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UNM

New Mexico 14 at Boise State 42

BOIS
2023 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:08 · James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+45.1Home team on offense+1.1Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:42: Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +1.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:28: Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK) — UNM win probability +1.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:13: Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 74 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:04: Taylen Green run for 19 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:02: George Holani run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:04UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:08BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:41UNM 4th & 7 at UNM 13, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  4. Q3 8:45UNM 4th & 15 at BOIS 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 0:37UNM 4th & 15 at BOIS 44, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  6. Q4 11:59BOIS 4th & 2 at UNM 27, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q4 10:15UNM 4th & 17 at UNM 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:07BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 41, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:27UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:00BOIS 4th & 7 at UNM 9, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:16BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:42UNM Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00BOIS Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:28UNM Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:13BOIS Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:04BOIS Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:02BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:3797% → 97%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
96.8%
George Holani run for 9 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+6
96.8%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
96.8%
Jambres Dubar run for 6 yds to the UNM 42Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+42
96.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 42 yds for a TD (L. Voorhees Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:123% → 3%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.7%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the UNM 30Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
96.6%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 29Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.6%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, downed at the BOIS 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:5697% → 96%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
96.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Kaden Dudley for 2 yds to the BOIS 39Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+9
96.6%
Jambres Dubar run for 9 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.6%
George Holani run for no gain to the BOIS 48Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
96.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
96.5%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
96.3%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 6:264% → 6%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
96.3%
Devon Dampier run for 19 yds to the UNM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
96.3%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
50
+4
96.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 4 yds to the BOIS 46Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+12
96.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 12 yds to the BOIS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.2%
Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the BOIS 29Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+14
96.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 14 yds to the BOIS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
95.6%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BOIS 20Similar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+10
95.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 10 yds to the BOIS 10Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
95.6%
Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the BOIS 6Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+1
95.7%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the BOIS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.3%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:3695% → 95%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
94.7%
Kaden Dudley run for 7 yds to the BOIS 35Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+15
94.8%
New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (Destin Gainer) to the UNM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+10
95.0%
George Holani run for 10 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-7
95.0%
Maddux Madsen sacked by Tate Zimmerman for a loss of 7 yards to the UNM 44Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 17
OPP 44
+4
94.9%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the UNM 40Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+30
94.8%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 30 yds to the UNM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 11
OPP 49
+2
95.0%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the UNM 47Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.1%
George Holani run for 10 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:325% → 8%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+59
95.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 59 yds to the BOIS 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
94.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 11 yds to the BOIS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.5%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
1 play · 74 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
94.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 74 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:325% → 5%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
94.7%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UNM 5Similar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 15
OWN 5
0
94.8%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UNM 3Similar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 17
OWN 3
+3
94.8%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the UNM 6Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 14
OWN 6
-4
95.0%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 2Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 18
OWN 2
+11
95.0%
Devon Dampier run for 11 yds to the UNM 13Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
94.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:3795% → 96%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
94.7%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the UNM 46Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+12
94.7%
Kaden Dudley run for 12 yds to the UNM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
94.8%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 15 yds to the UNM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
96.2%
Taylen Green run for 19 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10FUMBLE
13 plays · 68 yds · 7:044% → 5%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.6%
Devon Dampier run for 9 yds to the UNM 34Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
95.3%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
95.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 14 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
95.3%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for no gain to the BOIS 49Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+14
95.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 14 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
95.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 15 yds to the BOIS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
95.0%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the BOIS 19Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+8
95.0%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 8 yds to the BOIS 11Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+5
95.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds to the BOIS 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
95.2%
DAMPIER, Devon pass up the middle incomplete intended for ERICKSON, Andrew thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY UNM Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the BSU6 to the BSU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
95.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Andrew Henry for 5 yds to the BOIS 6Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
95.0%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 7 Jacory Croskey-Merritt fumbled, recovered by BOIS Jayden Virgin [NHSG] CROSKEY-MERRITT, Jacory rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard, CROSKEY-MERRITT, Jacory fumbled at BSU6 forced by OLADIPO, Seyi, recovered by BSU VIRGIN, Jayden at the BSU7, returned 0 yards to the BSU7, End of Play, clock 02:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11FG
14 plays · 88 yds · 1:5796% → 96%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
96.0%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+6
96.6%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BOIS 13Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+11
96.5%
George Holani run for 11 yds to the BOIS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
96.6%
MADSEN, Maddux scrambles up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the BSU25 (MORENCO, Alec). PENALTY UNM Face mask on RILEY, Syaire enforced 15 yards from the BSU26 to the BSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.7%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+39
96.7%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to George Holani for 39 yds to the UNM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
96.9%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+15
96.6%
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 15 yds to the UNM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.6%
Maddux Madsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.8%
Maddux Madsen run for no gain to the UNM 5Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
96.0%
Jonah Dalmas 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12MISSED FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 6:154% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
96.1%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
96.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 7 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
95.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 12 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
95.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to D.J. Washington for 9 yds to the BOIS 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+2
95.6%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 2 yds to the BOIS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-9
95.7%
Devon Dampier sacked by Braxton Fely and Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 9 yards to the BOIS 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 47
+10
96.1%
DAMPIER, Devon pass to the right incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the BSU33; QB hurried by FELY, Braxton. PENALTY BSU Holding on CLARK, Jaylen enforced 10 yards from the BSU47 to the BSU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
95.7%
Devon Dampier run for 14 yds to the BOIS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
95.4%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (D.J. Washington) to the BOIS 28Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
95.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 28
0
95.8%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 28
0
96.1%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+46
96.8%
Luke Drzewiecki 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:4397% → 100%
Q3 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
97.4%
Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the BOIS 36Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+5
97.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 5 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
97.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Prince Strachan for 24 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
97.6%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the UNM 29Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+4
97.6%
Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the UNM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
97.6%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the UNM 21Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
97.6%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+8
97.5%
George Holani run for 8 yds to the UNM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
97.6%
run for 12 yds to the UNM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
97.4%
Taylen Green pass complete to George Holani for 4 yds to the BOIS 33Similar
Q3 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
George Holani run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 23 yds · 2:251% → 1%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 11 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Jacory Croskey-Merritt for 10 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.2%
DAMPIER, Devon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MEDFORD, Caleb thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY BSU Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Rodney enforced 15 yards to the BSU39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Devon Dampier run for no gain to the BOIS 39Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 10
OPP 39
-5
99.2%
New Mexico Penalty, False Start (D.J. Washington) to the BOIS 44Similar
Q3 0:37
4TH & 15
OPP 44
-8
99.3%
Devon Dampier sacked by Ahmed Hassanein and Andrew Simpson for a loss of 8 yards to the UNM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.6%
Jambres Dubar run for 4 yds to the UNM 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
99.7%
Jambres Dubar run for 2 yds to the UNM 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-10
99.6%
Boise State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
50
+15
99.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 15 yds to the UNM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.7%
Jambres Dubar run for 7 yds to the UNM 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
99.7%
Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the UNM 26Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-1
99.8%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 27 Taylen Green fumbled, recovered by BOIS Jambres Dubar [NHSG] QB Keeper GREEN, Taylen rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard, GREEN, Taylen fumbled at UNM26 , recovered by BSU DUBAR, Jambres at the UNM27, returned 0 yards to the UNM27, End of Play.Similar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+44
99.9%
Jonah Dalmas 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Devon Dampier sacked by Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 4 yards to the UNM 21Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-3
99.9%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 18Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.9%
Boise State Penalty, False Start (Ben Dooley) to the BOIS 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Jambres Dubar run for 7 yds to the BOIS 38Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Jambres Dubar run for 5 yds to the BOIS 43Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-2
99.9%
Jambres Dubar run for a loss of 2 yards to the BOIS 41Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:400% → 0%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
100.0%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 3 yds to the UNM 7Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+9
100.0%
Devon Dampier run for 9 yds to the UNM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
100.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Kaydin Pope for a loss of 5 yards to the UNM 11Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 15
OWN 11
-5
100.0%
New Mexico Penalty, Delay Of Game (Devon Dampier) to the UNM 6Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 20
OWN 6
+9
100.0%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 9 yds to the UNM 15Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+5
100.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 5 yds to the UNM 20Similar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 4:27100% → 100%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
100.0%
Jambres Dubar run for 14 yds to the UNM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
100.0%
Jambres Dubar run for 22 yds to the UNM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
100.0%
Jambres Dubar run for 12 yds to the UNM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
100.0%
Jambres Dubar run for 3 yds to the UNM 9Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+1
100.0%
Jambres Dubar run for 1 yd to the UNM 8Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-1
100.0%
Jambres Dubar run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 9Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Kneel down by GREEN, Taylen at UNM16 (team loss of 7); BSU turnover on downs, clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:02
George Holani run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 13:13
Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 74 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+2
TD · Q2 13:28
Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com