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SDSU

San Diego State 13 at San José State 24

SJSU
2023 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameTD+9.7SJSU 94.5%Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD(Kyler Halvorsen KICK)AWAY 13 - HOME 24 · Q4 5:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:13 · Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+3.4Home team on offense+23.5Garbage-time factor+13.9Score differential+5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Kyler Halvorsen 35 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +5.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:16: Quali Conley run for 20 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +15.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 8:54: Gabriel Plascencia 21 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +11.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:54: Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the SJSU 8 — SJSU win probability +5.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:13: Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK) — SJSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:37SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:45SDSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:56SDSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:41SJSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.3%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:03SDSU 4th & 18 at SJSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00SJSU 4th & 9 at SDSU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:03SDSU 4th & 1 at SJSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−2.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−10.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:49SJSU 4th & 21 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−2.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:54SDSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.0%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−14.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:21SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SDSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:01SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:19SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:16SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:13SJSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:2384% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
83.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
83.7%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 38Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+3
83.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
83.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
83.2%
Alex Weir punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 7:3017% → 23%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
83.3%
Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SDSU 27Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+39
83.0%
Jaylon Armstead run for 39 yds to the SJSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
82.6%
Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SJSU 30Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
82.3%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+5
82.2%
Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the SJSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
81.8%
Kenan Christon run for 8 yds to the SJSU 15Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
81.4%
Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the SJSU 15Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+4
81.3%
Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SJSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
80.8%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
80.8%
Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SJSU 9Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+5
80.7%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 5 yds to the SJSU 4Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+3
80.7%
Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SJSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.4%
Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 5:3778% → 80%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
78.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Malikhi Miller for 9 yds to the SJSU 38Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
78.6%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the SJSU 38Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+14
78.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 14 yds to the SDSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
78.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 14 yds to the SDSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
77.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 8 yds to the SDSU 26Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+3
77.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SDSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
77.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 9 yds to the SDSU 14Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 1
OPP 14
-3
76.8%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSU 17 Kairee Robinson fumbled, recovered by SJSU Kairee Robinson (00:26) [NHSG] ROBINSON, Kairee rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards, ROBINSON, Kairee fumbled at SDS17 , recovered by SJS ROBINSON, Kairee at the SDS17, returned 0 yards to the SDS17 (WHITE, Trey).Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+7
76.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 7 yds to the SDSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
80.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 10 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:1722% → 24%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
78.3%
Jaylon Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 17Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+2
78.2%
Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SDSU 19Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+15
78.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 15 yds to the SDSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
77.2%
Cam Davis run for 6 yds to the SDSU 40Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
76.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 5 yds to the SDSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
76.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cam Davis for 3 yds to the SDSU 48Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+4
75.6%
Jalen Mayden run for 4 yds to the SJSU 48Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
75.3%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:56
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
75.8%
Jack Browning punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:4878% → 76%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
77.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSU 23Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
77.3%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the SJSU 24Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+5
76.4%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 5 yds to the SJSU 29Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
75.5%
Chevan Cordeiro run for 2 yds to the SJSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-44
76.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass intercepted Chris Johnson return for 44 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:3729% → 29%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
70.9%
Martin Blake run for no gain to the SJSU 33Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
70.5%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+12
71.6%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 12 yds to the SJSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
69.9%
Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the SJSU 20Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-8
69.3%
Jalen Mayden sacked by Soane Toia for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSU 28Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 17
OPP 28
-1
71.6%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 29Similar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 18
OPP 29
+46
70.6%
Gabriel Plascencia 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:0369% → 74%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSU 27Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
68.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 8 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
68.6%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the SJSU 41Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
70.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Matthew Coleman for 6 yds to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
70.3%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Nick Nash for 20 yds to the SDSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
72.0%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 14 yds to the SDSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
71.9%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
71.8%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+1
70.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 1 yd to the SDSU 18Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+35
74.0%
Kyler Halvorsen 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 5:5730% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.4%
Jaylon Armstead run for 5 yds to the SDSU 30Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
69.4%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 10 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
68.0%
Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SDSU 44Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
66.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SDSU 48Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+6
66.9%
Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the SJSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
66.0%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 11 yds to the SJSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
64.6%
Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SJSU 33Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+5
64.1%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 5 yds to the SJSU 28Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+2
64.7%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SJSU 26Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
65.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the SJSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 2:4171% → 86%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
70.6%
Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the SJSU 29Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+11
70.5%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Charles Ross for 11 yds to the SJSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
71.9%
Quali Conley run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSU 38Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+42
70.1%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Isaac Jernagin for 42 yds to the SDSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
85.9%
Quali Conley run for 20 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:4019% → 19%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.6%
Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSU 25Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
80.8%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 10 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
80.3%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 12 yds to the SDSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
78.6%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-2
79.3%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cam Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 45Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 12
OWN 45
-20
81.0%
Jalen Mayden pass intercepted Bryun Parham return for 20 yds to the SDSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:3786% → 83%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-17
85.6%
Isaac Jernagin run for a loss of 17 yards to the SJSU 44 Isaac Jernagin fumbled, recovered by SJSU Isaac Jernagin (03:26) [NHSG] JERNAGIN, Isaac rush to the left for a loss of 17 yards, JERNAGIN, Isaac fumbled at SJS49 , recovered by SJS JERNAGIN, Isaac at the SJS44, returned 0 yards to the SJS44, End of Play.Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 27
OWN 44
+6
84.2%
Chevan Cordeiro pass complete to Quali Conley for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 21
50
0
84.4%
Chevan Cordeiro pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 21
50
0
83.2%
Alex Weir punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12FG
17 plays · 85 yds · 7:5019% → 31%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
80.8%
Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the SDSU 16Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+4
82.0%
Cam Davis run for 4 yds to the SDSU 20Similar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+6
82.8%
Martin Blake run for 6 yds to the SDSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
81.9%
Cam Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 24Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
82.2%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+15
83.3%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 15 yds to the SDSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
82.5%
Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the SDSU 44Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
81.5%
Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SDSU 47Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
81.6%
Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the SDSU 48Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+15
83.1%
San José State Penalty, Personal Foul (Chase Williams) to the SJSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
79.0%
Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SJSU 13Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+10
78.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 10 yds to the SJSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
78.9%
(10:31) ARMSTEAD, Jaylon rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the SJS0, TOUCHDOWN SDS, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:28 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY SDS Holding on HARPOLE, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the SJS3 to the SJS13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
79.4%
Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SJSU 10Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
78.4%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
80.9%
Jalen Mayden run for 6 yds to the SJSU 4Similar
Q4 8:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
69.3%
Gabriel Plascencia 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 94 yds · 3:4175% → 95%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
74.9%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the SJSU 8Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+21
75.2%
Quali Conley run for 21 yds to the SJSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+57
80.0%
Quali Conley run for 57 yds to the SDSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
84.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SDSU 13Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+8
84.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 8 yds to the SDSU 5Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
94.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14INT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:397% → 6%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
92.9%
Jalen Mayden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
93.4%
Jalen Mayden run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 26Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+11
94.3%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 11 yds to the SDSU 37Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+22
93.3%
Jaylon Armstead run for 22 yds to the SJSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
93.7%
Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 6 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-1
92.8%
Jalen Mayden run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 36Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-9
93.8%
Jalen Mayden pass intercepted Tre Jenkins return for 9 yds to the SJSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15END OF GAME
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:4596% → 98%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+32
95.7%
Quali Conley run for 32 yds to the SDSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
96.7%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the SDSU 32Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+7
97.3%
Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the SDSU 25Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+7
97.4%
Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the SDSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.5%
(01:08) [NH] Kneel down by CORDEIRO, Chevan at SDS20 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 12
OPP 20
0
97.5%
(00:34) [NH] Kneel down by CORDEIRO, Chevan at SDS22 (team loss of 2).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:16
Quali Conley run for 20 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+15.8
FG · Q4 8:54
Gabriel Plascencia 21 yd FG GOOD
-11.6
TD · Q4 5:13
Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)
+9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com