%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
11.5%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Vincent Davis Jr. for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
11.9%
Jayden Maiava run for 8 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
11.0%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
10.1%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Ricky WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+4
9.3%
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Jacob De Jesus for 4 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
9.9%
Jayden Maiava pass incomplete to Corey Thompson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
4.0%
Kneel down by San Jose St. at UNLV42 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:27
Jayden Maiava pass complete to Corey Thompson Jr. for 29 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)
+27.3
TD · Q3 13:10
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD (Jose Pizano KICK)
+13.5
TD · Q3 9:43
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 3 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com